[04-May-2026 15:31:54 UTC] PHP Fatal error: Uncaught Error: Class 'WP_Widget' not found in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/widgets/mckeens_news_feed_widget.php:3 Stack trace: #0 {main} thrown in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/widgets/mckeens_news_feed_widget.php on line 3 [04-May-2026 15:31:55 UTC] PHP Fatal error: Uncaught Error: Class 'WP_Widget' not found in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/widgets/mckeens_sidebar_menu_widget.php:3 Stack trace: #0 {main} thrown in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/widgets/mckeens_sidebar_menu_widget.php on line 3 [04-May-2026 15:31:45 UTC] PHP Fatal error: Uncaught Error: Call to undefined function add_action() in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/shortcodes/mckeens_display_editorials.php:22 Stack trace: #0 {main} thrown in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/shortcodes/mckeens_display_editorials.php on line 22 [04-May-2026 15:31:46 UTC] PHP Fatal error: Uncaught Error: Call to undefined function add_action() in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/shortcodes/mckeens_display_tabs.php:50 Stack trace: #0 {main} thrown in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/shortcodes/mckeens_display_tabs.php on line 50 [04-May-2026 15:31:47 UTC] PHP Fatal error: Uncaught Error: Call to undefined function add_action() in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/shortcodes/mckeens_heading.php:15 Stack trace: #0 {main} thrown in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/shortcodes/mckeens_heading.php on line 15 Akira Schmid – McKeen's Hockey https://www.mckeenshockey.com The Essential Hockey Annual Sun, 19 Apr 2026 19:17:55 +0000 en-US hourly 1 NHL: Victor Nuño – Dynasty Stock Watch – Vegas Golden Knights Edition https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/nhl-victor-nuno-dynasty-stock-watch-vegas-golden-knights-edition/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/nhl-victor-nuno-dynasty-stock-watch-vegas-golden-knights-edition/#respond Fri, 06 Mar 2026 14:19:44 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=198850 Read More... from NHL: Victor Nuño – Dynasty Stock Watch – Vegas Golden Knights Edition

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Luleås Jakob Ihs Wozniak 
Photo: Pär Bäckström / BILDBYRÅN

Dynasty Stock Watch

Vegas Golden Knights Edition

Team Outlook

From the moment they entered the league, the Golden Knights have operated aggressively. Vegas has never been shy about trading prospects, picks, and futures to chase immediate contention, and that philosophy has largely paid off with sustained competitiveness and a Stanley Cup. The flip side is predictable: the organization has one of the thinnest prospect pipelines in the league.

For dynasty managers, that does not mean the system should be ignored. In fact, it often creates inefficiencies. With so little depth, any prospect who shows real momentum can climb quickly, while others may carry residual name value that no longer aligns with realistic fantasy outcomes. This edition highlights three Golden Knights prospects whose stock may still be rising quietly, and three whose current perception may exceed their long-term fantasy utility.

Buy Candidates

Pavel Moysevich, G

Why Buy?

Moysevich has quietly positioned himself as one of the more intriguing long-term goaltending bets in the Vegas system. His game is built on strong positioning, controlled movement, and calm puck tracking, allowing him to manage play efficiently rather than relying purely on athleticism. Those traits often translate well as competition increases and tend to produce more sustainable results over time. The organizational context adds a compelling layer. Vegas has a well-documented history of cycling through goaltenders rather than overpaying to retain them, creating internal opportunity on a more predictable timeline than most organizations. The Golden Knights do not have a deep goaltending pipeline, and Moysevich's steady progression gives him a clearer runway than his name recognition might suggest. For a patient dynasty manager, that organizational pattern is worth weighting heavily.

Hockey Prospecting assigns him a 74% probability of becoming an NHL regular, a strong number that reflects both his tools and his developmental trajectory. At 6-foot-7, his size alone will continue to generate opportunities, as organizations at every level tend to invest in large goaltenders with clean fundamentals. The primary caveat is competitive context. Moysevich has logged just 31 KHL games across two seasons, and this year he is operating primarily in the VHL, the rough Russian equivalent of the AHL. Until he sustains performance against KHL-level competition or higher, there is a developmental question mark worth monitoring. The tools and the opportunity structure are both present, the next step is proving they hold up where the game gets harder.

Jakob Ihs-Wozniak, RW

Why Buy?

Ihs-Wozniak is a longer-term swing, but one whose underlying tools make him worth monitoring closely. He plays with pace, shows confidence attacking defenders, and has demonstrated flashes of offensive creativity that suggest room for growth. His game is still raw in spots, but the foundation points toward a winger who could scale with continued development. The most encouraging sign this season has been his 17 SHL games, and while just two points on the scoresheet does not jump off the page, the exposure itself is meaningful for a prospect still finding his footing at the top level. In a system that lacks forward depth, that kind of early deployment often signals organizational belief that extends beyond the stat line.

The underlying numbers tell an optimistic story. His pNHLe has jumped from 29 last season to 48 this year, a notable leap that reflects genuine developmental progress rather than a statistical mirage. His loan stint in the HockeyAllsvenskan following his SHL time has produced encouraging offensive totals, suggesting he is responding well to extended responsibility and consistent deployment. He remains a patient hold rather than a near-term contributor, but prospects who show this kind of measurable jump in projection while simultaneously earning NHL looks are exactly the type that are worth acquiring before the broader market catches up.

Mateo Nobert, C

Why Buy?

Nobert brings a blend of intelligence, pace, and playmaking that fits well within modern NHL systems. He processes the game quickly, supports possession effectively, and can facilitate offense without needing to dominate touches. His Fantasy Hockey Life skater card reinforces what the eye test suggests, he grades out positively in play driving, transition, and expected goals, with his standout skill being playmaking, particularly his ability to generate high-danger passing opportunities. That profile often leads to strong underlying results even when box score production fluctuates, and this season he has backed it up with improved scoring in the QMJHL.

The key with Nobert is timing. His name does not carry much market weight, but his skill set gives him a genuine chance to outgrow his current valuation. Especially considering he is an in a thin Vegas pipeline, players who can drive play, facilitate offense, and consistently create high-quality chances tend to find themselves elevated sooner than expected. As a depth acquisition with a clearly defined and translatable skill set, Nobert represents a smart buy before the broader market catches up.

Sell Candidates

Akira Schmid, G

Why Sell?

Schmid's NHL exposure and past flashes of strong play continue to buoy his market value, but the long-term outlook remains murky. Across 80 NHL appearances, he has consistently failed to outperform his expected goals metrics, and that pattern is difficult to overlook. In Vegas, he has been afforded good to stellar defensive protection, making his tendency to underperform those environments a more damning signal than it might appear on the surface. Consistency has been elusive, and his role has frequently fluctuated between short-term opportunity and organizational stopgap.

For dynasty managers, the concern is sustainability. Vegas has shown little hesitation in cycling through goaltenders when performance dips, and Schmid's profile does not offer enough separation to inspire confidence in long-term stability. His size and experience will likely continue to generate NHL opportunities, but opportunities alone do not translate into fantasy value if the underlying performance does not support them. If his name still carries value based on prior NHL runs, this is a reasonable window to sell before his role settles into something less fantasy-friendly. Let others enjoy the roller coaster.

Carl Lindbom, G

Why Sell?

Lindbom is a different case than Schmid. He does not carry a negative track record, and there is still genuine promise in his game. His technical foundation gives him a real developmental floor, and that residual optimism is precisely what makes now a smart time to sell. The concern is not that he has failed, it is that his ceiling has become increasingly defined. Hockey Prospecting assigns him just a 22% probability of becoming a full-time NHL regular, and the realistic projection at this stage points toward a backup or 1B role at best.

For dynasty managers, the calculus is straightforward. His remaining upside is modest, and the market may still be pricing in more than the data supports. Vegas has shown little patience for developmental projects when proven options are available, which further limits his runway. If another manager is still holding onto earlier optimism, this is a reasonable window to move him before that perception catches up with his actual ceiling.

Trevor Connelly, LW

Why Sell?

Connelly is the most exciting prospect in the Vegas system, and also the most volatile. His skill level is evident, he has the hands, creativity, and confidence to generate offense, particularly in space, and his pNHLe has climbed to 82 this season based on his AHL success, a number that will turn heads and likely drive a strong return in most dynasty formats. The comparables attached to him, Eric Staal, Nick Schmaltz, and Matthew Boldy, are genuinely lofty, and that name recognition alone may be inflating his current market value beyond what the realistic distribution of outcomes supports.

For dynasty managers, the question is whether the upside justifies the risk. Questions around consistency, decision-making, and translatability continue to cloud his long-term outlook, and Vegas has historically shown little patience with development projects unless they clearly force the issue. The pNHLe spike gives you real leverage right now. Use it. Let someone else absorb the volatility, take the return, and redirect that capital toward a prospect with a safer and more defined profile.

Summary

Player Role Key Insight
Pavel Moysevich Buy Steady goaltender with a clearer runway than name value suggests
Jakob Ihs Wozniak Buy Long-term winger swing with offensive tools
Mateo Nobert Buy Smart, play-driving center who could outgrow his valuation
Akira Schmid Sell Inconsistent goalie with uncertain long-term role
Carl Lindbom Sell Developmental goalie whose progression has stalled
Trevor Connelly Sell Skilled winger with volatile projection and unclear pathway

 

 

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DADOUN: THE FANTASY WEEK AHEAD (December 25th to 31st) – Senators make a coaching change – Ducks, Sabres, Avalanche, Stars, Oilers, Devils, Islander and Leafs look good in short week https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/dadoun-fantasy-week-senators-coaching-change-ducks-sabres-avalanche-stars-oilers-devils-islander-leafs-good-short-week/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/dadoun-fantasy-week-senators-coaching-change-ducks-sabres-avalanche-stars-oilers-devils-islander-leafs-good-short-week/#respond Sat, 23 Dec 2023 17:24:26 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=184819 Read More... from DADOUN: THE FANTASY WEEK AHEAD (December 25th to 31st) – Senators make a coaching change – Ducks, Sabres, Avalanche, Stars, Oilers, Devils, Islander and Leafs look good in short week

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Ottawa Senators Defenceman Jake Sanderson (85). (Photo by Richard A. Whittaker/Icon Sportswire)

We’ve seen examples of coaching changes this year led to immediate improvement in Edmonton, Minnesota and St. Louis, but firing your bench boss isn’t a magic bullet that guarantees a turnaround, as the Ottawa Senators are learning.

Since replacing coach D.J. Smith with Jacques Martin, the Senators have lost two contests to Arizona and Colorado, dropping their season record to 11-17-0. There’s still time to dig out of that hole, but it seems unlikely. To put it into context, if we assume it’ll take 92 points to make the playoffs this year, which was the case in 2022-23 and is a reasonable expectation in general, then Ottawa would need to go 35-19-0 the rest of the way to make the playoffs, which amounts to a .648 winning percentage. Not impossible, but highly improbable given what we’ve seen of this team.

The defense just isn’t there. Ottawa ranks 28th in xGA/60 at 3.51, and goaltenders Joonas Korpisalo and Anton Forsberg haven’t been nearly good enough to make up for the sloppy play in front of them. The Senators do have a solid forward core, but it’s not enough to make up for that defense either.

The silver lining is Tim Stutzle, Brady Tkachuk, Joshua Norris, Drake Batherson and Jake Sanderson are all still young and locked to multi-year contracts. Jakob Chychrun is fairly young too at 25 and signed through 2024-25. All isn’t lost if the Senators miss the playoffs this year, though after falling short of a postseason berth in every campaign since 2017, I’m sure there is some eagerness in Ottawa to move past the rebuilding phase.

Anaheim Ducks – WED VS VGK, FRI VS ARI, SUN VS EDM

There are no games scheduled on Monday or Tuesday due to the Christmas break, and consequently, no team plays more than three games this week. Anaheim is among those that have a full three-game set, hosting the Golden Knights on Wednesday, the Coyotes on Friday and the Oilers on Sunday. Vegas will be a tough match, but the Coyotes are middling while Edmonton’s been inconsistent, especially when it comes to the Oilers’ goaltending.

I highlighted Anaheim last week too and mentioned at that time that Trevor Zegras (lower body) was getting close to returning. He didn’t end up returning in the time between columns, but Zegras did participate in Thursday’s optional skate, so it wouldn’t be shocking to see him make his return next week. When he does return, he could go on a tear. Zegras has just two points in 12 contests this season, but he was playing hurt before being shut down due to the injury, so when he comes back, he’ll hopefully be 100 percent.

In the meantime, Adam Henrique has been red hot, scoring six goals and seven points over his last six contests. He’s averaging 16:34 of ice time, including 2:24 with the man advantage, and might be leaned on even more next week, depending on the status of Leo Carlsson, who sustained a lower-body injury during Thursday’s game.

Rookie Pavel Mintyukov has also done well recently, scoring a goal and four points over his last five outings, bringing him up to two goals and 17 points in 32 contests this season. Taken with the No. 10 overall pick in the 2022 NHL Draft, Mintyukov is a fantastic prospect who could realistically maintain his rookie point-per-game pace, to finish the campaign in the 40-45 point range.

Buffalo Sabres – WED VS BOS, SAT VS CBJ, SUN @ OTT (BTB)

The Sabres will start the week at home with contests against Boston on Wednesday and Columbus on Saturday before heading to Ottawa for a game Sunday. The Bruins are one of the league’s best teams, but the Blue Jackets and Senators sit at the bottom of the Eastern Conference

This might be a good week to pick up Kyle Okposo. At the age of 35, he’s not quite as effective as he used to be, but Okposo still has something left, providing eight goals and 14 points in 34 outings. He’s been great recently too, netting three markers over his last two contests.

Rookie Zach Benson is hot too with two goals and six points over his last five outings. He’s averaging a healthy 15:25 of ice time this year, and that’s gone up even further to 17:43 over his past five games, so rather than just being a nice short-term pickup, the 19-year-old might be someone you want to hold indefinitely.

Colorado Avalanche – WED @ ARI, FRI @STL, SUN @ DAL

The Avalanche will begin the week with road games in Arizona on Wednesday and St. Louis on Friday before hosting the Sharks on Sunday. None of those adversaries are particularly impressive with Arizona holding the best record among them at 17-13-2.

When a team is 20-11-2 like the Avalanche are, the issues it’s facing can become background noise, but make no mistake, there are points of concern for Colorado, chief among them is how much this team relies on its star players.

Nathan MacKinnon is having an unreal campaign with 18 goals and 53 points in 33 contests. He’s on a 17-game scoring streak and had another superb contest Thursday, scoring four goals and five points to earn a 6-4 victory over Ottawa. Mikko Rantanen (17 goals, 42 points), Cale Makar (eight goals, 39 points) and Valeri Nichushkin (15 goals, 32 points) have done their part to back up MacKinnon this campaign, but outside of those four, the rest of the team isn’t particularly impressive.

No other player has even 20 points while starting goaltender Alexandar Georgiev has left plenty to be desired with his 3.01 GAA and .898 save percentage through 26 starts. You could argue at this point that even Edmonton is less reliant on Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl than Colorado has become on MacKinnon and Rantanen. It’s really become that severe of a house of cards for the Avalanche.

Perhaps that’s changing a little, though. Jonathan Drouin was one of the players the Avalanche added over the summer to try to bolster the team’s offensive depth. He had a rough start to the campaign, scoring three goals and eight points through 26 contests but has rebounded recently with a goal and six points over his last five appearances. Drouin is currently serving on the top power-play unit, which has been the source of four of those six points. If he’s available in your league, he’s worth taking a chance on right now.

Dallas Stars – WED @ STL, FRI VS CHI, SUN VS CHI

Dallas will play in St. Louis on Wednesday before hosting the Blackhawks twice, on Friday and Sunday, respectively. Given Chicago’s 10-20-1 record, including a 4-12-0 record on the road, this should be a good week for the Stars.

The Stars have a roughly equivalent offense to Colorado (3.52 goals per game compared to the Avalanche’s 3.64), but while the Avalanche achieve that success through a couple of superstars, Dallas’ top-end talent hasn’t been nearly as productive, but it compensates through its depth. Dallas has nine players with at least 20 points in contrast to Colorado’s four.

Thomas Harley isn’t among those who have hit 20 points, but he’s made great strides towards that milestone recently, contributing three goals and five points over his last four outings. Especially with Dallas’ relatively easy schedule next week, Harley has a good shot of extending that hot streak.

His success pales in comparison to Matt Duchene’s though, who has five goals and nine points in his past five outings. That brings him up to 11 goals and 29 points in 30 contests this season. He might not maintain that pace, but it wouldn’t be surprising if he at least surpasses the 60-point milestone before the end of the season, making him amazing value for his $3 million cap hit.

Edmonton Oilers – THU @ SJS, SAT @ LAK, SUN @ ANA (BTB)

Edmonton will get a week-long break before playing in San Jose on Thursday. After that, they’ll travel to LA for a contest Saturday and then play in Anaheim on Sunday. It’s not a particularly easy schedule, but with less to choose from this week, I felt it was worth highlighting the Oilers.

Connor McDavid continues to be dominant, supplying 10 goals and 33 points over his last 17 contests and his success should continue going forward. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins is likely to stay productive too after contributing three goals and 12 points over his last seven outings. Then there’s also Leon Draisaitl, Zach Hyman and defenseman Evan Bouchard, who have the potential to step up on any given night.

The one high-end player who hasn’t been living up to his potential recently is Evander Kane. The 32-year-old has been fine this year with 12 goals and 22 points in 30 contests, but he’s on a five-game scoring drought and has just two points over his last nine outings. Kane tends to be a somewhat streaky player though, so don’t be surprised if he starts playing like a superstar for a little while after breaking out of his present slump.

Keep an eye on Sam Gagner as well. He registered two assists in Thursday’s 6-3 win over New Jersey, bringing him up to a goal and five points over his last six contests. He’s only averaging 10:56 of ice time this year but has seen some time on the second power-play unit and will occasionally share the ice with some combination of Nugent-Hopkins, Kane and McDavid at even strength.

New Jersey Devils – WED @CBJ, FRI @ OTT, SAT @ BOS

The Devils will host the Blue Jackets on Wednesday before playing in Ottawa on Friday and Boston on Saturday. As noted above, the Blue Jackets and Senators have the two worst records in the Eastern Conference, so those are games the Devils need to win to avoid falling behind in the tight Wild Card race.

The Devils have already hurt their cause by dropping their last three games. They’ve scored just six goals in that span, which isn’t nearly good enough for a team that averages 3.61 goals allowed per game.

Vitek Vanecek (3.35 GAA, .883 save percentage) and Akira Schmid (3.25 GAA, .893 save percentage) haven’t been good enough, especially compared to the Devils’ defense in front of them, which has been average thus far with an XGA/60 of 3.2 -- putting New Jersey 18th in the league in that regard.

It’s worth keeping an eye on New Jersey’s goaltending situation, though, because if Schmid or Vanecek rebound, then they’ll be positioned to secure the No. 1 job on a team averaging an impressive 3.42 worth of goal support per game.

Here’s one interesting scenario to keep in the back of your mind: Joseph Woll (ankle) going on the injured reserve list led to the Maple Leafs calling up Martin Jones, who hasn’t been great, but has had his moments, including a 38-save shutout over Pittsburgh last Saturday. When Woll returns, Jones will likely be put on waivers to send to the AHL. If neither of the Devils’ goaltenders has rebounded by that point, is it possible that they’d put in a waiver claim for Jones? There might be other opportunities for New Jersey to claim a goaltender too -- Montreal is carrying three healthy netminders, for example -- and whatever netminder the Devils potentially add would be entering a favorable situation.

Goalies aside, you might want to consider Michael McLeod as a short-term pickup. He’s on a three-game scoring streak, collecting two goals and four points in that span.

New York Islanders – WED VS PIT, FRI VS WSH, SUN @ PIT

The Islanders will open the week at home with contests against the Penguins on Wednesday and the Capitals on Friday. The Islanders will then travel to Pittsburgh for a game Sunday. For much of the salary cap era, a week full of matches against Pittsburgh and Washington would have been a nightmare, but with those two teams aging cores, it’s not nearly as bad of a schedule nowadays.

The Islanders typically rotate between Ilya Sorokin and Semyon Varlamov, but Varlamov has allowed at least three goals in each of his last nine contests, so you have to wonder if Sorokin will start in all three games next week given how spread out the upcoming schedule is. Sorokin has had his struggles too this campaign, but he’s 3-0-1 with a 2.44 GAA and a .929 save percentage over his last four outings, so he has been the better option recently.

Traditionally goaltending has been at the heart of the Islanders’ success, but dating back to Nov. 18, the Islanders rank second offensively, averaging 3.69 goals per game. Brock Nelson has been a huge part of that, especially this month with him supplying five goals and 12 points in 10 contests. Meanwhile, Bo Horvat has eight goals and 17 points over his last 12 contests and Mathew Barzal’s contributed five goals and 17 points over his past 11 appearances.

Anders Lee hasn’t been nearly as impressive, scoring nine goals and 12 points in 32 outings this year, but he might be heating up after finding the back of the net in each of his last two contests.

Toronto Maple Leafs – WED VS OTT, FRI @ CBJ, SAT VS CAR

The Maple Leafs have a home contest against the Senators on Wednesday, then they’ll play in Columbus on Friday and finish the week by hosting the Hurricanes on Saturday.

As noted above, Joseph Woll is out with an ankle injury. He’s not likely to return next week, which leaves the Maple Leafs with Ilya Samsonov and Martin Jones. You’d think Samsonov would be leaned on under those circumstances, but the 26-year-old goaltender has a 5-2-5 record, 3.79 GAA and .871 save percentage in 14 contests this campaign. He’s been particularly bad lately, allowing 15 goals on 83 shots (.819 save percentage) over his last three contests. Under those circumstances, Jones might start in two of Toronto’s three games next week, making him an okay pickup if you need starts.

While the Maple Leafs have some goaltending issues, they’ve found success at the other end of the ice. Auston Matthews is leading that charge with an unreal 12 goals over his last eight contests. I floated the possibility of Matthews having a 50-in-50 run back in mid-October. The 26-year-old had a stretch from Nov. 8-30 in which he had just one goal in nine contests, which likely killed his chances of becoming the first player since Brett Hull in 1991-92 to accomplish that tremendous feat, but even still, Matthews isn’t fully out of the running after scoring 26 goals over Toronto’s first 30 games.

Lost a little in the noise is Max Domi being productive in limited time. He has three goals and seven points in nine contests despite averaging just 12:22 of ice time. It’s impressive and makes him worthy of utilizing in the short-term, but the Maple Leafs are likely to be buyers at the deadline, so eventually Domi’s already small role might diminish further.

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DADOUN: THE FANTASY WEEK AHEAD – Sharks show some bite in tough season – Coyotes, Hurricanes, Avalanche, Devils, Islanders, Maple Leafs, Canucks and Golden Knights – Players to target https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/dadoun-fantasy-week/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/dadoun-fantasy-week/#respond Sat, 09 Dec 2023 16:09:54 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=184654 Read More... from DADOUN: THE FANTASY WEEK AHEAD – Sharks show some bite in tough season – Coyotes, Hurricanes, Avalanche, Devils, Islanders, Maple Leafs, Canucks and Golden Knights – Players to target

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BOSTON, MA - NOVEMBER 30: San Jose Sharks left wing Fabian Zetterlund (20) takes a shot in warm up before a game between the Boston Bruins and the San Jose Sharks on November 30, 2023, at TD garden in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Fred Kfoury III/Icon Sportswire)

This column was previously getting released at the start of the week, but starting today, it will come out Saturdays instead. It’ll still preview the upcoming week, but now you’ll have more time to plan your strategy. Please bear in mind that the information provided is reflective of the time of writing (in this case, the morning of Dec. 8).

That aside, I wanted to cast a light on San Jose, which has won five of its last seven games. The Sharks have been fun to watch recently with them overcoming a 4-1 deficit against the Islanders on Tuesday and a 4-0 deficit to the Red Wings on Thursday. After a 0-10-1 start to the campaign that included back-to-back games in which they surrendered 10 goals, the Sharks are now 8-17-2. Still not good, but given where they came from, that’s impressive.

Looking at their last seven games specifically, the big change for San Jose has been its offense. The Sharks have scored 4.00 goals per game over that span, compared to 1.09 over their first 11 outings. Tomas Hertl has been an important factor in their recent surge, providing five goals and nine points over his last six appearances, but the real standout performer has been Mikael Granlund, who went from recording four assists over his first 13 contests to contributing three goals and 12 points over his last seven outings.

The Sharks have gotten some support team-wide too. Seven different players have supplied at least two goals over the past seven games, including three markers from defenseman Jacob MacDonald, who had just three goals over 101 career NHL games going into this campaign.

Is this sustainable, though? Probably not. The Sharks don’t have a particularly good team. Goaltenders Mackenzie Blackwood and Kaapo Kahkonen are still struggling, so if the offense cools from its unreal pace, then the whole house of cards will likely crumble again. Plus overcoming three- or four-goal deficits is fun to watch, but not something that can be counted on to happen routinely.

It is encouraging to see youngsters William Eklund, who has two goals and five points over his last four contests, and Fabian Zetterlund, who has four goals and five points over his last seven games, do well though. They’re the future of the franchise, so strong performances from them matter much more to San Jose than whether the squad is winning or losing today.

Arizona Coyotes - MON @ BUF, TUE @ PIT (BTB), FRI VS. SJS, SAT VS. BUF (BTB)

The Coyotes enjoyed a five-game winning streak from Nov. 25-Dec. 4, bringing them up to 13-9-2 by the end of that run. After spending a few years rebuilding, Arizona has a real shot of making the playoffs this year.

Of course, the Coyotes still have a lot of work ahead of them, which they’ll continue next week with games in Buffalo on Monday and Pittsburgh on Tuesday, followed by home contests versus the Sharks on Friday and Sabres on Saturday. Those adversaries range from bad to middling this campaign, so the Coyotes should do well.

With two back-to-back sets, Karel Vejmelka should get some work for the first time since Nov. 22. He’s struggled this campaign with a 2-6-2 record, 3.45 GAA and .892 save percentage in 11 contests, so he’s not an ideal option for a situational pickup. That said, if he draws the Sharks, then it might be worth considering him (provided San Jose has cooled by that point).

If Alex Kerfoot is still available in your league, he’d be a good pickup. He’s one of the hottest players in the league with a goal and nine points over his last five contests. Part of that surge is thanks to him getting an increased role. Over his first 15 contests this campaign, he had a goal and four points while averaging 15:01 of ice time, including just 0:18 with the man advantage, but that’s jumped to 18:57 over his last 10 contests, including 2:21 on the power play. So, while he obviously can’t maintain the offensive pace of his last five games, as long as Arizona keeps deploying him like it has recently, Kerfoot should continue to be a valuable forward in most fantasy leagues.

Someone else to consider in the short-term but is less likely to have long-term success is Michael Carcone. He has five goals over his last five contests, but his shooting percentage has climbed to an unsustainable 32.4 and he serves in a bottom-six role, so expect him to crash completely once the hot streak is over.

Carolina Hurricanes – TUE @ OTT, THU @DET, FRI VS NSH (BTB), SUN VS WAS

The Hurricanes will start the week by completing their six-game road trip with games in Ottawa on Tuesday and Detroit on Thursday. They’ll then get an opportunity to defend PNC Arena when they host the Predators on Friday and the Capitals on Sunday. Detroit’s been pretty good this campaign, but Nashville is the only other opponent currently in a playoff position, and even then, just barely.

Andrei Svechnikov couldn’t play Thursday due to an upper-body injury. If it turns out he won’t be available for some or all of next week’s games, then that will have a significant impact on Carolina’s lineup. In particular, Michael Bunting could play a major role during Svechnikov’s absence. When Svechnikov missed the first eight contests of the campaign because of a knee injury, Bunting had two goals and six points in eight contests while averaging 18:12 of ice time. Since then, Bunting has dropped to 13:45 while providing four goals and 10 points over 17 games.

We also might see Brendan Lemieux playing consistently during Svechnikov’s absence. Lemieux isn’t much of a factor offensively, but if you’re in a position where you’re looking for penalty minutes, he can help you there. Through 10 appearances this season, he’s accumulated 33 PIM and the 27-year-old has 517 PIM in 285 career games.

On the power play, there might be an opportunity for Brady Skjei to assume a second-line role. He has four goals and 15 points in 29 contests this season, which is great for a defenseman who is averaging just 0:13 with the man advantage. Even a second unit power-play role would be a potentially meaningful boost for him.

Colorado Avalanche – MON VS CGY, WED VS BUG, SAT @ WPG, SUN VS SJS (BTB)

The Avalanche will play four games next week, including home contests against the Flames on Monday, the Sabes on Wednesday and the Sharks on Sunday. Sprinkled in there will also be a road outing in Winnipeg on Saturday. Of those opponents, just Winnipeg is in a playoff position. The Sharks have won five of their last seven games, though, so it’ll be interesting to see if they’re still hot by the time that contest happens.

Speaking of hot players, Nathan MacKinnon is on a 10-game scoring streak, providing four goals and 16 points over that stretch, including two goals and five points over his last two contests alone. Through Thursday’s action, MacKinnon has moved into a three-way tie for fourth in the scoring race with 36 points in 26 outings.

The Avalanche don’t have any other players who are currently excelling, though. Bowen Byram is interesting with two goals and three points over his last four contests. He might be worth some short-term consideration, but the lack of a consistent power-play role is a significant negative.

We also should see Ivan Prosvetov start this week, likely Sunday versus San Jose. He’s been decent when utilized, posting a 2-1-1 record, 2.45 GAA and .919 save percentage in six contests this season, so if you’re looking for a situational pickup in goal, then Prosvetov is a good option.

New Jersey Devils – WED VS BOS, SAT @ CBJ, SUN VS ANA (BTB)

The Devils are a borderline selection because they have just three games this week and their first contest is a home game versus the mighty Bruins on Wednesday. However, New Jersey will then face two of the worst teams in the league with matches in Columbus on Saturday and against the Ducks on Sunday.

If you look at the league leader in terms of points per game, it isn’t Nikita Kucherov, Artemi Panarin or Connor McDavid. That honor instead belongs to Jack Hughes, who has 10 goals and 33 points in just 19 contests. Hughes missed five straight games from Nov. 5-16 due to a shoulder injury but has bounced right back. In particular, he scored four goals and 10 points over a four-game stretch from Nov. 28-Dec. 5. Provided he stays healthy the rest of the way, Hughes is a good bet to surpass his career high of 99 points.

Hughes is far from New Jersey’s sole offensive threat with the team averaging 3.63 goals per game -- fourth in the NHL. However, that’s been counterbalanced by the Devils allowing 3.67 goals per contest, which is the second worst in the league. Their expected goals against per 60 is 3.27, which suggests that part of the problem is New Jersey’s defense, but its goaltending has been lacking too.

Vitek Vanecek is having a disastrous campaign with a 3.60 GAA and an .877 save percentage in 16 contests. The fact that he has a 9-5-0 record despite that is a testament to the Devils’ amazing offense, but for a team with playoff aspirations, Vanecek isn’t looking like an acceptable option. Lately, that’s led to New Jersey pivoting more toward Akira Schmid.

Schmid struggled initially with a 3.46 GAA and an .885 save percentage through his first six appearances in 2023-24, but since then he’s rebounded with a 3-2-0 record, 2.53 GAA and .920 save percentage in five outings. With the 23-year-old outplaying Vanecek, Schmid has a real opportunity to steal the No. 1 gig, which could lead to him accumulating a lot of wins given the offensive support New Jersey can provide.

New York Islanders – MON VS TOR, FRI VS ANA, SAT @BOS (BTB)

The Islanders will start the week with home games versus the Maple Leafs, Ducks and Bruins on Monday, Wednesday and Friday, respectively, before visiting Montreal on Saturday. Toronto and Boston are tough adversaries, but Anaheim and Montreal rank near the bottom of the league, and it helps that the Islanders will be playing mostly at home next week.

Mathew Barzal and Bo Horvat have been playing some of the best hockey of their lives recently. Barzal has four goals and 11 points over his last four games, propelling him to nine goals and 27 points in 24 outings this year. Meanwhile, Horvat is on a five-game scoring streak in which he’s scored four goals and nine points, bringing him up to nine markers and 23 points through 24 appearances in 2023-24.

The Islanders have been getting offensive help from less common sources too. Julien Gauthier has two goals and five points in five contests this year. You can consider taking him in the short term, but keep in mind that he’s a depth forward, so once his hot streak ends, he won’t have value in anything but the absolute deepest of leagues.

Similarly, Simon Holmstrom is averaging just 13:38 of ice time this year, so he hasn’t been getting a big enough role to warrant holding him in standard fantasy leagues. However, Holmstrom is an interesting short-term option after scoring two goals and four points over his last four contests.

Toronto Maple Leafs – MON @ NYI, TUE @ NYR (BTB), THU VS CBJ, SAT VS PIT

The Maple Leafs’ schedule isn’t necessarily easy, but it is full with four games ahead of them. They’ll start the week with games in New York versus the Islanders on Monday and the Rangers on Tuesday. Afterwards, the Leafs will return home to host the Blue Jackets on Thursday and Penguins on Saturday.

Goaltender Joseph Woll sustained a leg injury during Thursday’s 4-3 victory over Ottawa and is expected to miss time. He had been serving as the Leafs’ top goaltender, but the injury will at least temporarily force Toronto to pivot back to Ilya Samsonov, who has missed the last two games due to an illness but will presumably be fine by next week. Samsonov has a 3.58 GAA and an .878 save percentage in 10 contests, so he’s been far from ideal, but he shouldn’t be dismissed after recording a 2.33 GAA and a .919 save percentage in 42 outings last season.

Martin Jones might also get a start next week depending on how long Woll is out for. Don’t expect too much out of Jones, though. He had a 3.09 GAA and an .895 save percentage in 220 NHL games from 2018-19 through 2022-23 and more recently has posted a 3.37 GAA and an .870 save percentage in five outings with AHL Toronto. Simply put, he’s not a good option. You might want to keep Dennis Hildeby in the back of your mind, though. The 22-year-old excelled in the Swedish Hockey League and has looked dominant in the AHL this campaign with a 1.89 GAA and a .925 save percentage in nine contests.

Putting the Maple Leafs’ goaltending aside, the team has been led by the usual suspects recently, which is to say that Mitch Marner, Auston Matthews and William Nylander have combined for seven goals and 12 points over Toronto’s last three games. Meanwhile, Max Domi has provided a goal and an assist over his last two contests. He’s been inconsistent offensively, which is unlikely to change so long as he’s averaging just 12:54 of ice time, but he’s an interesting short-term pickup while he’s hot, especially if you’re in a position to benefit from the penalty minutes he can provide.

Vancouver Canucks – TUE VS TBL, THU VS FLA, SAT @ MIN, SUN @ CHI (BTB)

The Canucks will kick off the week by hosting the Lightning on Tuesday and the Panthers on Thursday. They’ll then travel to Minnesota for a contest Saturday and face the Blackhawks in Chicago on Sunday. Those later two games are of particular interest given that they’re against teams not in playoff spots.

Sam Lafferty has bounced around the lineup this campaign, but lately, he’s been playing alongside Elias Pettersson and Ilya Mikheyev. That’s a golden opportunity for the 28-year-old, who has seven goals and 13 points in 27 contests this year. He’s also doing well at the moment with two goals and three points over his last three games. Be careful not to get too excited about Lafferty, whose career high in points is just 27, but his fantasy value will increase meaningfully if his current top-six role proves to be more than just a temporary assignment.

One Canucks player who has trended in the other direction recently is Andrei Kuzmenko. After scoring 39 goals and 74 points in 81 contests last year, the 27-year-old has been limited to four goals and 15 points over 24 outings in 2023-24, including just one point (a goal) over his last eight appearances. Things got so bad that he was even a healthy scratch for two straight games from Nov. 24-25 and he logged just 12:15 of ice time Thursday, his second-lowest total of the season.

While I don’t expect Kuzmenko to repeat his 2022-23 heights, he certainly can do better than he has lately. Given his recent play and his diminished role (which I believe to be temporary), he’s a solid buy-low candidate.

Vegas Golden Knights – TUE VS CGY, FRI VS BUF, SUN VS OTT

Vegas has just three games scheduled next week, but they’re all home contests against teams not in a playoff position. Specifically, the Golden Knights will host the Flames on Tuesday, the Sabres on Friday and the Senators on Sunday.

Jack Eichel is easily the hottest member of the Golden Knights with four goals and nine points over his last four contests, pushing him up to 12 goals and 30 points in 27 contests in 2023-24. Alex Tuch has already worked out great for Buffalo while Peyton Krebs and Noah Ostlund still might be good for the Sabres in the long run, so it’d be overly simplistic to call Vegas the winners of the Eichel trade, but the Golden Knights nevertheless must be thrilled with how that move has worked out.

Ben Hutton has been a bit of a disappointment, though, at least from a fantasy perspective. With Shea Theodore (upper body) unavailable, Hutton has averaged 2:17 of power-play ice time over the last seven contests, up from an average of just 0:25 over his first 14 outings. However, Hutton has just a goal and an assist over his last seven games and neither of those points came with the man advantage. Hutton’s never been much of an offensive force anyway, but it is a shame that he hasn’t gotten any production out of that power-play role.

If Daniil Miromanov (undisclosed) returns before Theodore, then he might take that power-play spot from Hutton. In that scenario, Miromanov would have some fantasy value.

*(BTB) – Denotes the second of a back-to-back series

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FANTASY HOCKEY: The Week Ahead – October 23rd to 29th https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/fantasy-hockey-week-october-23rd-29th/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/fantasy-hockey-week-october-23rd-29th/#respond Mon, 23 Oct 2023 17:18:40 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=182342 Read More... from FANTASY HOCKEY: The Week Ahead – October 23rd to 29th

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NEWARK, NJ - OCTOBER 12: Detroit Red Wings right wing Alex DeBrincat (93) celebrates his goal during a game between the Detroit Red Wings and New Jersey Devils on October 12, 2023 at Prudential Center in the Newark, New Jersey.(Photo by Andrew Mordzynski/Icon Sportswire)

After adding forwards Alex DeBrincat and J.T. Compher, backup goaltender James Reimer and defenseman Shayne Gostisbehere over the summer, Detroit was positioned to take a step forward from its 35-37-10 finish in 2022-23. Few would have anticipated the Red Wings’ early dominance though.

With a 6-2 victory over Calgary on Sunday, Detroit is now 5-1-0 and its summer acquisitions have played a huge part in that. DeBrincat has eight (!) goals and 12 points in six contests, Compher has a goal and four points, Gostisbehere has two markers and six points and Reimer has a 1.00 GAA and a .963 save percentage to win his first two starts with Detroit. Of course, they haven’t been the only factors, most notably Dylan Larkin has 11 points in six contests, but it’s rare to see a team not only get so hot out of the gate, but to achieve that primarily through the strength of new additions.

Naturally, this isn’t going to last. DeBrincat isn’t going to maintain his current pace and finish with 109 goals (though besting his career high of 41 is certainly possible). Still, Detroit figures to be a serious contender for a playoff spot this year, and when you remember that the Atlantic Division also features Boston, Ottawa, Toronto, Tampa Bay, Florida and Buffalo, it becomes clear that this is going to be a very tough fight.

Edmonton has a tough fight on its hands too. The Oilers are off to a disappointing 1-3-1 record, due in part to them scoring a underwhelming 2.60 goals per game, and now Connor McDavid is expected to miss the next week or two with an upper-body injury. Others have to step up in his absence with one forward in particular to keep an eye on being Warren Foegele. He’s typically not a major offensive force and has averaged just 11:44 of ice time this season, but with McDavid out, Foegele might be elevated to a top-six spot. Mattias Janmark, who has averaged 12:05 through five contests, might also see his playing time noticeably increase during McDavid’s absence.

Boston Bruins

DAY DATE AWAY HOME
Tue 10/24/2023 BOS CHI
Thu 10/26/2023 ANA BOS
Sat 10/28/2023 DET BOS

Watching Patrice Bergeron and David Krejci retire over the summer hasn’t stopped the Bruins from going 5-0-0 to open the season, though that’s thanks to goaltenders Jeremy Swayman and Linus Ullmark allowing just seven goals thus far rather than any forward stepping up to fill the void left by Boston’s former centers.

Regardless, Boston has a chance to keep that winning streak when they play in Chicago on Tuesday. The Bruins will face another rebuilding squad Thursday when they host Anaheim, though Saturday will feature a tougher home contest versus Detroit. The Red Wings with their red hot offense might prove to be the first major test for the Bruins’ goaltending.

As it is, the Bruins have already beaten each of Chicago and Anaheim once this season, so they’ll look for more of the same in those contests. Boston has been using its starters evenly so far, so if it continues its present rotation, Ullmark will likely play against Chicago and Swayman will get Anaheim. Both should be good options in daily leagues.

Boston’s offense has been a lot less impressive and what production there has been is primarily thanks to David Pastrnak and Brad Marchand, who have combined for nine goals and 15 points. Rookie Matthew Poitras did have his first big night Sunday though, providing two goals. He’s playing on the second line and getting some power-play ice time, so if you’re looking for a lower profile player to go after in Boston, he’s not a bad option.

Carolina Hurricanes

DAY DATE AWAY HOME
Tue 10/24/2023 CAR TBL
Thu 10/26/2023 SEA CAR
Fri 10/27/2023 SJS CAR

Last year, facing the Lightning followed by the Kraken would have been a rough combo, but so far in 2023-24, those are two winnable games, especially for a team like Carolina. When the Hurricanes play in Tampa Bay on Tuesday, they’ll be up against a lackluster 2-2-2 team due in no small part to goaltender Jonas Johansson posting a 3.58 GAA and a .902 save percentage through five contests. Andrei Vasilevskiy (back) is still unavailable, though, so the Lightning are likely to once again put him in net.

Seattle, which will play in Carolina on Thursday, has fared even worse, getting off to a 1-4-1 start. The Kraken were one of the league’s top teams offensively last season, but they’ve averaged just 1.83 goals per game this year. The Hurricanes will round out the week with a home game against the rebuilding Sharks on Friday.

Seth Jarvis and Jesperi Kotkaniemi have been fantastic over Carolina’s first six contests, each providing seven points. They’re two young forwards who entered the campaign with plenty of untapped offensive upside, so this might just be the start of their respective breakout seasons.

Stefan Noesen is far less likely to put up big numbers this season, but after scoring a goal and six points over the last three contests, he’s worthy of a short-term pickup to take advantage of his hot streak mixed with the Hurricanes’ favorable schedule.

Columbus Blue Jackets

DAY DATE AWAY HOME
Tue 10/24/2023 ANA CBJ
Thu 10/26/2023 CBJ MTL
Sat 10/28/2023 NYI CBJ

The Blue Jackets aren’t expected to do particularly well this season, but they are hot at the moment, winning three of their last four games. To make matters better, they have two very winnable contests ahead of them, first hosting Anaheim on Tuesday then facing Montreal on Thursday. Columbus will conclude the week with a home game versus the Islanders, which are projected to be a good, but not great, squad.

One of the keys to Columbus’ recent success has been Justin Danforth, who has three goals and four points in his last four contests. The 30-year-old is a bottom-six forward, so don’t expect him to finish the campaign with significant offensive numbers, but with him hot and the Blue Jackets’ first two opponents this week featuring questionable defenses, Danforth is worthy of consideration as a short-term grab.

With Patrik Laine (upper body) potentially out for one or more games this week, which might result in Columbus leaning more on Kirill Marchenko. In the Blue Jackets’ first contest without Laine on Saturday, Marchenko logged 19:04 of ice time, including 3:27 on the power play -- up from an average of 16:02 over his first four outings this season. Marchenko had 21 goals and 25 points in 59 contests as a rookie last season and three assists in five appearances in 2023-24, but he has the potential to do better and is in a position to succeed.

Detroit Red Wings

DAY DATE AWAY HOME
Tue 10/24/2023 SEA DET
Thu 10/26/2023 WPG DET
Sat 10/28/2023 DET BOS

As noted above, the Red Wings are off to a fantastic start and they’ll look to keep that going with games at home versus Seattle and Winnipeg on Tuesday and Thursday, respectively, before facing a big test in Saturday’s road contest versus Boston.

Detroit’s incredible offensive output to begin the campaign has allowed some strong performances to fly under the radar. In particular, Joe Veleno has three goals over his last two contests, which might be one of the biggest stories if he was playing on a different team. Veleno is a former first-round pick (30th overall in 2018), so he does have upside, but his position on the Red Wings’ third line and lack of a power-play role makes it hard to recommend him as anything more than a short-term pickup.

Speaking of which, I think grabbing Daniel Sprong would be an interesting choice ahead of the Seattle game. Sprong spent the previous two campaigns with the Kraken and like Detroit’s other summer additions, he’s off to a strong start this season with two goals and four points in six contests. I think there’s a solid chance he’ll be a factor against his former team.

Montreal Canadiens

DAY DATE AWAY HOME
Mon 10/23/2023 MTL BUF
Tue 10/24/2023 NJD MTL
Thu 10/26/2023 CBJ MTL
Sat 10/28/2023 WPG MTL

The Canadiens have a full schedule this week with a road game in Buffalo on Monday before heading home to host New Jersey on Tuesday, Columbus on Thursday and Winnipeg on Saturday. That’s solid competition throughout, but I’m still going to highlight the Canadiens by virtue of them getting a four-game set, including three at home, this week.

Sean Monahan has gotten off to a strong start with two goals and four points in four contests. The 2022-23 campaign might have been known as his comeback season had he stayed healthy, but that could happen this season instead. Although his tenure with Calgary ended poorly, he might finish 2023-24 with 50-60 points.

One Canadiens player who unfortunately will not have a good season is Kirby Dach. His campaign ended when he suffered torn right ACL and MCL on Oct. 14. His absence might lead to Michael Pezzetta playing regularly this season after spending the first two contests as a healthy scratch. Pezzetta won’t provide much offensively, but he should be a good source of PIM and hits.

If you’re looking for points, Tanner Pearson is a better bet. The middle-six winger isn’t worth more than a short-term pickup, but he is going into the week on a three-game scoring streak, contributing two goals and an assist over that span.

New Jersey Devils

DAY DATE AWAY HOME
Tue 10/24/2023 NJD MTL
Wed 10/25/2023 WSH NJD
Fri 10/27/2023 BUF NJD
Sun 10/29/2023 MIN NJD
Fri 11/10/2023 WSH NJD

In addition to their road game against Montreal on Tuesday, the Devils will have a home stretch versus Washington, Buffalo and Minnesota on Wednesday, Friday and Sunday, respectively. The Capitals and Sabres have plenty of major offensive weapons, but Buffalo has averaged just 2.40 goals per game while Washington has somehow managed 1.25.

That’s good news for Vitek Vanecek and Akira Schmid. The Devils goaltending duo has struggled out of the gate, posting a combined 3.45 GAA and .892 save percentage while splitting the workload evenly, but they’re capable of better and perhaps those matchups will serve as an opportunity for them to turn things around.

On offense, things have been going far better for the Devils with Jack Hughes being especially effective, scoring four goals and 10 points in just four contests. Injuries are becoming an issue though with Erik Haula (upper body), Nico Hischier (upper body) and Tomas Nosek (lower body) all day-to-day. We’ve already seen Michael McLeod jump from averaging 10:17 over New Jersey’s first two games to 15:00 in the last two, and he might get top-six minutes until one or more of those forwards return.

Vegas Golden Knights

DAY DATE AWAY HOME
Tue 10/24/2023 PHI VGK
Fri 10/27/2023 CHI VGK
Sat 10/28/2023 VGK LAK

Winning the Stanley Cup didn’t satiate the Golden Knights or leave them tired. They’ve opened the season with a 6-0-0 record and have a solid chance of continuing that streak at home Tuesday versus Philadelphia. Vegas is also set to host Chicago on Friday and play in Los Angeles on Saturday.

The Golden Knights’ early success has been due to their deep offense. Nicolas Roy, Jack Eichel and Jonathan Marchessault have each provided three goals while Chandler Stephenson and William Karlsson have each found the back of the net twice. Defenseman Shea Theodore is also off to a great start, contributing a goal and six points.

Even their replacements have come through. With defenseman Alex Pietrangelo (upper body) unavailable, rookie Kaedan Korczak has entered the lineup and provided a goal and three points over three contests. The 22-year-old isn’t expected to be a significant offensive producer this season, but with him being hot, he’s a short-term selection option, provided Pietrangelo isn’t ready to return Tuesday.

Paul Cotter is also red hot, scoring a goal and four points over the last four contests. He’s another player who is presently producing above his ability, but Cotter got ample power-play time Saturday, which led to him contributing two points with the man advantage, so he’s an interesting option right now.

Washington Capitals

DAY DATE AWAY HOME
Tue 10/24/2023 TOR WSH
Wed 10/25/2023 WSH NJD
Fri 10/27/2023 MIN WSH
Sun 10/29/2023 SJS WSH

The Capitals don’t have an easy schedule, but they are at least set to play four games. They’ll host Toronto on Tuesday, play on the road versus the Devils on Wednesday, then return to Washington to host the Wild and Sharks on Friday and Sunday, respectively.

The big question is if Washington can get its offense going after scoring just five goals over its first four contests. Alex Ovechkin, Evgeny Kuznetsov and Tom Wilson still don’t have a goal yet.

At the very least, you have to figure Ovechkin is going to breakthrough sooner rather than later, but what’s concerning is that not only has he failed to score, but he also hasn’t shot the puck much. Ovechkin is known for firing a crazy amount of shots -- an average of 4.71 per game over his career and over 4.00 in each of his last six years. The one time he dipped below that was 2016-17 when he averaged 3.82 shots per game and was limited to 33 goals in 82 contests -- the worst output he’s ever had in terms of goals per game. So the fact that he’s averaged just 2.25 shots in 2023-24 is a potential red flag. That said, it’s early, and those who doubted Ovechkin in the past have consistently been proven wrong.

Washington’s lone pleasant surprise thus far has been Matthew Phillips. The 25-year-old rookie has a goal and three points in four contests this year. He was dominant in the AHL over the previous two campaigns, contributing a combined 67 goals and 144 points in 131 appearances, so perhaps Phillips will find a way to continue to be a factor this season.

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MCKEEN’S 2023-24 NHL YEARBOOK – NEW JERSEY DEVILS – Top 20 Prospect Profiles – Organizational Rank #5 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/mckeens-2023-24-nhl-yearbook-jersey-devils-top-20-prospect-profiles-organizational-rank-5/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/mckeens-2023-24-nhl-yearbook-jersey-devils-top-20-prospect-profiles-organizational-rank-5/#respond Fri, 06 Oct 2023 12:15:37 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=182103 Read More... from MCKEEN’S 2023-24 NHL YEARBOOK – NEW JERSEY DEVILS – Top 20 Prospect Profiles – Organizational Rank #5

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WASHINGTON, DC - APRIL 13: Devils defenseman Luke Hughes (43) stickhandles into the offensive zone during the New Jersey Devils versus Washington Capitals National Hockey League game on April 13, 2023 at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C.. (Photo by Randy Litzinger/Icon Sportswire)

Top 20 New Jersey Devils Prospects

1. Luke Hughes

Selected fourth overall in the 2021 Draft, it was just a matter of time before Hughes made the jump to the NHL to join his brother Jack with the Devils. There may very well be a point where, looking back at this draft, Luke Hughes emerges as the top player from his class. Drafted as the clear No. 1 defender from the USNTDP, he made the jump to the NCAA’s University of Michigan in 2021-22, where he had a very strong year as one of the most productive defenders in the league. He was honoured as a Hobey Baker finalist, the Big Ten Rookie of the Year, and named to numerous All-Star Teams. Last year, he had an even better season, including captaining Team USA to a Bronze Medal at the WJC. He’s a poster child for the modern-era defenseman, with a transition game that will translate effortlessly to the NHL, albeit with greater size than many who share the other traits of his game, such as older brother Quinn, of the Vancouver Canucks. He’ll be a top two defender for the Devils and looks to stick in the NHL this season.

2. Simon Nemec

Yet another potential game-breaking defender in the Devils’ system, Nemec was selected second overall in the 2022 NHL Draft after an incredible 2021-22 season. His draft year included being named MVP of the Hlinka Gretzky, an Olympic Bronze medal, and a World Championship appearance, on top of a dominant regular season and playoff run with HK Nitra in his homeland of Slovakia. His introduction to North America started off slow but he found his game as the season progressed and seemed to be back to his exceptional ways by the end of the year. He’s a very mature, calm player that can surprise you with his speed and creativity. He drives the play, quarterbacking his team from the back end. He’s a very strong puck mover, capable of using both his feet or his hands to make plays. He’s also solid in his own end, showing off impressive defensive awareness. He has top two potential and could very well become one of the best offensive defenders in the league.

3. Alexander Holtz

With many top players from the 2020 Draft already impacting at the NHL level, patience has seemed to grow thin for seventh-overall pick Holtz. Selected from Djurgardens in the SHL, he spent just one more season in the league before coming overseas. He joined the AHL’s Utica Comets full-time in 2021-22, playing at nearly a point-per-game pace throughout the season. He was close to that level again last season and has seen time in the NHL in both seasons as well. Holtz is very likely to make the shift to full-time NHLer this season, thanks to his hard, accurate shot, his impressive movement of the puck, and his improving ability to get to the high-danger areas, which has been a work in progress throughout his development. He has the potential to be a top line sniper and could be one of the best goal-scorers in the league during his prime.

4. Arseny Gritsyuk

Drafted way down at 129th overall in 2019, Gritsyuk has continued to outplay that selection. When the Devils drafted him, he had just finished his rookie season in the MHL and had helped Team Russia to a bronze medal at the Hlinka Gretzky Cup as well as a silver medal at the Under-18s. He has remained in Russia through his four post-draft seasons as well, working his way up to the KHL where he has become a full-time player the past two seasons, which included winning the KHL Rookie of the Year award in 2021-22. The forward boasts a hard, deceptive shot but can dish it out as well, doing well to drive the puck to the middle via passing or carrying it in himself. He’s very light on his feet and is fearless in his pursuit. He should be an excellent secondary-scoring winger in the NHL. He’s signed with Avangard Omsk through the 2024-25 season, so additional patience will be required.

5. Seamus Casey

Casey has the potential to be the steal of the 2022 Draft. His draft year was a little up and down with the USNTDP, resulting in him being selected 46th overall despite early thoughts of him as a first rounder. Now with NCAA University of Michigan, he’s back to the style of play that earned him first-round consideration. He’s an excellent quarterback, using great vision to scan the ice and lead his team’s attack. He has a very fluid approach that makes it seem like the game comes easily to him. His four-way mobility stands out in the offensive end, where he can surprise teams with his agility and creativity. There have been some concerns regarding his processing and decision-making, but he took great strides in these areas last season. He’s well on his way to outplaying his draft slot and becoming a top four NHL defender.

6. Josh Filmon

It’s not often that a player drafted in the sixth round is signed and makes the jump to the next level the following season, but that’s exactly what Filmon has done. Selected 166th overall in the 2022 Draft from the WHL’s Swift Current Broncos, he returned to the Broncos as an alternate captain, putting up 75 points and 47 goals in just 64 games. The Devils’ brass saw all they needed to, signing him to his entry-level deal and bringing him up to the AHL to end the season. The winger seems to do all the little things right, playing a really smart, consistent game. His skating is an area that needs to improve if he is to succeed in the AHL and NHL. Still, he’s long seemed like his game would translate easily to the next level. He could carve out a bottom six role for himself, but it’s more likely that he’s a depth option.

7. Nolan Foote

A prospect acquired by the Devils via trade, Foote was drafted by the Tampa Bay Lightning in 2019, 27th overall. He went back to the WHL Kelowna Rockets in 2019-20 as the team captain, and the Devils landed him later that season in a deadline swap and didn’t waste any time. They had him playing in the AHL in 2020-21 and he has spent the past three seasons there, with brief appearances in the NHL each season. He’s taken notable steps forward each year, improving his speed, his awareness, and his hands. He hasn’t taken over the AHL as was hoped, but he’s looking better and better each year and his production reflects that. While he no longer looks like a top six option, he still has middle-six potential and should be a reliable secondary scoring option. Now it’s just a matter of when.

8. Topias Vilen

The Devils have had an excellent run of quality later round picks in recent drafts, and Vilen is a poster child for that. The Devils called his name 129th overall in 2021 from the Liiga’s Pelicans. Looking at his stats, it can seem that he hasn’t taken huge strides forward in his development. However, Vilen is more of a defensive defender, and his mature style of play is enough to carry him to the AHL and potentially the NHL. He plays big minutes, his angling out on the rush and his active stick are very impressive, and when he needs to, he can kick off transition with a solid first pass. Last season he began showing that he can contribute on the scoreboard too, a nice addition to the package he brings. His ceiling isn’t overly high, but he could come in as a bottom-pairing, shut-down d-man that is used heavily on the penalty kill.

9. Akira Schmid

One of the most improved players in New Jersey’s system last season. Actually, Schmid may have been one of the most improved prospects in all of hockey. From platoon netminder in the AHL to starting NHL playoff games, his progression has been rapid and impressive. Is this sustainable? We’ve seen other young netminders rise through the Devils’ system quickly in recent years, such as Mackenzie Blackwood and Nico Daws, only to see them quickly crash back down. Somehow, Schmid feels different. The big netminder is an incredible athlete and his play tracking ability has improved so much since his USHL days. He flat out stole some games for the Devils down the stretch last year and he enters this season in direct competition with Vitek Vanecek for the starting job. While he is no longer eligible for the Calder trophy, he has definitely emerged as one of the top young goalies in the NHL and should be set to have a good season with an upstart Devils team.

10. Graeme Clarke

New Jersey’s patience with Clarke has paid off as he rewarded them with a tremendous third pro year at AHL Utica, leading the team in scoring by a significant margin. No one has ever doubted Clarke’s skill level, and the skating continues to improve making him a better pro. The road to success for Clarke has been long and winding. The former Ottawa 67 and older brother to top Los Angeles Kings’ prospect Brandt Clarke, Graeme has significant adversity. He had to spend some time in Slovakia during the OHL Covid shutdown. He has also battled shoulder injuries. But this has all led to him finally having a breakout year at the pro level and he is now positioned as a top call up option heading into 2023-24. Clarke’s skill level with the puck is among the best in the New Jersey organization and as his strength has improved, he’s been able to create chances more consistently at the pro level. Clarke’s shot is also a weapon, especially on the powerplay. Not all paths to the NHL are created equal and Clarke is very much still a candidate to become a top six forward in the future.11. Lenni Hameenaho
A recent second round selection, Hameenaho has a chance to be a solid pro because of his combination of high IQ and work ethic away from the puck. How high his offensive upside is remains a question mark, but he should at least become a quality role player.

12. Tyce Thompson

Thompson’s return to full season play following a shoulder injury the year prior was a bit of a disappointment. Hopefully a healthy offseason and a restart can help him regain his form this year and push him back near the top of New Jersey’s prospect pool.

13. Chase Stillman

While Stillman may never live up to the hype associated with being a first-round selection, he still provides a lot of value on the ice with his energy, physicality, and pest-like demeanour. Stillman will be turning pro this year and expectations regarding his offensive contributions should probably be tempered.

14. Nico Daws

Daws may have been passed on the depth chart by Schmid, but he’s still a solid goaltending prospect. The big man continues to work hard to improve his quickness and play tracking and he has a chance to push for a full-time back-up role in the near future.

15. Samu Salminen

It took some time for Salminen’s eligibility to be confirmed, but when he arrived at UConn, he performed well as a freshman. Salminen’s IQ is his best quality and it will be interesting to see what he can do with a full year at the college level this season.

16. Ethan Edwards

Edwards is really settling in at the college level with the University of Michigan as he is steadily climbing their depth chart. He heads into his junior year as one of the team’s prominent returning players and could be in line for a breakout season.

18. Shane Bowers

A former first round pick, it’s been a struggle for Bowers through four pro seasons. After being acquired for Reilly Walsh, maybe the Devils can finally unlock Bowers’ upside and turn him into a useful NHLer.

19. Tyler Brennan

It seems very likely that Brennan will need to begin his pro career at the ECHL level this season, and that’s totally fine. However, he never really reached the heights many expected of him during his WHL career. Tracking his development will be interesting.

20. Charlie Leddy

Leddy’s future role at the pro level will probably be strictly defensive oriented. His offensive upside from the blueline is likely limited, but he’s mobile, competitive, and can play the right side. He is returning to Boston College for his sophomore season.

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CULLEN – 20 FANTASY POINTS – Klingberg getting a big shot, players due for regression from high percentages last season, rising young players like J.J. Peterka, Seth Jarvis, Oliver Wahlstrom, and more https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/cullen-20-fantasy-points/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/cullen-20-fantasy-points/#respond Fri, 29 Sep 2023 16:24:40 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=182062 Read More... from CULLEN – 20 FANTASY POINTS – Klingberg getting a big shot, players due for regression from high percentages last season, rising young players like J.J. Peterka, Seth Jarvis, Oliver Wahlstrom, and more

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NEW YORK, NY - APRIL 10: Buffalo Sabres Left Wing JJ Peterka (77) celebrates a goal during the first period of the National Hockey League game between the Buffalo Sabres and the New York Rangers on April 10, 2023/ at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY. (Photo by Joshua Sarner/Icon Sportswire)

Each week, I dive into the numbers to help make decisions when it comes time to make fantasy hockey decisions.

This week, John Klingberg getting a big shot, players due for regression from high percentages last season, plus rising young players like J.J. Peterka, Seth Jarvis, Oliver Wahlstrom, and more.

#1 Early returns from Maple Leafs training camp have John Klingberg working the point on Toronto’s top power play unit. This is not a huge surprise, as Klingberg has recorded 146 power play points since 2015-2016, which ranks 11th among defensemen in that time. If Klingberg stays in that spot, Morgan Rielly is the one to lose out and he has scored 48 of his 109 points in the past two seasons on the power play.

#2 Acquired from the Los Angeles Kings as part of the return in the Pierre-Luc Dubois trade, Gabe Vilardi is getting a look on Winnipeg’s top line with Kyle Connor and Mark Scheifele. Vilardi ranked 20th in the league last season with 1.33 goals per 60 minutes of five-on-five play, and if he is going to get reps with Winnipeg’s top playmakers, he could be primed for a big season.

#3 There may not be a player getting targeted for shooting percentage regression like Vancouver’s Andrei Kuzmenko who scored 39 goals in his first NHL season, finishing on a league-high 27.3% of his shots. From 2000-2001 through 2021-2022, there were 50 seasons in which a player scored at least 20 goals and had a shooting percentage of at least 20%. What happened the following season? Just two of those players had a higher shooting percentage the following season. The average decline in shooting percentage was 6.5 percent. If Kuzmenko’s season is the same as his rookie campaign, but he has a shooting percentage that is 6.5 percent lower, he would drop from 39 to 30 goals.

#4 In addition to Kuzmenko, Brayden Point, Pavel Buchnevich, Leon Draisaitl, Mark Scheifele, and Roope Hintz all scored at least 20 goals while scoring on more than 20 percent of their shots in 2022-2023. While they are likely to experience regression in 2023-2024, Draisaitl might be the least likely to experience a drop off – he has scored on 20.2 percent of his shots over the past five seasons.

#5 While we’re raining on parades before the season even begins, there are players that are likely to see some regression in scoring because last season’s numbers were inflated by a high on-ice shooting percentage. Kuzmenko was at 13.1 percent, slightly lower than Dallas Stars captain Jamie Benn, who was also at 13.1 percent. Seattle’s Jared McCann (12.7 percent) and Vince Dunn (12.4 percent), St. Louis’ Pavel Buchnevich (12.4 percent), and Boston’s Pavel Zacha (12.2 percent) were among the full-time players with the highest on-ice shooting percentages. Players that played partial seasons like Ilya Mikheyev (13.8 percent), Alex Belzile (13.8 percent), Rafael Harvey-Pinard (13.6 percent), and Luke Evangelista (12.5 percent) also had inflated percentages in their smaller samples.

#6 On a more optimistic slant, there are also going to be players that are due for an uptick in the percentages, players with low on-ice shooting percentages last season. That group includes Montreal’s Juraj Slafkovsky (5.5 percent), Los Angeles’ Trevor Moore (5.7 percent) and Phillip Danault (6.4 percent), Washington’s Nicklas Backstrom (6.2 percent), Florida’s Sam Reinhart (6.6 percent), and Ottawa’s Drake Batherson (6.6 percent).

#7 Goaltenders are unpredictable, and this should not be overlooked or forgotten when it comes time to make fantasy picks. Sure, it would be great to secure the most reliable netminders in the league for your team, but it’s so hard to know who that will be from one season to the next. Two seasons ago, when Igor Shesterkin won the Vezina Trophy, Jacob Markstrom was the runner up and Frederik Andersen finished fourth. Thatcher Demko, Ville Husso, and Tristan Jarry received votes. All of this is to say that there are not many sure things between the pipes.

#8 Having noted that, these goaltenders have been the most reliable options in net over the past three seasons, based on Goals Saved Above Expected per 60 Minutes (minimum 2000 minutes): Ilya Sorokin (0.49), Igor Shesterkin (0.47), Juuse Saros (0.33), Linus Ullmark (0.30), and Connor Hellebuyck (0.29). Four of them have roles as clearcut No. 1 starters on their teams while Ullmark, the reigning Vezina Trophy winner, has more of a challenge for playing time from his backup, Jeremy Swayman.

#9 Obviously Connor Bedard is the headliner of the rookie class, and he is the one that is most reliably ready to contribute in standard fantasy leagues. The others are more suited for deep or dynasty leagues. Logan Cooley and Adam Fantilli look like they will have good opportunities to play prominent roles with Arizona and Columbus, respectively, but it is asking a lot for a player to jump from the NCAA after one season and immediately become a productive scorer in the NHL. Beyond them, Nashville’s Luke Evangelista is still Calder eligible after tallying 15 points (7 G, 8 A) in 24 games last season. Ottawa’s Ridly Greig picked up nine points (2 G, 7 A) in 20 games last season.  There are defensemen who could have an immediate impact, though they may not score enough for standard fantasy leagues. New Jersey’s Luke Hughes did not look out of place in his late season and playoff audition with the Devils last season and could get second unit power play time this season. Hughes’ teammate, Simon Nemec was the second pick in the 2022 Draft and is probably NHL ready, too, if the Devils can find room for him. Los Angeles Kings defenseman Brandt Clarke got a taste of NHL action last season but should play a more significant role this time around. As intriguing as any of these rookies might be, odds are that they will not have an immediate fantasy impact.

#10 Over the past three seasons, the players that consistently generate scoring chances during five-on-five play are those with the highest ixG/60 (minimum 2000 minutes): Auston Matthews (1.27), Timo Meier (1.12), Brady Tkachuk (1.09), Anders Lee (1.08), Zach Hyman (1.07), Jeff Skinner (1.06), Michael Bunting (1.05), John Tavares (1.04), Patrice Bergeron (1.02), and then three tied at 1.00 – Matthew Tkachuk, Tage Thompson, and Sam Bennett. Not huge surprises there, but Bunting and Bennett are a couple of gritty forwards hanging in nice company.

#11 With Jack Quinn injured, there may be a little more opportunity for Buffalo Sabres sophomore winger J.J. Peterka, who finished last season with 11 points (4 G, 7 A) in his last 18 games. He then went to the World Championships, where he put up 12 points (6 G, 6 A) in 10 games for Germany, earning the award as the tournament’s top forward. There is a chance for Peterka to skate with Dylan Cozens and Casey Mittelstadt on Buffalo’s second line and that is a young skilled trio, a line that could help to elevate Peterka’s production as he begins his career ascent.

#12 While his 2022-2023 season might have been somewhat disappointing, scoring one less point in much more ice time than he had as a rookie the year before, Carolina Hurricanes right winger Seth Jarvis also saw his on-ice shooting percentage dip from 10.1 percent to 7.1 percent, so there is good reason to expect that number to bounce back in his favor. If he skates with Sebastian Aho and Michael Bunting on Carolina’s top line, there is a good chance for Jarvis’ percentages to bounce back and his scoring output can take off.

#13 As the Chicago Blackhawks attempt to provide sufficient support for Connor Bedard on their top line, it looks like Taylor Hall will be on one wing and, after Chicago returned Lukas Reichel to center, veteran Tyler Johnson could get his shot on the Blackhawks’ top line. Johnson had 32 points (12 G, 20 A) in 56 games last season when his most common linemates were Taylor Raddysh and Jason Dickinson, so there is certainly room to upgrade the quality of scoring options skating with Johnson.

#14 He was just coming into form last season, scoring 12 points in his last 17 games, when 6-foot-6 Detroit Red Wings forward Michael Rasmussen suffered a season-ending knee injury. He delivered 119 hits to go with a career-high 29 points (10 G, 19 A) in 56 games last season and while his offensive upside is going to put a limit on his fantasy appeal, 24-year-old Rasmussen is now contributing enough that he does warrant consideration in deep leagues. Keep an eye on where he is playing in Detroit, because he can move around that lineup, either in checking roles or in a supporting offensive role and obviously the latter would be more appealing for fantasy managers.

#15 With Brandon Montour and Aaron Ekblad recovering from surgeries, it appears that Oliver Ekman-Larsson is going to get a chance to quarterback the Florida Panthers power play. The 32-year-old blueliner has seen his play decline in recent seasons, but he has run many power plays in his career. From 2013-2014 through 2018-2019, while playing for the Coyotes, he tallied 122 of his 267 points on the power play. Ekman-Larsson’s declining performance should help lower his draft day value and he almost certainly will get replaced by Montour when he is healthy, but as a short-term option, Ekman-Larsson just might have a shot at a rebound season.

#16 Injuries have hampered Montreal Canadiens forward Sean Monahan in the past three seasons, but he performed well before getting shut down last season, putting up 17 points (6 G, 11 A) in 25 games for the Habs. On a team with few established scoring threats, Monahan could have a chance to skate on the wing with Cole Caufield and Nick Suzuki on Montreal’s top line and while the injuries are a concern, the opportunity that could be out there for Monahan would make him worth a late-round flier.

#17 A knee injury sidelined Islanders winger Oliver Wahlstrom for more than half of last season but he is an intriguing option entering this season because the 23-year-old could get a legitimate shot to play in a scoring role. Although he has 61 points (32 G, 29 A) in 161 career games, Wahlstrom has been playing just 12 minutes per game, so there is untapped offensive upside. Over the past three seasons, among players to skate in at least 1000 five-on-five minutes, Wahlstrom leads the Islanders in shots per 60 minutes (8.95) and ranks fourth in both goals (0.83) and expected goals (0.83).

#18 While scoring is a driving feature for fantasy performance, there are peripheral stats that can make a difference, too. Depending on the league, hit totals can add serious value for a player and one place to find them will be on Tampa Bay’s third line, where Tanner Jeannot and Michael Eyssimont bring a physical presence to the wings. Eyssimont bounced around to three NHL teams last season, but he had 34 hits in 15 games with Tampa Bay, while playing just 11:25 per game. Goals were hard for Jeannot to come by last season, as he scored just six times on 107 shots, but he has 608 hits in the past two seasons, most among all forwards.

#19 After trading reigning Norris Trophy winner Erik Karlsson in the offseason, the San Jose Sharks may be entering the season with one of the worst defense groups ever. As a result, journeyman blueliner Jacob MacDonald could very well find his way to power play time in San Jose. MacDonald is a 30-year-old who played a career-high 58 games last season and has skated in a total of 101 career games, producing just one power play point in the NHL. However, in his past four American Hockey League seasons he has produced 60 goals and 165 points in 236 games, with 30 of those goals coming via the power play, so maybe gets a shot with the Sharks. Another consideration for the Sharks might be rookie Henry Thrun, a 22-year-old who played eight games for the Sharks last season and had produced 63 points (14 G, 49 A) in 68 games during his sophomore and junior seasons at Harvard.

#20 It is unusual for a rookie goaltender to make a major impact, but that possibility exists for Devon Levi of the Buffalo Sabres, who figures to be the No. 1 netminder right out of the gate. Other rookie goalies like Pyotr Kochetkov in Carolina, Dustin Wolf in Calgary, and Joel Hofer in St. Louis could all find their way to significant roles this season. New Jersey’s Akira Schmid is not Calder eligible, but it another up-and-coming goaltender with a shot of playing a big role in 2023-2024.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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MCKEEN’S 2023 NHL PROSPECT REPORT – #1 New Jersey Devils https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/mckeens-2023-nhl-prospect-report-1-jersey-devils/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/mckeens-2023-nhl-prospect-report-1-jersey-devils/#respond Sat, 27 May 2023 13:40:01 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=181074 Read More... from MCKEEN’S 2023 NHL PROSPECT REPORT – #1 New Jersey Devils

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Prospect System Ranking – 1st (3rd last year)

What a difference a year makes, after finishing 28th in the league with 63 points in 2021-22 to finishing third in the league with 113 points and advancing to the second round of the playoffs. Tom Fitzgerald took over in January 2020 and inherited a team that included two first overall picks in Jack Hughes (21-years-old) and Nico Hischier (23). Both arrived this season in spectacular fashion giving the Devils one of the best one-two punches down the middle in the league. In his first three drafts he had six first round picks, including two top five overall. Two of those picks, Jack Hughes and Dawson Mercer, are in the line-up and thriving. Simon Nemec (2nd – 2022), Luke Hughes (#4 – 2021), and Alexander Holtz (7th – 2020) should all join the team as soon as next season. They are all ranked in the top 10 of McKeen’s top 200 NHL prospects – Hughes- 2nd, Nemec – 7th, and Holtz – 10th. While that is a large reason they rank as the top prospect pool in 2023, it is also because they are deep, with 10 total prospects in the top 200.

Following the 2021 draft Fitzgerald started adding critical pieces to this year’s success through free agency in signing Dougie Hamilton and Tomas Tatar in 2021 and trading for 26-year-old Jonas Siegenthaler and 27-year-old Ryan Graves on defense. In 2022 he signed Ondrej Palat in free agency and traded picks and prospects for 25-year-old John Marino on defense and 27-year-old Vitek Vanecek in goal. Then made a blockbuster for 26-year-old Timo Meier, a 40-goal scoring power forward entering his prime, but an RFA at season’s end. A solid core all entering their prime is completed by 25-year-old Michael McLeod and 24-year-old Jesper Bratt. Fitzgerald has built an exciting, fast transition team, that is poised to challenge for the Stanley Cup for the foreseeable future.

ELMONT, NY - OCTOBER 06: New Jersey Devils Defenseman Simon Nemec (5) during the first period of the National Hockey League game between the New Jersey Devils and New York Islanders on October 6, 2022, at UBS Arena in Elmont, NY. (Photo by Gregory Fisher/Icon Sportswire)
  1. Luke Hughes

Selected fourth overall in the 2021 NHL Draft, it’s just a matter of time before Luke Hughes makes the jump to the NHL to join his brother Jack with the Devils. There may very well be a point where, looking back at this draft, Luke Hughes emerges as the top player. Drafted as the clear No. 1 defender with the USNTDP, he made the jump to the NCAA’s University of Michigan in 2021-22, where he had a very strong year as one of the most productive defenders in the league. He was honoured as a Hobey Baker finalist, the Big Ten Rookie of the Year, and named to numerous All-Star Teams. This year, he had an even better season, including captaining Team USA to a Bronze Medal at the World Juniors. He’s a poster child for the modern-era defenseman, with a transition game that will translate effortlessly to the NHL. He’ll be a top-two defender for the Devils.

2. Simon Nemec

Yet another potential game-breaking defender in the Devils’ system, Simon Nemec was selected second overall in the 2022 NHL Draft after an incredible 2021-22 season. His draft year included being named MVP of the Hlinka Gretzky, an Olympic Bronze medal, and a World Championship appearance, on top of a dominant regular season and playoff run with HK Nitra. His introduction to North America started off slow but he’s found his game as the season has progressed and seems to be back to his exceptional ways. He’s a very mature, calm player that can surprise you with his speed and creativity. He drives the play, quarterbacking his team from the back end. He’s a very strong puck mover, using his feet or his hands to make plays. He’s also solid in his own end, showing off impressive defensive awareness too. He has top-two potential and could very well become one of the best offensive defenders in the league.

3. Alexander Holtz

With many top players from the 2020 NHL Draft already impacting at the NHL level, patience has seemed to grow thin for seventh-overall pick Alexander Holtz. Selected from Djurgardens in the SHL, he spent just one more season in the league before coming overseas. He joined the AHL’s Utica Comets full-time in 2021-22, playing at nearly a point-per-game pace throughout the season. He’s about there again this season while seeing time in the NHL in both seasons as well. Holtz is very likely to make the shift to full-time NHLer next season, thanks to his hard, accurate shot, his impressive movement of the puck, and his improving ability to get to the high-danger areas, which has been a work in progress for him thus far. He has the potential to be a top-line sniper and could be one of the best goal-scorers in the league in his prime.

4. Arseni Gritsyuk

Drafted way down at 129th overall in 2019, Arseni Gritsyuk has continued to outplay that selection. When the Devils drafted him, he had just finished his rookie season in the MHL but had helped Team Russia to a bronze medal at the Hlinka Gretzky Cup and a silver medal at the Unider-18s. He’s spent all four seasons post-draft in Russia as well, working his way up to the KHL where he’s become a full-time player the past two seasons. He also won KHL Rookie of the Year in 2021-22. The forward boasts a hard, deceptive shot but can dish it out as well, doing well to drive the puck to the middle via passing or carrying it in himself. He’s very light on his feet and is fearless in his pursuit. He should be an excellent secondary-scoring winger in the NHL. His contract with Avangard Omsk is up at the end of this season, so he may be heading to North America soon.

5. Reilly Walsh

After splitting his draft year between the USHL’s Chicago Steel and Prep school Proctor Academy, the Devils bet on Reilly Walsh and selected him 81st in the 2017 NHL Draft. He then moved on to the NCAA with Harvard University where he spent three years, playing consistent, productive hockey without shining too brightly. He signed with the Devils and jumped to the AHL in 2020-21 where he’s continued that trend of consistency. He was apparently on the trade block this past trade deadline but remains a Devil for now. He’s an offensive defender that moves very well with the puck on his stick, isn’t afraid to jump up into the rush, and has a great shot. He has quick edges and a level of deception in his game. The defender likely caps out as a bottom-line defender, but a contributing one that could see time on the power play as well.

6. Kevin Bahl

A player that will be graduating from this list very soon, Kevin Bahl was acquired by the Devils in the Taylor Hall to Arizona trade back in 2019. The 6-foot-6, 229-pounder was originally drafted back in 2018, 55th overall from the OHL’s Ottawa 67’s. After the trade, he didn’t waste any time, making the jump to the AHL in the 2020-21 season, even getting time in the NHL that season. That’s been the trend since, where he gets more and more time in the NHL every season. While his size would suggest he’s on the slower side, that’s not the case at all. He’s a very mobile defender that also brings physicality and an excellent defensive game to the ice. With his reach and strength, he’s just so hard to beat. He doesn’t have a ton of offensive upside, but he should be a solid, bottom-paring, shutdown defenseman.

7. Seamus Casey

Seamus Casey has the potential to be the steal of the 2022 NHL Draft. His draft year was a little up and down with the USNTDP, resulting in him being selected 46th overall despite early thoughts of him as a first rounder. Now with the University of Michigan in the NCAA, he’s back to the play that earned him first-round consideration. He’s an excellent quarterback, using great vision to scan the ice and lead his team’s attack. He plays a very fluid game that makes it seem like the game comes easily to him. His four-way mobility stands out in the offensive end, where he can surprise teams with his agility and creativity. There have been some concerns regarding his processing and decision-making, but he’s taken great strides in these areas this season. He’s well on his way to outplaying his 46th-overall selection and becoming a top-four defender in the NHL.

8. Josh Filmon

It’s not often that a player drafted in the sixth round is signed and makes the jump to the next level the following season, but that’s exactly what Josh Filmon has done. Selected 166th overall in the 2022 NHL Draft from the WHL’s Swift Current Broncos, Filmon returned to the Broncos as an alternate captain, putting up 75 points and 47 goals in just 64 games. The Devils’ brass saw all they needed to, signing him to his entry-level deal and bringing him up to the AHL. He’s a winger that seems to do all the little things right, playing a really smart, consistent game. His skating is an area that does need to improve if he is to succeed in the AHL and NHL. Still, he’s long seemed like a player that would translate easily to the next level. He could carve out a bottom-six role for himself, but it’s more likely that he’s a depth option.

9. Nolan Foote

Another top-10 player in the system that the Devils acquired via trade, Nolan Foote was drafted by the Tampa Bay Lightning in 2019, 27th overall. Foote went back to the WHL and the Kelowna Rockets in 2019-20 as the captain of the team, and the Devils landed him that season and didn’t waste any time. They had him up in the AHL in 2020-21 and he’s spent the last three seasons there, with brief looks in the NHL each season. He’s taken notable steps forward each season, improving his speed, his awareness, and his hands. He hasn’t taken over the AHL as has been hoped, but he’s been looking better and better and his production does show that. While he no longer looks like a top-six option, he still has middle-six potential and should be a reliable secondary scoring option. Now it’s just a matter of when.

10. Topias Vilen

The Devils have had an excellent run in recent drafts in the later rounds, and Topias Vilen might be the poster child for that. The Devils called his name 129th overall in 2021 from the Liiga’s Pelicans. Looking at his stats, it can seem that he hasn’t taken huge strides forward in his development. However, Vilen is more of a defensive defender, and his mature style of play is enough to carry him to the AHL and potentially the NHL. He plays big minutes, his angling out on the rush and his active stick are very impressive, and when he needs to, he can kick off transition with a solid first pass. He’s shown this season that he can contribute on the scoreboard too, a nice addition to the package he brings. His ceiling isn’t overly high, but like Bahl, he could come in as a bottom-pairing, shut-down d-man that is used heavily on the penalty kill.

 

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NHL PLAYOFF PREVIEW: CAROLINA HURRICANES VS NEW JERSEY DEVILS – A real test of talent vs. experience and coaching https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/nhl-playoff-preview-carolina-hurricanes-jersey-devils-real-test-talent-vs-experience-coaching/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/nhl-playoff-preview-carolina-hurricanes-jersey-devils-real-test-talent-vs-experience-coaching/#respond Tue, 02 May 2023 21:01:38 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=180977 Read More... from NHL PLAYOFF PREVIEW: CAROLINA HURRICANES VS NEW JERSEY DEVILS – A real test of talent vs. experience and coaching

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NEWARK, NJ - MARCH 12: New Jersey Devils center Jack Hughes (86) scores a goal during the National Hockey League game between the Carolina Hurricanes and the New Jersey Devils on March 12, 2023 at Prudential Center in Newark, NJ. (Photo by Andrew Mordzynski/Icon Sportswire)

The Setting

Both teams won their first round series in somewhat unconventional fashion. The Devils overcame losing their first two games on home ice to take down the Rangers, making the bold switch to rookie Akira Schmid in goal. Carolina, meanwhile, took care of the Islanders in six games despite getting outscored at five-on-five. They played a close series, keeping the games tight and leaning on their power play when they needed to. Unfortunately, they’re also down another top-six forward after Teuvo Teravainen suffered a broken wrist in Game 2, which means their forward corps is in even more of an “all hands on deck” situation now.

They also took somewhat of a bold approach in goal, rolling with Antti Raanta for the first five games before making the switch to the oft-injured Frederik Andersen in the series clincher. The gamble paid off, as Andersen shut the door for Carolina in Game 6 and gave them an opportunity to complete their comeback. It makes an interesting decision for Game 1, but the Hurricanes have never been afraid to rotate goalies and this situation will be no different. That being said, this type of setup is easier in the regular season when it’s easier to shake off one loss and move on. Making the wrong call in a playoff series is obviously a different story, especially on a team like Carolina where scoring one goal is like trying to dig up gold in the mountains.

The second round has also been a common roadblock for Brind’Amour’s Canes, reaching this point the past two seasons and losing both times despite having the home ice advantage. The road for them is a little easier this year with the Rangers out and Boston going home in stunning fashion, but it’s actually tougher because the East is truly open season now. The Devils have spent years building up this talented core and look like they are ready to take the next step. Jack Hughes had a superstar caliber season, Nico Hischier will create matchup problems against a depleted forward corps and Dougie Hamilton is out to show Carolina he is a playoff performer and one they let get away.

The Devils also showed some real resilience in the first round. There are veterans on the roster, but it’s also this group’s first time in the playoffs in a while, or in their career in the case of Jack Hughes. There were some questions on if the moment was too big for them after dropping the first two games at home in blowout fashion. They responded by winning three straight and closing out the series in a dominant Game 7. It’s one thing to win, but to shutout a team that had you on the mat not even two weeks ago shows some real growth in how this team faces adversity. Carolina had a lot of moments like this early in their playoff career and it led them all the way to the Conference Final in Brind’Amour’s first year. The Devils are looking to go on a similar run.

The Matchup

In a normal situation, the big question around the Hurricanes is can they get enough goals, and will anybody step up when the games get tight? This series might be a little different because they’re going up against one of the most potent rush offenses in the NHL. The Devils are a team that carried the puck in at will all season and were one of the few teams in the playoffs who could do this in the first round. They scored a couple of big goals against the Rangers off controlled entries, including one in overtime and are capable of creating offense from a controlled breakout sequence. Dougie Hamilton and John Marino are very good at doing this and will usually give their forwards a great pass on the tape to help them break structure.


This should create problems for Carolina, but their defense is a little more robust than what they saw against the Rangers. Jaccob Slavin and Brent Burns are more likely to get in your face and angle you off to the boards as opposed to Lindgren or Trouba who are going to shadow you into the zone and block shots. Brady Skjei and Brett Pesce play more similar to the Rangers, using the “bend but don’t break” approach and will be the pair Jersey should target if they want to put Carolina in an open hole. This was a rock-solid duo for Carolina during the regular season but playing the tough matchups for 82 games takes a toll on you around this time of year. The number of hits they’ve taken looked like it started to add up in the Islanders series, as they were on the ice for six of the Isles 11 goals at five-on-five. The Devils might not have the scoring depth they did earlier in the season, but they can make this pair work a lot if they get a step on them at the blue line and create some tough situations for Carolina to defend. The saving grace for Carolina is their third pair is very mobile and capable of handling defensive minutes. Shayne Gostisbehere is still looking for his first power play point, but his play at five-on-five has been spectacular and gives Carolina an extra layer during the 3rd/4th line shifts.

As for where Carolina’s goals are going to come from, the answer is also their defense corps. They’ve always acted as more of a complement to the forwards, and this is even more true with the injuries Carolina has up front. Brent Burns and Jaccob Slavin were more active in the Isles series than they were all season (which is saying something for Burns) and you can look for them to catch New Jersey’s forwards out of position with how much attention they draw high in the zone. They’re also super aggressive with pinching to keep pucks in, which can go both ways with how much New Jersey loves to attack in transition. Counterattacks are what killed the Hurricanes against the Rangers last year and it’s something the Devils will go to school on. Hughes, Hischier, Meier all have the talent to make them pay on this and they also got some goals from their depth lines in the Rangers series. The more times they burn Carolina off counterattacks, the more risk-adverse and point-shot heavy the Hurricanes become, so planting the seed of doubt in their heads early will play a huge factor. Granted, this also involves some risk for the Devils with having the forwards challenge the points and fly the zone. It opens them up to more shots and chances against but that’s a risk you might be willing to take against Carolina.

The X Factor

Both teams managed to advance in the first round despite limited or no production from some of their top players. Timo Meier managed an astonishing zero points in 7 games despite leading the team in scoring chances and playing very well in the Rangers series. It’s only a matter of time until he starts to see some results, but the playoffs can be cruel. The Hurricanes style of defending can also be the best or the worst thing for him because they do not mind giving up chances from close-range as long as the shooter doesn’t have a lot of room to make a move. Meier specializes in going to the net and scoring on brute force, but these are generally lower-percentage plays compared to shots with movement and space. Something has to give.

As for the Hurricanes, they didn’t get much from their leading scorer Martin Necas, scoring only one power play goal all series and looking lost at five-on-five. If the series starts to open up to the Devils terms, Necas is the guy they need to make a difference and he (along with Jesperi Kotkaniemi) struggled with that in the first round. The Devils defensive structure might be a little easier to break than the Islanders physical style, but the playoffs have been tough for Necas in his career. This line in particular was Carolina’s worst against the Islanders, and they spent more time running around in their own zone instead of playing with the puck. When they did get the puck, it was often thrown away in the neutral zone or on a nothing play on the cycle. They showed some flashes of what makes them so dangerous in Game 1, so Carolina is hoping they can see some of this come to life because they will be needed with the Devils having the advantage in forward depth.

The Prediction

This is going to be a real test of talent vs. experience and coaching because the Devils have the clear advantage in the former. The latter is where Carolina can create an advantage. Lindy Ruff made a questionable lineup decision in scratching Jonas Siegenthaler after the Devils lost Game 1 against New York and the physical presence Carolina has could force them into more situations like that. When you’re undermanned, you have to make the most out of the tools you’re given. Carolina’s been able to do that so far, getting goals from the likes of Paul Stastny, Jesper Fast and Mackenzie MacEachern. Jersey should be licking their chops at the forward lines they can roll out against that group, but Carolina’s defensive play is enough to turn most games into a coin-flip. Even if they fall behind, they can own the boards and the territorial play enough to where it’s a tie or a one-goal game. Then it’s just a matter of who can score that big goal when it matters.

Carolina takes a couple gut-punches in this series but takes it in six.

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NHL: CULLEN – 20 FANTASY POINTS – Rookies making their mark late in the season https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/nhl-cullen-20-fantasy-points-rookies-making-mark-late-season/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/nhl-cullen-20-fantasy-points-rookies-making-mark-late-season/#respond Fri, 24 Mar 2023 15:36:20 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=180553 Read More... from NHL: CULLEN – 20 FANTASY POINTS – Rookies making their mark late in the season

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Each week I dive into the numbers and offer some insights that should help when it comes time to make fantasy hockey decisions.

This week, rookies are making their mark late in the season. From Wyatt Johnston in Dallas to Joel Hofer in St. Louis to Luke Evangelista in Nashville, there are some fresh faces getting the job done. When it comes to the veterans, Mattias Ekholm and Jean-Gabriel Pageau are bringing late-season value, too.

BOSTON, MA - OCTOBER 25: Dallas Stars center Wyatt Johnston (53) skates with the puck during a NHL game between Dallas Stars and Boston Bruins on October 25, 2022, at TD Garden in Boston, MA. (Photo by M. Anthony Nesmith/Icon Sportswire)

#1 The leading rookie goal scorer is now Dallas Stars center Wyatt Johnston, who has taken on more responsibility for a division-leading team down the stretch. In his past 14 games, Johnston has 12 points (8 G, 4 A) and 37 shots on goal while playing more than 17 minutes per game. He has thrived skating in between veterans Jamie Benn and Evgenii Dadonov and this looks like just the beginning for a 19-year-old who scored 124 points in 68 games for Windsor of the Ontario Hockey League last season.

#2 While the expectation seems to be that St. Louis Blues rookie goaltender Joel Hofer is getting some late season action to prepare for the backup role next season. It might be premature to decide that the 22-year-old is only suited for the No. 2 job. In four starts since getting called up, Hofer is rocking a .944 save percentage, so not only does he have potential dynasty league value, but he could add goaltending value late this season, too.

#3 After scoring 41 points (9 G, 32 A) in 49 games for Milwaukee in the AHL, Luke Evangelista is getting a late-season audition with the Nashville Predators, and he has taken full advantage of the opportunity. In a dozen games with the Preds, Evangelista has produced nine points (5 G, 4 A) and 30 shots on goal, earning a spot on the first power play unit and he played a career-high 20:28 in Thursday’s 2-1 shootout win against Seattle.

#4 When the Edmonton Oilers acquired Mattias Ekholm at the trade deadline, the obvious appeal was Ekholm’s shutdown defensive play. However, Ekholm is not just putting it high and hard off the glass – he can make plays, too. In 11 games for the Oilers, Ekholm has put up nine points (3 G, 6 A) with 22 shots on goal. Mix in 18 hits and 19 blocked shots and the big blueliner is worthy of fantasy consideration.

#5 With Brock Nelson leaving Tuesday’s win over Toronto early and Mathew Barzal already out of the lineup, the Islanders need Jean-Gabriel Pageau to step up after returning from his own upper-body injury. Pageau missed more than a month of action and, upon getting back into the lineup, immediately embarked on a four-game point streak, scoring six points (2 G, 4 A) in the process.

#6 Veteran Calgary Flames center Mikael Backlund has 49 points, giving him a good chance to surpass his career high of 53 points set in 2016-2017. While points have run hot and cold at times for Backlund, he has become an elite shot generator in the second half of the season. In 35 games since the calendar flipped to 2023, Backlund has 30 points (10 G, 20 A) and 127 shots on goal, which ties him with Pittsburgh’s Jake Guentzel for 10th in the league over that time.

#7 Another premier shot generator, who is still available in many league, Los Angeles Kings winger Viktor Arvidsson has put 49 shots on goal in his past 10 games, the highest per-game shot rate since February 28. Arvidsson is up to 48 points (20 G, 28 A) on the season, putting him within range of his first 50-point season since 2017-2018. He forms an effective two-way line for the Kings, skating alongside Phillip Danault and Trevor Moore.

#8 San Jose Sharks center Tomas Hertl is hardly flying under the radar, but mediocre goal and shot rates this season made him more readily available for fantasy managers. Late in the season, Hertl has become more aggressive offensively, and has contributed nine points (5 G, 4 A) with 36 shots on goal in his past 10 games. The Sharks are rather lean when it comes to forward talent, so Hertl is skating between Noah Gregor and Kevin Labanc, not exactly ideal linemates to maintain a high level of production. On the other hand, that might contribute to Hertl’s newfound willingness to shoot the puck.

#9 Evangelista is not the only Predators youngster contributing to the club’s surprising late push for the playoffs. Philip Tomasino has produced 12 points (4 G, 8 A) in his past 15 games, and has earned a regular spot alongside Cody Glass and Matt Duchene on one of Nashville’s scoring lines. Tomasino had 32 points with Nashville last season but started this season in the AHL, scoring 32 points (12 G, 20 A) in 38 games. It appears that the 21-year-old is better equipped to handle more offensive responsibility now.

#10 After tallying 20 points (9 G, 11 A) in 29 games for the Grand Rapids Griffins in the AHL, 32-year-old winger Alex Chiasson earned another shot in the NHL with the Detroit Red Wings. In 10 games for Detroit, Chiasson has seven points (5 G, 2 A) and 16 shots on goal – impressive production for a guy playing 11 minutes per game, but he is an effective net front presence on the power play, scoring four of his five goals with the man advantage.

#11 Evan Rodrigues has been a quality contributor for the Avalanche when healthy this season but, like many Avs, has had to deal with injuries. He has landed in concussion protocol this week, creating an opportunity for Denis Malgin to move up to Colorado’s top line with Nathan MacKinnon and Mikko Rantanen. While Malgin has seven points (5 G, 2 A) in his past 10 games, the more important part is that he has played more than 15 minutes in the past two games. That is the first time since January 2 that he has hit that ice time threshold.

#12 At his best, Washington Capitals right winger Tom Wilson can be a fantasy hockey difference maker. This season, he missed a bunch of time while recovering from a torn ACL and struggled upon returning to action, but he is getting back to peak performance. In his past 16 games, Wilson has 12 points (6 G, 6 A) and 38 shots on goal. Of course, being Tom Wilson, he also has 42 hits and that is what makes him a major fantasy threat and worth adding if he is still available in your league.

#13 Vegas Golden Knights right winger Pavel Dorofeyev got into three games in December but did not find the scoresheet before returning to the AHL. Since getting called back up, he has delivered six points (4 G, 2 A) with 16 shots on goal in six games. He only had 17 points (9 G, 8 A) in 32 AHL games, so it is fair to be skeptical of Dorofeyev’s small sample NHL production, but he is getting a quality opportunity, skating on Vegas’ second line with Reilly Smith and William Karlsson.

#14 When Kirill Kaprizov was injured, I speculated that veteran Marcus Johansson might have an opportunity to play a bigger role for the Minnesota Wild and that has turned out to be the case. In his past seven games, Johansson has eight points (2 G, 6 A) and has played more than 15 minutes in six of those contests. He is thriving on a line with Joel Eriksson Ek at center and Matt Boldy on right wing, which presents a strong opportunity for the veteran left winger to contribute offensively.

#15 It can be easy for Boston Bruins center Charlie Coyle to get overlooked as he is not a star player and falls behind bigger names on the depth chart. Nevertheless, the 31-year-old center is finishing strong, with 10 points (2 G, 8 A) in his past 11 games and he is doing this without a regular role on the power play, playing with Tyler Bertuzzi and Trent Frederic at evens, a line that can have a physical impact on the game before they even worry about putting pucks in the net.

#16 When the Vancouver Canucks acquired defenseman Filip Hronek at the trade deadline, he was dealing with an upper-body injury, but he was finally cleared to play Thursday night against San Jose. He logged 24:25 of ice time in his first game for the Canucks and while Hronek did not record a point, he is clearly going to play a big role for Vancouver for the rest of this season and beyond. That said, he is limited to quarterbacking the second power play unit because Quinn Hughes has been one of the most productive defensemen on the power play in the past two seasons, recording a league-leading 60 power play assists in 143 games.

#17 With Nashville defenseman Roman Josi out of the lineup due to injury, there is a big opportunity for newly acquired Tyson Barrie. The veteran puck-moving defenseman has three assists in his past five games, while averaging nearly 23 minutes of ice time per game. The past two seasons in Edmonton were the first since 2013-2014 that Barrie had averaged less than 20 minutes of ice time per game, so he is not new to handling big minutes on the blueline.

#18 Although he is splitting starts with Pheonix Copley, Joonas Korpisalo has become more valuable for fantasy managers since his trade to the Los Angeles Kings because he actually wins games. In his first four starts for L.A., Korpisalo has a 3-0-1 record with a .921 save percentage and 1.96 goals against average. It is fair to be skeptical about Korpisalo, given the ups and downs of his career, but this has been the best season of the 28-year-old netminder’s career.

#19 Digging deeper for goaltending help, New Jersey has been giving Akira Schmid more starts and he has posted a .930 save percentage in seven appearances since getting recalled from the AHL. The 22-year-old has a .910 save percentage in 58 AHL games over the past two seasons, so he may be ready for the NHL, and these early returns are very promising. While starter Vitek Vanecek appears to be bouncing back lately, he went through a five-game stretch during which he had a .821 save percentage, so that gave the Devils some incentive to look for other options between the pipes.

#20 With injuries taking Sam Bennett and Anthony Duclair out of the Florida Panthers lineup, look to Eetu Luostarinen, who has earned a bigger role in the second half of the season and has stepped into the second line center role between Carter Verhaeghe and Matthew Tkachuk. Luostarinen has 11 points (3 G, 8 A) and 26 shots on goal in his past 13 games and played more than 20 minutes in Thursday’s loss to Toronto. It was the third time this season that Luostarinen had crossed that 20-minute threshold.

*Advanced stats via Natural Stat Trick.

 

 

 

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MCKEEN’S 2022-23 NHL YEARBOOK – NEW JERSEY DEVILS – Top 20 Prospects https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/mckeens-2022-23-nhl-yearbook-jersey-devils-top-20-prospects/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/mckeens-2022-23-nhl-yearbook-jersey-devils-top-20-prospects/#respond Sun, 18 Sep 2022 19:31:17 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=177547 Read More... from MCKEEN’S 2022-23 NHL YEARBOOK – NEW JERSEY DEVILS – Top 20 Prospects

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NEWARK, NJ - OCTOBER 04: New Jersey Devils right wing Alexander Holtz (10) skates during the first period of the pre-season National Hockey League game between the New Jersey Devils and the Washington Capitals on October 4, 2021 at the Prudential Center in Newark, NJ. (Photo by Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire)

1 - Luke Hughes D

While the NHL at large may be more familiar with the two Hughes brothers currently playing in the NHL, Jack, and Quinn, there’s another Hughes brother on the horizon, and he’s got a strong chance to be just as much of a star as his brothers are. Luke Hughes, the fourth-overall pick of the 2021 draft, is among the most gifted defensive prospects in hockey. Hughes’ last season was his freshman year at the University of Michigan, and he led all blueliners in the entire NCAA in scoring. Again, he did that not only as a freshman but also as one of the youngest players in college hockey. Hughes, next to 2022 second-overall pick Simon Nemec, is the face of a next generation of Devils blueliners that looks more and more promising with each passing year. The core of Hughes’ on-ice profile is his skating. Hughes is as close to a mechanically perfect skater as one can be, with a stride that’s as smooth as butter. There’s an efficiency to the way he moves that also forms the foundation to his offensive game. The manipulation of his own speed, timing, and stop-and-start ability lets him create space on the ice. He’s active offensively both with the puck on his stick and without it. With the puck on his stick, he aggressively looks to make plays for his teammates, and he’s extremely good at getting pucks to the net and finding ways to score goals from the blueline. Without the puck on his stick, Hughes has shown an ability and willingness to leverage his mobility to clear room on the ice for his teammates. His overall offensive toolbox is so refined that it makes for an easy projection to the NHL level. His defense, while more of a work-in-progress, has made great strides since his days at the National Team Development Program. He may not end up a shutdown force at the NHL level, but it’s not out of the realm of possibility that he finds his way onto an NHL penalty kill. In total, Hughes is an extremely promising defenseman who matches both raw talent and careful polish. He has a real chance to become a number-one defenseman in the NHL. - EH

2 - Simon Nemec D

Nemec broke all sorts of records for U20 defensemen in the Slovak men’s league and then led all defensemen in postseason points. After a successful season, he became the 2nd overall pick in the 2022 NHL Draft and the highest-drafted defenseman in his draft class. The young Slovak has played among men for the past three seasons and represented his country internationally at two World Championships and one Olympics. He is an extremely mature player for his age. Whether he gets a shot with the New Jersey Devils at the start of the season should be within his grasp, however it is more likely he will spend the majority of the year in the AHL, due to the full right-side of the Devils´ defense. Nemec is a two-way defenseman who likes to join the attack and play offensively. He is a capable powerplay option, an extremely smart player with great vision and passing game. He is not overly physical but is quite strong and can stand his own. A notable weakness is his shot, especially given the lack of strength he puts to it. Nemec has really good hands for a defenseman and enjoys having the puck on his stick. He is not as flashy as some of other top choices in the recent draft, but his floor is among the highest in his entire draft class. He projects as a top-pairing defenseman who should contribute offensively and run the PP. - MD

3 - Alexander Holtz         RW

If you are the New Jersey Devils, do you make room on the roster this year for one of the best prospects in the NHL after his encouraging performance in the AHL last year? After bringing in Ondrej Palat and Erik Haula this offseason, their forward ranks are extremely crowded. Yet Holtz (and a few other prospects) proved that they are ready for the NHL with their performance in Utica last year. Holtz’s game is built to be a top six, complementary offensive weapon at the NHL level. Not only does he possess an excellent shot, but he also has great scoring instincts. The puck seems magnetically drawn to him within ten feet of the crease and he rarely whiffs on his opportunities. Holtz supports play in the offensive zone well too, with a game predicated on quick touches meant to keep plays alive deep in the zone. As he continues to upgrade his speed and his strength on the puck, he should develop into a consistent 30 goal scorer at the NHL level. So, what do the Devils do with him this season? If he plays in the NHL, it will likely be on a scoring line, and he will have a very real shot at putting up the kind of numbers required of a Calder Trophy winner. Otherwise, New Jersey probably sends him to the AHL for another year (until an injury dictates his call-up) or negotiates a loan to Sweden for a year until a few contracts come off the books (like Haula, Tatar, Johnsson, and Wood). - BO

4 - Arseni Gritsyuk RW

It would be fair to say that Arseny Gritsyuk has established himself as a top KHL prospect over the last season, even though he really had to earn the trust of coach Bob Hartley and has also received a few trophies to back up that claim, including the KHL rookie of the year award and the Olympics silver medal. Furthermore, Gritsyuk played a major role in making that silver medal happen for the Russian team, scoring the winner in the nerve-wrecking semifinal shootout. Looking at the coming season it should be a near lock for him to take on a top six role for his KHL team and even though a sophomore slump is a possibility, it doesn’t feel likely in this case, as Gritsyuk has the smarts and creativity in addition to a rich skillset. It should also be mentioned that he is in the final year of his contract and if everything goes well there is a good chance that he will be able to crack the NHL roster short thereafter. There are plenty of reasons for Devils fans to be excited and follow Gritsyuk closely this season, not to mention the parallels in his development with that of another recent Russian 5th round pick in Kirill Kaprizov. Not that we expect Grisyuk to be another Kaprizov, but this is a fun prospect to be excited about and the hype train is picking up speed. - VF

5 - Shakir Mukhamadullin D

A surprise first round pick by the Devils in 2020, Mukhamadullin has already signed with New Jersey. After finishing last year in the AHL with Utica, he returned to Salavat Yulayev of KHL this season under loan. He's a huge defender who is confident in his mobility and readiness to join the rushing game. He is someone who is extremely confident on the ice; he knows his role and plays it. Mukhamadullin is aggressive physically as a defensive player and will step up to make plays. He also knows how to keep his man in front of him by exhibiting good gap control and positioning. Offensively, his biggest weapon is a strong shot from the point. As a puck mover, he is not extremely dynamic, and his decision making will need to improve for him to be a point producer at the NHL level. Mukhumadullin is spending the upcoming season at Salavat Yulaev (as mentioned on loan), after which he will probably move on to the NHL. More should be known about his upside after this current season, as the Devils will be looking for him to take on a larger role as a puck carrier in the KHL. If he can continue to make adjustments, he has the physical tools to be a strong two-way, second pairing defender. - DB

6 - Fabian Zetterlund LW

It might shock people, but Zetterlund is more likely to earn a permanent roster spot with the Devils this year than is top prospect Alexander Holtz. The reason is two-fold. Firstly, Zetterlund has progressed extremely well at the pro level, improving each of his three seasons in the AHL, and even scoring 8 points in 14 games with New Jersey last year. Secondly, he is no longer exempt from waivers, which forces the hand of the Devils unless they want to lose him for nothing. The reality is that Zetterlund is also built to play a checking line role (at least to start) more effectively than Holtz. Zetterlund has a game built to excel in a high energy, bottom six role. He consistently chases down and battles for pucks, using his strong lower body to keep plays alive. He brings it physically and is an excellent forechecker. He plays with pace and crashes the net, excelling in high traffic areas, rather than steering clear of them. His offensive upside is higher than that of your basic fourth line grinder, but it might be a role that he has to start at this coming season. The former third round pick (back in 2017) has emerged as a quality pro prospect and one of the best in a strong and deep New Jersey system. - BO

7 -Reilly Walsh D

A former standout with Harvard, Walsh has positioned himself well to challenge for a roster spot this coming season. The Devils’ blueline group largely struggled to contribute offensively last year and Walsh would go a long way to helping with that. An offensive standout, he can have a profound impact on the transition game. He can skate the puck out of trouble with his quick feet and he is a natural at quarterbacking the powerplay. Coming out of college, there were some concerns about his ability to defend at even strength, but his positioning, engagement, and overall effectiveness in his own end has improved considerably. Interestingly enough, the Devils acquired John Marino this offseason, who was one of Walsh’s defensive partners at Harvard. Is it possible that New Jersey sees the two of them pairing up this coming year in a third pairing role (with Walsh QB’ing the second powerplay unit behind Dougie Hamilton)? Walsh does have minor league options remaining, though, and that means he may be a numbers casualty due to the terrific blueline depth New Jersey has accrued. The smooth skating, offensive rearguard is definitely trending in the right direction and looks like a future top four defender for the Devils…at least at some point in the near future. - BO

8 - Nolan Foote LW

The son of former NHL defender Adam Foote, Nolan is coming off of his second pro season in the Devils’ system after being acquired for Blake Coleman. The big power forward has performed well at the AHL level and even in two cups of coffee with New Jersey. This is especially true of last season, where he scored three goals in seven games with the Devils. Foote will never be confused with a speedster, but he has worked hard to become a little quicker so that he can keep pace at the NHL level. He understands his role as a complementary piece and plays it to a tee. He drives the net with his stick on the ice and can be a fearsome net front presence. He is physical in pursuit of the puck and can dominate shifts down low, below the goal line. Foote is more than just a grinder, however, as he possesses great finishing ability because of his quick release and smooth hands. It is easy to see him becoming a long time middle six option at the NHL level, so long as he continues to improve his skating. The issue, much like was stated with Alexander Holtz, is that New Jersey’s forward group is currently crowded and that probably means Foote gets caught in a numbers game again this season. Another year in the AHL wouldn’t hurt his development as he can hopefully become one of Utica’s top scoring options and get closer to the point per game mark there before fully taking that next step. - BO

9 - Nico Daws G

It is not too often that you see a first year pro netminder thrust into NHL action, but injuries thrust Daws into significant time with the Devils last year. He handled it pretty well too, given the state of New Jersey’s defense and rebuild. The former OHL late bloomer has given New Jersey fans a lot of hope for the future with his strong rookie pro performance, however he should be given more time to develop at the AHL level this year. The Devils traded for Vitek Vanecek to pair with Mackenzie Blackwood, allowing Daws to split time with Akira Schmid at Utica. Of course, Daws could be recalled again as an injury fill-in, but at least the Devils now know that he can handle it. The 6’4 netminder can be a brick wall at times because of his positioning and play reading ability. He tracks the play extremely well and has worked hard over the last few seasons to improve his quickness, allowing him to challenge shooters more consistently. He has also worked hard to improve his ability to cleanly corral rebounds, transforming from more of a pure stopper into a true goaltender. With another strong performance at the AHL level this year, Daws could put himself into serious consideration as one of the best goaltending prospects in the NHL and push Mackenzie Blackwood as the team’s netminder of the future. - BO

10 - Seamus Casey D

Seamus Casey’s fall to 46th overall at the 2022 NHL draft was a bit of a surprise, as multiple outlets had placed late first-round or early second-round grades on the talented blueliner, who was among the best defenders at the U.S. National Team Development Program last season. But it made sense based on the defenders who went before him, as for all the attention the changing expectations of NHL defensemen get many NHL teams still prefer their blueliners to come with a bit of size. Standing at five feet and ten inches tall, Casey doesn’t have that. But he makes up for his lack of size with a few standout tools. First and foremost, Casey’s skating sets him apart. He weaves his way through the neutral zone with the puck on his stick, and his upside as a puck-moving defenseman at the NHL level is clear. Casey also can work as a power play quarterback, with the vision and hockey IQ to be a strong facilitator of play in the offensive zone. Casey’s defensive game has some holes, but that’s not due to a lack of effort. Casey is a diligent defender in his own zone, and his skating gives him value there as he can make it easier for his team to exit the zone, something that carries real defensive value. That being said, it’s simply too easy for more talented forwards to create chances with him on the ice, and Casey’s issues in the size and strength department are evident when he’s tasked with disrupting a bigger forward looking to create a scoring chance. Casey might need to be placed in a more sheltered role as a pro, but his offensive tools are definitely good enough to give him NHL upside. As a power play threat and puck mover, Casey could fashion a nice NHL career for himself after a few years of development in college. - EH

11 - Tyce Thompson

The first full season at the pro level for the former Providence star was a grind. A shoulder injury limited him, but he finished the year strong with Utica. Thompson is a power center who excels down low and near the crease. He could be a full time NHL’er by season’s end.

12 - Kevin Bahl

The hulking blueliner continues to develop nicely in the Devils’ system and has positioned himself to be in contention for an NHL role this year. He continues to work on his four way mobility.

13 - Michael Vukojevic

A potential stay at home defender for the Devils, Vukojevic just finished his second pro season with Utica. His skating and confidence with the puck continue to improve and with it, so does his projection as a future #4-6 defender.

14 - Nikita Okhotyuk

Another strong defensively oriented blueliner with Utica and former OHL’er, Okhotyuk hits like a truck and is fairly mobile for the game he plays. His upside is limited, but his strong defensive acumen makes him a potential NHL player in some regard.

15 --Chase Stillman

Thus far, Stillman’s development has not gone according to plan. His offensive game took a step back and not forward last OHL season. This season the Petes will be counting on the former first rounder to step up and be a consistent scoring threat.

16 - Graeme Clarke

The older brother of Kings’ top prospect Brandt Clarke, Graeme is a scoring winger with similar skating concerns. Adapting to the pace of play in the AHL has been a challenge, but Clarke is talented enough to eventually figure it out.

17 - Daniil Misyul

After three full years at the KHL level, Misyul’s offensive game is still non-existent. However, his combination of length and mobility does give him intriguing defensive potential. The 21 year old blueliner will spend another year in the KHL this season.

18 - Jakub Malek

A big Czech netminder Malek will be moving to Finland this season to play in Liiga with Ilves. This will be a great test for the former fourth round selection.

19 - Aarne Talvitie

Talvitie, a former Penn State product and Word Juniors standout, played well for Utica last year in his first full pro season. His NHL upside might be limited, but the competitive forward is a strong two-way presence and should carve out a career as a penalty killer and depth player.

20 - Akira Schmid

The Swiss netminder was a surprise standout for Utica this past season and has pushed his way into New Jersey’s plans. A strong athlete at 6’5, Schmid’s development has given New Jersey great depth at the goaltending position moving forward.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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