Alex Gagne – McKeen's Hockey

MCKEEN’S 2026 NHL PROSPECT REPORT – #29 Colorado Avalanche – Organization Overview – Top 15 Prospects

Fri, 24 Apr 2026 22:00:39 +0000

NEWARK, NJ - OCTOBER 26: Trent Miner #50 of the Colorado Avalanche makes a save during a game between the Colorado Avalanche and New Jersey Devils at Prudential Center on October 26, 2025 in Newark, New Jersey. (Photo by Andrew Mordzynski/Icon Sportswire)

Prospect System Ranking – 29th (Last Year - 28th)
GM: Chris MacFarland Hired: July 2022
COACH: Jared Bednar Hired: August 2016

With one of the longest-tenured head coaches in the NHL, the Colorado Avalanche have once again pushed their chips to the center of the table in pursuit of another Stanley Cup.

In an effort to solidify their window, the Avalanche aggressively targeted veteran talent, acquiring key pieces such as Brock Nelson at the 2025 trade deadline while also adding established centers Nazem Kadri and Nicolas Roy in 2026. Of course, the cost of that push has been high. Over the next three years, Colorado has moved three first-round picks, two second-round picks, and two third-round picks in order to reinforce the NHL roster. Colorado added just three players in the 2025 draft, and while the 2026 class is currently projected to include eight selections, half of those picks will come in the seventh round.

There are, however, a few encouraging pieces. Goaltender Ilya Nabokov (95th) remains the organization’s most intriguing long-term asset, while dynamic defenseman Mikhail Gulyayev also finds his way into McKeen’s Top 150. Further down the pipeline, 20-year-old Christian Humphreys — a seventh-round selection in 2024 — is enjoying a breakout overage season with the OHL’s Kitchener Rangers and could position himself for a transition to the professional ranks in 2026–27.

Beyond those few bright spots, the system remains thin on impact talent, with most prospects projecting as depth contributors at the NHL level. Still, when your core includes elite players such as Nathan MacKinnon, Cale Makar, and Martin Nečas and the opportunity to chase a second Stanley Cup in five seasons, the cost is one Colorado has been more than willing to pay.

NHL	RNK	PLAYER	POS	AGE	HT/WT	2024-25 TM	GP	G(W)	A(L)	PTS(GAA)	PIM(SPCT)
Col	1	Ilya Nabokov	G	23	6-0/180	Metallurg Magnitogorsk (KHL)	38	22	7	2.74	0.901
Col	2	Mikhail Gulyayev	D	21	5-11/170	Avangard Omsk (KHL)	54	1	2	3	14
Col	3	Sean Behrens	D	23	5-10/175	Colorado (AHL)	55	5	18	23	22
Col	4	Francesco Dell'Elce	D	20	6-1/180	Massachusetts (NCAA)	36	5	16	21	18
Col	5	Trent Miner	G	25	6-1/185	Colorado (AHL)	32	17	8	2.62	0.904
Col	6	Nikita Prishchepov	C	22	6-1/195	Colorado (AHL)	22	3	9	12	28
Col	7	Christian Humphreys	C	20	5-11/170	Kitchener (OHL)	63	27	58	85	33
Col	8	Louka Cloutier	G	19	6-1/170	Boston College (NCAA)	33	19	13	2.34	0.910
Col	9	Alex Gagne	D	23	6-3/205	Colorado (AHL)	58	1	12	13	53
Col	10	Linus Funck	D	19	6-3/185	London (OHL)	65	4	18	22	29
Col	11	Jake Fisher	C	21	6-2/190	Denver (NCAA)	43	8	11	19	6
Col	12	Nolan Roed	C	20	5-11/185	St. Cloud State (NCAA)	36	5	13	18	32
Col	13	Taylor Makar	LW	25	6-3/190	Colorado (AHL)	52	14	10	24	56
Col	13	Taylor Makar	LW	25	6-3/190	Colorado (NHL)	12	0	0	0	4
Col	14	Danil Gushchin	RW	24	5-8/165	Colorado (AHL)	49	18	14	32	26
Col	15	Isak Posch	G	24	6-3/210	Colorado (AHL)	28	15	8	2.78	0.891

1. Ilya Nabokov, G, Metallurg Magnitogorsk (KHL)

After some impressive seasons in the KHL (especially his rookie year), Nabokov's numbers have taken a bit of a dive. He is sitting just above a .900 SV% and has a career high GAA. Despite this, he is the starting goalie for the best KHL team in Metallurg, which is reflected in his 22-7-5 record. Nabokov is at his best when he's playing aggressively and confidently, utilizing his elite athletic ability and flexibility. The footwork and speed are impressive, able to keep up with the puck as it moves across the ice with his strong T push or lateral mobility from the butterfly. When he is able to anticipate play, he is very difficult to beat. But Nabokov’s weaknesses have been a bit exposed this season. There is some inconsistency in his ability to track pucks, and he is prone to taking atrocious angles. The overuse of T pushes forces him to constantly readjust his position. He favors the near post, leaving far side shots, rebounds, or backdoor passes open for prime looks. The plan should be to get him to North America soon to work on the more technical side of the game. The athletic base is special, and if he can be reigned in, there could be a quality goaltender in the future.

2. Mikhail Gulyayev, D, Avangard Omsk (KHL)

For a player touted as an offensive defenseman, Gulyayev’s production has not impressed, producing the worst point totals of his career. The skating is still exceptional, using the extreme mobility to close gaps, be effective on breakouts, and make plays along the blue line. The offensive game is exciting at times, activating along the half wall and walking the blue line, throwing pucks into the slot and getting shots through traffic. On breakouts, he's always pushing up ice, making himself an option and having the ability to carry it himself. There is just an overall lack of involvement when he is on the ice. Defensively, he is still struggling to play physically and handle stronger opponents. There is also a tendency to be behind plays, chasing the puck and abandoning his position. To be an effective NHLer, he needs to be more engaged and take more risks in the offensive zone. The talent and mobility are there to be an offensive weapon; it’s just a matter of application.

3. Sean Behrens, D, Colorado Eagles (AHL)

Sean Behrens missed the entirety of last season with an injury, which has delayed his developmental timeline, but he is nevertheless a talented defensive prospect who can log heavy minutes at both ends of the ice. The hallmark of Behrens’ game is his hockey sense; he just knows where to be on the ice, which allows him to be in excellent position to make that next defensive play, or that next outlet pass to his streaking forwards. Behrens can also man the point on a power play, as he was especially effective as a power play quarterback during his time with Denver University in the NCAA. This season, Behrens’ game with the Colorado Eagles has taken a bit of time to take off (53 GP, 5-17-22), but he is trending in the right direction and looks to be regaining the confidence that made him such a dominant force at the NCAA level. Look for Behrens to continue to build reps this season at the AHL level, where he ultimately projects as a bottom-pairing defender for the Colorado Avalanche.

4. Francesco Dell'Elce, D, UMass (NCAA)

Dell’Elce was passed over in two NHL drafts before being selected in the third round by the Colorado Avalanche. He took a strange path to this point, making the jump to the NCAA at 20 years old from the BCHL. In his first NCAA season, he performed well enough to be drafted over younger prospects in their first year of eligibility. This season, he has scored just three fewer points in four fewer games. His passing ability is outstanding, and he has incredible poise with the puck on his stick. He is largely unfazed by forechecking pressure, and his edges and smarts allow him to escape and make plays in those pressure moments. His skating and lack of a more physical presence were the main knocks that I had on him entering the 2025 draft. This year, he has added a bit more physicality. His skating, specifically his straight-line speed, still needs improvement. But he looks like he’s still well on his way to becoming a depth contributor thanks to his pro-style play and overall smarts and poise with the puck. He looks like a bottom-pair contributor down the line, with puck-moving upside.

5. Trent Miner, G, Colorado Eagles (AHL)

Trent Miner has really had to grind away to get to where he is in professional hockey - a spot as the number one goalie for the Colorado Eagles in the AHL (31 GP, 17-7-8, 2.54 GAA, .906 SV%), with promise to become a future backup goalie for the Colorado Avalanche. Although Miner does not have any one standout attribute, his game has gotten him so far because it is built upon consistency. Miner almost never pitches a bad game, and even on nights when he struggles, he almost always finds a way to fight through and make a timely save when it counts to keep his team in the game. It is unlikely that Miner becomes a starter at the NHL level, but for a seventh round pick that has had to literally battle for every opportunity at the pro level, Miner’s career is a nice story. Look for Miner to fill in every now and then for the Avalanche as a capable option this season, and to graduate to full-time backup status at the start of next season.

6. Nikita Prishchepov, C, Colorado Eagles (AHL)

Nikita Prishchepov might be a bit of an unknown commodity to many Colorado Avalanche fans, but he has really burst onto the scene as a potential bottom-six option from a very bare Avalanche prospect cupboard. Prishchepov is a decent-sized winger who has underrated two-way ability, which allows him to stay in the right areas at both ends of the ice. He won’t ever wow you with any game-breaking offensive skill, nor is he the world’s best shutdown player, but he can be counted upon to play effectively at both ends of the ice without hurting his team. Prishchepov does need a bit more time to build reps at the pro level, as his offensive game has a lot of room to grow, but he has played well this season for the Colorado Eagles (22 GP, 3-9-12) and remains a potential call up option for the Avalanche in the event they face more injuries this season. Expect Prishchepov to become a two-way fourth line player down the line at the NHL level, with potential to become a defensive-oriented third line player.

7. Christian Humphreys, C, Kitchener Rangers (OHL)

Christian Humphreys has been a key piece of Kitchener’s offense, providing top-notch playmaking, and finished fifth in assists among all OHL skaters. The undersized American was drafted out of the NTDP back in 2024 in the seventh round before graduating to the University of Michigan and promptly transferring to the Kitchener Rangers 10 games in. He wanted more touches and ice time, and he’s certainly achieved that with top-line minutes and PP1 on a contending team. His playmaking game is super well-rounded, using touch to float passes over sticks and deception to redirect opponents. Stylistically, Christian Humphreys fits more into a top six, but I’m not sure if he has the jam or pace to get there. I’m still not sold that he has a role in an NHL bottom six, but crazier things have happened, especially considering Colorado’s pretty barren prospect barracks. It’s tough to bet against the intelligence he has. I foresee some strong AHL production in the coming years.

8. Louka Cloutier, G, Boston College (NCAA)

Last season was a tough one for him with the storied Chicago Steel. However, Cloutier is having a bounce back season after joining Boston College for his first year in the NCAA. Despite playing against tougher competition, his counting stats have greatly improved from a year ago. Now, the Steel have not been as dominant over the last few seasons, which has left Cloutier out to dry quite often. He did flash his strong glove hand, flexibility, and mostly strong rebound control. But it was his angles that let him down often in the chances opposing teams generated, alongside his lack of aggressiveness. Because of his lack of aggression in taking on shooters, his slightly smaller stature and slouched stance make him easier to be beaten up high. With Boston College, his stance is still a work in progress. But he is noticeably more aggressive, coming out to challenge shooters far more often. He’s also attacking pucks as they’re fired at him, essentially punching at shots instead of letting them hit him. While he has a ton of talent, and he has found early success in the NCAA, he still has a ways to go developmentally.

9. Alex Gagne, D, Colorado Eagles (AHL)

Alex Gagne is a big defenseman who went unsigned by the Tampa Bay Lightning after a solid four-year career at the University of New Hampshire. The best part about Gagne’s game is his frame; he’s a 6-foot-5, 225-pound defender who is extremely difficult to play against in his own zone. He’s able to use his frame effectively on the penalty kill, and he skates quite well for a player of his size. Gagne does not have game-breaking offensive skill, but he can move pucks capably out of his own zone to his forwards. Gagne does need to work a bit on his mean streak, as teams will want him to play with more bite at the NHL level, but overall, he has a nice toolkit that projects well to a bottom-pairing penalty killing role. Teams look for players like Gagne to fill prominent minutes in the NHL playoffs, and with the way Gagne has been progressing this season, it’s not hard to envision a scenario where he fills that role one day for the Avalanche.

10. Linus Funck, D, London Knights (OHL)

A fourth round pick last year out of Sweden, Funck made the jump to the OHL this year with London. He has been a steady defensive presence, showing upside as a depth, stay at home type. He’s been tasked with playing a middle of the lineup role for the Knights, with coach Dale Hunter relying on him heavily to help anchor London’s penalty killing unit. Funck has been a big reason why the Knights’ PK group has been a top three ranked unit in the OHL this year. He’s not a highly physical player, but he’s efficient defensively because he has good overall mobility and an active stick. He makes strong reads in the defensive end and has excellent gap control. Offensively, his game has shown to be somewhat limited at the OHL level; he’s not a high skill player or someone who is overly confident with the puck outside of the defensive zone. Funck is eligible to return to London next year as an Import, and if he does, he might have the opportunity to receive more offensive responsibility, and that could give us a better indication of his ultimate upside.

11. Jake Fisher, C, University of Denver (NCAA)

Fisher is a hardworking, lunch pail kind of forward who is playing in his sophomore season at the University of Denver. He’ll need to have an offensive breakout at some point to be considered an NHL option.

12. Nolan Roed, C, St. Cloud State University (NCAA)

A talented and hard-working playmaker, Roed has had a successful freshman season at St. Cloud State. Continuing to improve his skating and defensive play will be key for him due to a bottom six projection.

13. Taylor Makar, LW, Colorado Eagles (AHL)

Originally considered to be an example of nepotism, Cale’s brother is carving his own path after a breakout campaign at Maine and now a decent rookie year in the AHL that has already seen him earn an NHL look.

14. Daniil Gushchin, LW, Colorado Eagles (AHL)

In a very thin Colorado system, Gushchin remains a top 15 prospect even though his days seem numbered in North America. He hasn’t been able to transfer his AHL scoring to the NHL level and is likely destined for a long career in Europe.

15. Isak Posch, G, Colorado Eagles (AHL)

Posch was signed last offseason after a great year with St. Cloud State. The big Swedish netminder has added solid depth to the Colorado organization and shows upside as a possible back-up down the road.

2021 NHL DRAFT: ATLANTIC DIVISION REVIEW

Ryan Wagman — Mon, 30 Aug 2021 15:40:04 +0000

2021 NHL Draft Review

Time to review the draft, in depth. As I have done in previous seasons, this review will cover the league one division at a time. For each team, we will offer a quick summary of their draft class, a deeper look at their first pick/first rounder(s), and then a look at what we think to be the best value pick of their draft class, and a final look at their worst value pick. Once the divisions have all been covered, a final article will go over some other miscellaneous trends of the draft that was (odds & ends), and the annual McKeens shadow draft class. Let’s dig in.

Atlantic Division

Luleå's Fabian Lysell during the ice hockey match in the SHL between Rögle and Luleå on 5 January 2021 in Ängelholm.
Photo: Petter Arvidson / BILDBYRÅN

Boston Bruins

1 (21) Fabian Lysell, RW, Lulea HF (SHL)

3 (85) Brett Harrison, C, KOOVEE U20 (U20 SM-sarja)/Oshawa (OHL)

4 (117) Philip Svedeback, G, Vaxjo HC J20 (J20 Nationell)

5 (149) Oskar Jellvik, LW, Djurgardens IF J20 (J20 Nationell)

6 (181) Ryan Mast, D, Sarnia (OHL)

7 (213) Andre Gasseau, C, USNTDP (USHL)

7 (217) Ty Gallagher, D, USNTDP (USHL)

The Bruins had used a lot of their picks in recent years on lower-upside, higher floor players, giving them a system with a lot of players with NHL projections, but few looking like top half of the lineup types. This year, Boston took a different approach, largely drafting for upside, seeing which players dropped and finding a home for them. Five of their seven picks were selected lower than we had them ranked. I also appreciated how they spread out their picks among the different on-ice positions, selecting one goalie, two blueliners, two wingers, and two centers. As for geography, they selected three players out of Sweden, two from the USNTDP, and two Ontarians, one of whom spent the year in Finland with the cancellation of the OHL season, and the other who didn’t see game action last year. So, no major trends of note here, but they commendably let the draft come to them, not even making any draft day trades to move up, down, in, or out.

First round pick – Fabian Lysell, RW, Lulea HF (SHL), 21^st overall

Although his profile was not without warts – some clubs were disconcerted by his request to be moved from Frolunda to Lulea mid-season last year, Lysell reminded the hockey world what he is capable of with a stellar showing at the World Under 18 tournament, where he tied for the team lead in scoring on the Bronze Medal winning Swedish side. He is an electrifying puck handler, and his development will include learning when to play it simple, and when unleash his creativity and skill. His talent level is rare and gives him top line upside if it all clicks. A pick to get excited about.

Best value pick(s) – Ty Gallagher, D, USNTDP (USHL), 217^th overall, & Ryan Mast, D, Sarnia Sting (OHL), 181^st overall

Although the Bruins didn’t select a defender until the sixth round, they ended the draft with a pair of pretty good ones. Mast is a big, shutdown type with a right-handed shot. He has never displayed much of an offensive side, at any level of his development, but he has always known how to take care of business in his own end. We highly suspect that had he played at all this year, he would have been drafted far earlier. As for Gallagher, he is the polar opposite style of defender compared to Mast. He is a riverboat gambler who gets dinged for skating concerns, but as the year progressed, he timed his risks much better and his ability to positively impact a shift grew exponentially, which included a stellar showing for Team USA at the WU18s. His rawness can be very frustrating at times, but he tries to make things happen, and has enough skill and hockey sense to succeed enough to be of value.

Worst value pick – Oskar Jellvik, LW/C, Djurgardens IF J20 (J20 Nationell), 149^th overall

I though about naming fourth round pick Philip Svedeback, a goalie who had been passed over in his first year of eligibility and was unrated by us – or any other public facing outlet, but he was also drafted by Dubuque in the USHL draft and will spend next season stateside. Jellvik was considered by our Swedish analyst, but despite solid numbers in the Swedish junior leagues, he doesn’t seem very projectable, with an average frame, and tools that project in the sphere of average across the board. He is only a fifth rounder, but there isn’t much to dream on.

Photo Courtesy of the University of Michigan

Buffalo Sabres

1 (1) Owen Power, D, Michigan (NCAA/Big 10)

1 (14) Isak Rosen, RW, Leksands IF (SHL)

2 (33) Prokhor Poltapov, LW, Krasnaya Armiya Moskva (MHL)

2 (53) Alexander Kisakov, LW, MHK Dynamo Moskva (MHL)

3 (88) Stiven Sardaryan, RW, Krasnaya Armiya Moskva (MHL)

3 (95) Josh Bloom, LW Saginaw (OHL)

4 (97) Olivier Nadeau, RW, Shawinigan (QMJHL)

5 (159) Viljami Marjala, LW, Quebec (QMJHL)

6 (161) William von Barnekow, LW/RW, Tyringe SoSS (HockeyEttan)

6 (188) Nikita Novikov, D, MHK Dynamo Moskva (MHL)

7 (193) Tyson Kozak, C, Portland (WHL)

After four straight drafts of only selecting five or six players per year, it was good to see the moribund Buffalo franchise inject a ton of talent into their system, coming away from the 2021 draft with 11 new players, including multiple picks in each of the first three rounds. Still new GM Kevyn Adams has received criticism for a number of his early decisions running the Sabres, but it’s hard to find significant fault with his handling of this year’s draft, including the shipment of maligned defender Rasmus Ristolainen to Philadelphia for a mid-first round pick, Robert Hagg, and a 2023 second rounder in the hours before the first round began.

The picks themselves were very forward heavy, with nine forwards among the 11 picks, to go with two defenders. The Sabres also mixed up the pipelines they selected from, which included drafted players from a few areas that previous GM, Jason Botterill, notably overlooked in the CHL and Russia. Buffalo drafted one or two players from each CHL league, and four out of Russia. The remaining picks were from Sweden (2) and the NCAA (1 big one). As far as selecting for upside, which the McKeens rankings have a bias towards, most of the Sabres’ picks were selected around where we had them ranked – in fact, six of their selections were incredibly close to their ranking slot, while most of those we saw as reaches came in the last two rounds. We’ll get into the exception to that rule a little bit below.

First first round pick – Owen Power, D, Michigan (Big 10), 1^st overall

The pick of Power at first overall was a near no-brainer. He has virtually every tool and characteristic a team wants in a workhorse, number one defender. He is gigantic, skilled, solid in his own zone, skates well, even if he will never be mistaken for Cale Makar/Quinn Hughes. He has dominated against his age-peers, as well as against NHL veterans, such as he demonstrated at the World Championships. Power is going back to Michigan for his sophomore season, a decision supported publicly by Buffalo. He could play in the NHL now, but he could develop further collegiately, with a longer leash for risk taking. I still expect him to sign right after Michigan’s season ends, and finish up 2021-22 with the Sabres, what should be the beginning of a long run as a fixture for the team.

Second first round pick – Isak Rosen, RW/LW, Leksands IF (SHL), 14^th overall

Power was the clear choice at #1, but Rosen, selected with the primary pick received in the Ristolainen deal, was the prototype of the forwards that Buffalo targeted in the draft. Smallish (six of the nine forwards they drafted are either short, skinny, or both), incredibly skilled (the rest of the forwards all project to above average skill with the puck, although Rosen stands heads and shoulders above the others), and still just scratching the respective surfaces of their potential. Rosen had few opportunities to stick out when he was forced to play in the SHL last year due to the mid-season cancellation of Sweden’s junior leagues, but he proved his worth with a stellar showing at the U-18 championships.

Best value pick – Prokhor Poltapov, RW, Krasnaya Armiya Moskva, MHL, 33^rd overall

In actuality, the Sabres did not select anyone below where we had him ranked, but as noted above, several came very, very close, including Poltapov, drafted exactly where we had him ranked. It would have been easy to go in a different direction after the selection of Rosen in the middle of the first, as Poltapov has a profile with a few similarities in size, and skill-based style of play, but the Sabres system needs a lot more skill to rise through the ranks, and I would be hard pressed to say that he had the most pure skill of anyone available after the first round was completed. I for one would love to watch a future forward line with Rosen and Poltapov on the flanks.

Worst value pick – Stiven Sardaryan, F, Krasnaya Armiya Moskva, MHL, 88^th overall

We did not have Sardaryan ranked at all, even in our extended list of roughly 600 names. That isn’t to say that he should not have been drafted under any circumstances, but that we felt that his production in the Russian junior leagues, where he was actually a teammate of Poltapov’s, was underwhelming. We were also not the only outlet to ignore him. Maybe he wasn’t being afforded enough opportunities, as he did not want to sign with the KHL club, given his desire to play collegiately at the University of New Hampshire. Sardaryan is expected to take his next steps in the USHL, where Youngstown drafted him this year. If Buffalo believes in his skill set, more power to them. But it seems very likely that he would have still been available one or two rounds later than where the Sabres selected him.

Frölunda's Simon Edvinsson during the ice hockey match in the SHL between Rögle and Frölunda on 28 December 2020 in Ängelholm.
Photo: Petter Arvidson / BILDBYRÅN

Detroit Red Wings

1 (6) Simon Edvinsson, D, Vasteras IK (HockeyAllsvenskan)

1 (15) Sebastian Cossa, G, Edmonton (WHL)

2 (36) Shai Buium, D, Sioux City (USHL)

3 (70) Carter Mazur, LW, Tri-City (USHL)

4 (114) Redmond Savage, C, USNTDP (USHL)

5 (134) Liam Dower Nilsson, C, Frolunda J20 (SuperElit)

5 (155) Oscar Plandowski, D, Charlottetown (QMJHL)

6 (166) Pasquale Zito, C, Windsor (OHL)

As General Manager of the Red Wings, Steve Yzerman knows who he wants at the top, and grabs them, no matter how iconoclastic the selection is at that point. See Seider, Moritz from two years ago. Seen as a surprising overdraft at the time, he is now one of the top prospects in the sport and seemingly ready to break into the NHL now. The Wings took an elite-skilled forward up top last year in Lucas Raymond, but returned to building from the back out this year. At sixth overall, they selected a defender who holds some similarities to Seider in Simon Edvinsson, as big, smooth skaters with men’s league experience and untapped athleticism. Edvinsson may not be as advanced now as Seider was when he was drafted, but his tools give him a slightly higher upside if he can put it all together. Not long after selecting the big Swedish defender, Detroit traded a late 1^st rounder (part of the return from the Anthony Mantha trade) to Dallas to pick up the #15 pick, which they used to select the first goalie in the draft, the towering Sebastian Cossa. Many had Cossa ranked behind Sweden’s Jesper Wallstedt, but Yzerman likes who he likes and Cossa is a Wing.

Pick shuffling was a bit of theme for Detroit in this draft, as they did it again in the second round to grab USHL defender Shai Buium, and then traded down in the fourth round in order to acquire an extra pick in the fifth round. In the end, the eight players selected by the Red Wings were nicely divided between the positions, with two other defenders taken after Edvinsson, four forwards, and the one goalie in Cossa. They drafted two out of Sweden, three college-bound players from the USHL, and one player from each of the three CHL leagues. When the final chapter of this draft class is written, it will be judged on the top three picks’ (Edvinsson, Cossa, Buium) abilities to prevent goals far more than the production numbers any of the forwards may eventually put up.

First first round pick – Simon Edvinsson, D, Frolunda HC, SHL, 6^th overall

If Moritz Seider is the right-side first pairing defender of the future, we have to see Edvinsson as his partner on the left. A massive blueliner who has – by far – the best combination of speed and puck skills of any defender in this draft class, he spent most of his draft year playing against men in Sweden after the junior league was shut down, playing double digit games in both of Sweden’s top two leagues. He is rawer than Seider was in the latter’s draft year, but I expect him to continue to develop in the SHL this year, and his upside is as a Norris Trophy finalist.

Second first round pick – Sebastian Cossa, G, Edmonton Oil Kings (WHL), 15^th overall

The first goalie selected in the 2021 draft, Cossa was practically unbeatable in the WHL this year, with a .941 save percentage, and 17 wins in 19 games. The latter stat is not really that telling, but the first number is, and is a continuation of stellar netminding that Cossa has provided as far back as he has trackable stats. Between his size, athleticism, and ability to read the play develop, he should be expected to be the heir apparent to the crease in Detroit, even if we believed that Jesper Wallstedt, who Minnesota drafted five picks later, was the better prospect.

Best value pick – Liam Dower Nilsson, C, Frolunda J20 (J20 Nationell), 134^th overall

A remarkably polished, two-way center, Dower Nilsson is no one’s idea of a top six center, but he played a shutdown role as captain for Team Sweden at the U18 tournament and put up impressive numbers in both Sweden’s junior and third-tier men’s leagues last year. The skill set does not support those numbers continuing as a higher-level pro, but he can find a way to contribute and should have been selected at least one full round earlier than where Detroit nabbed him.

Worst value pick – Carter Mazur, LW, Tri-City Storm (USHL), 70^th overall

In his second year of draft eligibility, Mazur had a great season captaining Tri-City, and being drafted by his hometown team is a great story. He is a fun player to watch and a good reminder that development is not linear, as he did take a huge developmental step last year to earn being drafted. He ends up as the worst value pick however, over the anonymous Pasquale Zito, because Zito was a late round pick and Mazur was taken in the third round. Mazur’s tools don’t line up with his production and he lacks any one tool that would come up in an elevator pitch. If he reaches his ceiling as a bottom six winger, the pick will be correctly deemed a success, but there were still players on the board who have higher projected ceilings.

Mackie Samoskevich.. Photo Dan Hickling

Florida Panthers

1 (24) Mackie Samoskevich, RW, Chicago (USHL)

2 (56) Evan Nause, D, Quebec (QMJHL)

4 (120) Vladislav Lukashevich, D, Loko Yaroslavl (MHL)

5 (152) Kirill Gerasimyuk, G, SKA Varyagi (VHL)

6 (184) Jakub Kos, LW, Ilves U20 (U20 SM-sarja)

7 (210) Braden Hache, D, Kingston (OHL)

While I absolutely adored Bill Zito’s first draft class last year – it seemed as if he was simply drafting the best player among those remaining from the McKeens list at times – this one feels much more “meh”. Not a bad class by any stretch, just uninspiring. The 2021 Florida draft class consists of a goalie, three blueliners, and two wingers. The six picks were divided evenly between European talents (two Russians and a Czech) and North Americans (one each from the USHL, QMJHL, and OHL – the last of which spent the year on the sidelines given the OHL’s cancellation).

There was no real trend to note among the Panthers draftees. They took players with grades among the best in skating (Samoskevich) and physicality (Hache) in the draft class, but on the other hand, guys like Nause and Lukashevich are relatively well-rounded prospects, without any one selling tool. The five skaters all have decent size (Samoskevich is only 5-11”, but built stocky), and Hache and Kos both qualify as big, so perhaps size was important, although not in the same way that it was for the Ottawa Senators. There was one notable element of the Panthers experience at the draft that was not related to the players they selected, but connected to a pick they dealt away from 2022. On day two of the draft, the Panthers sent their 2022 first round pick, along with goaltending prospect Devon Levi to Buffalo for Sam Reinhart. So, if we include that deal in our assessment of this draft class, it’s an obvious win. We really shouldn’t though, so like all draft classes, we will wait and see.

First round pick – Mackie Samoskevich, RW, Chicago Steel (USHL), 24^th overall

Top end speed and top end skill. Based on the first half of his season, Samoskevich is not only a first round pick, but a top 15 pick, to boot. He is an incredible skater, combining both great speed and great edges, making him a four-directional threat. His puck skills were just as impressive. He utilizes his linemates expertly, uses his feet to create new passing lanes and very slick hands to put the puck on his linemate’s sticks. His draft season was interrupted by an injury, and for a lengthy stretch, Samoskevich was not the same player upon his return, although he still flashed it enough to be worthy of being picked where Florida called his name. He will be spending the next (at least) two years on campus with Michigan, and teamed up with a good finisher, will be deadly.

Best value pick – Vladislav Lukashevich, D, Loko Yaroslavl (MHL), 120^th overall

Second rounder Evan Nause was a consideration here, but he was never going to go more than 10 or so picks higher than where the Panthers selected him. Lukashevich, a surprise omission from the Russian U18 tournament roster, was seen as more likely to be taken as much as a full round higher than where Florida drafted him, even if he went higher than where we had him ranked. Although tall, he is physically immature, but all of his tools grade out as average or better. He skates well, he is a promising mover of the puck, and he does a solid job of battling for the puck even though most opponents have more bulk on their frames. He will never be flashy enough to be a top prospect, but he has sleeper written all over him.

Worst value pick – Kirill Gerasimyuk, G, SKA Varyagi (VHL), 152^nd overall

Very young for this draft class (he has a late August birthdate), Gerasimyuk was not on to many radars for the draft, considering the limited playing time he has so far had in his career. This isn’t really bad value, per se, just a pick with more risk attached than any of Florida’s others this time, even if Florida has done well drafting goalies.

Oliver Kapanen, Photo by Dan Hickling.

Montreal Canadiens

1 (31) Logan Mailloux, D, SK Lejon (HockeyEttan)/London (OHL)

2 (63) Riley Kidney, C, Acadie-Bathurst (QMJHL)

2 (64) Oliver Kapanen, C, Kalpa U20 (U20 SM-sarja)

3 (87) Dmitri Kostenko, D, Lada Togliatti (VHL)

4 (113) William Trudeau, D, Charlottetown (QMJHL)

5 (142) Daniil Sobolev, D, Windsor (OHL)

5 (150) Joshua Roy, RW, Sherbrooke (QMJHL)

6 (191) Xavier Simoneau, C, Drummondville (QMJHL)

7 (214) Joe Vrbetic, G, North Bay (OHL)

I am generally not one to pass absolute judgement on a draft class before five years have passed, and even then, judgement will be provisional. But this class, despite including some solid players, is worse than a dud. And it earned that branding on day one, with the absurdly heartless selection of Logan Mailloux. The rumors that had followed the defender around for the previous few months had been enough for some clubs to mark him as a “DO NOT DRAFT”, but once the full details of his actions came to light, many others joined. When the player himself asked not to be drafted, there could only have been a handful of teams left who would even have considered him for the seventh round, much less round one. AITA? Yes, Mr. Bergevin, you are. The selection was callous, brazen, and an utter inability, or disregard to, reading the room.

In fairness to the other eight players selected by Montreal’s scouting staff, a few words then. Usually happy to minimize their QMJHL drafting, the Canadiens actually went heavy on their home turf this year, with four QMJHL draftees, including one (Xavier Simoneau), a third year eligible, who put up big numbers for years, but was ignored for his size. His recognition as the QMJHL and CHL Humanitarian of the Year two years ago does not redress the bad Mailloux karma, but good that Simoneau was drafted. Outside of the Q’, they selected two from Russia – one of whom was planning to play last year in the OHL and experienced a lost season as a result, one from Finland, and Mailloux and one other from the OHL. Their picks focused more on the defensive side of the game, with four blueliners plus one goalie, compared with four forwards. Size does not seem to have been a primary consideration.

First round pick – Logan Mailloux, D, SK Lejon (HockeyEttan)/London Knights (OHL), 31^st overall

Enough digital ink has been spilled by myself and many others about why Montreal should not have drafted Mailloux from a personal/personnel standpoint. But Montreal drafted him anyway and we should take a brief moment to discuss Mailloux as a hockey player. If he had not committed the crimes that he did, he would have been a reasonable, albeit not a slam dunk as a late first rounder, as we saw him in the second round before the full story of his actions was revealed. He is very big, moves well, plays a physical game. His offensive tools are fine, but his game is very raw and still mistake-prone. He is not a horrible prospect looking only at on-ice potential, but he is 100% not the caliber of player for whom you ignore or downplay his off-ice track record.

Best value pick – Joshua Roy, RW/C, Sherbrooke Phoenix (QMJHL), 150^th overall

Although his numbers have not yet caught up with his inherent skill set, it was not that long ago that Roy was coveted highly enough to be taken first overall in the QMJHL Entry Draft. Some teams were turned off by the fact that he forced a trade way from Saint John to Sherbrooke, even though it was largely a matter of homesickness, as his family was not able to leave Quebec to visit him in the Maritimes, due to COVID restrictions. So, I ask you, how does that push a gifted forward this far down draft boards while Mailloux’ actions seemingly bumped him up? It really boggles the mind. As for Roy, he has a great shot and fantastic puck skills, but his skating needs some work. Moderate improvements to his mobility could give him middle six value.

Worst value pick – Mailloux & Dmitri Kostenko, D, Lada Togliatti (VHL), 87^th overall

Enough about Mailloux. Kostenko isn’t bad. We had him ranked just outside our top 223, meaning we would not have drafted him if we were the GM of every single team, but we would have considered him and would not fault a team calling out his name in the fifth round or later. We just didn’t see a reason to really pull for him either. His offensive tools are solid, but his skating needs work, and his ability to process the game and make correct choices is lacking. Montreal has been right (at our expense) before with Russian defenders, as was the case with Alexander Romanov, who we also were not fond of, and if Kostenko is another Romanov, more power to him and Montreal. Making that bet in the third round is rich for me, though.

Tyler Boucher, Photo by Rena Laverty, USA Hockey

Ottawa Senators

1 (10) Tyler Boucher, RW, USNTDP (USHL)

2 (39) Zach Ostapchuk, C, Vancouver (WHL)

2 (49) Benjamin Roger, D, London (OHL)

3 (74) Oliver Johansson, C, Timra IK (HockeyAllsvenskan)

4 (123) Carson Latimer, RW, Edmonton (WHL)

7 (202) Chandler Romeo, D, Hamilton (OHL)

Big boys only here. Ottawa gave us the first real surprise of the 2021 draft by selecting USNTDP power forward Tyler Boucher with the 10^th overall selection. More on Boucher below, but the pick was indicative that the Senators would be hunting for size and strength with their picks this year. Of their six picks, all are at least 6-0” tall, with three of them listed as over 6-3”. Not only tall, but only two of their picks weigh in at below 198 pounds. Unfortunately, in most of these picks, it looks like Ottawa sacrificed playing ability to get those big boys, which is not to say that they won’t see NHL value out of any of these picks, but that the approach will likely mean that they receive less value at the NHL level than they would have if skill/ability was their primary concern. Each and every player selected by Ottawa was drafted far ahead of where we had the player in question ranked, something we cannot say about any other team.

Beyond the size issue, there isn’t much noteworthy about the Senators’ picks, taken as a class. Lacking picks in either of the fifth or sixth rounds, but owning an extra second rounder, the team ended up with two players each from the WHL and OHL, one from the USHL, and one European, a Swede with the best skills of anyone among their picks. The picks were evenly split positionally, with two defenders, two centers, and two wingers.

First round pick – Tyler Boucher, RW, USNTDP (USHL), 10^th overall

A power winger who can dominate physically, Boucher, son of long time NHL goalie Brian Boucher, hasn’t topped the point-per-game rate since he was playing U14 hockey in New Jersey. He has decent offensive tools, when looked at in a vacuum, but has never put them to consistent use. There was some thought that some team would call out his name in the late first round, but 10^th overall was a shock, and that’s without even considering his injury history that kept him off the ice for much of his draft year. Some pundits reported that they looked to trade down, but couldn’t work out a deal that would still ensure they could land Boucher. I strongly suspect that this selection set the stage for a few other less-talented, but big/physical/gritty players to go in the first round that otherwise might not have.

Best value pick – Carson Latimer, RW, Edmonton Oil Kings (WHL), 123^rd overall

Technically, the Senators didn’t have a value pick this year, but Latimer is the closest to qualifying. He has good size with some physicality to go along with it, some skill with the puck, two-way ability, and knows how to fit in in a supporting role, which will be his sole path to the NHL. This is not a high upside player, but with some moderate improvement to his skating stride, could turn out to be a solid fourth round gamble.

Worst value pick – Zack Ostapchuk, LW, Vancouver Giants (WHL), 39^th overall

In a draft class full of reaches, the selection of Ostapchuk in the early second round was the most egregious. His pros are his plus size, above average mobility, and nascent puck skills. None of those elements are truly top six caliber, and he hadn’t produced at a top six rate since his U15 days. This pick was made around two rounds too high. Ostapchuk making the NHL at all is no guarantee, and it is very hard to see anything more than a fourth rounder. The Senators went all in on their size strategy, and I have to assume that it is because the organization feels that the young players already in the pipeline will be taking over the top roles anyway. Regardless, there is a good chance that Ostapchuk would have been available one round – or more – later.

Dylan Duke. Photo Rena Laverty, USA Hockey

Tampa Bay Lightning

3 (96) Roman Schmidt, D, USNTDP (USHL)

4 (126) Dylan Duke, LW, USNTDP (USHL)

5 (160) Cameron MacDonald, C, Saint John (QMJHL)

6 (192) Alex Gagne, D, Muskegon (USHL)

7 (196) Daniil Pylenkov, D, Podolsk (KHL)

7 (211) Robert Flinton, LW, St. Paul’s School (USHS-NH)

7 (224) Niko Huuhtanen, RW, Tappara U20 (U20 SM-sarja)

The last team to make their first pick this year, and then the last team to make any pick, a team’s draft class after winning the Stanley Cup – much less winning back-to-back Cups – is almost an afterthought. But we should never forget how instrumental good drafting – in all rounds – has been to Tampa’s recent run of success. We can’t say if the next Brayden Point will emerge from one of the seven players Tampa selected, all in the third round or later, but we shouldn’t be surprised if one or more of these mid-to-late round picks far exceeds his expected draft slot value.

Both of their first two selections (Roman Schmidt and Dylan Duke) were from the USNTDP. Two other picks were of US-based players headed for college. With the other three selections, we have one player each from Russia, Finland, and the QMJHL. The picks were a simple mix of four forwards and three defenders. Size seems to have been a consideration, with six of the seven picks (all except Duke) coming at a minimum size of 6-1”, 190. They had no problem picking up players who had been passed over in previous drafts, with Alex Gagne in his second year of eligibility and Daniil Pylenkov in his third.

First pick – Roman Schmidt, D, USNDTP (USHL), 96^th overall

Tampa’s first pick was the final selection of the third round, and with Schmidt, they added a physical specimen who combines immense size (6-6”, 209) with remarkable skating ability, and a willingness to play hard. The rest of his game s still pretty raw and prone to inconsistency on both sides of the puck, but early in the season he was given some consideration as a potential first rounder because of his two higher-end traits. Schmidt’s recent decision to forego college for Kitchener of the OHL does shorten his path to the pro game. He looks like an intriguing option for a bottom pair now, but if he adds offense to his game, that projection can easily improve.

Best value pick – Dylan Duke, C, USNTDP (USHL), 126^th overall

To be honest, had Tampa drafted Duke in the third and Schmidt in the fourth, it would have lined up far better in terms of the eventual value we expect out of each player, but size was paramount throughout this draft class, so flipping the script on these two makes sense, as there was probably a good chance that Schmidt would have been taken by another team before the Lightning had the chance to draft in the fourth round. Although smaller, Duke plays a very gritty game, thriving near the crease. He will have to learn to play on a lower line next year at Michigan, but his style is suited for that type of role. He isn’t (likely) the next Brayden Point, but Duke is likely to have had the greatest NHL value once all is said and done with this Tampa draft class.

Worst value pick – Robert Flinton, LW, St. Paul’s School (USHS-NH), 211^th overall

Truthfully, the only concern with Flinton is that nothing is really known about him. He played in a smaller prep school in his home state of New Hampshire and has no experience against top competition. He’s big and strong and has a solid snap shot, but he is mostly a mystery. Committed to Dartmouth for the 2022-23 season, he is expected to play in the USHL next season, most likely with Cedar Rapids. Flinton may be their worst value pick, but seeing as the pick was made late in the seventh round, where expected value is near nil, we at least know that the scout who pushed for him is happy, and morale is never a bad thing. This is more a statement that Tampa got solid to very good value out of the other six picks they made.

Matthew Knies. Photo by DAN HICKLING

Toronto Maple Leafs

2 (57) Matthew Knies, LW, Tri-City (USHL)

5 (153) Ty Voit, C, Sarnia (OHL)

6 (185) Vycheslav Peksa, G, Irbis Kazan (MHL)

This is easy. The Leafs only made three selections. One each from the USHL, the cancelled OHL, and Russia. Not much sense looking for patterns in a sample size of three, but the organization’s willingness to trade away their picks earlier in the year, after they were widely known to be one of the clubs who did not allow its scouts to attend games in person all year, is telling. They approached this draft class as a near afterthought, which I strongly suspect was a result of the bulk of leagues playing significantly condensed schedules. This is as close to opting out as a team could reasonably do.

First pick – Matthew Knies, LW, Tri-City Storm (USHL), 57^th overall

Knies had some first round buzz before the season started, considering his premium size and the playmaking chops he demonstrated with aplomb in 2019-20 as a USHL rookie. A bout with COVID led to a very slow start this year, both in terms of production and literally as a skater. He just looked heavy-footed. Knies picked it up as the season progressed and had some going back to the previous first rounder impression. He will have to improve his skating to maximize the rest of his game, but he is a smart enough forward to be able to succeed in a middle six if he can just get up to average mobility. Headed to play for Minnesota, Toronto will not rush him.

Best value pick – Ty Voit, C, Sarnia Sting (OHL), 153^rd overall

The Pittsburgh area native looked like a very promising playmaker as an OHL rookie in 2019-20, and might have gone off the board much higher than the late fifth round if he were bigger, or if the OHL had even an abbreviated season this year. He flashes high end puck skills, skates very well, and showed a clear propensity for making good decisions when he debuted with the Sting. He is no sure thing, but there are markers here of previous Toronto mid-round picks who either worked out, or are still young and trending in the right direction, like Adam Brooks, Semyon Der-Arguchintsev, Mikhail Abramov, or Nick Abruzzese.

Worst value pick – Vyacheslav Peksa, G, Irbis Kazan (MHL), 185^th overall

By process of elimination, the worst value can only have been from Toronto’s third and final selection, the unheralded netminder from Russia. Peksa was not on anyone’s radar. He played in only two games at any level in 2019-20, and 18 last year, where he was the backup to Vladimir Mosin in the regular season and played behind 2020 Toronto pick Artur Akhtyamov in the postseason. My guess is that the Leafs were comfortable with Peksa based on tracking the development of Akhtyamov. We will know a lot more about Peksa if he can finally play a full season as a starter. The fact he hasn’t done that yet – and he is already 19 years old - increases the risk factor. It would be easier to understand taking this type of a risk if the Leafs had a more normal sized draft class, but with only three players selected altogether, a more careful approach would have been preferred.

2021 NHL DRAFT: TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING REVIEW

Ryan Wagman — Mon, 30 Aug 2021 15:36:00 +0000

Dylan Duke. Photo Rena Laverty, USA Hockey

3 (96) Roman Schmidt, D, USNTDP (USHL)

4 (126) Dylan Duke, LW, USNTDP (USHL)

5 (160) Cameron MacDonald, C, Saint John (QMJHL)

6 (192) Alex Gagne, D, Muskegon (USHL)

7 (196) Daniil Pylenkov, D, Podolsk (KHL)

7 (211) Robert Flinton, LW, St. Paul’s School (USHS-NH)

7 (224) Niko Huuhtanen, RW, Tappara U20 (U20 SM-sarja)

First pick – Roman Schmidt, D, USNDTP (USHL), 96^th overall

Best value pick – Dylan Duke, C, USNTDP (USHL), 126^th overall

Worst value pick – Robert Flinton, LW, St. Paul’s School (USHS-NH), 211^th overall

2021 NHL DRAFT: Re-Entry Candidates – 2nd and 3rd Year Eligible Prospects to Watch – Part Three: USA

Wed, 09 Jun 2021 19:12:30 +0000

In a normal year, scouting hockey is marred by imperfection. Every year high end players get skipped over at the NHL draft for various reasons. Maybe they suffered through injuries. Maybe their team struggled, and it prevented scouts from getting a good read on them. Maybe their team was too good, forcing them down the depth chart with limited minutes and exposure opportunities. Or...maybe they just were not good enough. But thankfully human development is nonlinear and therefore unpredictable. Teenage hockey players are far from a finished product on the ice as their games mature just as the rest of their body and mind does. That is why it is critical to track players as they move through their second and third years of draft eligibility (or fourth years of eligibility for some European players).

However, this has certainly not been a normal year. Given that play for some leagues has been limited or even nonexistent (the OHL), one has to wonder if NHL scouts may choose to select more players who narrowly went undrafted last year; the top remaining ones from their list a year ago. This is especially true if said players have shown positive progression this season.

North American players with birth dates from January 1st to September 15th, will be eligible for three NHL drafts. Players with birth dates from September 16th to December 31st, will be eligible for two NHL drafts. And for European players (in European leagues), extend that eligibility by one year in both cases. Recently, NHL scouts have increased the rate with which they are selecting “re-entry” candidates, or players previously passed over. Contract limits have made it critical for teams to spread out where they select players from, in addition to their age. This has made second- and third-year eligible U.S. and European based players especially attractive. However, these players have had a lot of success in recent years too. The reigning Vezina trophy winner in the NHL and one of the best goaltenders in the league was one; Connor Hellebuyck.

Last year, eight “re-entry” candidates went in the Top 100; Yegor Chinahkov, Mason Lohrei, Yegor Sokolov, Gage Goncalves, Nico Daws, Trevor Kuntar, Daniil Chechelev, Sam Stange. In our “second chances” article last year (Part 1: Part 2: Part 3:) we wrote about five of these eight. In total there were 41 taken, right in line with the trend of over 40 being selected in other recent drafts (roughly about 20% of all players selected). Additionally, of those 41, we identified and wrote about 18 in our aforementioned second chances series. Just like in previous editions of this annual report, we aim to identify more.

In 2021, we have some very interesting candidates. Cameron Rowe and Josh Lopina were two of the best freshmen in the NCAA this season. Josh Doan, the son of former Arizona Coyotes star Shane Doan, has exploded with the Chicago Steel of the USHL. Zakhar Bardakov had a terrific World Junior Championships and has played well in the KHL. Speaking of the WJC’s, Florian Elias was a breakout star for Germany at the event. Swiss defender Janis Moser has had the best U21 season in NLA history for a blueliner. And of course many CHL players have stood out too (even transplanted OHL players). This article intends to highlight them and many other candidates who could be part of that 20% this year.

USA

NCAA

Travis Treloar - Center - Ohio State (Big 10)

There was some thought that Treloar might get drafted last year as a re-entry after a solid second season in the USHL with Lincoln. He ended up leading the Stars in scoring and his 35 assists on the year were top 5 in the league. But there were still too many holes in his game for NHL scouts’ liking. This year, he continued to prove doubters wrong with a fantastic freshman season at Ohio State, where he led the Buckeyes in scoring (20 points in 25 games). With a 0.80 points per game average, Treloar was top 10 among all freshmen, ahead of many NHL drafted prospects.

“Born in Sweden to a Canadian father and a Norwegian mother, Treloar was raised in Sweden with some time in Norway as well, before relocating to New Jersey at age 16 to play AAA hockey for the New Jersey Avalanche program before moving on to the USHL, where he spent two seasons – his first two years of draft eligibility. Treloar had his moments in the USHL, first with Chicago and later with Lincoln. However, in both seasons he started strong, showing impressive playmaking chops on top of an adequate two-way game, but in each case, petered off in the second half. To his credit, the season was further along before he faded in his second time through the USHL. My observations led me to believe that the slowdown was largely due to physical exhaustion, as he was – and still is – physically slight, but if you think his current 5-11”, 176 lbs is small, remember that he was even leaner last year and the year before that.

Once again this year Treloar started off on fire, now as a freshman with Ohio State. After being shut out in his first two collegiate games, he then went on a run of six points in his next four games, and ended the year as the Buckeyes’ leading scorer, even though he was again held off the score sheet in eight of his last ten games. There is risk in his profile, whether you believe that his second half slowdowns are due to physical immaturity or another reason, but I would be looking at the bright side instead, seeing a smart, responsible player with a good skill game who has a track record of season-over-season improvement that is four years running, and would be hopeful that even marginal muscle growth going forward would help him take on an energy role at the top level, not unlike an Alexander Kerfoot type.” - Ryan Wagman

Josh Lopina - Center - UMass (Amherst) (Hockey East

Lopina was actually ranked by us at McKeen’s last year (206th) after a strong second season in the USHL with Lincoln and a supporting performance at the World Junior A Challenge for the United States. A strong two-way forward, Lopina was one of the very best freshmen in College Hockey this year, winning a championship with UMass as one of the team’s most consistent offensive contributors. His 23 points were the 6th best freshmen total, while his +21 rating was the very best. There seems to be little doubt that he will hear his name called this time around in July.

“A teammate of Treloar’s on the Lincoln Stars during the 2019-20 season, we saw enough in Lopina last year to rate him as a solid candidate for the last round or two of the draft, slotting him 206 in our year-end draft rankings. As good as Treloar was as a freshman for an Ohio State program in a down year, Lopina was a critical player for the NCAA champion UMass Minutemen as a freshman. At 6-2”, and close to 200lbs, the Illinois native has a pro frame, and a game that suggests a very high pro floor, with a ceiling that may not fall too far short of Treloar’s either.

Lopina is not a pace setter, but he has always been able to keep up. He has a strong shot and is patient and poised with the puck on his stick, never forcing plays, but keeping his feet moving to try to create a better lane for a pass or shot. What has kept him from being drafted in the past is that he lacks any one selling tool that will cause scouts to immediately mark him as a draft candidate. Lopina needs to be watched for a while before one really starts to realize that he plays a smart, effective game and can be a strong contributor to a successful team, such as the three points (1 G, 2 A) he added to the Minutemen’s Frozen Four March.” - Ryan Wagman

Cameron Rowe - Goaltender - Wisconsin (Big 10)

Rowe, a former US National Development Team member, despite being rated highly previously. In his original draft year (2019), he was actually the 4th rated goalie in North America by NHL Central Scouting. Yet, he remains without an NHL affiliation. That may change this year after the big goaltender was the top freshmen netminder in all of College Hockey this season for Wisconsin. An All Rookie team member for the Big 10, Rowe finished the year with a sparkling .933 save percentage and established himself as the Badgers’ starter moving forward.

“Known primarily as Spencer Knight’s partner for the USNTDP during the 2017-18 and 2018-19 seasons, we could fairly say that Rowe helped his partner stand out during his time at the program, as his own uninspired, inconsistent play in net made Knight’s own marvelous consistency all the more remarkable. Continued inconsistency in his D+1 season with Des Moines of the USHL did not help Rowe’s case, even though he at least showed that he could retain his level of play while playing starter’s minutes.

Despite the ongoing concerns, he has pro size (6-3”, 212) and plus athleticism. On the downside, he was prone to allowing one goal against to snowball into many, as well as technical inconsistencies. Moving on to the NCAA with Wisconsin, Rowe was back to a tandem job, but this time, he was the better of the two performers, with a save percentage 14 percentage points higher than that of veteran partner, Robbie Beydoun. 10 of his 13 starts were “quality starts”, allowing two or fewer goals against. I have long felt that the raw pieces were there for Rowe to eventually blossom into a legit NHL prospect. Last season was his first truly big step in that direction.” - Ryan Wagman

Zachary Okabe - Right Wing - St. Cloud State (NCHC)

Not too often do you see a College Hockey player still eligible for the NHL Draft after their sophomore season, but that is the case with Okabe. The 5’9, offensive spark plug became a consistent offensive contributor for the Huskies this season, more than doubling the output of his freshman year (from 9 to 22 points). His 16 assists were top 10 in College Hockey among freshmen or sophomore players, again, ahead of many NHL drafted skaters.

“Born in Japan and raised in Australia, Okabe relocated with his family to Canada in his youth, where he blossomed on the ice, spending a few seasons in the famous Edge School prep program before embarking on a two-year run in the AJHL with Grand Prairie, which included an AJHL Rookie of the Year award. Okabe’s collegiate career got off to a slow start, with only nine points as a freshman, a total which he more than doubled as a sophomore this year (22 points in 30 points).

A small player (5-9”, 170), he, nonetheless, is at his best when he is able to find room in the slot – whether for a shot, or to redirect the puck to a linemate. He isn’t shy about challenging much bigger defenders, but he is more effective being sneaky. The fact that he was rarely used in defensive situations, such as the PK, for the Huskies, may be a concern to some, but the energy Okabe brings is undeniable. And the skills that he flashes do seem transferrable. He will never be a big player, but his type of grit is unteachable.” - Ryan Wagman

Iivari Rasanen - Defense - Quinnipiac University (ECAC)

We are seeing more and more Finnish players crossing the pond to play College Hockey and Rasanen is another example of that. He played last year for Muskegon of the USHL, posting moderate numbers, but has had a terrific freshman season for Quinnipiac this year, playing a key role on the blueline for the first place Bobcats. His +14 rating on the season was the 6th best among first year blueliners in College Hockey and was the very best on Quinnipiac. A former highly touted prospect (Rasanen served as the captain for Finland at the 2019 U18’s), he appears to have really turned a corner.

“This is a guy I’ve had in the corner of my eye for a little while now. Never bet against defenders who can skate, and Räsänen has added skill and pace to his game with the puck that drove unbelievable defense-first results for a talented Quinnipiac team this year. Goal differentials improved by over 80% with him on the ice, and he was on the ice for just 5 of Quinnipiac’s 40 even strength goals against with him in the lineup. With points on over 40% of the even strength goals his team scored, Räsänen showed promising offensive output, even if his point totals don’t jump out at you. He’s quick, surgical with his defensive pressure, and turns play around exceptionally well to push pucks up the ice quickly. For a freshman, I felt he stood out more than I expected from my viewings over the last two years, and similar to Cormier, I’m not sure I’d use a pick on him, but I feel like you could do much worse than reserving Räsänen’s rights for the next few years.” - Will Scouch

USHL

Daniel Laatsch - Defense - Sioux City Musketeers

Generally speaking, it is never a good sign for a U.S. based player’s draft stock when they are bumped from the USDP U18 team in favor of younger, better performing players. Had there been a U18’s, Laatsch would likely have not been a part of it. The lean, 6’5, defender just went back to work this season, playing with Sioux City, performing admirably for the Musketeers. A Wisconsin Badgers’ commit, Laatsch is surely to be back on the draft radar this time around.

“In most “normal” seasons, by the end of the USNTDP season, the bottom 1-3 performers from the U18 squad are bumped down to finish their seasons with the U17s, while the top 1-3 players from the U17 move up to play with the U18s. Last year, Laatsch was one of those unfortunate bottom U18 players, and may have missed out on an appearance in the 2020 U18 Championships had that event been held. Returning to the USHL to play with Sioux City, Laatsch was far more impressive.

On a team with New Jersey draft pick Ethan Edwards and 2021 draft prospect Shai Buium, Laatsch and his impressively lanky frame managed to stick out. Despite rarely appearing on the scoresheet with the USNDTP, he would still occasionally flash a level of talent rarely seen in players of his size. That talent came to the fore more often with the Musketeers. He played in all situations, including heavy usage on the PK, and while I see him continuing to fill that role at the next level – he is a Wisconsin commit – I doubt he spends any time on the power play, as his shot is not that menacing. Laatsch keeps a very tight gap and knows how to use his stick to close in on opponents, especially when they try to enter the Sioux City zone on his side. He is still raw, but his size and athleticism and occasional bits of fancy stickwork should make him some team’s idea of a good pick in the 4^th round and beyond.” - Ryan Wagman

Hank Kempf. Photo by Dan Hickling/Hickling Images

Hank Kempf - Defense - Muskegon Lumberjacks

In his second USHL season with Muskegon, the 6’2 defender emerged as one of the elite shut down defenders in the league. Wearing an “A’ for the Lumberjacks, Kampf also improved his offensive production from a year ago (when he went undrafted) and this should help to convince NHL scouts of his potential. Kampf remains a long-term project, but that is perfect considering his commitment to Cornell and likelihood of spending three or four years in College as most Ivy Leaguers do.

“Despite missing much of the first half of this season to injury, since returning Kempf has cemented himself as one of the top candidates among 18+ players in the USHL to be drafted this season. The Chicago-area native has a solid build, plays in all situations and has been successful at defending the best the USHL has to offer. He lacks the shot or the puck moving skills to play on the power play at the next level but has enough ability to skate with the puck and move it around the offensive zone to not be a liability if called upon either. I have been especially impressed with his play away from the puck, for his ability to shut down attacks and control play along the boards. Expected to move on to Cornell next year, he will have at least three seasons to mature in college and could be a blueline leader from day one. Kempf may be a “safe” prospect, but there is enough here to entice someone to call out his name in the draft’s second half.” - Ryan Wagman

Andrei Buyalsky - Center - Dubuque Fighting Saints

Through a loophole in the draft eligibility system, the 2000 born Kazakhstan native is actually still eligible for the NHL Draft this season. This is a good thing for the NHL scouts who want to secure the right of the 6’3, offensive center. With Dubuque, Buyalsky was an offensive leader nearly immediately upon joining the team about a third of the way into the season, an accolade that has earned him a scholarship with Vermont, allowing him to continue to play in the United States.

“I will admit to not realizing that Buyalsky was draft eligible when he showed up to play for Dubuque between Christmas and New Year’s. An Elliotte Friedman thought put me on the right track though, as despite being a 2000-born player, his European status at the beginning of this season allowed the Kazakhstani to retain draft eligibility. The rangy center is a great skater with enough puck skill to coerce even good defenders into stress-related errors. Tall and lean, Buyalsky was fairly consistently finding his way onto the scoresheet until a late-season injury kept him out of the playoffs.

Committed to attending Vermont next season, Buyalsky has enough dynamic elements to his game to expect big things from him in the near future. The question NHL scouts should be asking themselves is not whether he would be worth a pick in the last three rounds, but whether he could add 10-15 pounds to his lean frame without losing too much of his impressive North-South speed. He has already done well enough playing against men in Kazakhstan’s top pro league, and his immediate ability to step into a top six role with Dubuque mid-season certainly showed that he can perform on North American sized rinks. He is not without risk, but how many draft picks truly are?” - Ryan Wagman

Camden Thiesing - Right Wing - Green Bay Gamblers

A throwback, power forward from yester-years, Thiesing has certainly taken a long road to being NHL draft relevant. Starting in the NAHL before moving to the USHL, the 6’0 Ohio State commit was one of the most improved players in the USHL this year with Green Bay, finishing the season at near the point per game mark.

“They don’t make power forwards like they used to, but Tennessee native Thiesing is sure trying to do his part to keep the tradition alive. His 123 penalty minutes this year for Green Bay were third in the league, and of the two players who spent more time atoning for their sins, neither had more than half of Thiesing’s 44 points. The Ohio State commit was playing in the NAHL in his first year of draft eligibility, and underwhelmed in his second year, which was his first in the USHL.

This year, he was able to perform about as well as Boston draft pick Jake Schmaltz, and better than Vancouver pick Jackson Kunz on a decent Gamblers team. The offensive components to his game are all in the realm of average, but everything manages to play up – to be more effective in game situations – due to Thiesing’s ability to read the play and his willingness to throw himself at danger and essentially force the opposition’s hand. His upside is limited, but I know he will do whatever he possibly can to maximize the tools at his disposal.” - Ryan Wagman

Alex Gagne - Defense - Muskegon Lumberjacks

Speaking of the USHL’s most improved players, look no further than Alex Gagne of Muskegon. The 6’3, 200lbs defender tripled his offensive output from a year ago when he was not even on the draft radar as one of the younger players available (as an August birthday). If there is one thing that NHL scouts love it is significant progression from players in their draft +1 year (more so than their draft +2 years). The New Hampshire commit led the USHL in +/- (+35) this year among defenders and should be highly coveted in July.

“Think about everything I wrote about Hank Kempf above but make him bigger and more physical. Gagne, an August 2002 born player, was one of the younger members of the potential 2020 draft class. The New Hampshire native was in his first year in the USHL, and the leap from New Hampshire AAA hockey was understandably steep. His original Cedar Rapids team was prevented from playing from this year due to the Derecho which destroyed much of their arena last offseason, so Gagne was allowed to move to Muskegon in the dispersal draft.

The move, combined with his added familiarity to the league and additional physical and mental maturity, worked wonders for his game. Despite rarely playing on the power play for Muskegon, his 26 points – all at even strength – were second among Lumberjack blueliners behind only draft candidate Jacob Guevin. Gagne is a strong skater for his size, and handles speed attacks quite well, gapping tightly and using his long reach impressively. He also makes opponents pay a price in the corners. Headed back home next year to play for the University of New Hampshire, Gagne is another of the high floor, low ceiling re-draft candidates in the USHL this year.” - Ryan Wagman

Carter Mazur - Left Wing - Tri-City Storm

A former highly touted player coming out of the Detroit Little Caesars program, Mazur was one of the most disappointing draft eligible players in the USHL last year with Tri-City. However, the 6’0, University of Denver commit, had a remarkable bounce back, sophomore season with the Storm this year. Averaging nearly a point per game and wearing the “C’ for Tri-City, Mazur has put himself back on the NHL scouting map.

“The third overall pick of the 2018 USHL Futures Draft, Mazur needed some time to get the hang of the USHL. The Detroit native actually stayed with the Little Caesars’ program for one more year after the Storm selected him, but even then, his 13-point rookie season underwhelmed. With nearly one point per game for a solid Storm team this year, his early stumbles have been put to bed. Slowly filling in his skinny 6-0” frame, Mazur can play the occasional power-style game, driving hard to the net, but he really excels when he cuts out some East-West stylings. He is a fine skater with plus edgework. He moves the puck well, but in his drive to push play, he can be a little too loose with the disc.

He is reliable in his own end as well and spent a considerable chunk of his time on the PK for Tri-City. Wearing the ‘C’ for Western Conference regular season champions Tri-City, Mazur was neck and neck with fellow 2021 draft candidates Hunter Strand and Matthew Knies for the team scoring lead (he finished second in the end). While he will have to curb some of his E-W style at the next level, there are enough positive elements to Mazur’s game to be reasonably optimistic about his potential for a pro career in the future.” - Ryan Wagman

Cameron Berg. Photo by Dan Hickling/Hickling Images

Cameron Berg - Center - Muskegon Lumberjacks

Berg was actually fairly highly ranked by us at McKeen’s (156th) last year after a strong second half finish following a trade to Muskegon that saw him up near the point per game mark. It appears Berg did not let his draft disappointment dissuade him, as he returned to Muskegon this year, picking up right where he left off. Berg’s 58 points on the season placed him 7th in league scoring and the Nebraska/Omaha commit has to be considered a strong candidate to get drafted this time around.

“Another re-draft candidate from Muskegon, Berg was a player we had actually earmarked as a draft candidate last year, and indeed, he was our top ranked player from the USHL (156^th overall) not to be drafted. He may have been overlooked last year as his first quarter of the season with Omaha was pretty empty and he only turned things around in the abbreviated season’s second half. The Omaha native, who is committed to Nebraska-Omaha next season, took his second half gains from last year, and built off them even more this season, in a return engagement with the Lumberjacks.

He has quick feet, at least in short bursts and a killer’s instinct for his big one-timer. In addition to the big shot – his carrying tool – he has some skill with the puck and isn’t afraid to muck it up with opponents. I also believe that he could be a PK contributor at the next level as well, in addition to his obvious power play tools. But really, the team that finally pulls the trigger on Berg will be doing it for Berg’s own trigger – the shot. His 27 goals this year were good enough for 7^th in the league, and 3^rd among all players outside of the Chicago Steel.” - Ryan Wagman

Josh Doan - Right Wing - Chicago Steel

It seems like every year the Steel have a top candidate for this list with the likes of Nick Abruzzese and Gunnarwolfe Fontaine in recent drafts. This year, it is Josh Doan, the son of former NHL star Shane Doan. The 6’2 winger and Arizona State commit, increased his goal production by over 500% (jumping from 5 to 31) and finished the USHL season as the league’s 3rd leading scorer. Given his pedigree, size, and improving skill set, Doan has a chance to be the first re-entry candidate off the draft board this July.

“Josh, son of Arizona Coyotes’ legend Shane Doan, gained some notoriety last year, his first draft eligible season, mostly due to his family name. This year, he added the family game to the family name and has emerged as a player with legitimate NHL aspirations in his own right, a hope he displayed with a four-goal game to a house full of NHL scouts only a few weeks ago, as many non-US scouts were in town as a stop-over on their collective way down to Texas for the U18s. Among other things, Doan has added another step or two to his stride, obviating any previous concerns with his skating ability.

He has a finisher’s mentality but is not single-minded and is just as likely to look for a teammate, as evidenced by his final regular season line of 31 goals and 39 assists. Sure, playing much of the season alongside Montreal prospect Sean Farrell helped, but I can confirm that Farrell and Doan both elevated the play of the other. Doan will return to his native Arizona next season to play for ASU, but I suspect he could be ready to turn pro within two or three years, and his game could play up or down a pro lineup at his peak.” - Ryan Wagman

NAHL

Luke Pavicich - Goaltender - Kenai River Brown Bears

Quietly, the NAHL has become a bit of a goalie factory for NHL scouts, as the league has seen multiple goaltenders drafted in recent years. This includes some in their second or third year of eligibility. Of course, the most famous of those would be Vezina Trophy winner Connor Hellebucyk, who was selected in 2012 in his second year of eligibility. Pavicich, a UMass commit, was one of the NAHL’s best goalies this season with Kenai River and has the size at 6’3 to entice NHL scouts. If Filip Lindberg turns pro, Pavicich would even have a chance to be the starter for the Minutemen next season.

“You often don’t find undrafted goaltenders make their way to the NHL after spending their D+1 in the NAHL. That being said, the position is voodoo and there are random success stories from all over the world. The Kenai River goaltender boasted a .920 sv% across 31 contests, good for 7th in the league for goalies with 20+ starts (all but one of the goalies ahead are older than he is). There’s no position in hockey that requires as much post-draft development as goaltending, that’s why there are stories of highly touted goalie prospects not able to progress past the ECHL, while others can look mediocre for 5-6 years before randomly piecing it all together at 24 years old. Each NHL team has a different approach to developing goaltenders, and while it’s unlikely we’ll hear Pavicich’s name called in June, it’s not out of the question that one or two teams can watch his tape and see his reaction time, positioning and rebound control and believe they can make something out of it with enough development time.” - Sam McGilligan

USHL: 2020-21 Playoff Preview – Expect Entertaining Hockey with Chicago a Clear Favourite

Ryan Wagman — Fri, 30 Apr 2021 15:27:15 +0000

If there is an exception to the across-the-board negative impact of COVID-19 on the world of hockey, it may rest in the USHL. As north of the border, the three leagues of the CHL were in disarray – at best – the USHL, played a fairly “normal” year.

Sure, the league proceeded without the participation of the Madison Capitals (regional COVID restrictions) or the Cedar Rapids Rough Riders (a Derecho huffed and puffed and blew the arena down), but the rest of the league played (an approximately) 54 game schedule with rather few disruptions.

Not only that, but in terms of quality, the league was better than ever, as a number of players who had expected to suit up for Canadian teams – both CHL and Jr. A – were given an opportunity to play for various USHL teams as their regular leagues were delayed indefinitely, or outright cancelled. Those bonus players included some that were drafted already, including Cross Hanas, Bear Hughes, and Danil Gushchin*. Other drafted players came in from the Ivy League schools, who did not play a hockey schedule this year. In addition to the likes of Henry Thrun, Jack Malone, and Austin Wong coming to the USHL after some time in college, others like Sean Farrell and Alex Laferriere, who had intended to start collegiate life this year, were forced to stay back for one more year in the Midwest.

*Gushchin, who had played the previous two seasons with Muskegon, was expected to play in Ontario with Niagara for the 2020-21 season, but with the OHL in permanent statis, he was loaned back to the Lumberjacks, where he put up his best season yet.

And then there were the draft-eligible ringers who unexpectedly joined the league and played so well that they have legitimate first round consideration at the end of it. I am thinking, of course, of Cole Sillinger, who joined Sioux Falls, before it was known when, or if, the WHL would get going, and Ayrton Martino and Jack Bar, who had played in Ontario last year and had been planning on playing in the BCHL this year before Canadian restrictions pushed them to the USHL, with Omaha and Chicago, respectively.

Of course, there were many other unexpected players in the league this year, with those mentioned only scratching the surface of the most famous names.

So, before we preview the postseason, which begins this Friday (Apr. 30), let’s pour one out for the six teams that didn’t make, and give a word to the top 1-3 draft eligible players from those squads.

Team USA

One point behind Dubuque for the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference – although far further back via points percentage (.510-.481), the USNTDP team that would have played in the USHL playoffs had they made it would have been the U17 team. The best of that group – Rutger McGroarty, Isaac Howard, Ryan Chesley, Lane Hutson, Charlie Stramel and others – are playing with the U18 team in Texas at the WU18 tournament. No draft eligibles but remember those names for next season.

Youngstown Phantoms

By points percentage, easily the weakest team in the league. The aforementioned Jack Malone, a Vancouver draft pick, was far and away the top performer on the team, which is to be expected from a player with a year at Cornell under his belt. Among first year draft eligibles, Japanese import Yusako Ando was the most notable, although his second year in the league was worse than his first. He can create for others, but he doesn’t skate well enough to make up for his slight 5-7” frame. The only other draft eligible who ever made a positive impression on me from this roster was blueliner Austen May. The Providence commit is on the small side, but he is really fleet of foot and shows decent attention to detail off the puck.

Des Moines Buccaneers

Despite the presence of three drafted players – Alex Laferriere (LA), Noah Ellis (Vgk), and Lucas Mercuri (Car), the Buccaneers struggled this year, particularly in terms of putting the puck in the net. The drafted guys were all solid, but too few of the rest of the roster could match their output. Perhaps things would have been different if Paul Davey hadn’t of left mid-season for a stint back home in Connecticut. Davey and Scout Truman were the two most notable first time draft eligible on the roster, but neither really put their stamp on the season. If there are to be any Buccaneers drafted this year, they will be among the redraft candidates. To that end, file away the names of Matt Choupani and Remington Koepple. Choupani is a forward who lacks much in the way of physical tools but can play the puck well. Koepple is a goalie who had decent numbers in his first year in the league, although he has only average size and athleticism and he chocked in the BioSteel game, hurting his standing for some.

Lincoln Stars

The Stars went heavy on the ringers partway through the season. Cross Hanas was already mentioned, but he was just one of four players brought in from the WHL Portland Winterhawks, joining Clay Hanas (no relation), Jack O’Brien, and James Stefan, as well as Charles-Alexis Legault from West Kelowna in the BCHL and Michael Mastrodomenico from AAA hockey in Quebec. Simply put, the shuffled team never gelled, and the newcomers couldn’t get into the swing of the USHL.

O’Brien was the biggest disappointment. There was some expectation that he could be a high round pick this year, but one goal and six assists in 23 games ended that sentiment. Blueliner Legault didn’t hurt his stock too much, as he still has great size and skates well and shoots from his right side. Stefan, son of former first overall pick Patrik Stefan, had enough moments to maybe convince some team to call his name in the late rounds. A kind word also to big bruising winger Gleb Veremeyev. Veremeyev isn’t an offensive threat, but one of the top PIM players in the league is a threat, nonetheless. The USHL is not a very physical league, and when a player has that size and plays with that snarl, he sometimes gets drafted, such as we saw with Nick Capone last year and Martin Pospisil in 2018.

Waterloo Black Hawks

Generally contenders, the Black Hawks find themselves out of the playoffs for the first time since 2014-15, and only the second time in 14 seasons for which there were playoffs. Fielding one of the smaller and least experienced lineups in the league, this just wasn’t their year. Their one drafted player, Toronto’s Wyatt Schingoethe, regressed heavily from his strong draft year. The team cycled through goalies, with three seeing significant minutes. Remember the name of Emmett Croteau, the best performing of their netminders, as he won’t be draft eligible until 2022.

Among players eligible this year, the most impressive were second time eligible defenseman Cooper Wylie, a USHL rookie, who can play the puck and skate well enough to make his ornery game effective, if not spectacular. He could be drafted. On the other hand, David Gucciardi, acquired in an early season trade from Youngstown, will be drafted. His game is raw, and his mistakes are often critical, but he has tools, and his instincts are good enough to think he can be a good one if he relies on his instincts all the time.

Sioux Falls Stampede

The Western Conference bottom feeders are a mystery. In the last USHL playoffs, the Stampede took home the title. In addition to their usual solid team, this year they brought in the highest profile ringer in Cole Sillinger, who didn’t disappoint, with a team leading 46 points despite only playing in 31 games. He is a sniper with an NHL style game who will be back in the WHL next year. The USHL rarely sees a player of his caliber, whether talking about skill or about reading the game, yet he couldn’t drag the Stampede upwards on his own. I would be surprised if he isn’t the first player from this year’s USH: crop to play in the NHL.

Defender Brent Johnson was one of the better draft eligible defenders in the league as well. A power play specialist with good wheels and an ornery side, his season ended right before the BioSteel All American Game due to a shoulder injury, but could hear his name called in the 50-80 range of the draft if his medicals hold up.

Although not as high profile, I also have time for second time eligible, defenseman Nate Schweitzer, who can do a lot well, but nothing spectacularly, and winger Mike Citara, who can skate and shoot. I don’t expect either to be drafted, but I wouldn’t be surprised if either was.

The Playoffs

The format this year is simple. The top four teams from each conference made it in. All series are best-of-threes. Top seed plays the fourth seed, and second seed plays the third seed. All games are hosted by the higher seed. One series per weekend until one team lifts the Clark Cup. Let’s go!

Western Conference

Jack Peart. Photo Dan Hickling, Hickling Images

#1 Tri-City Storm vs #4 Fargo Force

The Western Conference was incredibly tight at the top with the playoff picture not being settled until the final weekend of the regular season. The points percentage difference between Tri-City and Fargo (32 percentage points) was less than between Fargo and fifth place Des Moines (34 percentage points).

Fargo was the third best defensive team in the league, although Tri-City was the best at keeping the puck out of its net. Neither team is known for filling their opponents’ nets either, but both had generally done enough to walk away with points more often than not. In fact, they are quite evenly matched. The difference in these three games (outside of home ice advantage) is likely to rest in special teams. Fargo was mediocre on both the power play and the penalty kill, while the Storm were strong with the man advantage and almost impregnable on the penalty kill, leading the league with a breathtaking 88.3% kill rate. To Fargo’s credit, they have played far more of their season at 5-on-5 than Tri-City. And they will have to do that again this weekend to keep their season alive.

Beyond the expected close games, another reason to watch this series is the head-to-head matchup between two very interesting and talented draft eligibles. On Fargo, that would be Tristan Broz, a two-way center with a good motor and the vision to be a power play weapon. The Minnesota commit ran away with the scoring lead on his team. His numbers would be even more impressive if he had more talented teammates to play with. On Tri-City, the man of the hour is Matthew Knies. Knies started his season painfully slow, but ended it on fire, with 20 points in his final 11 games. Knies has heavier feet, but a very mature build and at his best, can take over the game. He will join Broz with the Golden Gophers next year.

Knies and Broz are not the only intriguing draft eligible players in this series. In fact, Fargo blueliner Jack Peart has a very good chance to be the highest drafted player in this series. The St. Cloud State commit split his season between Fargo and Grand Rapids High School (Mn). He is a good skater with a very strong first few steps, who plays with preternatural poise. He controls the puck like a much older player and plays a strong 200-foot game. Had Peart spent the entire season in Fargo, the final standings may have looked very different. For Fargo, also keep an eye on Aaron Huglen, a Buffalo draft pick who returned from over a full year on the sidelines after around a third of this season was done and has played a skilled game ever since.

On Tri-City, Knies is joined by a pair of intriguing draft eligible players in Hunter Strand and Carter Mazur, the latter of whom is a second time eligible player. Strand is a USNTDP alum, whose late birthday prevented him from being drafted last year. The Alaska native is a great skater and plays a patient game with the puck. Mazur has more of an East-West style game, helped along by plus edges. He can play the pest role as well and retains utility off the puck. Strand and Mazur both outscored Knies this year, but Knies already had a big reputation through his big pre-draft year and his run to end the year keeps him top of mind.

Prediction: Fargo in three. A mild upset to be sure. The return of Peart helps Fargo just as much as the loss of top blueliner Guillaume Richard hurts Tri-City. Richard is currently representing Team Canada at the WU18s in Texas. Neither team has stellar goaltending, but Fargo’s Brennan Boynton should be able to roughly match Tri-City’s Todd Scott.

#2 Omaha Lancers vs #3 Sioux City Musketeers

Both Omaha and Sioux City put up 63 points in 53 games, but their paths to getting there could scarcely have been more different. Consider that Omaha’s goal differential was a mediocre +13, while Sioux City outscored their opponents on aggregate by 35 goals, with the league’s best – by far – defense.

The two teams are both led by high end goaltending, each starting one of the three drafted netminders in the league. For Sioux City, that man is the Swiss Akira Schmid, a New Jersey prospect, while Montreal draftee Jakob Dobes, from Czechia, mans the pipes for Omaha. Dobes was a true workhorse for the Lancers, playing in 47 of the team’s 53 games, while Schmid played roughly two-third of the time for Sioux City, as his back up was more reliable.

Schmid will need to be at his best in this series, however, as Omaha has one of the biggest offensive weapons in the league at their disposal in Ayrton Martino. Martino joined the club shortly after the calendar flipped into 2021 and took the league by storm, with the fifth best points-per-game ratio in the USHL (1.47). A great skater with a fantastic shot, Martino did not let his slight frame prevent him from dominating, and his playmaking game is just as strong as his finishing ability. If Sioux City can shut Martino down, the Lancers don’t have too many other weapons at their disposal as their secondary scoring is largely in the hands of USHL veterans like Ryan Lautenbach, Nolan Renwick and Zach Dubinsky. The Omaha roster is one of the oldest in the league.

Sioux City, on the other hand, has a few more weapons at its disposal. Detroit draft pick Chase Bradley and New Jersey pick Ethan Edwards were both in the team’s top four in scoring, while Buffalo pick Matteo Costantini showed well after joining the league mid-season. Although the Musketeers don’t have a draft eligible player the likes of Martino, don’t sleep on defenseman Shai Buium. A USHL rookie out of the Shattuck-St. Mary’s program, he combines quick hands with smooth, if not quick, feet. He plays a strong two-way game and if he were a better skater (he isn’t bad, but he isn’t great), we would be hearing more people call for him as a first round type of talent. As is, he has enough raw skill to dream on a big, late-blooming future. I am also keeping an eye on redraft candidates defenseman Daniel Laatsch and center Justin Hryckowian. Laatsch is a USNTDP alum who has great size and some burgeoning skill, but is still raw, while Hryckowian has a fun skill game, but an injury-filled history and a sub-optimal build.

Prediction: Sioux City’s depth overcomes Martino’s solo skill in three games.

Western Conference Final Prediction: Sioux City over Fargo in three games. Sioux City is just too difficult to score against and has enough offensive weapons to get the job done.

Eastern Conference

Matthew Coronato. Photo by Dan Hickling, Hickling Images

#1 Chicago Steel vs #4 Dubuque Fighting Saints

By all accounts, this should be a washout. Chicago is, by great lengths, the top team in the USHL. They enter the postseason on an eight-game undefeated streak, and won 38 of 54 games this year, often by wide margins. Their goaltending has been shoddy at times, but far more often than not, they were able to outscore their troubles and their total of 265 goals scored was 24 more than the runners-up. Dubuque, on the other hand, won only 24 of 51 games, securing the final playoff spot in the east thanks to a win in their final game coupled with a loss from the U17 USNTDP squad.

If Dubuque is to have a hope in this series, look to their defensive players. Goalie Lukas Parik, a Los Angeles draft pick, struggled since joining the team, in late-January from the Czech second division, but shut out Green Bay in his final game, reminding us of what he is capable. On the blueline, fellow LA pick Braden Doyle teams up with Anaheim draft pick Henry Thrun to give the Fighting Saints a pair of weapons. Up front, Dubuque has a balanced attack, but the man to watch is Robert Cronin. While too old to be drafted this year Cronin is a late bloomer with speed and skill who will be a good follow next year once he joins the University of New Hampshire. The boy to watch, on the other hand, is Matthew Savoie. The 17-year-old is a 2022 draft eligible, who should have been playing in the WHL, but the uncertainty in that league led him to Dubuque, where he immediately played a central, and at time dominating, role. He’s going to be really fun to watch next year.

Looking at draft eligibles for this summer, keep your eyes on Connor Kurth and Andrei Buyalsky. Buylasky is actually the same age (born three days later) as Cronin, but as he is considered a foreign player (this is his first season in North America), the Kazakhstani forward is draft eligible while the American Cronin is not. Buyalsky is an impressive skater with impressive finishing ability. Kurth, on the other hand, has no particular big attributes to his game, but he finds a way to put up good numbers. He has a very stocky build but moves well enough regardless.

Moving on to Chicago, almost every skater on the roster is worthy of mention. Start with Montreal draft pick Sean Farrell, a USNTDP alum who would have been with Harvard this season had the Crimson actually played. Instead, he put up a breathtaking 101-point season for the Steel. His playmaking ability is simply unfair to most opponents on most nights. Then there is Matthew Coronato, a likely first round pick, who scored 48 goals in 51 games. Sure, it helps to have Farrell playing on your team, but the two actually rarely played together at even strength. Coronato is an offensive dynamo, who is content to cycle on his own for multiple full loops of the offensive end before he sees a seam to exploit.

Then there is Jack Bar, a late add to the roster from the BCHL. After a brief period acclimating to the league, he began to dominate. The defenseman likes to get deep into the offensive zone but is also a physical and committed defender. He has some first round upside. Of course, I also have to mention Mackie Samoskevich, who at one time was seen as a better draft prospect than Coronato. Samoskevich struggled somewhat after a midseason injury but is another gifted playmaker and a fantastic skater to boot.

I don’t want to get into the weeds too much, but I also expect Josh Doan (son of Shane), Ryan Ufko, and Jackson Blake to be drafted this summer, and Jack Harvey being drafted wouldn’t surprise me either. Anaheim draft pick Ian Moore has been impressive in his first season in the USHL, and 2023(!!) eligible forward Adam Fantilli is a burgeoning superstar. As good as everyone else already mentioned on this roster is, Fantilli’s upside is the highest. I am talking top three in the draft upside.

Prediction: Chicago in two, barring a complete breakdown in net. Chicago in three if the goalies stumble.

#2 Muskegon Lumberjacks vs #3 Green Bay Gamblers

A testament to how tight the West is, the Muskegon-Green Bay series is the second most lopsided duel after Chicago-Dubuque, with .040 percentage points separating the Lumberjacks and the Gamblers. Muskegon plays an up-tempo, high-event game with red lights going off at both ends. Green Bay is best when they keep goals to a minimum, and actually ended the season with the fewest goals allowed in the conference.

Green Bay’s chances are led by a pair of Boston Bruins’ draft picks in defender Mason Lohrei and center Jake Schmaltz. The latter is a two-way forward, who after three seasons in the USHL, has figured out how to be a factor offensively. He does a lot of little things well but lacks any dynamic elements. Lohrei was a surprise second rounder last season but has grown his game even more this year. He is big, skates very well, has a big point shot and plays a tough game at all ends. The Gamblers will go as far as he can take them. Vancouver draft pick Jackson Kunz and Vegas pick Jackson Hallum are also on the roster, and while both have shown the ability to provide secondary offense, neither can make things happen on their own. 2022 eligible Ryan Greene is an interesting player, but if there is a wild card in Green Bay, it is Camden Thiesing. The Tennessee native combines skill with grit, finishing third in the league in PIMs. He will work to make things happen on his own, and when he stays out of the penalty box, he is dangerous.

Led by San Jose draft pick Danil Gushchin, Muskegon is incredibly entertaining. Gushchin is a dynamo, who is not the most consistent player, but when he is involved and engaged, is one of the top handful of forwards in the league. He is joined by a deep roster of talented players, a few of whom should be drafted this summer, many of those in their second year of eligibility. The best of that secondary bunch is center Cameron Berg. Berg finished last year hot after a slow start and didn’t miss a beat coming into this year. He has a high-end wrist shot and knows how to create space for himself to rip one off. Winger Quinn Hutson is another second-year eligible forward who made waves this year. The type of player to get to the right spot at the right time, he knows how to finish what his linemates create. On the blueline, there are a trio to watch. The offensive blueline is Jacob Guevin, a power play specialist, whose production overshadows his average tools. Alex Gagne and Hank Kempf are bigger, more physical blueliners who make life difficult for attacking forwards. I could see all three drafted this summer.

Prediction: Muskegon in three games.

Eastern Conference Final prediction: Chicago in three games over Muskegon. This would be an immensely entertaining series.

Clark Cup Final Prediction: Chicago over Sioux City in three games. It’s really hard to bet against the Steel this year.