[04-May-2026 15:31:54 UTC] PHP Fatal error: Uncaught Error: Class 'WP_Widget' not found in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/widgets/mckeens_news_feed_widget.php:3 Stack trace: #0 {main} thrown in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/widgets/mckeens_news_feed_widget.php on line 3 [04-May-2026 15:31:55 UTC] PHP Fatal error: Uncaught Error: Class 'WP_Widget' not found in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/widgets/mckeens_sidebar_menu_widget.php:3 Stack trace: #0 {main} thrown in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/widgets/mckeens_sidebar_menu_widget.php on line 3 [04-May-2026 15:31:45 UTC] PHP Fatal error: Uncaught Error: Call to undefined function add_action() in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/shortcodes/mckeens_display_editorials.php:22 Stack trace: #0 {main} thrown in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/shortcodes/mckeens_display_editorials.php on line 22 [04-May-2026 15:31:46 UTC] PHP Fatal error: Uncaught Error: Call to undefined function add_action() in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/shortcodes/mckeens_display_tabs.php:50 Stack trace: #0 {main} thrown in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/shortcodes/mckeens_display_tabs.php on line 50 [04-May-2026 15:31:47 UTC] PHP Fatal error: Uncaught Error: Call to undefined function add_action() in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/shortcodes/mckeens_heading.php:15 Stack trace: #0 {main} thrown in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/shortcodes/mckeens_heading.php on line 15 Brent Johnson – McKeen's Hockey https://www.mckeenshockey.com The Essential Hockey Annual Wed, 05 Jun 2024 21:01:30 +0000 en-US hourly 1 MCKEEN’S 2024 NHL PROSPECT REPORT – #14 Washington Capitals – Organization Overview – Top 15 Prospects https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/mckeens-2024-nhl-prospect-report-14-washington-capitals/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/mckeens-2024-nhl-prospect-report-14-washington-capitals/#respond Thu, 06 Jun 2024 11:44:59 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=186388 Read More... from MCKEEN’S 2024 NHL PROSPECT REPORT – #14 Washington Capitals – Organization Overview – Top 15 Prospects

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WASHINGTON, DC - MARCH 22: Washington Capitals left wing Ivan Miroshnichenko (63) in action during the Carolina Hurricanes game versus the Washington Capitals on March 22, 2024 at the Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C. (Photo by Mark Goldman/Icon Sportswire)

Stanley Cup winners in 2018, the Capitals lost in the first round the following four seasons, missed in 2022-23, and then got swept by the Rangers this season. It was likely expected though, as the team has spent the past two seasons selling off assets as part of a retool vs. a rebuild. They’ve moved on from Marcus Johansson, Dmitry Orlov, Garnet Hathaway, Erik Gustafsson, Lars Eller, Anthony Mantha, and Evgeny Kuznetsov, adding picks mainly in the second and third rounds, as well as young defender Rasmus Sandin. The Capitals have all of their first-round picks over the next three years and have an additional 11 picks over that time in rounds two and three. Despite this, it’s hard to believe that the Capitals won’t go for it for a couple more years, with Alex Ovechkin under contract for two more seasons, along with John Carlson. There is hope that Niklas Backstrom can return next season for the last year of his contract too.

The Capitals have some strong young pieces as well. Connor McMichael, Alex Protas, Hendrix Lapierre, and Alex Alexeyev are all officially NHLers the past two seasons, and it looks like Ivan Miroshnichenko is right behind them after playing 21 games this season and looking strong, with Hodgkin’s lymphoma now behind him. The pipeline also has some strong pieces knocking at the door, headlined by 2023 eighth-overall pick Ryan Leonard. In that same draft, they selected an absolute steal of a pick in Andrew Cristall 40th overall. They join a system that still has strong pieces such as Ryan Chesley, Vincent Iorio, Alex Suzdalev, and Clay Stevenson. The club has done well at building for the future without giving up too much of a competitive edge, though they will be looking for a return to contention before Ovi’s time is done.

RNK PLAYER POS AGE HT/WT TM Acquired GP G(W) A(L) PTS(GAA) PIM(SPCT)
1 Ryan Leonard RW 19 5-11/190 Boston College (HE) `23(8th) 41 31 29 60 38
2 Ivan Miroshnichenko LW 20 6-1/185 Hershey (AHL) `22(20th) 47 9 16 25 13
          Washington (NHL) `22(20th) 21 2 4 6 6
3 Andrew Cristall LW 19 5-9/165 Kelowna (WHL) `23(40th) 62 40 71 111 46
4 Ryan Chesley D 20 6-0/200 Minnesota (B1G) `22(37th) 39 2 6 8 19
5 Vincent Iorio D 21 6-2/190 Hershey (AHL) `21(55th) 60 4 10 14 30
5 Vincent Iorio D 21 6-2/190 Washington (NHL) `21(55th) 6 0 0 0 0
6 Clay Stevenson G 25 6-4/195 Hershey (AHL) FA(3/22) 36 24 10 2.06 0.922
7 Alexander Suzdalev LW 20 6-2/175 Saskatoon (WHL) `22(70th) 30 9 16 25 4
8 Pierrick Dube RW 23 5-9/175 Hershey (AHL) FA(7/23) 66 28 20 48 53
          Washington (NHL) FA(7/23) 3 0 0 0 2
9 Ethen Frank C 26 5-11/185 Hershey (AHL) FA(3/23) 64 29 18 47 14
10 Bogdan Trineyev RW 22 6-3/200 Hershey (AHL) `20(117th) 63 9 7 16 18
11 Brent Johnson D 21 5-11/165 Ohio State (B1G) `21(80th) 37 5 8 13 8
12 Joaquim Lemay D 21 6-1/180 Omaha (NCHC) `21(119th) 37 5 13 18 18
13 Patrick Thomas C 19 5-11/160 Brantford (OHL) `23(104th) 57 21 45 66 10
14 Cam Allen D 19 6-0/195 Guelph (OHL) `23(136th) 25 2 7 9 23
15 David Gucciardi D 21 6-1/185 Michigan State (B1G) `22(213th) 30 2 6 8 47
1. Ryan Leonard, RW, Boston College (NCAA)

Fresh off an eighth overall selection by the Capitals, Ryan Leonard didn't disappoint in his freshman year at Boston College. The 18-year-old forward lived up to his billing as a power winger, lighting up the NCAA with 31 goals and 60 points in 41 games. His offensive zone anticipation and understanding of spacing helps him to consistently find soft spots in coverage and his quick release helps him to take advantage of those opportunities more often than not. Leonard wasn't just a one-dimensional scorer, either. He showed a willingness to play a physical brand of hockey and contributed positively away from the puck. His performance was a key factor in Boston College's deep playoff run. While the jump to the NHL is significant, his dominant season has undoubtedly bolstered excitement surrounding his future in Washington. He looks like a future top six winger with a well-rounded skill set and a knack for finding the net.

2. Ivan Miroshnichenko, LW, Hershey Bears (AHL)

Ivan Miroshnichenko's 2023-24 season was a whirlwind. Drafted in the first round by the Capitals in 2022, his battle with Hodgkin's lymphoma overshadowed his on-ice development. However, his resilience shone through. After a successful return to the ice, he impressed in the AHL with the Hershey Bears, notching 25 points in 47 games. The Capitals even gave him a taste of the NHL, scoring his first career goal in his fifth appearance, and sticking around for 21 games. While the sample size is small, the goal showcased his lethal shot – the same weapon that made him a top draft pick. The season wasn't without its hiccups. Questions about his compete level and overall consistency remain. Still, for a player overcoming a serious illness, his performance is encouraging. The team will likely give him more AHL seasoning next year, but with his raw talent, a full-time NHL push in 2024-25 isn't out of the question.

3. Andrew Cristall, LW, Kelowna Rockets (WHL)

Andrew Cristall, a dynamic left winger, made waves in the 2023-24 season with the Kelowna Rockets in the WHL. Standing at 5’ 10” and weighing 174 pounds, the Vancouver native possesses a combination of speed, agility, and puck-handling skills that set him apart. His ability to create scoring opportunities and his willingness to drive to the net makes him a force to be reckoned with. He starts plays, builds them up, and then adds the finishing touches, turning the mundane into brilliance. His head fakes, handling skills, and slick edges leave defenders guessing, while his perfectly weighted passes set up teammates for success. Drafted by the Capitals in the second round, the potential as a top-six winger in the NHL is undeniable. His 40 goals and 71 assists in the regular season, along with 15 points in the playoffs, showcase his impact on the ice.

4. Ryan Chesley, D, University of Minnesota (NCAA)

Ryan Chesley's sophomore year at Minnesota wasn't a flashy offensive showcase, but it solidified his reputation as a reliable defensive force. Drafted 37th overall in 2022, Chesley's point totals dipped slightly (two goals, six assists) compared to his freshman year, but his defensive impact grew. He led the Big Ten in blocked shots (74) and emerged as a shutdown specialist. He keeps a very active stick and defends the rush very well. His defensive awareness is high. However, his offensive potential remains low. There are glimpses of a strong shot and smart puck movement, but consistency remains elusive. His development in the offensive zone will be crucial. Can he become a more well-rounded defenseman, or will his value lie primarily in his defensive dominance? The answer will determine his NHL ceiling. Regardless, the defensive prowess gives him a strong foundation to build on.

5. Vincent Iorio, D, Hershey Bears (AHL)

Vincent Iorio's 2023-24 season was a grind in the AHL. The hulking defenseman (6’ 4”, 200 lbs) spent the year with the Hershey Bears, chipping in a respectable 14 points in 76 games, earning a spot in six NHL games. While the point total doesn't overwhelm, Iorio's biggest value lies in his defensive presence. He uses his size effectively to shut down attackers and is a force along the boards. However, offensive limitations remain a concern. His skating is a work in progress, and his puck-moving ability lacks creativity. While glimpses of offensive potential exist, consistency is lacking. The question becomes: can he develop his offensive tools enough to become a well-rounded NHL defenseman? Another year in the AHL seems likely to refine his game. If his skating and decision-making with the puck can improve, he has the potential to be a reliable bottom-pairing defender in the NHL.

6. Clay Stevenson, G, Hershey Bears (AHL)

Clay Stevenson, a 6’ 4” goaltender, made waves in the 2023-24 season playing for the AHL’s Hershey Bears. In 36 games, he secured 24 wins and boasts a 0.922 save percentage, a GAA of 2.06, along with seven shutouts. His technical skills, combined with his size and agility, make him a formidable presence in the net. He has been tremendous for the last two seasons, with reading plays and stopping pucks being his strong suit. He is really putting himself on the map as a goalie prospect to own. However, he faces a challenge with the contracts in front of him at the AHL level, and being 24, he needs a shot sooner than later. He will continue to battle for the starting role in the AHL this season. He is definitely a prospect to keep an eye on as he continues to develop his game.

7. Alexander Suzdalev, LW, Saskatoon Blades (WHL)

In the 2023-24 hockey season, Alexander Suzdalev showcased a masterful blend of finesse and power on the ice, solidifying his status as a promising prospect. With lightning speed and deft puck-handling skills, he consistently outmaneuvered opponents, creating scoring opportunities for himself and his teammates. His hockey IQ was on full display, as he demonstrated a keen ability to read the play and make split-second decisions under pressure. Throughout the season, his dedication to his craft was evident, as he relentlessly honed his skills both on and off the ice. His commitment to excellence earned him the admiration of fans and scouts alike, who recognized his potential to make a significant impact at the next level. As he continues to develop and refine his game, he remains a player to watch closely, and could make waves on the Capitals squad.

8. Pierrick Dube, RW, Hershey Bears (AHL)

Pierrick Dube's 2023-24 season was a tale of perseverance and glimpses of NHL potential. After a brief, scoreless call-up with the Capitals, he spent the bulk of the year dominating the AHL with the Hershey Bears. He notched a career-high 48 points (28 goals, 20 assists) in 66 games, showcasing his offensive flair and ability to find the net. However, questions about his overall game persist. While the offensive production is undeniable, his defensive awareness and consistency remain a work in progress. Can he translate his scoring prowess to the NHL while holding his own in his own zone? His performance suggests he's knocking on the door of the NHL. Another strong AHL season could solidify his case for a full-time promotion. However, refining his defensive play will be crucial in determining his NHL ceiling.

9. Ethen Frank, C, Hershey Bears (AHL)

Ethen Frank continued his ascent in 2023-24, building on his impressive rookie campaign. The 25-year-old winger solidified himself as a top scorer in the AHL with Hershey, notching 47 points (29 goals, 18 assists) in 64 games. He even repeated as the league's fastest skater at the All-Star competition. More and more as the season went on, he was relied on in all situations instead of just offensively and was up to the task. However, his season wasn't without its challenges. While the scoring pace was impressive, there were stretches where he wasn't a consistent offensive threat. There's a sense that he can elevate his game further by improving his decision-making. Despite these areas for growth, performance to date puts him on the NHL path. He's knocking on the door for a call-up, and with continued development, could become a solid middle-six forward at the next level.

10. Bogdan Trineyev, RW, Hershey Bears (AHL)

Bogdan Trineyev's 2023-24 season wasn't a breakout campaign, but it offered glimpses of his potential. The big Russian winger (6’ 3”, 203 lbs) spent the entire year with the Hershey Bears. His stat line – 16 points (nine goals, seven assists) in 63 games – isn't overly impressive, but there's a caveat. Trineyev's heavy frame and strong skating suggest a power forward in the making. However, questions about his offensive awareness and puck skills linger. While he can be a force on the forecheck and win board battles, translating that into consistent scoring remains a work in progress. There were positive signs. He showed flashes of a scoring touch, and his physicality was a constant asset. But overall, his development was more grind than highlight reel. The upcoming season will be crucial. Can he refine his offensive instincts and become a more well-rounded threat? The answer could determine if he reaches his NHL potential as a bottom-six force or remains an AHL grinder.

PROSPECT CRITERIA: Players under 26 years of age as of 9/15/2024 who have appeared in less than 60 games (30 for goalies) and less than 25 in one season (25 for goalies).

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MCKEEN’S 2023-24 NHL YEARBOOK – WASHINGTON CAPITALS – Top 20 Prospect Profiles – Organizational Rank #19 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/mckeens-2023-24-nhl-yearbook-washington-capitals-top-20-prospect-profiles-organizational-rank-19/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/mckeens-2023-24-nhl-yearbook-washington-capitals-top-20-prospect-profiles-organizational-rank-19/#respond Tue, 10 Oct 2023 14:49:23 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=182260 Read More... from MCKEEN’S 2023-24 NHL YEARBOOK – WASHINGTON CAPITALS – Top 20 Prospect Profiles – Organizational Rank #19

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Top 20 Washington Capitals Prospects

1. Ryan Leonard

There is no area in Leonard’s game that requires significant growth in order for him to be an NHLer. His ability to play with pace, his physicality, goal scoring ability, and two-way efficiency made him one of the most complete forwards available for the 2023 draft. Unquestionably, one of his best qualities is his shot. Armed with an array of high-end shots, Leonard can beat goalies in a variety of ways. His offensive zone anticipation and understanding of spacing helps him to consistently find soft spots in coverage and his quick release helps him to take advantage of those opportunities more often than not. The million-dollar question is ultimately what is his upside if he’s really good at absolutely everything, but not elite in any one thing? Can he be a first line winger the way guys like Gabriel Landeskog or Matthew Tkachuk? Or does he fit more into the middle of the lineup as a Brandon Saad or Nick Foligno type? Headed to Boston College (along with USNTDP linemates Smith and Perreault), Leonard will focus on improving his vision and playmaking ability. He should be an immediate impact player at the collegiate level similar to how Cutter Gauthier was last season. He should also be in the NHL sooner than many players drafted in the 2023 first round.

2. Hendrix Lapierre

It was a tough road for Lapierre, suffering multiple concussions and struggling at times to find his game after that. He had a very strong rookie season in the QMJHL, winning Offensive Rookie of the Year. But after that, injuries set in and he missed almost all of his draft year. Still, the Capitals took a chance, drafting him 22nd overall. He spent two more years in the Q, playing well but never taking off. He joined the AHL’s Hershey Bears last season where he was one of their more productive forwards, bringing a two-way presence to the ice. Lapierre is a highly talented playmaker, thanks to his borderline elite vision. He can shoot as well, although often looks for the pass first. He skates well, drives a line, and is reliable in his own end. There’s second-line potential here if everything falls into place.

3. Ivan Miroshnichenko

Miroshnichenko was once considered a top-three calibre selection for the 2022 Draft but after a slow start to his draft year and then a Hodgkin’s lymphoma diagnosis, he slid to 20th where the Capitals were waiting. He ended up missing a large portion of 2021-22 but was back on the ice last season, a great sign after his diagnosis. He spent a large portion of his season in the KHL with Avangard Omsk but also saw time in both the VHL and MHL. He also has a strong international resume with Team Russia, including captaining Russia to a gold medal at the 2022 Hlinka Gretzky Cup. He has a pro frame and moves very well on the ice, thanks to powerful skating strides. Miroshnichenko is a dynamic offensive asset, able to fire a hard wrister or show off an impressive pass. He has very soft, controlled hands. He still has top six potential but may take some time to actualize. He signed a three-year entry level contract with the Capitals to continue his journey in North America this season.

4. Andrew Cristall

Cristall is an absolute magician with the puck, with a seemingly bottomless bag full of tricks. He can stickhandle in a phone booth, and his ability to draw opponents out of better defensive positioning and in towards him is exceptional. He can reliably find existing passing lanes or make that one extra dangle or delay that one extra second to help open up better ones. He's no slouch as a shooter, either. Countless opponents have made the mistake of trying to cut off his passes only to leave their goalies in helpless positions after Cristall fooled them. For as entertaining as he has been in the WHL, there are questions about how he will look in the NHL. For a guy of his small stature he isn't a high-end skater, which is a concerning one-two punch. While he can use elusive footwork to sometimes help get him out of trouble in tight spaces, his acceleration and top speed are both sorely lacking. He has a hard time keeping up defensively. It's worth mentioning that he is whip-smart and incredibly driven, so he'll be aware of what parts of his game he needs to fix and will keep putting in the work to continue improving.

5. Vincent Iorio

Iorio has been overlooked by many due to his stat line never really jumping off the page. And yet he’s a mobile, puck-moving defender with a real chance to have a legit NHL career. He moves very well, utilizing his edges to navigate the neutral zone or to dance along the blue line. He moves the puck so well, making crisp, clean passes from anywhere on the ice. Drafted 55th overall in 2021, the right-handed defender already had three WHL seasons under his belt. He spent just one more with the Brandon Wheat Kings before joining the AHL Hershey Bears last season. He also earned a call-up for a few games with the Capitals and should see more this season. The defender is well on his way to becoming a skilled bottom-four defender.

6. Ryan Chesley

Chesley heard his name called 37th overall in 2022 after an impressive season with the USNTDP. He made the move to the NCAA last season with the University of Minnesota and found some challenges with his offensive output, especially playing in a more depth role. He’ll likely see additional ice time next season, so it remains to be seen if his offensive game can take a step forward. Chesley can bring offensive production, but he leans more toward the defensive side of the game. He keeps a very active stick and defends the rush very well. His defensive awareness is high. He also skates well and is no stranger to moving the puck around, but his offensive output is likely to be limited at the next level. He has the potential to develop into a reliable, two-way, depth defender.

7. Alexander Suzdalev

Suzdalev has an interesting backstory of having played for both Team Sweden and Team Russia on the international stage, as he maintains dual citizenship. Drafted 70th overall in 2022, the Capitals selected him from HV71’s junior program, where he produced over a point per game. He headed overseas last season to the WHL’s Regina Pats and had the opportunity to play with Connor Bedard. That resulted in him leading all rookies in goals (38), assists (48), and points (86). He’s a skilled, playmaking winger who shows the ability to control the pace of play. His handling of the puck stands out, as though he has the puck on a string quite often. He’s not always consistent in his effort, as is sometimes seen with young offensive talents. He has the skill to be a middle-six forward, but if he can’t find that missing consistency, could cap himself as a depth option.

8. Alexander Alexeyev

It’s been a long road for Alexeyev, but the journey is starting to pay off. Selected 31st overall in 2018, the Russian defender was finishing up his second WHL season, taking a notable step forward in his development. He played one more season there with the Red Deer Rebels, again showing promising potential. He made the jump to the AHL in 2019-20, adjusting well to the faster, harder game. He went home to Russia to start the 2020-21 season, on loan with KHL Salavat Yulaev Ufa. Alexeyev returned to the AHL to finish the year and has been there ever since, seeing significant NHL time last season. He’s been plagued by injuries throughout his development but still seems to be on the right track. A big, physical defender who can chip in offensively, he should stick in the NHL as a bottom-pairing blueliner.

9. Clay Stevenson

One of the oldest prospects in the Capitals system, Stevenson has had to be patient in his road to the pros. An undrafted netminder, Stevenson came up through the BCHL where he spent three seasons, including a dominant final year, earning recognition as the top goaltender in the league. He moved on to NCAA Dartmouth College but lost his freshman year due to the pandemic. After one collegiate season, posting a .922 save percentage, the Capitals came calling, signing him to an entry-level deal. He mainly played in the ECHL last season but also received a handful of AHL games where he looked very strong. Goaltenders tend to bloom late, and the Capitals have landed an intriguing one. He’ll need time in the minors to determine his ceiling, but at this point, he looks like a solid AHLer who could earn the occasional call-up.

10. Ludwig Persson

Drafted 85th overall in 2022, Persson has spent the last three seasons (including the current campaign) seeming always on the verge of making the jump to the SHL. Instead, he spent two strong seasons in the J20 Nationell and last season on loan in the HockeyAllsvenskan. It might very well have been his last season in Sweden, as he signed his entry-level deal in November 2022. The winger is an intelligent, offensive talent who can drive a line. The issue is that he doesn’t always take advantage of that, sitting on the sidelines and letting his teammates take over. He has a hard, quick release and a soft touch on his passes. The potential is there but he comes with a low floor as much as a high ceiling. The best-case scenario would be a middle-six role, but he may settle in as an AHL/depth option.

11. Joaquim Lemay

Lemay has been all over the place in recent years, traveling from minor hockey in Quebec, to prep school, the BCHL, USHL, and finally the University of Nebraska-Omaha last season. A competitive two-way defender, he had a solid freshman year and looks the part of a potential NHL defender.

12. Bogdan Trineyev

The big power winger will finally make the jump to North America full time this season. Consistency has been an issue in Russia, but the skill is real and the physicality is intriguing. Hockey sense is the question mark.

13. Ethen Frank

A member of the AHL’s All Rookie team last year, Frank potted 30 for the Bears playing on an AHL deal. Now signed by the Caps to an NHL contract, Frank has his sights set on making the Washington roster. Not only can he rifle the puck, but he’s lightning quick, too.

14. Ryan Hofer

A big, physical two-way center, Hofer had a solid OA year split between Everett and Kamloops in the WHL. Skating is always going to be a question mark, but he has enough tools to be an eventual bottom six contributor.

15. Cam Allen

Allen is coming off a highly disappointing draft year that saw him fall from being a potential lottery selection to waiting until the fifth round to hear his name called. The tools are all there, but the decision making needs to improve. How much better will he be this year for Guelph without the weight of the draft on his shoulders?

16. Matthew Phillips

Out of Calgary, it will be interesting to see how Phillips fares in a new organization. There’s absolutely no doubt that he can score in the AHL. He’s been one of the better offensive players there in recent years. He needs to be in a scoring line role to succeed.

17. Brent Johnson

Highly touted coming out of the USHL, Johnson struggled mightily through two years at North Dakota. After transferring to Ohio State, can he get his future back on track? He can quarterback a powerplay and could put up big numbers with the Buckeyes this year.

18. David Gucciardi

Strong skating blueliner who took on a larger role with Michigan State last year as a sophomore. The numbers don’t jump off the page, but Gucciardi has intriguing tools that could help him become a solid pro down the line.

19. Jake Karabela

Another Guelph Storm member who had a poor year, Karabela is a strong skating two-way forward whose offensive game really stagnated last season. This season is an opportunity to prove to Washington that he deserves a contract and can be a future pro.

20. Hardy Haman Aktell

An SHL champion with Vaxjo last season, Aktell emerged as one of the top defenders in the SHL. This turned into a contract with Washington this offseason. He may have to start the year in the AHL, but he could move up quickly if he performs well.

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MCKEEN’S 2023 NHL PROSPECT REPORT – #27 Washington Capitals https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/mckeens-2023-nhl-prospect-report-27-washington-capitals/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/mckeens-2023-nhl-prospect-report-27-washington-capitals/#respond Fri, 12 May 2023 17:39:02 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=181019 Read More... from MCKEEN’S 2023 NHL PROSPECT REPORT – #27 Washington Capitals

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Prospect System Ranking – 27th

Stanley Cup winners in 2018, the Capitals lost in the first round the following four seasons, and finally missed this year. This led to a minor reset trading veterans Garnet Hathaway and Dmitri Orlov for three picks, including Boston’s first, plus Craig Smith (UFA 2023). They traded that 1st along with Erik Gustafsson to the Leafs for promising defenseman Rasmus Sandin, who made an immediate impact upon arrival. Marcus Johansson and Lars Eller were moved for picks in 2024 (3rd) and 2025 (2nd).  Alexander Ovechkin is signed for another four seasons as he pursues Wayne Gretzky’s goal scoring record, it is hard to imagine a scenario where the team does not look to add pieces for another playoff run. They have question marks, such as Nicklas Backstrom’s health after offseason hip surgery limited him to 21 games this season. Evgeniy Kuznetsov has requested a trade, after an uninspired season.

They do have two promising prospects, despite their overall ranking, in Henrix Lapierre and Ivan Miroschnichenko (ranked 70th and 77th respectively by McKeen’s). They both have had health concerns. Lapierre from injury, which slowed his development, but had a productive season in Hershey as a two-way forward with elite vision. Miroschnichenko missed much of last season with a Hodgkins Lymphona diagnosis prior to his draft year. Considered a potential top 10 or even top five pick, he fell to 20th. He comes over to North America this season but will need some seasoning. They have graduated four players, but the results have been mixed. Only Martin Fehervary is making an impact in the NHL at the moment. They have hopes Connor McMichael can play a role, but results so far suggest a depth player, rather than an impact.

NEWARK, NJ - OCTOBER 04: Washington Capitals center Hendrix Lapierre (29) during the pre-season National Hockey League game between the New Jersey Devils and the Washington Capitals on October 4, 2021 at the Prudential Center in Newark, NJ. (Photo by Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire)
  1. Hendrix Lapierre

It was a tough road for Hendrix Lapierre, suffering multiple concussions and struggling at times to find his game after that. He had a very strong rookie season in the QMJHL, winning Offensive Rookie of the Year. But after that injuries set in, and he missed almost all of his draft year. Still, the Washington Capitals took a chance, drafting him 22nd overall. He spent two more years in the Q, playing well but never taking off. He joined the AHL’s Hersey Bears this season where he’s been one of the more productive forwards, bringing a two-way presence to the ice. He is a highly talented playmaker, thanks to his borderline elite vision. He can shoot as well, although often looks for the pass first. He skates well, drives a line, and is reliable in his own end. There’s second-line potential here if everything falls into place.

2. Ivan Miroshnichenko

Ivan Mirosnichenko was once considered a top-three selection in the 2022 NHL Draft but after a slow start to his draft year and then a Hodgkin’s lymphoma diagnosis, he slid all the way to 20th where the Washington Capitals were waiting. He ended up missing a large portion of last season but is back on the ice this season, a great sign after his diagnosis. He spent a large portion of his season in the KHL with Avangard Omsk but also saw time in the VHL and MHL. He also has a strong international resume with Team Russia, including captaining Russia to a gold medal at the 2022 Hlinka Gretzky Cup. He has a pro frame and moves very well on the ice, thanks to some powerful strides. He’s a dynamic offensive asset, able to fire a hard wrister or show off an impressive pass. He has very soft, controlled hands. He still has top six potential but may take some time. He signed a three-year entry level contract with the Capitals continuing his journey in North America this coming season.

3. Vincent Iorio

Vincent Iorio is a player that many seem to overlook due to his stat line never really jumping off the page. And yet he’s a mobile, puck-moving defender. That has caused the casual fan to pause on Iorio, but there’s a player here. He moves very well, utilizing his edges to navigate the neutral zone or to dance along the blue line. He moves the puck so well, making crisp, clean passes from anywhere on the ice. Drafted 55th overall in the 2021 NHL Draft, the right-handed defender already had three WHL seasons under his belt. He spent just one more with the Brandon Wheat Kings before joining the Hershey Bears in the AHL this season. He also earned a call-up for a few games with the Capitals this season. The defender is well on his way to becoming a skilled bottom-four defender.

4. Ryan Chesley

Selected in the most recent draft, Ryan Chesley had his name called 37th overall in 2022 after an impressive season with the USNTDP. He’s made the move to the NCAA this season with the University of Minnesota and found some challenges with his offensive output, especially playing in a more depth role. He’ll likely see some additional ice time next season so it will remain to be seen if his offensive game can take a step forward. Chesley can bring some production, but he leans more toward the defensive side of the game. He keeps a very active stick and defends the rush very well. His defensive awareness is high. He moves well too though and is no stranger to moving the puck around, but his offensive output is likely to be limited at the next level. Still, he has the potential to become a reliable, two-way, depth defender.

5. Alexander Alexeyev

It’s been a long road for Alexander Alexeyev, but it seems like it’s starting to pay off. Selected 31st overall in the 2018 NHL Draft, the Russian defender was finishing up his second WHL season, taking a notable step forward in his development. He played one more season there with the Red Deer Rebels, again showing some promising potential. In 2019-20 he made the jump to the AHL, adjusting well to the faster, harder game. He went home to Russia to start the 2020-21 season, playing on loan in the KHL with Salavat Yulaev Ufa. He returned to the AHL to finish the year and has been there since, seeing significant NHL time this season. He’s been plagued with some injuries throughout his development but seems to be on the right track still. A big, physical defender that can chip in offensively, the defender should stick in the NHL as a bottom-pairing defender.

6. Alexander Suzdalev

Alexander Suzdalev has an interesting story of having played for both Team Sweden and Team Russia on the international stage, maintaining dual citizenship. Drafted 70th overall in the 2022 NHL Draft, the Capitals selected him from the J20 Nationell and HV71 J20, where he played at over a point per game. He came overseas this season to the WHL’s Regina Pats and had the opportunity to play with Connor Bedard. That resulted in him leading all rookies in goals (38), assists (48), and points (86). He’s a skilled, playmaking winger that shows the ability to control the pace of play. His handling of the puck stands out, seeming as though he has the puck on a string quite often. He’s not always consistent in his effort, as is sometimes seen with young offensive talents. He has the skill to be a middle-six forward, but if he can’t find that missing consistency, could cap himself as a depth option.

7. Clay Stevenson

One of the oldest prospects in the Capitals system, Clay Stevenson has had to be patient in his road to the pros. An undrafted netminder, Stevenson came up through the BCHL where he spent three seasons, including a dominant final year, earning recognition as the top goaltender in the league. He moved on to Dartmouth College in the NCAA but lost his freshman year due to the pandemic. After one season in the league, posting a .922 save percentage, the Capitals came calling, signing him to an entry-level deal. He mainly played in the ECHL this season but did play a handful of AHL games where he looked very strong. Goaltenders tend to bloom late, and the Capitals have landed an intriguing one. He’ll need time in the minors to determine his ceiling, but at this point, he looks like a solid AHL goalie who could earn the occasional call-up.

8. Ludwig Persson

Drafted 85th overall in the 2022 NHL Draft, Ludwig Persson has spent the last three seasons (including the current campaign) seeming always on the verge of making the jump to the SHL. Instead, he spent two strong seasons in the J20 Nationell and spent this season on loan in the HockeyAllsvenskan. It may very well be his last season in Sweden though, having signed his entry-level deal in November 2022. The winger is an intelligent, offensive talent that can drive a line. The issue is that he doesn’t always take advantage of that, seeming to sit in the sidelines and let his teammates take over. He has a hard, quick release and a soft touch on his passes. The potential is there but he does come with a low floor as much as a high ceiling. The best-case scenario would be a middle-six role, but he may settle in as an AHL/depth option.

9. Joaquim Lemay

A mid-round pick in the 2021 NHL Draft at 119th overall, Joaquin Lemay has gotten used to being a rookie in recent years. You’d have to go back to 2018-19 to find a season where he played with the same team for a second season. He went from playing AAA to the BCHL to the USHL’s Lincoln Stars, to the NCAA this season with the University of Nebraska-Omaha. He’s currently a two-way defender but as this season has shown, he likely leans more toward a defensive role if he is to move up. He does defend well, playing a physical game and angling out very well. He does show flashes of offense, especially in his playmaking, but lacks creativity in that department. He’ll need some time to develop but has the potential to become a strong depth defender. It will depend on how he can adjust his game to fit what’s needed of him.

10. Bogdan Trineyev

Selected 117th overall in the 2020 NHL Draft, Bogdan Trineyev was coming off his second season in the MHL, taking a big step forward but not exactly stealing glances from scouts. His development since being drafted has been slow, splitting time between the MHL and VHL in 2020-21 and the MHL and KHL in 2021-22 before sticking in the KHL this season. Upon his season in Russia ending, he joined the AHL’s Hershey Bears for what should be a deep playoff run. He’s a power forward that’s seemed to finally grow into his frame, but he does lack the offensive skill that you’d hope for with his playing style. He’s been improving on his defensive side of the puck though and may develop into a role player. The base is there, but there’s no real defining trait that will carry him to the NHL. He seems more likely to become an AHLer at this point.

 

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MCKEEN’S 2022-23 NHL YEARBOOK – WASHINGTON CAPITALS – Top 20 Prospects https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/mckeens-2022-23-nhl-yearbook-washington-capitals-top-20-prospects/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/mckeens-2022-23-nhl-yearbook-washington-capitals-top-20-prospects/#respond Sun, 18 Sep 2022 22:50:31 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=177573 Read More... from MCKEEN’S 2022-23 NHL YEARBOOK – WASHINGTON CAPITALS – Top 20 Prospects

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NEWARK, NJ - OCTOBER 04: Washington Capitals center Hendrix Lapierre (29) during the pre-season National Hockey League game between the New Jersey Devils and the Washington Capitals on October 4, 2021 at the Prudential Center in Newark, NJ. (Photo by Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire)

1 - Hendrix Lapierre C

Hendrix Lapierre is a pure playmaker drafted 22nd overall by the Washington Capitals at the 2020 NHL Draft. Some executives mentioned back then that they would not have taken Lapierre in the first round due to his concussion problems. However, the Caps did not have the same line of thought. Lapierre, at some point during the beginning of his junior career, would always never shoot the puck: he was always looking for a pass. However, he did round out his game recently as he had 21 goals and 30 assists last season with the Acadie-Bathurst Titans. On top of that, He’s an extremely gifted stickhandler that can weave his way through an entire team. It was his high skill level that caught the attention of the Capitals as they gave him an early season six game audition this past season (that saw Lapierre score his first career NHL goal). Now aged out of the QMJHL, Lapierre will attempt to crack the Capitals full time this season. More than likely, he will need some additional seasoning in the AHL to help him round out his game as a more complete player. However, there is no doubting Lapierre’s upside as a future top six player for Washington. - EB

2 - Ivan Miroshnichenko LW

Miroshnichenko was the 20th selection by the Washington Capitals in the 2022 draft. The Capitals are confident that this is the kind of player who can become the team’s future goal scoring leader following in the footsteps of countryman Alex Ovechkin. There were high expectations for Miroshnichenko in the 2021-22 season, as he was expected to be one of the top players available heading into the draft year. Despite the fact that the previous season was not outstanding for Miroshnichenko, he was able to show the world his warrior character by overcoming all difficulties, particularly his battle with cancer. Although the decision to select Miroshnichenko in the first round may have been a risky decision, the club sees great promise in Miroshnichenko and believes in his talent. Miroshnichenko is a technically skilled sniper. He played last season in the VHL (2nd men’s league in Russia) and finished among his team’s top five scorers. He possesses excellent technical skating as he is a wide and fast skater. Miroschnichenko also has great stick-handling ability, which he pairs with a very good wrist shot and excellent slap shot. He uses his shooting arsenal correctly. A physical player, he's got a mature game and will play through contact to make a play.  Consistency is an issue he will look to correct, and his defensive play does need to improve as he has a tendency to chase and lose his man. A potential future top six scorer, Miroshnichenko is expected to be able to play in the NHL as early as the 2023-24 season at the end of his current contract in Russia. - DB

3 - Ryan Chesley D

Ryan Chesley was a divisive prospect during the 2022 draft cycle, with many debates being heard about the true nature of his NHL upside. Chesley’s offensive production at the U.S. National Team Development Program was underwhelming, and many have wondered if that’s an indication that he just doesn’t have the skill level to be more than a defensive specialist at the next level. But while his abilities in one zone are the subject of fierce debate, Chesley’s value in the other two zones generates more consensus. Starting with the defensive zone, Chesley’s value is more readily apparent. He’s a mobile defenseman, able to close on pucks and incoming defenders in a timely fashion. He’s a physical player who willingly engages in board battles and has unleashed some rattling hits. He’s not a massive defenseman but standing at six feet tall he has enough size to play the sort of defensive style he prefers. In the neutral zone, Chesley’s abilities puck skills combined with his skating give him definite transition value, and while some might mistakenly typecast him as a stay-at-home, throwback defender Chesley is absolutely a fit for what the modern NHL expects from its blueliners. The issue with Chesley lies in the way he sees the game. Too often, Chesley’s ability to make the right reads at the right times betrays him, and that has kept him from achieving the sort of heights as a prospect his tools would indicate he can reach. With the proper development, he could become a valuable two-way defenseman in a team’s top-four, but he needs some work to get there. - EH

4 - Aliaksei Protas C

In his first full season with the Capitals organization, Protas managed to suit up for 33 games, performing admirably. The 6’6”, 225-pound mammoth certainly has size, but his maturity and ability to responsibly play a lower line role paid out in spades for the 2019 3rd round draft pick. His strong start with Hershey of the AHL moved him up the list of call-ups very quickly in a year where the Capitals introduced more rookies to the line-up than had in years. This shouldn’t be surprising for Protas after he broke out with the WHL Prince Albert Raiders in 19-20 and then followed that up with considerable step in development in the 20-21 season. He potted 10 goals in the KHL for Dinamo Minsk, which tied him for first among U20 players in Russia’s top league That was followed by a 16-game stint with Hershey in which he accumulated another seven points. As his size and ever-increasing weight would indicate, Protas can be an absolute handful down low, and this was evident even at the NHL level this year. His movement to the net combined with a propensity for cycling in the corners makes him difficult to defend against. He also uses his body very well to protect the puck. Just how far he goes will be determined by his progress in the skating department. He is already at a point where he can swim at the NHL level. A gig with the Capitals is not a guarantee heading into this season. – CL

5 - Alexander Alexeyev D

The road to an NHL spot has been a bumpy one for Washington’s 2018 first rounder. After spending the majority of the 20-21 season on loan to KHL Salavat, putting up 17 points in 64 total games, he concluded that season on a high note with nine points and a +11 in 12 games with AHL Hershey. An extremely solid player who presents a fine balance between his responsibilities on the defensive side and his acumen in supporting the attack, Alexeyev spent nearly the entire 21-22 season in the AHL. Much had been expected last season, but he barely doubled his AHL season over season despite playing over five times as many games.  Even though he was considered a defensively oriented defenseman, his accumulation of exactly one goal presented quite the letdown in light of the steps he had taken in prior seasons. Thought to be on the cusp of an NHL spot this time last year, Alexeyev heads into the 22-23 season facing great competition in taking the next step. Internal competitor Martin Fehervary appears to have earned himself a spot in the line-up moving forward and Washington made several veteran depth signings while also adding former first rounder Gabriel Carlsson this summer. With this in mind, Alexeyev heads into camp needing to push Washington’s hand or Hershey will be his destination once again for his third and final season of his ELC. – CL

6 - Bogdan Trineyev

Trineyev is easy to notice with his mobility and big frame, along with effortless puck control and a strong shot from the right-hand side, all making it easy to see why Washington has made a bet on his upside. On the other hand, he is coming off a very uneven season, as after a good start and earning decent minutes in the KHL he suffered a broken thumb, which sidelined him for a lengthy stretch. After recovering from that he found himself back in junior hockey, where he looked good, but he also left the impression that he didn’t want to be there. After the season ended, Trineyev signed an entry-level deal with the Capitals and even managed to play couple of AHL games on a tryout agreement with Hershey. It might still be too early in his development to succeed in North American hockey, as he needs to add maturity and well-roundedness to his game, and he also needs to further fill his frame. It was no big surprise when it was announced that Trineyev would be loaned back to Dynamo Moscow for the 2022-23 season, to better prepare him for his hopefully brighter future. It would be a safe bet to see the big winger come back to North America after the KHL season ends in April, to see how the added time at home better prepared him for life in the AHL. The NHL is still a very realistic future goal. - VF

7 - Jake Karabela C

The 149th selection in the 2022 NHL Draft, Jake Karabela didn’t have many expectations coming into the season, but he quickly made an impression and was able to become a utility knife for the Storm. He adapted to different roles, played with different teammates up and down the lineup, and was able to play both on the wing and centre when needed and was effective consistently wherever he played. Karabela plays a pretty simple game, but he’s very effective at what he does. He makes smart decisions with and without the puck consistently and has great awareness, finding open space to make it easier on teammates. He’s able to play a strong 200ft game and compete hard every shift. Like others, Karabela missed the 2020-2021 season due to the Covid-19 shutdown. In the 2021-2022 season, Karabela finished with 45 points (12G,33A) in 68 games, which was 7th in the league for assists by a rookie and 4th on the team in points. Karabela’s best assets are his puck handling and competitiveness. He’s able to beat opponents one-on-one with deception and quick hands and has the ability to protect the puck and drive through traffic, being able to get many chances in the slot and near the net. Karabela has a motor that never quits on a play, showing great determination to finish a play. He displays great energy along the boards and gives himself a chance to win every puck battle. Going into the 2022-2023 season, Karabela will look to increase his point totals and become a lock in the top six. - DK

8 - Alexander Suzdalev LW

Suzdalev was recently selected 70th overall by the Washington Capitals in the 2022 NHL draft. He is known mainly for his playmaking ability. His hands are silky with the puck, which allows him to make last second plays in tight. He also has a good combination of size (6’2”) and speed. He is able to generate speed through his skating stride, however he has also proven his ability to slow the game down when necessary. This past season, Suzdalev had polar opposite play between his time with HV71 in the J20 league and his international play. In the J20, he showed his polished playmaking ability by finishing with 36 assists and 51 points in 45 games. That was enough for Suzdalev to finish in the top 10 in scoring for the J20. On the other hand, he struggled in international play, especially at the U18 tournament in April, where he looked sloppy and was held pointless. Ultimately for someone his size, he could benefit from attacking the middle of the ice more, rather than always playing along the boards. He also would benefit from adding strength to his current frame. This could improve his puck protection and his ability to generate speed through his first stride. Next season, there is a strong chance he plays in the WHL for the Regina Pats. This could be an extreme plus for Suzdalev as he is known for his playmaking ability and may have the chance to play with the expected 1st overall pick in 2023, the prolific goal scorer Connor Bedard. - ZS

9 - Brent Johnson D

Brent Johnson hasn’t had the easiest transition to college hockey since being drafted 80th overall by the Capitals at the 2021 NHL draft. The five-foot-eleven Johnson had surgery before his freshman year that impacted his readiness and ability to play at 100% for the University of North Dakota last season. As a result, Johnson’s role was limited last season and his effectiveness was limited as well. Johnson’s best tool is his skating, and he can absolutely move around the ice quite well. Johnson’s mobility gives him upside on both ends of the ice, especially as someone who can help his team exit the defensive zone and enter the offensive zone. On the rush, his speed also allows him to maintain proper gap control With that being said, the strength of his skating isn’t backed up by major strengths in other areas of his game. Johnson’s decision-making can be lacking at times, and his overall defensive impact was quite poor last season, despite his skating. It’s not that he’s simply being overwhelmed and is unable to handle the responsibilities of being a defenseman in the NCAA, it’s more that Johnson’s attempts to make sound defensive plays weren’t often successful and his lack of size and strength left him ill-equipped to handle larger forwards. Johnson’s season in the USHL was promising, though, and he’s a project. If he can make tangible steps to improve other areas of his game in college, his mobility can be the tool that makes him a notable pro prospect. But he has work to do. His progress will definitely be something to watch for those who follow Capitals prospects. - EH

10 - Joaquim Lemay D

Joaquim Lemay had only played fifteen games at the Junior A level in his draft season, but that didn’t stop the Washington Capitals from using a fourth-round pick to nab Lemay at the 2021 NHL draft. Their scouts obviously saw something in Lemay that most others didn’t, as he barely registered in media rankings and was ranked 224th among North American Skaters by NHL Central Scouting for the 2021 draft. After Lemay’s debut USHL season, it’s become a lot clearer why the Capitals felt confident enough to select him despite Lemay receiving very little outside attention. Lemay was an instant-impact two-way defenseman for the Lincoln Stars, flashing talent on both ends of the ice. Like fellow Capitals prospect Brent Johnson, Lemay’s best attribute is his skating talent. He’s an incredibly mobile defenseman, and his skating ability is the foundation of his game that he builds the rest of his habits on. Lemay is more than just his feet, too. He is a facilitator when he’s in the offensive zone and should contribute on the power play at the University of Nebraska-Omaha. As one would expect, Lemay’s defensive game is more about zone exits, closing out on pucks quickly, and using his speed to cover ground and get into passing lanes as they develop. The bottom line with Lemay is that his skating is good enough to make him a legitimate NHL prospect, and if he can build off of that tool at the college level and become an offensive difference-maker, he could rise quickly in the Capitals’ prospect rankings. - EH

11 - Vincent Iorio

Iorio’s calling card at the next level might be in the defensive end, but the WHL defender is coming off of a strong offensive season. A strong skating right shot defender with size, Iorio is likely to start playing in the AHL this year, however he could also be sent back to the WHL for an overage year.

12 - Axel Jonsson-Fjallby

The speedy winger stands out most in a high energy role and as a penalty killer. He has a chance to make the Capitals full time this season in that exact role.

13 - Lucas Johansen

Injuries have derailed the former first round pick’s development thus far. But Johansen was finally healthy last season and responded with a strong season for Hershey. He could be a sneaky candidate for a roster spot this season.

14 - David Gucciardi

Gucciardi’s freshman season at Michigan State was a success, making him a draft selection of Washington in 2022. An excellent powerplay QB because of his mobility, Gucciardi still needs to work on his decision making at both ends.

15 - Fabian Wagner

An intriguing athlete, Wagner’s draft season was mired in inconsistency. His upside may be a little clearer after this coming season in the Linkoping program.

16 - Mitchell Gibson

Gibson, the starting netminder at Harvard, will return for another season with the Ivy league program. He has been solid so far and will look to become one of the better goaltenders in the NCAA this season to increase his stock in the system.

17 - Chase Clark

The big netminder ended last season on a high note with Muskegon in the USHL and will now try to secure consistent playing time at Quinnipiac as a freshman this season.

18 - Clay Stevenson

A free agent signing out of Darthmouth after a single NCAA season, the Capitals are intrigued by Stevenson’s combination of size and athleticism in the crease. It will be interesting to see what the team’s goaltending development coaches can do with him.

19 - Garrett Pilon

This is a make-or-break season in the Capitals system for Pilon. The son of former NHL’er Rich Pilon is a competitive power forward, but his lack of pace has held him back thus far.

20 - Ludwig Persson

A 2022 draft pick by Washington, Persson had a disappointing draft year after being thought of as one of Sweden’s top players in the draft class previously. He has speed to burn but his offensive capabilities may be more limited than previously thought.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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2021-22 TOP 15 PROSPECTS: WASHINGTON CAPITALS – RANK: #28 – TIER VI https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/top-15-prospects-washington-capitals-rank-28-tier-vi/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/top-15-prospects-washington-capitals-rank-28-tier-vi/#respond Sat, 11 Sep 2021 12:20:36 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=172350 Read More... from 2021-22 TOP 15 PROSPECTS: WASHINGTON CAPITALS – RANK: #28 – TIER VI

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Washington Capitals

#28 Washington - Washington has been trying to add some higher end players of late, but not enough of them. There may not be ten real future NHLers in this system.

Connor McMichael
  1. Connor McMichael

It was an excellent development year for McMichael, especially given the circumstances surrounding his first pro season (thrust into the AHL as a 19-year-old because of the OHL’s cancellation). McMichael finished the season as Hershey’s leading scorer and was subsequently named to the AHL’s All-Rookie team. The 2019 first round selection has put himself firmly in competition for NHL playing time as early as this upcoming season.

The former London Knights star has the potential to be an extremely versatile player. He can play any forward position. He has the intelligence level to play in any situation. And he is a more than competent finisher, due to a great wrist shot and scoring instincts. While he may not project as a first line all-star at the NHL level, he does have a chance of becoming a consistent 20-goal scorer and someone who can play a middle six role for Washington in the near and distant future. Look for him to split the year between the AHL and NHL this upcoming season, likely serving as the Capitals’ top injury call-up. In that situation, he should establish himself as an NHL regular by the time the 2022/23 season comes along. - BO

  1. Hendrix Lapierre

How good it feels to see a healthy Hendrix Lapierre! This past season Lapierre finally managed to distance himself from his previous injuries. Visually, he appeared much better equipped to play a more physically engaged brand of hockey. He was sturdier, stronger and he looked like he had added serious lower body power. It had been a difficult season for everyone last year (COVID-19), but especially so for Lapierre. He earned the nickname "King of Quarantines" after spending 63 days in administrative quarantine during the season, split between the camp for Junior Team Canada, the pro camp in Washington and a return to Chicoutimi with his junior team.

It was an emotional season for the young man from Aylmer, Quebec too. A heartbreaking cut at Team Canada junior selection camp, a surprise invitation to the Capitals camp, a trade after the season (In the QMJHL), etc. His periods of isolation (quarantine) had to be difficult, and it did prevent him from finding consistency early on. But he got better over the year, finally living up to some of his hype. A highly skilled player, Lapierre has the talent to be a top six forward for the Capitals in a few seasons. He will play this year with the AB Titan and should be among the leading scorers in the QMJHL. He just needs another year without injuries. - BB

  1. Alexander Alexeyev

Despite Alexeyev being a first round pick back in 2019 and leaving a very good impression at every level where he has played so far, somehow, he continues to fly under the radar and is rarely mentioned in the conversation as an elite level prospect. Playing on loan to the KHL to start last season, Alexeyev was quick to adjust to the KHL game again after playing in North America the previous four seasons (WHL and AHL). Alexeyev showed that he doesn't have a lot of weaknesses and was very good at finding the balance between the defensive responsibilities and supporting the attack offensively. When the KHL season ended, Alexeyev returned to the AHL a more confident offensive player, which was converted to improved offensive production.

While the Capitals plans are unclear for their bottom pairing this upcoming season, Alexeyev will have to beat out NHL veteran Trevor Van Riemsdyk or fellow prospect Martin Fehevary for a role. He is likely ready to play on the third pairing right away after a very successful 2020/21 season. His potential probably lies on the Capital’s second pairing in the future, where he can play a variety of roles and be a steady presence on the blueline. - VF

  1. Martin Fehervary

A former second round selection by the Capitals in 2018, Fehervary has progressed very well since. The former captain of the Slovak World Junior Team, Fehervary took an unconventional road by playing out of Sweden for the majority of his junior career. However, since signing and coming to play in North America two seasons ago, Fehervary has established himself as one of Washington’s top prospects. In his first pro year, he actually got into a couple NHL games, including a few in the playoffs for the Capitals. Last season, he played strictly in the AHL, but played very well, improving his offensive production, while remaining one of Hershey’s best defensive players.

The 6’2, 203lbs defender is a rock in the defensive end. His defensive instincts are sound. He brings a physical element. His high-end mobility makes him a suffocating presence and someone who should be able to at least fill a shutdown role at the NHL level. However, Fehervary’s confidence in using his plus skating ability to start the breakout and his confidence in his puck handling abilities have grown considerably in the last calendar year. He appears primed for an NHL role as early as this season, but he will need to beat out veterans like Trevor Van Riemsdyk and Matt Irwin for a spot on the third pairing. Fehervary projects as a second pairing defensive anchor and a long time NHL defender. - BO

  1. Aliaksei Protas

A year after a breakout campaign with the Prince Albert Raiders of the WHL, hulking Belarussian forward Aliaksei Protas followed that up with a very strong performance in 2020/21. His 10 goals in the KHL for Dinamo Minsk were tied for the most by any U20 player in the top men’s league with Columbus first round pick Yegor Chinakhov. Following the KHL season, he joined Hershey of the AHL and performed admirably in a smaller sample size. Then to close out the year, he played for Belarus at the World Championships.

The 6’6, 215 lbs center is an absolute load to handle down low for opposing defenses, as he dominates the cycle game and works his way to the net. Not really your typical power forward, Protas relies more on his skill and puck protection ability to create in traffic. The key for him is to continue putting in the work to improve his skating ability. He will likely spend the entire upcoming season in the AHL, adjusting to the pace and strength of the pro game in North America. Protas projects as a middle six forward for Washington but will likely require several years of development before being ready for a full-time role. - BO

  1. Garrett Pilon

Slow and steady wins the race. That saying certainly personifies Pilon’s professional development thus far in Washington’s system. The former WHL standout (and son to former NHL pugilist Rich Pilon) has slowly improved over the course of three seasons with Hershey of the AHL, finally breaking through as a top contributor last season. As a reward, Pilon was even given a small taste of NHL action. Now eligible for waivers this season, the Capitals will have a decision to make this training camp.

The highlight of Pilon’s game has always been the stocky center’s two-way play and awareness on the ice. A high-end playmaker, he has finally gained the confidence to be more creative at the AHL level and has learned how to control the pace from the middle, becoming a difficult player to separate from the puck. The finer points to his game, like his faceoff ability, strong neutral zone play, and positional versatility, make him a great candidate to earn a depth role on the Capitals this season. Given his progression, it seems unlikely that the Caps would risk sending him through waivers unless he really struggles at training camp. His upside may not be significant, but he does have the potential to be a high-end checking line player or depth option moving forward. - BO

  1. Vincent Iorio

A 6’3, right shot defender, Iorio was a rock for a strong Brandon Wheat Kings team this past season. A late born ‘02, Iorio emerged as an all-situations, minute-cruncher for Brandon, anchoring the second pair behind New York Rangers first round pick Braden Schneider. Iorio is the modern day shut down defender, blending size, mobility, and physicality to stymie attackers. Using his strong four-way quickness, Iorio is aggressive in defending transitional attacks, stepping up early to angle attackers off, always minding a tight gap. Iorio is also a highly intelligent defender who makes a good outlet pass and possesses good awareness at both ends of the ice. This is what allows him to excel at the WHL level in all situations.

That said, Iorio’s game does appear to have some limitations. His even strength production was pretty limited, with the majority of his points coming on the powerplay. He is at his best when he keeps things simple because he does not possess the creativity or hands to be a topflight puck mover. The Capitals are likely hoping that Iorio’s offensive skill set can continue to blossom with Brandon and that he can eventually become a really solid #4 defender for them in the future. - McKeen’s Draft Guide 2021

  1. Brent Johnson

Johnson is a toolsy defender, who even likes to play rough, despite his clear size disadvantage. He throws his body around, gets involved in scrums regularly, and often defends with an ornery edge. That said, Johnson’s best strengths come in the offensive end. His speed allows him to drive the transition, and he looks impressive carrying the puck up the ice. He isn’t the type to engage very deep in the offensive zone, but can control play rather well from the point, with quick and accurate puck movement from high to low, or a solid shot. Even though he comes across as an offensive-minded defender, he is not absent in his own zone, and played a regular shorthanded role for the Stampede of the USHL last year.

There is a valid question of how effective he can remain at higher levels against more uniformly bigger and stronger players, but Johnson has a dynamic element that is worth gambling on, especially if his lack of a high-level resume means he will have more to show in the coming years, which will include time playing collegiately for North Dakota. He will look to bounce back this year as a freshman after shoulder surgery ended his season in 2021. - McKeen’s Draft Guide 2021

  1. Kody Clark

When the Capitals took Kody, the son of Toronto Maple Leafs legend Wendell Clark, in the second round in 2018, the hope was that he could develop into an elite power forward not all that dissimilar from their very own Tom Wilson. Unfortunately, the offensive side of things has been fairly slow to develop. Clark never reached the point per game mark in the OHL before graduating to the AHL and his first pro season was fairly underwhelming. However, Clark’s sophomore effort last year did show marked improvement from an offensive perspective, suggesting that there could be hope yet for him to become an NHL player.

An intense physical competitor, Clark is a human missile on the forecheck. He knows his role on the ice is to cause havoc by driving the net and by forcing turnovers on the opponent’s side of the ice. While Clark is not likely to be a Tom Wilson type, he could still be a serviceable checking line player for the Capitals in a couple of seasons. Washington will be looking for Clark to continue to show improvement offensively this season in the AHL before earning a look the following year (when he is waivers eligible in 2022/23). - BO

  1. Brett Leason

It’s been quite the meteoric rise for Leason, who was passed over twice in the NHL draft before his skating caught up to the rest of his game and he exploded on the scene in 2018-19 with a monster season that included a point-per-game stint at the world junior under-20 tournament. This resulted in Leason hearing his name called in the second round of the draft by the Washington Capitals. Since then, while the pandemic has perhaps stalled the development of many other prospects around him, Leason has continued to blossom, with two successful seasons in the AHL with the Hershey Bears. Last year was another step forward, with 20 points in 33 games for the big winger.

Leason brings size, scoring punch and the motor of a player half a foot shorter. His skating continues to improve, and his hockey sense allows him to be effective with or without the puck. He uses his massive frame well and distributes the puck well, to go with an NHL-calibre shot. He could stand to be even more physical and continue to improve his first three steps. Already 22-years-old, it would be easy to discount Leason as a potential middle-six winger at best in the NHL, but he continues to make inroads and has beaten the odds thus far. With a fairly thin prospect cupboard in front of him, it’s not a stretch to think Leason could see a cup of coffee in the NHL this upcoming season, if the stars align. - AS

  1. Axel Jonsson-Fjallby

The upside may not be incredibly high, but Jonsson-Fjallby’s talents as a forechecker and penalty killer can be used at the NHL level. After parts of three seasons at the AHL level, the time is now for the Swedish spark plug to earn a fourth line role for the Capitals this season.

  1. Mitchell Gibson

A former fourth round pick, Gibson had a solid freshman season for Harvard two seasons ago, establishing himself as the program’s starter. However, due to the pandemic, Harvard did not play last season, leaving Gibson with nowhere to play. He will look to get his development back on track this season as he re-assumes the starter’s role on what should be a strong Crimson team.

  1. Garin Bjorklund

Bjorklund had an excellent post draft season with Medicine Hat (WHL) last year, as he emerged as one of the top netminders in Western Canada. Bjorklund has the skill set to be an NHL netminder and worked hard to correct some technical flaws to become a more consistent performer. He should be a contender for the WHL’s goaltender of the year this season.

  1. Martin Has

The plan for Has was to have him play a full season in the OHL last year, after a partial year prior to that. But the pandemic had other plans and as such, Has played sparingly outside of a few international appearances for the Czech Republic (including the World Juniors). The stay-at-home defender can be an asset in the defensive end because of his strong transitional defensive ability, however his play with the puck needs to improve. His playing location this season remains a mystery, especially since he has not yet been signed by the Capitals.

  1. Beck Malenstyn

The previous season was not a good one for the competitive and physical, former WHL winger. An achilles tear ended his season before it began and has even put the start of this season in jeopardy. Malenstyn will look to bounce back strong at some point with Hershey. He still possesses the potential to be an impact fourth liner for the Caps.

 

 

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2021 NHL DRAFT: METROPOLITAN DIVISION https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/2021-nhl-draft-metropolitan-division/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/2021-nhl-draft-metropolitan-division/#respond Mon, 06 Sep 2021 19:53:16 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=172231 Read More... from 2021 NHL DRAFT: METROPOLITAN DIVISION

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2021 NHL Draft Review

Time to review the draft, in depth. As I have done in previous seasons, this review will cover the league one division at a time. For each team, we will offer a quick summary of their draft class, a deeper look at their first pick/first rounder(s), and then a look at what we think to be the best value pick of their draft class, and a final look at their worst value pick. Once the divisions have all been covered, a final article will go over some other miscellaneous trends of the draft that was (odds & ends), and the annual McKeens shadow draft class. Let’s dig in.

Metropolitan Division

Scott Morrow. Photo by Dan Hickling/Hickling Images

Carolina Hurricanes

2 (40) Scott Morrow, D, Shattuck St. Mary’s 18U Prep (USHS-MN)

2 (44) Aleksi Heimosalmi, D, Assat (Liiga)

2 (51) Ville Koivunen, LW, Karpat U20 (U20 SM-sarja)

3 (83) Patrik Hamrla, G, HC Energie Karlovy Vary (Czech)

3 (94) Aidan Hreschuk, D, USNTDP (USHL)

4 (109) Jackson Blake, RW, Chicago (USHL)

5 (136) Robert Orr, C, Halifax (QMJHL)

5 (147) Justin Robidas, C, Val-d’Or (QMJHL)

6 (170) Bryce Montgomery, D, London (OHL)

6 (187) Nikita Quapp, G, Krefeld Pinguine (DEL)

7 (200) Yegor Naumov, G, MHK Krylia Sovetov Moskva (MHL)

7 (209) Nikita Guslistov, C, Severstal Cherepovets (KHL)

7(219) Joel Nystrom, D, Farjestad (SHL)

Carolina traded its first-round pick on Draft Day, to Nashville, for two second rounders. The Hurricanes acquired an additional second rounder from Columbus in exchange for Jake Bean, and then traded away their own second rounder to Los Angeles for extra picks in both the third and fourth rounds. One of those extra third rounders was then traded to LA for a later third rounder as well as an extra fifth rounder. They got another third rounder from Detroit as part of the Alex Nedeljkovic/Jonathan Bernier swap, and then finally traded away their own, natural third rounder to Vegas for a third rounder next year. Shortly thereafter, Carolina traded away its own fourth round pick to Ottawa for extra picks in the fifth and sixth rounds. That doesn’t account for all of the pre-shuffling done to the picks that Carolina eventually made, as they had already added a few late round selections from trades in 2019 and 2020. At the end of the two days of drafting, Carolina had added 13 prospects to its already overflowing system.

When a team makes close to double its allotted picks, there are bound to be some head scratchers, and the new Hurricanes include their share. For example, it is rare for teams to draft multiple goaltenders in a single year, although it happens occasionally. But drafting three goalies in a single year? It has not happened, but rarely, and this was only the second such occurrence in the seven-round era of the draft, which began in 2005. Here is the full list:

Montreal, 1972 (Michel Larocque, Dave Elenbaas, Yves Archambeault, Graham Parsons)

Philadelphia, 1972 (Daryl Fedorak, David Hastings, Raynald Boutin)

Minnesota North Stars, 1974 (Pete LoPresti, Dave Heitz, Brian Holderness)

Washington, 1974 (Garth Malarchuk, Kelvin Erickson, Bob Blanchet)

Buffalo, 1975 (Bob Sauve, Don Edwards, Len Moher)

NY Rangers, 1975 (Doug Soetaert, Bill Cheropita, Tom McNamara)

St. Louis, 1976 (Mike Liut, Paul Skidmore, Jim Bales)

Montreal, 1977 (Robert Holland, Richard Sevigny, Barry Borrett, Mark Holden, Carey Walker, Jean Belisle, Bob Daly)

Philadelphia, 1977 (Yves Guillemette, Pete Peeters, Steve Jones, Mike Laycock)

St. Louis, 1978 (Jim Lockhurst, Bob Froese, Carl Bloomberg)

Winnipeg, 1981 (Marc Behrend, Bob O'Connor, Greg Dick)

Boston, 1983 (Allan LaRochelle, Terry Taillefer, Norm Foster)

Buffalo, 1983 (Tom Barrasso, Daren Puppa, Marc Hamelin)

Winnipeg, 1985 (Daniel Berthiaume, Tom Draper, Dave Quigley Jr)

New Jersey, 1988 (Chad Erickson, Bryan LaFort, Charles Hughes II)

Minnesota North Stars, 1989 (Bryan Schoen, Scott Cashman, Arturs Irbe)

Quebec Nordiques, 1989 (John Tanner, Sergei Mylnikov, Paul Krake)

Minnesota North Stars, 1990 (Roman Turek, Jeff Levy, J.P. McKersie)

New Jersey, 1990 (Martin Brodeur, Mike Dunham, Corey Schwab)

Los Angeles, 1991 (Pauli Jaks, Craig Brown, Andre Bouliane)

Minnesota North Stars, 1991 (Mike Torchia, Geoff Finch, Derek Herlofsky)

Detroit, 1992 (Greg Scott, C.J. Denomme, Ryan Bach)

Quebec, 1992 (Manny Fernandez, Steve Passmore, Aaron Ellis)

Anaheim, 1993 (Joel Gagnon, Mikhail Shtalenkov, Tom Askey)

Boston, 1994 (Yevgeni Ryabchikov, John Grahame, Neil Savary)

NY Rangers, 1997 (Jason McLean, Shawn Degagne, Johan Holmqvist)

Florida, 1999 (Alex Auld, Jean-Francois Laniel, Jonathan Charron)

Nashville, 1999 (Brian Finley, Jan Lasak, Kyle Kettles)

Los Angeles, 2001 (Terry Denike, Cristobal Huet, Sebastien Laplante)

Tampa Bay, 2002 (Joseph Pearce, Fredrik Norrena, Vasili Koshechkin)

Vancouver, 2002 (Lukas Mensator, Robert McVicar, Matt Violin)

Nashville, 2003 (Teemu Lassila, Rustam Sidikov, Miroslav Hanuljak)

Philadelphia, 2003 (David Tremblay, Rejean Beauchemin, Ville Hostikka)

San Jose, 2004 (Thomas Greiss, Jason Churchill, Derek Macintyre, Brian Mahoney-Wilson)

Philadelphia, 2015 (Felix Sandstrom, Matej Tomek, Ivan Fedotov)

Carolina, 2021 (Patrik Hamrla, Nikita Quapp, Yegor Naumov)

Just check out that Montreal draft from 1977 – seven goalies! Of course, in many of those early years, teams could just keep making selections for as long as they wanted. Carolina threw in five blueliners five forwards to go along with the goalie trio, and made selections from around the hockey playing world, including – as this is Carolina – two picks among their first three, from Finland.

First pick – Scott Morrow, D, Shattuck St. Mary’s U18 Prep (USHS MN), 40th overall

A pick with significant risk of flopping, but also the potential for a significant reward, if Morrow learns to play away from the puck, and his high-end skating and puck skills, with which he dominated at the prep level against weak competition. Playing against low level opponents for much of the last two years, he did not have to worry about risk taking as he was simply bigger, faster, and more skilled than everyone on the ice. In a late draft-year cameo with Fargo of the USHL, he was met with the limits to his approach for the first time. His risky plays were easily snuffed by opponents. The tools are as good as any defenseman in this draft class, outside of top six picks Power, Hughes, and Edvinsson, but he will need a complete reassessment of how to play his game in order to achieve his potential ceiling. His next steps will be made at UMass, which has an impressive recent history of developing blueliners. Carolina was perfectly positioned to take on this type of risk considering the sheer number of picks they had to play with.

Best value pick(s) –Justin Robidas, C, Val-d’Or Foreurs (QMJHL), 147th overall

Carolina drafted quite a few players marginally later than we had them ranked, suggesting a lot of good value was accrued, but Robidas was the one and only pick among their baker’s dozen that we would wholeheartedly classify as a steal. In a draft that prioritized size, Robidas was easy to slip through the cracks, standing only 5-7” and all. Son of longtime NHL’er Stephane Robidas, young Justin is a born leader – he wore the ‘A’ in his draft year and is slated to wear the ‘C’ this coming season – skates well, is reliable in all ends, and has impressive puck skills, to boot. He plays a fearless style as well, allowing you to sometimes forget his lack of height. If the Hurricanes give him any kind of chance at all, Robidas will maximize his potential.

Worst value pick – Patrik Hamrla, G, HC Energie Karlovy Vary (Czech), 83rd overall

If you take three goalies, it stands to reason that you have misgivings about the first one. Look at that list above, of the 35 times in NHL history that a team selected three or more goalies in a single draft class. The goalies listed after each team and year are listed in the order they were selected. How many of the 35 panned out? Michel Larocque, Bob Sauve, Tom Barrasso, Martin Brodeur, Roman Turek, Manny Fernandez, and Thomas Greiss. That is one out of five. Beyond that, you have to wonder why Hamrla didn’t get into a single game at the WU18s, as the Czech team’s top two goalies, Oliver Satny and Tomas Suchanek, both struggled mightily. If I have to pick one goalie out of the Carolina three – all of whom are 6-3”, and between 190-200 pounds, I will take sixth rounder Quapp, but that’s just a hunch. None of the three are sure things, even for goalies.

ANN ARBOR, MI - NOVEMBER 28: Michigan's Kent Johnson in action during their loss to Notre Dame, 2-1, Saturday, November 28, 2020, at Michigan's Yost Ice Arena in Ann Arbor, MI. (Photo by Lon Horwedel/Icon Sportswire)

Columbus Blue Jackets

1 (5) Kent Johnson, C, Michigan (NCAA/Big 10)

1 (12) Cole Sillinger, LW, Sioux Falls (USHL)

1 (25) Corson Ceulemans, D, Brooks (AJHL)

3 (69) Stanislav Svozil, D, HC Kometa Brno (Czech)

4 (101) Guillaume Richard, D, Tri-City (USHL)

5 (132) Nikolai Makorov, D, Krasnaya Armiya Moskva (MHL)

5 (133) James Malatesta, LW, Quebec (QMJHL)

6 (165) Ben Boyd, C, Charlottetown (QMJHL)

7 (197) Martin Rysavy, LW, HC Prerov (Czech 2)

After a few years of shallow draft classes, GM Jarmo Kekalainen fully embraced the rebuild this year, admitting that their second-round adventures were the best the previous core could achieve, and trading NHL assets for additional picks, and ending up as the only team with three first rounders, only the second time in team history to have had that distinction. At first blush, the Blue Jackets did a far better job selecting their three new candidates for ‘Face of the Franchise’ status than they did in 2013, when they had selected Alexander Wennberg, Kerby Rychel, and Marko Dano in the draft’s opening round.

Columbus leaned towards bigger players, with only fifth rounder James Malatesta measuring under 6-0”. Another interesting tidbit about this draft class is the presence of two Czech-based players, giving the Blue Jackets a full third of all Czech-based drafted players. Beyond that, the team actually drafted more North American than they have usually done in recent years, with only one Russian player joining the two Czechs, as opposed to the six North Americans they drafted. There are more than a few players here who should be a part of the next competitive Columbus team.

First first round pick – Kent Johnson, C, University of Michigan Wolverines (NCAA/Big 10), 5th overall

There was not another person in this draft class with a greater puck handling game than Johnson. Some of the moves he pulled off this year, there isn’t a defender in the sport at any level who could stop him. Now, that will change as teams see more video of him, scout him more, come to expect his brand of trickery. There are a few things that Johnson needs to clean up before being ready for the NHL, and the path to retaining his style of play while adjusting to a top six NHL role might be thinner than the Blue Jackets hope, but they should still be expecting a top line caliber forward (he is a center for Michigan, but I expect him to be a winger down the line). He needs to learn to make the simple play more often, and show the ability to make the adjustment to the defense, instead of making the defense always adjust to him. If he can pull that off, he will be an All Star.

Second first round pick – Cole Sillinger, LW, Sioux Falls Stampede (USHL)

One of the better finishers in the draft class, Sillinger left the WHL for the USHL last year due to the uncertainty surrounding the former league in terms being able to have a season. He made the adjustment to the new league seamlessly, winning the USHL Rookie of the Year award despite only playing roughly 60% of the season. Unlike most finishers, he has a solid two-way game, and is strong enough off the puck to be putu on the ice to defend late leads. Sillinger, son of former Blue Jacket Mike Sillinger, and born in Columbus while his father was a team member, lacks Johnson’s upside, but he might be closer to his own ceiling and more ready to play in the NHL.

Third first round pick – Corson Ceulemans, D, Brooks Bandits (AJHL)

The only team with three first round picks, Columbus went for a blueliner after nabbing the two high end forwards to kick off their draft. The Blue Jackets’ reward for sending the last month and change of Nick Foligno’s contract to Toronto, Ceulemans has a very well-balanced game, with equal parts offense and defense, just as able to kill a rush as to generate one. He has a strong NHL frame and puts it to good use, with a physical side that few offensively inclined defenders display these days. He will spend the next few years with Wisconsin, where he will have to show that he can make the adjustment from the AJHL to a significantly higher level of the sport. He has #2/3 upside.

Best value pick – Stanislav Svozil, D, HC Kometa Brno, Czech, 69th overall

An absolute steal of a pick, Svozil had a lot of people giving him first round grades earlier in the year, but moderate performances in both the WJC and the WU18s. But even with those tournaments in consideration, he should have been selected sometime in the second round, considering his strong skating ability and hockey IQ, refined over two seasons playing against men in the Czech pro leagues. It is fair to question his offensive upside, but even there, he flashes enough hints of ability that I would not be surprised to see him one day getting regular, if not primary, power play minutes at the highest level. I wouldn’t even be surprised if Svozil ends up a more valuable NHLer than Ceulemans one day, even if it would be a mild upset.

Worst value pick – Ben Boyd, C, Charlottetown Islanders, QMJHL, 165th overall

This is no disrespect to Boyd, a big center who puts that size to use. He was just way off the radar and never showed any substantial offensive upside. In the sixth round, taking gambles should be encouraged and this placement is not meant to chide Columbus either. Boyd is on the younger side of this draft class, and more development could very well be coming. This distinction is really just a way of noting that we quite liked Columbus’ approach to the draft this year and saw no faults in any of their other picks.

.Jack Hughes. Photo by Rena Laverty/USA Hockey

New Jersey Devils

1 (4) Luke Hughes, D, USNTDP (USHL)

1 (29) Chase Stillman, RW, Esbjerg U20 (Denmark U20)/ Sudbury Wolves (OHL)

3 (68) Samu Salminen, C, Jokerit U20 (U20 SM-sarja)

4 (100) Jakub Malek, G, VHK Vsetin (Czech 2)

5 (129) Topias Vilen, D, Pelicans (Liiga)

6 (164) Viktor Hurtig, D, Vasteras IK J20 (J20 Nationell)

7 (203) Zakhar Bardakov, C, Vityaz Podolsk (KHL)

Early as it is, I have to admit that I liked Tom Fitzgerald’s first draft more than I do this one. How much was actually by his design, I cannot say, but I can say that I had a few plausible choices for ‘worst value pick’ from this draft class. On the other hand, the Devils made the absolutely correct decision with their first pick, and I’m not even considering the PR boost they got from drafting the brother of recent #1 overall pick Jack Hughes in making that assessment. While Hughes has a touch more potential to fail to reach his ceiling that do the players selected in the top three (Power, Beniers, McTavish), it just so happens that his ceiling is higher than them all, partially due to his birth date, and partially due to his tools and how raw they are.

If there was anything truly curious about the New Jersey 2021 draft class, it is that, after Hughes, all of the other picks were based in Europe, at least this year. Even their second first rounder, Chase Stillman, ostensibly an OHL player, played most of his season in Denmark, before joining up with Team Canada for the WU18s. Their day two included two Finns, a Czech, a Swede, and a Russian. I can only presume that if they had any additional picks, they would have used them on players from Slovakia, Germany, Austria, and/or Switzerland. Incidentally, New Jersey has drafted players from each of those countries, with the exception of Germany, in recent years. Thankfully, Nico Daws, who they drafted out of the OHL last year, spent time last year in Germany, so they have covered all of the main hockey bases in Europe. Size may have been a mild theme for them, though, as every player they selected this year is at least 6-0” tall. Fitzgerald was a 6-footer, too.

First first round pick – Luke Hughes, D, USNTDP (USHL), 4th overall

Bar none, Hughes was the best skater in the 2021 draft class. That is almost to be expected given what we know about his older brothers, Quinn and future teammate Jack. Where he starts to differ from his brothers is that Luke also has ideal NHL size for a blueliner, already standing 6-2”, and given his birthdate being less than one week before the cutoff, he has more room for additional biological growth than practically all players drafted this year. More than just a speed demon, Hughes’ other tools also all grade out as plus, and the only reason he wasn’t talked about as much as top two picks Power and Beniers was that a laceration from a skate to his leg knocked him out for the second half of the season, including the WU18s. He was healthy before the draft, though, and after a season or two at Michigan, he will be ready to start the climb towards future #1 NHL defender.

Second first round pick – Chase Stillman, RW, Esbjerg U20 (Denmark U20)/Sudbury (OHL)

Son of longtime NHLer Cory Stillman, and brother of current Blackhawk Riley Stillman, Chase lacks the upside traditionally associated with the first round, but his floor was among the highest of those available as Day One wound down. The most impressive element of his game is his physicality. Not in the sense that he is a face-puncher, but that it can be miserable to play against him. He skates well enough, and demonstrates solid decision making, allowing for him to be utilized in all manner of roles and in all situations. Had the Devils still owned their second-round pick, which would have been only seven spots later, I suspect that Stillman would have still been available, and would have been more understandable. Using that late first rounder that they received from the Islanders in the Kyle Palmieri deal on Still says more about what they thought of the other options than an indication on Stillman’s projected future role with the club.

Best value pick - Zakhar Bardakov, C, Vityaz Podolsk (KHL)

Drafted in his third year of eligibility, Bardakov broke into the KHL this year and showed a lot of same strengths and weaknesses as did Stillman. He has a big frame, skates well, and is reliable in all three zones and all situations. On the down side, Bardakov’s offensive potential isn’t much to get too excited about. Furthermore, as a 20-year-old, there is only so much more growth that we can expect out of his game. Even so, as a seventh-round pick who Russian contract expires after next season, he could provide near-immediate value to the club, if only in a bottom-line role. Also, Yegor Sharangovich had a fairly similar profile as a 20-year-old when the Devils used a fifth-round pick on him in 2018.

Worst value pick – Jakub Malek, G, VHK Vsetin (Czech 2), 100th overall

I admit that I might have a blind spot in player evaluation, as I am generally not very high on goalies who played in lower-level European leagues and have little to no international competitive experience. And that’s where Malek falls. He is a very big guy who has never played above the Czech second division. Even that experience has been limited. Had the Devils drafted Topias Vilen in the fourth round and held off on Malek until the fifth round, I would have had a real dilemma as to who to put here. They drafted both though, so I suppose it’s really a case of ‘no harm, no foul.’.

TRINEC, CZECH REPUBLIC - DECEMBER 29: Kazakhstan vs Finland preliminary round action at the 2020 IIHF World Junior Championship at Werk Arena on December 29, 2019 in Trinec, Czech Republic. (Photo by Matt Zambonin/HHOF-IIHF Images)

New York Islanders

2 (52) Aatu Raty, C, Karpat (Liiga)

3 (93) Tristan Lennox, G, Saginaw (OHL)

4 (125) Cameron Berg, C, Muskegon (USHL)

5 (157) Eetu Liukas, LW, TPS (Liiga)

6 (189) Aleksi Malinen, D, JYP (Liiga)

7 (221) Tomas Machu, D, Draci Sumperk (Czech 2)

The Islanders recent draft history has not been especially kind. Sure, some of their first rounders have hit big (Barzal, Beauvilier), and a few others are trending in the right direction (Dobson, Wahlstrom), but even among the top end picks, there have been prominent flops (Dal Colle, Ho-Sang), and there has been an absolute lack of impact from any pick outside of the first round, with literally zero earning extended time since the 2014 draft class. Among the top candidates to break that post-first-round losing streak are a pair of Finnish prospects in Robin Salo and Otto Koivula, both listed in our top 15 for the Islanders (see upcoming McKeens annual). Another top prospect, Ruslan Iskhakov, spent last season in Finland as well.

Perhaps seeing a trend, the Islanders went heavy into Finland this year. Their first pick, taken in the second round, was as close to a no-brainer as one can get after the top few picks. More on Raty below, but him being available where he was is ridiculous. The Islanders went back to Finland for picks in the fifth and sixth rounds as well. The Islanders didn’t draft any smaller players, with all six picks standing 6-0” or taller, but one was a goalie, so that doesn’t really count, and two of the other five are exactly 6-0”, and only two of their skater picks measure in at 6-2” or greater, so I wouldn’t go so far as to say the Isles targeted size. I am not yet sure that this draft class will break that cycle of emptiness past the first round, but I am more optimistic about these picks than I have been about any recent NYI draft

First pick – Aatu Raty, C, Karpat (Liiga), 52nd overall

There were a few players selected on day two of the draft for whom many in the preseason thought would be first round candidates, or even locks. Only Raty was in consideration as a top five pick. There were even voices that had him as the favorite for first overall before the 2020-21 season kicked off. Admittedly, Raty’s season did not go as hoped. He struggled a fair bit in the first half, to the extent that he wasn’t selected for Finland’s WJC roster, which was especially surprising as he had been a member of their WJC team in 2019, and was pretty good, to boot. So Raty’s stock had clearly dropped, but he was already turning things around in the second half. He spent the bulk of the season playing against men in Liiga, albeit in limited minutes and roles. He still has a sublime skillset with the puck and still lacks any glaring weaknesses in his projection. The Islanders getting him in the second round – late in the second no less! – is nothing short of grand larceny. And as if to emphasize that point, Raty put up 14 points in six games with Finland’s U20 team in summer tournaments.

Best value pick – Cameron Berg, C, Muskegon (USHL), 125th overall

I might be biased, having followed Berg’s progression for two seasons now, but the value isn’t even that the Islanders drafted a player with third round talents in the fourth round. It’s that Berg should have been drafted last year, after one of the best second halves in the USHL. His second year of eligibility was another step forward for the second half of his first go-round, exceeding one point per game playing with San Jose prospect Daniil Gushchin. He showed more skill as a playmaker, without losing any of the fire of his shot. He added more grit to his game. If he can improve his skating even marginally at Nebraska-Omaha, he will have middle six NHL upside.

Worst value pick – Eetu Liukas, LW, TPS (Liiga), 157th overall

To be honest, the Islanders didn’t have any poor value picks this year. Seventh rounder Tomas Machu wasn’t really on our radars, but he’s massive and played a big defensive role against men in the Czech second division last year, and should be a featured blueliner on the Czech WJC team this year. Liukas isn’t a bad gamble for the fifth round either. He can shoot the puck, he’s quite physical, and plays a reliable two-way game. He is simply the only other Islanders’ pick, besides Machu, which didn’t cause me to immediately say “nice pick”. It was fine. There is fourth line upside here if it all works out.

Brennan Othmann of the Flint Firebirds. Photo by Terry Wilson / OHL Images.

New York Rangers

1 (16) Brennan Othmann, LW, EHC Olten (SL)/Flint (OHL)

3 (65) Jayden Grubbe, C, Red Deer (WHL)

3 (75) Ryder Korczak, C, Moose Jaw (WHL)

4 (104) Brody Lamb, LW/RW, Dodge County HS (USHS-MN)

4 (106) Kalle Vaisanen, LW, TPS U20 (U20 SM-sarja)

4 (112) Talyn Boyko, G, Tri-City (WHL)

5 (144) Jaroslav Chmelar, RW, Jokerit U18 (U18 SM-sarja)

7 (208) Hank Kempf, D, Muskegon (USHL)

After a few years of picking at the top, a result of their stated goal to rebuild, the Rangers have turned their organization back around, to a position around the middle of the pack. Seemingly as a result, instead of holding a ton of top picks, drafting for immediate upside, Chris Drury’s first draft as GM saw him focus on complementary types with the first few picks, and extremely raw players later on. It would be fair to categorize their first three picks, and the final one, in the complementary bucket, while their fourth and fifth rounders fit the mold of dart throws on long term upside. For three of the four in the second grouping, part of that supposed upside rests in their extreme physical dimensions, with Boyko, in particular fitting that bill, as the second 6-8” netminder drafted by the Rangers in the past two drafts.

A final note, that may be more coincidental than anything, on Day Two, the Rangers drafted exclusively from three geographical buckets. Canada was represented by three players out of the WHL. The US was represented by two players headed to the college route, one of whom played in high school last year and the other a USHL veteran. Finally, Europe was represented by two players drafted out of the Finnish junior leagues, one a native Finn, the other a Czech import. Both played in the year-ending WU18 tournament, along with the Rangers first rounder, an OHL’er who happened to spend the Ontario-wide hockey cancellation playing in Switzerland.

First round pick – Brennan Othmann, LW, EHC Olten, SL/Flint Firebirds (OHL), 16th overall

Othman does a lot well, but the one area where he truly stands out is as a finisher, given a very strong shot and a willingness to follow it to the net, and pay the price to collect rebounds. He impressed during the OHL cancellation by playing in the Swiss second men’s division, where he teamed up wit the draft’s eventual third overall pick, Mason McTavish. Othmann lacks the flash of recent Rangers’ first rounders, but he brings a solid combination of upside (2nd line) and certainty (pro-style game, solid frame, well-rounded, grit). His year end work with Gold-Medal winning Team Canada also showed that he could produce respectably playing with other high-end talents, without looking like a passenger.

Best value pick – Ryder Korczak, C, Moose Jaw Warriors (WHL), 75th overall

Korczak is small, and his production tis year with Moose Jaw was a step down from what he did in the full season before he was draft eligible, but there is still more than enough to like in his profile, suggestive of a player who can find a way to contribute at the NHL level. A gifted playmaker, he thinks nothing of taking physical punishment to make a play, his numbers should also improve if the level of his linemates improves. He has also worn the ‘A’ for the Warriors for two seasons already, a testament to the intangibles he brings.

Worst value pick – Brody Lamb, LW/RW, Dodge County Wildcats (USHS-MN), 104th overall

A rambunctious winger who scored at a breathtaking clip in the Minnesota high school ranks, Lamb struggled to adjust to the higher level of play in the USHL after his prep season had ended. He can shoot the puck and gets involved physically, but his game lacks the structure that most other draft eligible have and it is hard to see him progress to the point of NHL utility. In fact, it is hard to even now how long it would take if he were to make that leap. Committed to Minnesota, he is lined up to spend two years in the USHL as an intermediate step before entering the collegiate world. Even if he does figure it out, the timeline is so long that the implied value in the selection can only diminish. As a seventh-round pick, he would have made a lot more sense.

Samu Tuomaala.

Philadelphia Flyers

2 (46) Samu Tuomaala, RW, Karpat U20 (U20 SM-sarja)

3 (78) Alexei Kolosov, G, Dinamo-Molodechno (Belarus)

4 (110) Brian Zanetti, D, Lugano U20 (U20 Elit)

5 (158) Ty Murchison, D, USNTDP (USHL)

6 (174) Ethan Samson, D, Prince George (WHL)

7 (206) Owen McLaughlin, C, Mount St. Charles Academy 18U AAA (USHS-RI)

From 2014 until 2018, under the stewardship of former General Manager Ron Hextall, the Flyers drafted seven goaltenders across five years. It only took two drafts under current GM Chuck Fletcher for the Flyers to add another netminder to their pool. A good one, too. Third round pick Alexei Kolosov was the third goalie drafted this year, and the first after the first round. We had him ranked fourth among his fellow crease guardians, but either way the young Belarussian is now the team’s top puck stopping prospect.

Beyond that little tidbit, there isn’t much to note trend-wise, besides perhaps the organization’s stronger lean towards European talent than any year since 2018, where they selected three out of Sweden. First pick (second round) Samu Tuomaala was actually the first Finn drafted by Philadelphia since (scroll, scroll, scroll) Joonas Lehtivuori, a fourth rounder from 2006. Kosolev was actually the first player drafted out of Belarus in franchise history, as the other Belarussian they selected (Maxim Sushko, 4th round, 2017) was playing in the OHL at the time. As for Switzerland, homeland of fourth rounder Brian Zanetti, he was the third Swiss national drafted by the Flyers, and the second who was actually playing in his homeland at the time, after 2003 fourth rounder Kevin Romy. Neat factoids, if not that meaningful.

First pick – Samu Tuomaala, RW, Karpat U20 (U20 SM-sarja), 46th overall

A top performer for Finland’s WU18 team – and one of the best in the entire tournament on any team - Tuomaala is small, but can fly, and has a well-rounded set of tools for the offensive zone, and a promising sense of responsibility off the puck. He even plays with a healthy dose of grit. In fact, if teams weren’t so inexplicably drawn to size this year, he could easily have been a good fit in the late first round. The Flyers have already signed him to an Entry Level Contract, although they have loaned him back to Karpat to continue his development at home for another season. Expect Tuomaala to battle for a spot on Finland’s WJC roster as well. This is their best – although not only – value pick.

Best value pick – Alexei Kolosov, G, Dinamo-Molodechno (Belarus), 115th overall

On the smaller side for a modern netminder, Kolosov is nevertheless a very promising young ‘tender. He split his regular season between the Belarussian league and Belarus’ KHL squad and put up numbers that surpassed his crease-mates with both clubs. He was also Belarus’ starter during the World Championships and is expected to play for his homeland in the upcoming Winter Olympics. The question is whether he will leave his club team for the Olympics, or if he will join Erie of the OHL, where he would have played last year if the OHL had had a season. His best trait is his ability to read the flow of the game, while he has no obvious real weak spots.

Worst value pick – Ty Murchison, D, USNTDP (USHL), 158th overall

With all due respect to Murchison, who has had his good moments for the USNTDP, and has decent size, there were eight draft eligible defensemen on the USNTDP last year, and I would have drafted seven of them before calling on the Arizona State commit. Not only that, three of the ones I would have preferred (Ty Gallagher, who was eventually drafted, and Jacob Martin and Ethan Straky, who were not) were still available at the time. It isn’t that Murchison is bad, but there is just mothering about his game that sticks out as an NHL-level tool.

Pittsburgh Penguins

2 (58) Tristan Broz, LW/C, Fargo (USHL)

5 (154) Isaac Beliveau, D, Rimouski (QMJHL)

7 (194) Ryan McCleary, D, Calgary (WHL)

7 (215) Daniel Laatsch, D, Sioux City (USHL)

7 (218) Kirill Tankov, C, SKA-Varyagi im. Morozova (MHL)

With only five more players added to the system, once again, the Penguins went (relatively) without at the draft. It has now been nine draft classes in a row in which Pittsburgh has made fewer than the allotted seven picks. Next year is already slated to make a ten-draft run with missing picks, as the Penguins’ third rounder has already been dealt to Los Angeles. Furthermore, they are still stuck on only two first rounders in that nine-year stretch.

On the one hand, missing picks isn’t that big a deal when you are winning, and the Penguins have done an awful lot of that over the years, with two Stanley Cups. On the other hand, the team hasn’t escaped the first round (which meant a loss in the playoff qualifiers in 2020) in three years, and the NHL roster core isn’t getting any younger. At some point – a point that they may have already passed – the Penguins will need to bring fresh faces into the lineup, and the best place to find fresh faces has traditionally been from within. Teddy Blugers was the last prospect to rise from within to secure a regular NHL job, and the prospects they keep adding with the picks they do keep are in his vein; well-rounded, lunch bucket, bottom half of the lineup types. Someday soon, Crosby and Malkin won’t be able to carry the torch anymore and the Penguins won’t have anyone ready to step up in their place. Not that anyone can really take over from those two, but there won’t even be any legitimate top six options left.

First pick – Tristan Broz, LW/C, Fargo Force (USHL), 58th overall

Not that Broz is going to be the guy to jump into a top six spot in the next few years, but he could be a really good third line option. He looks like an NHL forward with his frame and smooth, clean skating stride. His puck skills are OK, but he reads the zone very well and is a talented playmaker, who will take a hit to make the play. He doesn’t get shy when the games get tighter, and was the primary reason behind Fargo’s reaching the Clark Cup finals last year. I expect him to play three years at Minnesota, but Broz might not need any additional AHL seasoning after that. A strong pick for the end of the second round. Good thing, too, as Pittsburgh had to wait for nearly 100 more players to be taken off the board before they could make another selection.

Best value pick – Daniel Laatsch, D, Sioux City Musketeers (USHL), 215th overall

Laatsch is no sure thing, but for a late seventh round pick, one of the final ten players selected (although not Pittsburgh’s last selection), he is a very fun, intriguing gamble. A unique player, he is very tall, but also very thin. His offensive game will occasionally flash an awkward utility, as he drives the puck deep into the offensive zone, but his core skills are better suited for simplicity. Despite his reed-thin frame, he has fearless physicality. The USNTDP grad, who needed a year away from the program to be draft-worthy, Laatsch is headed to Wisconsin, which has done a solid job developing blueliners in recent years. I don’t know that he fits into a traditional NHL role, but he could have real value within a few years.

Worst value pick – Ryan McCleary, D, Portland Winterhawks (WHL), 194th overall

As I have mentioned a few times in this series, there is almost no such thing as bad value in the seventh round. They are all gambles by that point, with minimal honest expectations of ever playing in the NHL. But when a team only makes five picks, and three of those are in the seventh round, I have to pick someone. So why McCleary? Two reasons. First, when you only have five picks, it is imperative that you swing for the fences. McCleary is physically underdeveloped and has never demonstrated a big upside, even in U18 hockey in Saskatchewan. The best we can say about McCleary is that he will take the hit to make the play, and that he was born in September, 2003, making him one of the youngest players drafted this year. Second, the other four guys Pittsburgh drafted have more elements going for them. We will know more once he plays a full season in the WHL.

Vincent Iorio. Courtesy of the WHL.

Washington Capitals

2 (55) Vincent Iorio, D, Brandon (WHL)

3 (80) Brent Johnson, D, Sioux Falls (USHL)

4 (119) Joaquim Lemay, D, Salmon Arm (BCHL)

5 (151) Haakon Hanelt, LW/RW, Eisbaren Berlin (DEL)

6 (176) Dru Krebs, D, Medicine Hat (WHL)

6 (183) Chase Clark, G, Jersey Hitmen (NCDA)

With only six picks – missing the all-important first rounder, but not quite making up for it by having an extra sixth rounder instead of picking in the seventh, Washington went heavy on the blueline this year, using four of the six picks on a rearguard, five picks, if you include the goalie. While the positional lean may have been a fluke of circumstance, how the Washington draft board shook out in this pandemic season, what is absolutely not a fluke, but a systemic lean that goes back years, is the team’s preference for drafting players out of Western Canada. Two of five in 2020. Two of four in 2019. Four of seven in 2018. None in 2017, but three of seven in 2016. I could go on. Of their six picks this year, three were out of the WHL and one more came from the BCHL. At least we can say that Washington didn’t follow the herd this year, fetishizing size and brawn. Their first pick is big, as is the goalie selection (Clark is actually huge). But the others are average sized, or smaller.

First pick – Vincent Iorio, D, Brandon Wheat Kings (WHL), 55th overall

The one big skater drafted by the Capitals this year, Iorio is a very good skater for his size, and has a strong defensive zone game, but has never shown much propensity for offensive zone impact. On a rate basis, his 12 points in 22 games last year with the Wheat Kings was far and away his best junior hockey showing. His best anywhere since playing at the 14U level for Shattuck St. Mary’s back in 2016-17. His feet, length, and ability to make clean, yet hard defensive stops allow for a safe projection of a number four with some PK utility as a ceiling.

Best value pick – Brent Johnson, D, Sioux Falls Stampede (USHL), 80th overall

Small, but occasionally very feisty, Johnson had a very strong debut season in the USHL, his first of high-level hockey. A strong puck rusher with a knack for sticking his nose everywhere, his play was often unrefined, but his risks paid off far more often than they backfired. As his game matures, he will need to learn when to take a chance and when to play conservatively, both in terms of offensive risks as well as in his physical play, to avoid injuries like the shoulder ailment that ended his season early. The North Dakota commit is a fun player to watch and easy to root for, especially if you like to see growth of the game. Johnson is a native Texan.

Worst value pick – Joaquim Lemay, D, Salmon Arm Silverbacks (BCHL), 119th overall

In his second year of eligibility, the nomadic Lemay, a Quebec native, made his debut in the BCHL, after a year spent playing prep hockey in Rhode Island. He was OK. His ability to play and move the puck is his only real positive, while on the downside, he can play a bit shy, and his skating is average at best. Committed to Nebraska-Omaha, he may need another year in the BCHL or the USHL (Lincoln owns his rights and has protected him ahead of training camp), before going to campus. Were he taken with a later round pick; it would be a fine gamble. In the fourth round, for an organization that rarely takes all seven of its picks, it seems to be a needless risk with a marginal upside.

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2021 NHL DRAFT: WASHINGTON CAPITALS REVIEW https://www.mckeenshockey.com/team-editorials/2021-nhl-draft-washington-capitals-review/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/team-editorials/2021-nhl-draft-washington-capitals-review/#respond Mon, 06 Sep 2021 19:43:40 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=172229 Read More... from 2021 NHL DRAFT: WASHINGTON CAPITALS REVIEW

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Vincent Iorio. Courtesy of the WHL.

Washington Capitals

2 (55) Vincent Iorio, D, Brandon (WHL)

3 (80) Brent Johnson, D, Sioux Falls (USHL)

4 (119) Joaquim Lemay, D, Salmon Arm (BCHL)

5 (151) Haakon Hanelt, LW/RW, Eisbaren Berlin (DEL)

6 (176) Dru Krebs, D, Medicine Hat (WHL)

6 (183) Chase Clark, G, Jersey Hitmen (NCDA)

With only six picks – missing the all-important first rounder, but not quite making up for it by having an extra sixth rounder instead of picking in the seventh, Washington went heavy on the blueline this year, using four of the six picks on a rearguard, five picks, if you include the goalie. While the positional lean may have been a fluke of circumstance, how the Washington draft board shook out in this pandemic season, what is absolutely not a fluke, but a systemic lean that goes back years, is the team’s preference for drafting players out of Western Canada. Two of five in 2020. Two of four in 2019. Four of seven in 2018. None in 2017, but three of seven in 2016. I could go on. Of their six picks this year, three were out of the WHL and one more came from the BCHL. At least we can say that Washington didn’t follow the herd this year, fetishizing size and brawn. Their first pick is big, as is the goalie selection (Clark is actually huge). But the others are average sized, or smaller.

First pick – Vincent Iorio, D, Brandon Wheat Kings (WHL), 55th overall

The one big skater drafted by the Capitals this year, Iorio is a very good skater for his size, and has a strong defensive zone game, but has never shown much propensity for offensive zone impact. On a rate basis, his 12 points in 22 games last year with the Wheat Kings was far and away his best junior hockey showing. His best anywhere since playing at the 14U level for Shattuck St. Mary’s back in 2016-17. His feet, length, and ability to make clean, yet hard defensive stops allow for a safe projection of a number four with some PK utility as a ceiling.

Best value pick – Brent Johnson, D, Sioux Falls Stampede (USHL), 80th overall

Small, but occasionally very feisty, Johnson had a very strong debut season in the USHL, his first of high-level hockey. A strong puck rusher with a knack for sticking his nose everywhere, his play was often unrefined, but his risks paid off far more often than they backfired. As his game matures, he will need to learn when to take a chance and when to play conservatively, both in terms of offensive risks as well as in his physical play, to avoid injuries like the shoulder ailment that ended his season early. The North Dakota commit is a fun player to watch and easy to root for, especially if you like to see growth of the game. Johnson is a native Texan.

Worst value pick – Joaquim Lemay, D, Salmon Arm Silverbacks (BCHL), 119th overall

In his second year of eligibility, the nomadic Lemay, a Quebec native, made his debut in the BCHL, after a year spent playing prep hockey in Rhode Island. He was OK. His ability to play and move the puck is his only real positive, while on the downside, he can play a bit shy, and his skating is average at best. Committed to Nebraska-Omaha, he may need another year in the BCHL or the USHL (Lincoln owns his rights and has protected him ahead of training camp), before going to campus. Were he taken with a later round pick; it would be a fine gamble. In the fourth round, for an organization that rarely takes all seven of its picks, it seems to be a needless risk with a marginal upside.

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USHL: Brent Johnson, D, Sioux Falls Stampede, 2021 NHL Draft Eligible https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/ushl-rent-johnson-d-sioux-falls-stampede-2021-nhl-draft-eligible/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/ushl-rent-johnson-d-sioux-falls-stampede-2021-nhl-draft-eligible/#respond Wed, 14 Jul 2021 14:35:40 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=171919 Read More... from USHL: Brent Johnson, D, Sioux Falls Stampede, 2021 NHL Draft Eligible

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Brent Johnson, Photo by Dan Hickling, Hickling Images

A product of the growing youth hockey scene in Dallas, Brent Johnson impressed enough with the Dallas Stars Elite programs to be selected in the USHL (Sioux Falls, 2nd round, 2019) and WHL (Everett, 11th round, 2018) drafts. Obviously, the North Dakota commit chose the USHL track. He turned a lot of heads in his first full year with Sioux Falls, tying for fifth leaguewide in points among all defensemen, with two-thirds of those points coming at even strength. In addition to his easy-to-see offensive contributions, he also plays aggressively off the puck, offering far more of a physical presence than his small stature would suggest. The power play quarterback also got time on the PK, and his pairing with USHL veteran Dante Fantauzzi was generally the only reliable pair on the Stampede.

Considering his rapid rise up the American hockey landscape, it may be only natural that Johnson’s instincts are not yet finely honed. He still sometimes struggles to understand what works at his current level, taking risks unnecessarily. He is expected to spend one more season in the USHL before beginning his collegiate career, and I expect to see him play with greater awareness in his second-go-round in the league. If he can learn to play within his limitations, he could grow into a good #4 defender, with some power play responsibilities. If not, his destiny is as a frustrating tweener. A good risk in the third round, but patience will be required.

Brent Johnson 2021 NHL Draft Eligible
Position: D, Shoots R H/W: 5-11", 165 lbs
Stats to date (GP-G-A-PTS-PIMS) Sioux Falls Stampede, USHL (47-11-21-32-42)

Skating – Despite generally playing a poised, unrushed game, Johnson can certainly motor up the ice at an impressive clip. He can also cover ground quickly in reverse, showing promising pivoting and tracking. Thanks to his physical approach, he usually defends the rush quite well, keeping his footing on the inside lane, and forcing the puck carrier to stay on the outside. He has decent lateral agility. Johnson’s feet are generally an asset to his game. Grade: 55

Shot – Johnson gets decent power to his longer range shots. His slap shot can also get on the goalie in a hurry, especially if he uses his deceptive half-windup before firing. He generally keeps his feet moving on the offensive blueline to find a lane and then lets it rip. That said, he is still far too prone to rushing his shots. Per data available on InStat Scouting, roughly one-third of his shots were blocked last year, while another 25% or so missed the net without obstruction. A right-hand shooter, he achieves most of his success from shots taken after he has jumped into the slot, presumably having maneuvered past the first line of defense before firing. He will need to be better about shot selection as he acclimates to higher levels of play in order for his shot to continue being a weapon. Grade: 55

Skills – A solid puck mover, Johnson can carry the puck up ice with pace and showing some decent feints and subtlety of puck handling along the way. The more I watch of him though, the more I see him a defender who prefers to make the clever pass out of his zone instead. His passing game to start the transition is actually quite similar to his passing game in the offensive zone. He likes to move the puck East-West, and adding a little bit of diagonal action to the play to get the puck that much deeper into the zone. He demonstrates poise with the puck, but is a touch overconfident in his abilities; he will charge at multiple defenders to try to get into the slot, or stubbornly try to maintain possession too long instead of dishing off, but he isn’t good enough to pull it off with consistency. To truly maximize his puck skills, as counter-intuitive as it might sound, Johnson has to play more within his limitations. I will give him some credit in this regards, as last year was his first in the USHL, having made jumps in successive years from Dallas-area 16U AAA hockey to Detroit-area 16U AAA hockey to Sioux Falls. Kamikaze rushes that worked at the lower levels don’t in the USHL and won’t at higher levels. Grade: 55

Smarts – As I have already touched on a big concern of mine about Johnson’s game, I’ll just rephrase it here. A big part of his future growth as a player will stem from recognizing the limits of his skill set and learning to play within those limitations. It can sometimes take real difficult struggles to come to that breakthrough, and Johnson’s early successes in the USHL might mean that the reckoning is further down the road. A secondary concern is born out of his natural aggression, as he can sometimes chase the puck in his own end, leaving opposing forwards completely uncovered in very dangerous spots, and his goalie vulnerable. Sometimes, instead of charging a puck carrier out of his zone, he will just drift too much, with a similar result. Those blemishes aside, Johnson has come a long way in a relatively short period of time and shows good instincts at both ends of the ice. He is useful on both special teams units, although he was clearly on the second PK unit for the Stampede. He defends the rush quite well, he gets his body into shooting lanes, and his defensive stick use is rather impressive. He is not nearly as polished as some others in this draft class, but the seeds are here. Grade: 50

Physicality – For a smaller guy with an offensive bent, Johnson sure plays ornery. Not that his physical work is always effective, as, again, he is pretty small, although even then the hits are often harder than you might expect. But he gets in there and doesn’t make it easy on opponents playing against him. He finishes his checks. When he is fully physically engaged, opposing forwards struggle to make much happen. That includes the area in front of his goalie, where he shoves and crosschecks the opponent into effectively disappearing. Grade: 55

Overall Future Projection (OFP): 53.5

A note on the 20-80 scale used above. We look at five attributes (skating, shooting, puck skills, hockey IQ and physicality) for skaters and six for goalies (athleticism/quickness, compete/temperament, vision/play reading, technique/style, rebound control and puck handling). Each individual attribute is graded along the 20-80 scales, which includes half-grades. The idea is that a projection of 50 in a given attribute meant that our observer believed that the player could get to roughly NHL average at that attribute at maturity.

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SCOUCHING #10: Brent Johnson – RHD – Sioux Falls Stampede https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/scouching-10-brent-johnson-rhd-sioux-falls-stampede/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/scouching-10-brent-johnson-rhd-sioux-falls-stampede/#respond Sun, 09 May 2021 14:28:30 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=169336 Read More... from SCOUCHING #10: Brent Johnson – RHD – Sioux Falls Stampede

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Brent Johnson - RHD - Sioux Falls Stampede - Avg. Rnk - 51.00

47GP - 11G+21A - 7.75% G% 22.56% INV% - 18.68 NHLeS

If you haven’t read the background on my work and approach, please read the embedded article before continuing below.

Once you have read the article, or are familiar with Scouching, here is the full video. Powered by Instat.com

To say Brent Johnson had a breakout season would be an understatement. Going from playing 16U AAA in Dallas, Texas to Detroit’s Little Caesars 16U program, to top pair USHL minutes over the last three seasons is a remarkable progression, and he stepped into top pair usage immediately this year with 19 minutes of 5v5 ice time in the first game I tracked.

On the surface, the data is extremely impressive. He is the only non-overage USHL defender surpassing a +100 Tot.Cat%, indicating a doubling of goal differential while he’s on the ice. He had points on 29.6% of the even strength goals Sioux Falls scored with him on the ice, and only Mason Lohrei, a D+2 had more primary points at even strength, and Johnson had more primary assists where Lohrei had a large advantage in goals. He and Lohrei stand alone in multiple production metrics, but his Cat% nearly double that of Lohrei, with two years of extra runway, with Johnson expected to be at North Dakota by Lohrei’s age.

There’s an argument that the best impact defender in the USHL this year is a draft eligible not ranked in the 1st round that had just two USHL games of experience prior to this year and nothing higher than 16U level hockey.

As always, the questions then become “how?”, “is it sustainable?” and most importantly, “is it projectable?”. To me, Brent Johnson is significantly marked by two high-end strengths. There is inconsistent, but often excellent two-to-three-layer rush defense, and remarkable problem solving and pass lane identification and creation ability. If the situation calls for simple stick checks with an ability to quickly turn pucks over directly to linemates, he’s capable of it. If that doesn’t work, he can impose himself physically, and even if his strength isn’t as high end, he’s willing to get involved.

Johnson shows a strong ability to sustain pressure even on controlled entries to continuously make defensive cycle creation difficult. He finds open ice post-turnover remarkably well, and extremely often with the puck. There are so many examples of diverse talents to be aware of linemates and open ice interchangeably to play a modern, oddly offensive defensive style of play that can move pucks effectively in a variety of ways. Johnson also displays great projectable skill for a defender as well to deceive opponents if not navigating pressure in open ice.

All this being said, and his data was remarkable in both directions, but these high-level traits that have been raised are largely defensive traits, so how are the points stacking up? Johnson brings that skill and vision to the offensive zone as well, stepping up from the blueline to apply pressure to defenses. This was a trait that grew over the year as he attempted no dangerous passes in the first three games tracked totaling 56 minutes of ice time but putting up six in the last four games tracked, which still falls well short of more offensive leaning defenders tracked, but is still a notable increase.

He showed strength on the puck at times, able to fight through pressure if jumping into the offensive zone, and he constantly showed a great awareness of the ice, and how his feet and hands can open up valuable open space to push play in the right direction. He keeps pucks in open ice and knows how to take care of the puck at a high pace. He may not take the most aggressive approach, but a rock solid, safe passing game that enables more skilled linemates to finish.

On the other hand, he still can be an aggressive, fun defender to watch with the puck once in a while, so if that comes out more, he could find more offensive success than he has to this point. Some moments, his deception ability is smooth and crafty to the point where at first glance, you wonder how the opponent bites to one side, but then feel like you’d probably do the same, only to have him pull a puck inside and create a new lane to work with.

So, Johnson’s data and video in certain areas looks great, why is he not higher than the mid-30s on my board? He’s a mobile and fluid skater moving laterally and if he has time to cross over and generate speed, he can be a dynamic rush offense defender, but he tends to rely on skill under pressure and seems to lack a firm escape gear on his feet. Physical imposition when not coming face to face with a player through gap control is an issue as opponents could drive wide on him and gain space to maintain possession.

There are also fundamental inconsistencies in his defensive work rate beyond stick checking as his gap control and pressure application was all over the place throughout my sample. His DCZT% was ~20% in three games, and ~40% in two others. Outside of the strength issues, the downsides often revolved around losing a bit of control and going into situations a bit too hard and being too easy to beat by putting himself out of position aggressively.

His DSATA wasn’t particularly notable either, as his ability to get into dangerous lanes and consistently break up play led to a number of extended high-pressure scenarios. There were also times of being a bit too passive without the quickness or physical ability to be a factor. He gave opponents space often and couldn’t close gaps and push players to the outside more often than a player with his kind of data would normally allow.

On defensive cycles that get through his rush defense, Johnson can get out of position over time and lose sight of potentially dangerous opponents. Mental lapses happen, but you always hope the frequency is minimized with time. Johnson with the puck shows great potential, but with this much potential, there will also inevitably be roadblocks to work through, trying to put too much on his shoulders at times and inviting too much pressure.

So, with Johnson, there is a lot to like, even if there are some issues that can be flagged. If what you’re looking for in a defender is smart puck management, primarily stick checking in transition with flashes of physical intensity, and offensive flair on the side, Johnson is an intriguing package that has plenty of headroom.

The Best Part

His ability to use skill to manage the puck and be a reliable pressure valve for his team is unlike almost any defender I’ve tracked this year and is largely what is driving his 75%+ pass percentage on almost 100 attempts per 60. The creativity, sense of deception and linemate awareness should make him a player that lets his team sleep better at night. There may be situations where he can play with fire, but he confidently knows how to manage that pressure often, and with time, should learn how to refine this area of the game, even if it requires a bit of patience.

The Good Part

The defensive transition defense, though somewhat inconsistent, is largely a strong, modern style that combines stick checking and secondary physical imposition in a way that works out more than it doesn’t. He gets in the way of play leading with his stick, and he steps into lanes to block play consistently. He may not be the strongest player along the boards today, but if he keeps his feet moving, he shows an ability to stick to opponents to apply secondary pressure on entries.

The Not-So Good Part

At times, Johnson can lose focus and seem to forget the pace of play he’s dealing with, invite too much pressure and not have the quickness or strength to cover his mistake/ There were moments where you just wished Johnson would put in a bit more to close out cycles and create turnovers, or cheating in the defensive zone a bit to look for breakouts that made more work for himself than necessary. A loss of focus played into the inconsistency regarding his physical play and pressure management, so improving his ability to move pucks a bit quicker and not trying to force things as much without completely losing that skill would be ideal.

Final Thoughts

It’s important to frame Brent Johnson through the lens of his progression to this point, and his potential from this point. He has shouldered an enormous workload and driven excellent results doing so as a USHL rookie. He shows issues common with young defenders with regards to his strength and picking spots to play with flair and aggression, but I’m always a fan of young players who are at least out there trying these things, and being successful more often than not, even if some moments can be frustrating. While I don’t believe Johnson is quite as exceptional as his surface-level data may indicate, I do believe that with improvements in certain areas at North Dakota, he could be a real solid defense-first player who enables offense and generates production through his vision, creativity and pressure management.

Getting stronger to apply pressure more reliably along the boards and working on his quickness would give him another to escape pressure with rather than skill and passing lane creation. While I have him ranked in the mid-30s, Johnson is a player I could easily see drafted in the late first like another unrelated Johnson, Ryan, drafted by the Sabres in 2019.

Brent Johnson isn’t a perfect defenseman, but he’s arguably one of the best pressure managers and carriers of the puck on defense available in this entire draft. He isn’t a rush defender who is going to quarterback an offense, and he isn’t a physical, nasty boxout defender who is going to move heaven and earth to protect his goaltender, but he’s a smart, calculated and skilled player who took on a massive role this season and seems to have knocked it out of the park with both unique and projectable skills, and troubling inconsistencies that will hopefully improve over his next few seasons.

Final Ratings: Think - 2D, Move - 2A, Get - 1F, Pass - 1C, Shoot - 2A, Overall - 2B

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USHL: 2020-21 Playoff Preview – Expect Entertaining Hockey with Chicago a Clear Favourite https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/ushl-2020-21-playoff-preview-expect-entertaining-hockey-chicago-clear-favourite/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/ushl-2020-21-playoff-preview-expect-entertaining-hockey-chicago-clear-favourite/#respond Fri, 30 Apr 2021 15:27:15 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=169269 Read More... from USHL: 2020-21 Playoff Preview – Expect Entertaining Hockey with Chicago a Clear Favourite

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If there is an exception to the across-the-board negative impact of COVID-19 on the world of hockey, it may rest in the USHL. As north of the border, the three leagues of the CHL were in disarray – at best – the USHL, played a fairly “normal” year.

Sure, the league proceeded without the participation of the Madison Capitals (regional COVID restrictions) or the Cedar Rapids Rough Riders (a Derecho huffed and puffed and blew the arena down), but the rest of the league played (an approximately) 54 game schedule with rather few disruptions.

Not only that, but in terms of quality, the league was better than ever, as a number of players who had expected to suit up for Canadian teams – both CHL and Jr. A – were given an opportunity to play for various USHL teams as their regular leagues were delayed indefinitely, or outright cancelled. Those bonus players included some that were drafted already, including Cross Hanas, Bear Hughes, and Danil Gushchin*. Other drafted players came in from the Ivy League schools, who did not play a hockey schedule this year. In addition to the likes of Henry Thrun, Jack Malone, and Austin Wong coming to the USHL after some time in college, others like Sean Farrell and Alex Laferriere, who had intended to start collegiate life this year, were forced to stay back for one more year in the Midwest.

*Gushchin, who had played the previous two seasons with Muskegon, was expected to play in Ontario with Niagara for the 2020-21 season, but with the OHL in permanent statis, he was loaned back to the Lumberjacks, where he put up his best season yet.

And then there were the draft-eligible ringers who unexpectedly joined the league and played so well that they have legitimate first round consideration at the end of it. I am thinking, of course, of Cole Sillinger, who joined Sioux Falls, before it was known when, or if, the WHL would get going, and Ayrton Martino and Jack Bar, who had played in Ontario last year and had been planning on playing in the BCHL this year before Canadian restrictions pushed them to the USHL, with Omaha and Chicago, respectively.

Of course, there were many other unexpected players in the league this year, with those mentioned only scratching the surface of the most famous names.

So, before we preview the postseason, which begins this Friday (Apr. 30), let’s pour one out for the six teams that didn’t make, and give a word to the top 1-3 draft eligible players from those squads.

Team USA

One point behind Dubuque for the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference – although far further back via points percentage (.510-.481), the USNTDP team that would have played in the USHL playoffs had they made it would have been the U17 team. The best of that group – Rutger McGroarty, Isaac Howard, Ryan Chesley, Lane Hutson, Charlie Stramel and others – are playing with the U18 team in Texas at the WU18 tournament. No draft eligibles but remember those names for next season.

Youngstown Phantoms

By points percentage, easily the weakest team in the league. The aforementioned Jack Malone, a Vancouver draft pick, was far and away the top performer on the team, which is to be expected from a player with a year at Cornell under his belt. Among first year draft eligibles, Japanese import Yusako Ando was the most notable, although his second year in the league was worse than his first. He can create for others, but he doesn’t skate well enough to make up for his slight 5-7” frame. The only other draft eligible who ever made a positive impression on me from this roster was blueliner Austen May. The Providence commit is on the small side, but he is really fleet of foot and shows decent attention to detail off the puck.

Des Moines Buccaneers

Despite the presence of three drafted players – Alex Laferriere (LA), Noah Ellis (Vgk), and Lucas Mercuri (Car), the Buccaneers struggled this year, particularly in terms of putting the puck in the net. The drafted guys were all solid, but too few of the rest of the roster could match their output. Perhaps things would have been different if Paul Davey hadn’t of left mid-season for a stint back home in Connecticut. Davey and Scout Truman were the two most notable first time draft eligible on the roster, but neither really put their stamp on the season. If there are to be any Buccaneers drafted this year, they will be among the redraft candidates. To that end, file away the names of Matt Choupani and Remington Koepple. Choupani is a forward who lacks much in the way of physical tools but can play the puck well. Koepple is a goalie who had decent numbers in his first year in the league, although he has only average size and athleticism and he chocked in the BioSteel game, hurting his standing for some.

Lincoln Stars

The Stars went heavy on the ringers partway through the season. Cross Hanas was already mentioned, but he was just one of four players brought in from the WHL Portland Winterhawks, joining Clay Hanas (no relation), Jack O’Brien, and James Stefan, as well as Charles-Alexis Legault from West Kelowna in the BCHL and Michael Mastrodomenico from AAA hockey in Quebec. Simply put, the shuffled team never gelled, and the newcomers couldn’t get into the swing of the USHL.

O’Brien was the biggest disappointment. There was some expectation that he could be a high round pick this year, but one goal and six assists in 23 games ended that sentiment. Blueliner Legault didn’t hurt his stock too much, as he still has great size and skates well and shoots from his right side. Stefan, son of former first overall pick Patrik Stefan, had enough moments to maybe convince some team to call his name in the late rounds. A kind word also to big bruising winger Gleb Veremeyev. Veremeyev isn’t an offensive threat, but one of the top PIM players in the league is a threat, nonetheless. The USHL is not a very physical league, and when a player has that size and plays with that snarl, he sometimes gets drafted, such as we saw with Nick Capone last year and Martin Pospisil in 2018.

Waterloo Black Hawks

Generally contenders, the Black Hawks find themselves out of the playoffs for the first time since 2014-15, and only the second time in 14 seasons for which there were playoffs. Fielding one of the smaller and least experienced lineups in the league, this just wasn’t their year. Their one drafted player, Toronto’s Wyatt Schingoethe, regressed heavily from his strong draft year. The team cycled through goalies, with three seeing significant minutes. Remember the name of Emmett Croteau, the best performing of their netminders, as he won’t be draft eligible until 2022.

Among players eligible this year, the most impressive were second time eligible defenseman Cooper Wylie, a USHL rookie, who can play the puck and skate well enough to make his ornery game effective, if not spectacular. He could be drafted. On the other hand, David Gucciardi, acquired in an early season trade from Youngstown, will be drafted. His game is raw, and his mistakes are often critical, but he has tools, and his instincts are good enough to think he can be a good one if he relies on his instincts all the time.

Sioux Falls Stampede

The Western Conference bottom feeders are a mystery. In the last USHL playoffs, the Stampede took home the title. In addition to their usual solid team, this year they brought in the highest profile ringer in Cole Sillinger, who didn’t disappoint, with a team leading 46 points despite only playing in 31 games. He is a sniper with an NHL style game who will be back in the WHL next year. The USHL rarely sees a player of his caliber, whether talking about skill or about reading the game, yet he couldn’t drag the Stampede upwards on his own. I would be surprised if he isn’t the first player from this year’s USH: crop to play in the NHL.

Defender Brent Johnson was one of the better draft eligible defenders in the league as well. A power play specialist with good wheels and an ornery side, his season ended right before the BioSteel All American Game due to a shoulder injury, but could hear his name called in the 50-80 range of the draft if his medicals hold up.

Although not as high profile, I also have time for second time eligible, defenseman Nate Schweitzer, who can do a lot well, but nothing spectacularly, and winger Mike Citara, who can skate and shoot. I don’t expect either to be drafted, but I wouldn’t be surprised if either was.

The Playoffs

The format this year is simple. The top four teams from each conference made it in. All series are best-of-threes. Top seed plays the fourth seed, and second seed plays the third seed. All games are hosted by the higher seed. One series per weekend until one team lifts the Clark Cup. Let’s go!

Western Conference

Jack Peart. Photo Dan Hickling, Hickling Images
#1 Tri-City Storm vs #4 Fargo Force

The Western Conference was incredibly tight at the top with the playoff picture not being settled until the final weekend of the regular season. The points percentage difference between Tri-City and Fargo (32 percentage points) was less than between Fargo and fifth place Des Moines (34 percentage points).

Fargo was the third best defensive team in the league, although Tri-City was the best at keeping the puck out of its net. Neither team is known for filling their opponents’ nets either, but both had generally done enough to walk away with points more often than not. In fact, they are quite evenly matched. The difference in these three games (outside of home ice advantage) is likely to rest in special teams. Fargo was mediocre on both the power play and the penalty kill, while the Storm were strong with the man advantage and almost impregnable on the penalty kill, leading the league with a breathtaking 88.3% kill rate. To Fargo’s credit, they have played far more of their season at 5-on-5 than Tri-City. And they will have to do that again this weekend to keep their season alive.

Beyond the expected close games, another reason to watch this series is the head-to-head matchup between two very interesting and talented draft eligibles. On Fargo, that would be Tristan Broz, a two-way center with a good motor and the vision to be a power play weapon. The Minnesota commit ran away with the scoring lead on his team. His numbers would be even more impressive if he had more talented teammates to play with. On Tri-City, the man of the hour is Matthew Knies. Knies started his season painfully slow, but ended it on fire, with 20 points in his final 11 games. Knies has heavier feet, but a very mature build and at his best, can take over the game. He will join Broz with the Golden Gophers next year.

Knies and Broz are not the only intriguing draft eligible players in this series. In fact, Fargo blueliner Jack Peart has a very good chance to be the highest drafted player in this series. The St. Cloud State commit split his season between Fargo and Grand Rapids High School (Mn). He is a good skater with a very strong first few steps, who plays with preternatural poise. He controls the puck like a much older player and plays a strong 200-foot game. Had Peart spent the entire season in Fargo, the final standings may have looked very different. For Fargo, also keep an eye on Aaron Huglen, a Buffalo draft pick who returned from over a full year on the sidelines after around a third of this season was done and has played a skilled game ever since.

On Tri-City, Knies is joined by a pair of intriguing draft eligible players in Hunter Strand and Carter Mazur, the latter of whom is a second time eligible player. Strand is a USNTDP alum, whose late birthday prevented him from being drafted last year. The Alaska native is a great skater and plays a patient game with the puck. Mazur has more of an East-West style game, helped along by plus edges. He can play the pest role as well and retains utility off the puck. Strand and Mazur both outscored Knies this year, but Knies already had a big reputation through his big pre-draft year and his run to end the year keeps him top of mind.

Prediction: Fargo in three. A mild upset to be sure. The return of Peart helps Fargo just as much as the loss of top blueliner Guillaume Richard hurts Tri-City. Richard is currently representing Team Canada at the WU18s in Texas. Neither team has stellar goaltending, but Fargo’s Brennan Boynton should be able to roughly match Tri-City’s Todd Scott.

#2 Omaha Lancers vs #3 Sioux City Musketeers

Both Omaha and Sioux City put up 63 points in 53 games, but their paths to getting there could scarcely have been more different. Consider that Omaha’s goal differential was a mediocre +13, while Sioux City outscored their opponents on aggregate by 35 goals, with the league’s best – by far – defense.

The two teams are both led by high end goaltending, each starting one of the three drafted netminders in the league. For Sioux City, that man is the Swiss Akira Schmid, a New Jersey prospect, while Montreal draftee Jakob Dobes, from Czechia, mans the pipes for Omaha. Dobes was a true workhorse for the Lancers, playing in 47 of the team’s 53 games, while Schmid played roughly two-third of the time for Sioux City, as his back up was more reliable.

Schmid will need to be at his best in this series, however, as Omaha has one of the biggest offensive weapons in the league at their disposal in Ayrton Martino. Martino joined the club shortly after the calendar flipped into 2021 and took the league by storm, with the fifth best points-per-game ratio in the USHL (1.47). A great skater with a fantastic shot, Martino did not let his slight frame prevent him from dominating, and his playmaking game is just as strong as his finishing ability. If Sioux City can shut Martino down, the Lancers don’t have too many other weapons at their disposal as their secondary scoring is largely in the hands of USHL veterans like Ryan Lautenbach, Nolan Renwick and Zach Dubinsky. The Omaha roster is one of the oldest in the league.

Sioux City, on the other hand, has a few more weapons at its disposal. Detroit draft pick Chase Bradley and New Jersey pick Ethan Edwards were both in the team’s top four in scoring, while Buffalo pick Matteo Costantini showed well after joining the league mid-season. Although the Musketeers don’t have a draft eligible player the likes of Martino, don’t sleep on defenseman Shai Buium. A USHL rookie out of the Shattuck-St. Mary’s program, he combines quick hands with smooth, if not quick, feet. He plays a strong two-way game and if he were a better skater (he isn’t bad, but he isn’t great), we would be hearing more people call for him as a first round type of talent. As is, he has enough raw skill to dream on a big, late-blooming future. I am also keeping an eye on redraft candidates defenseman Daniel Laatsch and center Justin Hryckowian. Laatsch is a USNTDP alum who has great size and some burgeoning skill, but is still raw, while Hryckowian has a fun skill game, but an injury-filled history and a sub-optimal build.

Prediction: Sioux City’s depth overcomes Martino’s solo skill in three games.

Western Conference Final Prediction: Sioux City over Fargo in three games. Sioux City is just too difficult to score against and has enough offensive weapons to get the job done.

Eastern Conference
Matthew Coronato. Photo by Dan Hickling, Hickling Images

#1 Chicago Steel vs #4 Dubuque Fighting Saints

By all accounts, this should be a washout. Chicago is, by great lengths, the top team in the USHL. They enter the postseason on an eight-game undefeated streak, and won 38 of 54 games this year, often by wide margins. Their goaltending has been shoddy at times, but far more often than not, they were able to outscore their troubles and their total of 265 goals scored was 24 more than the runners-up. Dubuque, on the other hand, won only 24 of 51 games, securing the final playoff spot in the east thanks to a win in their final game coupled with a loss from the U17 USNTDP squad.

If Dubuque is to have a hope in this series, look to their defensive players. Goalie Lukas Parik, a Los Angeles draft pick, struggled since joining the team, in late-January from the Czech second division, but shut out Green Bay in his final game, reminding us of what he is capable. On the blueline, fellow LA pick Braden Doyle teams up with Anaheim draft pick Henry Thrun to give the Fighting Saints a pair of weapons. Up front, Dubuque has a balanced attack, but the man to watch is Robert Cronin. While too old to be drafted this year Cronin is a late bloomer with speed and skill who will be a good follow next year once he joins the University of New Hampshire. The boy to watch, on the other hand, is Matthew Savoie. The 17-year-old is a 2022 draft eligible, who should have been playing in the WHL, but the uncertainty in that league led him to Dubuque, where he immediately played a central, and at time dominating, role. He’s going to be really fun to watch next year.

Looking at draft eligibles for this summer, keep your eyes on Connor Kurth and Andrei Buyalsky. Buylasky is actually the same age (born three days later) as Cronin, but as he is considered a foreign player (this is his first season in North America), the Kazakhstani forward is draft eligible while the American Cronin is not. Buyalsky is an impressive skater with impressive finishing ability. Kurth, on the other hand, has no particular big attributes to his game, but he finds a way to put up good numbers. He has a very stocky build but moves well enough regardless.

Moving on to Chicago, almost every skater on the roster is worthy of mention. Start with Montreal draft pick Sean Farrell, a USNTDP alum who would have been with Harvard this season had the Crimson actually played. Instead, he put up a breathtaking 101-point season for the Steel. His playmaking ability is simply unfair to most opponents on most nights. Then there is Matthew Coronato, a likely first round pick, who scored 48 goals in 51 games. Sure, it helps to have Farrell playing on your team, but the two actually rarely played together at even strength. Coronato is an offensive dynamo, who is content to cycle on his own for multiple full loops of the offensive end before he sees a seam to exploit.

Then there is Jack Bar, a late add to the roster from the BCHL. After a brief period acclimating to the league, he began to dominate. The defenseman likes to get deep into the offensive zone but is also a physical and committed defender. He has some first round upside. Of course, I also have to mention Mackie Samoskevich, who at one time was seen as a better draft prospect than Coronato. Samoskevich struggled somewhat after a midseason injury but is another gifted playmaker and a fantastic skater to boot.

I don’t want to get into the weeds too much, but I also expect Josh Doan (son of Shane), Ryan Ufko, and Jackson Blake to be drafted this summer, and Jack Harvey being drafted wouldn’t surprise me either. Anaheim draft pick Ian Moore has been impressive in his first season in the USHL, and 2023(!!) eligible forward Adam Fantilli is a burgeoning superstar. As good as everyone else already mentioned on this roster is, Fantilli’s upside is the highest. I am talking top three in the draft upside.

Prediction: Chicago in two, barring a complete breakdown in net. Chicago in three if the goalies stumble.

#2 Muskegon Lumberjacks vs #3 Green Bay Gamblers

A testament to how tight the West is, the Muskegon-Green Bay series is the second most lopsided duel after Chicago-Dubuque, with .040 percentage points separating the Lumberjacks and the Gamblers. Muskegon plays an up-tempo, high-event game with red lights going off at both ends. Green Bay is best when they keep goals to a minimum, and actually ended the season with the fewest goals allowed in the conference.

Green Bay’s chances are led by a pair of Boston Bruins’ draft picks in defender Mason Lohrei and center Jake Schmaltz. The latter is a two-way forward, who after three seasons in the USHL, has figured out how to be a factor offensively. He does a lot of little things well but lacks any dynamic elements. Lohrei was a surprise second rounder last season but has grown his game even more this year. He is big, skates very well, has a big point shot and plays a tough game at all ends. The Gamblers will go as far as he can take them. Vancouver draft pick Jackson Kunz and Vegas pick Jackson Hallum are also on the roster, and while both have shown the ability to provide secondary offense, neither can make things happen on their own. 2022 eligible Ryan Greene is an interesting player, but if there is a wild card in Green Bay, it is Camden Thiesing. The Tennessee native combines skill with grit, finishing third in the league in PIMs. He will work to make things happen on his own, and when he stays out of the penalty box, he is dangerous.

Led by San Jose draft pick Danil Gushchin, Muskegon is incredibly entertaining. Gushchin is a dynamo, who is not the most consistent player, but when he is involved and engaged, is one of the top handful of forwards in the league. He is joined by a deep roster of talented players, a few of whom should be drafted this summer, many of those in their second year of eligibility. The best of that secondary bunch is center Cameron Berg. Berg finished last year hot after a slow start and didn’t miss a beat coming into this year. He has a high-end wrist shot and knows how to create space for himself to rip one off. Winger Quinn Hutson is another second-year eligible forward who made waves this year. The type of player to get to the right spot at the right time, he knows how to finish what his linemates create. On the blueline, there are a trio to watch. The offensive blueline is Jacob Guevin, a power play specialist, whose production overshadows his average tools. Alex Gagne and Hank Kempf are bigger, more physical blueliners who make life difficult for attacking forwards. I could see all three drafted this summer.

Prediction: Muskegon in three games.

Eastern Conference Final prediction: Chicago in three games over Muskegon. This would be an immensely entertaining series.

Clark Cup Final Prediction: Chicago over Sioux City in three games. It’s really hard to bet against the Steel this year.

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