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ST. PAUL, MN - APRIL 24: Minnesota Wild left wing Kirill Kaprizov (97) looks on during the first period in Game Three of the First Round of the 2025 Stanley Cup Playoffs between the Vegas Golden Knights and Minnesota Wild on April 24th, 2025, at the Xcel Energy Center in St. Paul, MN. (Photo by Bailey Hillesheim/Icon Sportswire)

What started off looking like a massive year for the Wild turned into a scratch-and-claw season to make the playoffs. Injuries crushed Minnesota throughout the year. Kirill Kaprizov, Joel Eriksson Ek, Mats Zuccarello, Jonas Brodin and Jared Spurgeon each missed significant time and the fact they finished in the first wild card spot with 97 points and held off the St. Louis Blues and Calgary Flames is a credit to them and coach John Hynes. Kaprizov had an MVP-like start to the season and had the Wild off and running to start the season while goalie Filip Gustavsson rounded into form, but as injuries piled up, so did the losses. The Wild’s five-on-five numbers were mediocre all-around and as much as their power play struggled (20th best in the NHL) their penalty kill was a nightmare (30th). It’s difficult to judge the team overall given the spate of injuries compared to their numbers, but the talent level on the team is strong enough to carry them into competing again this season.

What’s Changed?

The biggest addition for the Wild came late last season when 2024 12th overall pick defenceman Zeev Buium signed his entry-level deal out of the University of Denver. He made his Wild debut in the playoffs playing four games and had one assist in 13:36 average time on-ice. He’ll be a fixture in the lineup for years to come as their next puck-carrying offensive defenceman. Re-signing center Marco Rossi (three years, $15 million) took care of what was shaping up to be a potential headache and gives him the chance to prove himself further. Minnesota also added veteran winger Vladimir Tarasenko from the Detroit Red Wings for the low cost of future considerations and brought back center Nico Sturm fresh off winning the Stanley Cup in Florida. They also shipped center Frederick Gaudreau to Seattle and defenceman Declan Chisholm to Washington as well.

What Would Success Look Like?

A return to the playoffs with a healthy lineup would be a fascinating success for the Wild. Their parts with Kaprizov, Rossi, Matt Boldy, Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Buium, Brodin, and Gustavsson are very good and with role players like Marcus Foligno, Ryan Hartman and Jacob Middleton able to grind teams up, they could be a deeply frustrating team in the playoffs. They showed that to a degree in the first round against Vegas last season and you can’t help but wonder how things would’ve gone if they hadn’t gone through the wringer all season. Still, a trip back to the postseason and a first-round series win would go a long way in Minnesota for fans who’ve been desperate for success for years. Doing so in a brutally competitive division again would be a big accomplishment.

What Could Go Wrong?

A repeat of the injury luck from last season would be a way to make life a lot harder. They’re getting a taste of that already with Brodin coming off surgery for an upper-body injury that got to him last season. That he’ll likely miss the start of the season is not the way anyone in Minnesota envisioned the year starting. Any kind of bad luck physically could be what determines their playoff fate and with how good and competitive St. Louis, Calgary and Utah were and with Vancouver and Seattle having designs on getting back into the mix, it’s going to be a difficult battle.

Top Breakout Candidate

It’s impossible not to focus all the attention on Buium this season. He’s got the electrifying skill set to make people think of Cale Makar when he came out of Massachusetts years ago and with his affable personality to match his exciting style of hockey, he’ll get the opportunity to pile up points with the Wild. In two seasons with Denver, Buium had 98 points in 83 games including 24 goals. Minnesota has desperately needed a defenceman capable of leading the rush up the ice for years and Buium’s smooth skating and skills will make him an instant fan favourite.

FORWARDS

Kirill Kaprizov

Predicted Stats
GP G A PTS PPG
77 45 58 103 1.34

When last season began, all signs pointed toward a potential MVP campaign for Kirill Kaprizov. A lower-body injury just before the holiday break in December interrupted a season that began with 50 points in 34 games that included 23 goals. He missed a month of action and returned for three games before going out again to undergo surgery that kept him off the ice until April. In the end, Kaprizov’s regular season finished with 41 games played and 56 points with 25 goals. The Wild finished fourth in the Central Division with only half a season of his brilliance but did get him back for the playoffs as they secured the first wild card. There he had five goals and four assists in their six-game series loss to Vegas. It’s very difficult not to look back on how he played and wonder what might’ve been, but as he enters a contract season and the (long) possibility of hitting unrestricted free agency next summer, the mind boggles wondering what he could do on top of his effort from last year to boost his asking price. There’s little doubt that a healthy Kaprizov makes the Wild a much, much more dangerous (and fun to watch) team. A repeat performance like that without injury would make Minnesota a true wild card kind of team in the West.

Matt Boldy

Predicted Stats
GP G A PTS PPG
82 31 50 81 0.99

For all the brilliance we saw from Kirill Kaprizov, it can’t take away from just how good Matt Boldy was as well for the Wild. Boldy had a career high 73 points in 82 games and put up 27 goals to go with it. He again proved to be a strong performer on the power play with 21 points, and his 10 game-winning goals tied him with Sidney Crosby for second most in the league. Not bad for a 24-year-old in his fourth season. What will be interesting to watch with Boldy this season is how his line shapes up. Last season, he was with Marco Rossi most often and he is an unsigned restricted free agent. Rossi has had trade rumors swirling around him throughout the offseason. With additions like Danila Yurov, Nico Sturm and Vladimir Tarasenko, some of the lines will be in flux, but with Boldy firmly locked into a wing spot in the top six, if he loses his centerman that creates a big hole. Fortunately, Boldy’s abilities make it easier for any center to slide in next to him and make them look good because of how well he handles the puck and uses his size to create opportunities. With the Olympics coming in February and the strong possibility he’ll play for the United States, expect Boldy to have a strong season no matter who he skates with.

Marco Rossi

Predicted Stats
GP G A PTS PPG
75 21 38 59 0.79

The situation with restricted free agent Marco Rossi remains up in the air as of this writing. He is unsigned following a career-best 60-point season that included a career-high 24 goals. There have been trade rumors bandied about all offseason long and questions raised about whether the team sees Rossi as a fit for them long term or not. Fans waited not so patiently for Rossi to arrive full-time after the team drafted him ninth overall in 2020, and when he scored 21 goals with 40 points as a rookie two years ago, the collective feeling was his time had arrived. That sensation only increased with his performance last season although it could be argued he didn’t take enough of a big step to necessitate a massive raise on a new contract. Public negotiations are tricky that way. Despite Rossi’s size (5-foot-9, 185 pounds), he plays hard, skates fast and is strong on his feet. He’s a creative player and can get into tight areas to score as well. He’s a supremely talented player, but teams do worry about size despite the history of players who have had great success at that stature. Should Rossi stay with the Wild, it would seem likely he’ll reunite with Matt Boldy with a linemate to be determined (Vladimir Tarasenko, Liam Ohgren). If there’s a trade yet to come, the return will be interesting because the Wild want to win now.

Mats Zuccarello

Predicted Stats
GP G A PTS PPG
71 17 34 51 0.72

Nothing ages fans harder than seeing their favorite players get older, and it’s part of what makes what we see from Mats Zuccarello so impressive.  The Norwegian star will be 38 as the new season starts and he’s been nothing but the picture of consistency throughout his NHL career. Last season, he had 19 goals and 35 assists (54 points) and it marked the fourth straight year he had 50-or-more points and the ninth time he’s done it in his 15-year career. In six seasons with the Wild he averaged nearly 56 points per season, and he joined them at 32 years old. Some players see their production fall through the floor when they go beyond the age of 30, but Zuccarello has excelled when he’s stayed in the lineup. While he’s always capable of scoring goals, he’s been an outstanding setup man and the chemistry he’s developed in Minnesota with Kirill Kaprizov and Joel Eriksson Ek over the years has turned that trio into an a highly entertaining and exciting line to watch. Despite how well Zuccarello scored, you have to wonder how much better his numbers would’ve been had Kaprizov and Eriksson Ek not struggled with injury. As it is, he missed 13 games of his own, but with his linemates each missing half of the season, it’s no wonder Zuccarello’s power play numbers dipped so hard. His three power play goals and 16 points were the fewest he had since the shortened 2020-2021 season.

Joel Eriksson Ek

Predicted Stats
GP G A PTS PPG
79 24 34 58 0.73

The role injuries played in fouling up what could’ve been a very good season for the Minnesota Wild also wreaked havoc on Joel Eriksson Ek’s season. The Swedish two-way centerman was held to 46 games last season and had 14 goals and 15 assists (29 points). A broken nose and various lower-body injuries forced him out of the lineup numerous times throughout the year and although he was able to play in the Four Nations Face-Off, he was out of the lineup shortly after coming back from the tournament and was out until early April. Although he was back in time for the playoffs, he wasn’t able to have the same kind of immediate success Kirill Kaprizov had. Losing Eriksson Ek for roughly half the season because of all the injuries made navigating the season a lot more difficult for the Wild. The various roles he plays in all situations makes him a vital cog in their operation and going without him shortened everything up throughout the lineup. Provided the lower-body issues are behind him now and can focus on the season, it’ll prove to be a huge benefit for the team, particularly if there’s a move yet to come with the rest of the lineup or Marco Rossi remains unsigned into the season. The Wild had the third worst penalty kill in the NHL last season and although they had an assortment of injuries, going without Eriksson Ek for a lot of it contributed to the poor kill. His work as a defensive center cannot be understated no matter how good he is offensively as well.

Vladimir Tarasenko

Predicted Stats
GP G A PTS PPG
76 15 26 41 0.54

Last season wasn’t the happiest of times in Detroit for Vladimir Tarasenko. In 80 games, Tarasenko scored 11 goals and had 22 assists, the worst full season he’s had in the NHL in his career. Although he signed a two-year contract with the Red Wings, the Wild sent Detroit future considerations to take the player and his $4.75 million cap hit off their hands and potentially give him the change of scenery he needs to regain his form. Working in Tarasenko’s favor in Minnesota is the opportunity he’ll have to jump right into action on the wings. The Wild needed more skilled depth there and Tarasenko can provide that even at age 33. He’ll also have a handful of Russians to work with including Kirill Kaprizov and Yakov Trenin. Tarasenko is a few years removed from being one of the most dangerous snipers in the NHL that could put up 30 to 40 goals. Two years ago, he had 23 goals split between time with Ottawa and Florida and that’s the kind of player the Wild would like to see return for them. The big question, however, is where he will fit into the lineup. He could play on the wing opposite Matt Boldy and if Marco Rossi happens to center them, that could be a lot of fun. He’s essentially found money for the Wild, they just need to figure out the best way to make it work with him.

Marcus Foligno

Predicted Stats
GP G A PTS PPG
74 13 16 29 0.39

Trying to qualify what makes a player a “throwback style” in the NHL is tough to do because you’re busy thinking about which era of the league are they a throwback to. In Marcus Foligno’s case, he’s an amalgam of the era his father Mike played in the 80s and 90s and what he grew up watching as a kid in the late 90s. Foligno has become a heart-and-soul checking forward for the Wild that provides leadership through action. Whether it’s through delivering big hits, big goals, or fighting opponents, the 34-year-old lays it all on the line. Last season, he had 14 goals and 15 assists in 77 games including 75 penalty minutes. Where Foligno makes a point is his physical play. He led the wild with 253 hits credited and with that kind of game, it’s no wonder that fights happen occasionally. Getting in on the forecheck and hammering defensemen who take too much time to make a pass allows him to change the tone and temperature of any game. As a leader on and off the ice, Foligno does so by example and for the guys that play in the bottom six of the lineup, they follow his lead closely. Yakov Trenin and Ryan Hartman play similar types of games and rolling that group out to change the mood has often benefited the Wild.

Marcus Johansson

Predicted Stats
GP G A PTS PPG
73 12 21 33 0.45

At 35 years old, Marcus Johansson is one of the more senior members on the Wild roster this season. Last year, he had 11 goals and 23 assists in 72 games with 27 of his 34 points coming at even strength. Johansson’s role as a veteran on the team allows him to fit into any situation and while he’s primarily a winger he spent most of last season on the third or fourth line with Frederick Gaudreau and Ryan Hartman. That trio was a bit of a mishmash of styles with Gaudreau being a solid defensive forward, Hartman a bit of physical loose cannon with some touch around the net and Johansson a playmaker and puck possession style player. At this point in his career, the Wild aren’t asking a lot out of Johansson other than playing consistently strong hockey. His smarts for the game and ability to work in the offensive zone gives him an edge against more reckless defenders, but he may be competing for regular ice time against some of Minnesota’s additions and younger players. How coach John Hynes works things out will be something to keep an eye on.

Ryan Hartman

Predicted Stats
GP G A PTS PPG
75 16 18 34 0.45

For physical players in the NHL, there’s always a line for what’s a good play to make to deliver a hit and what crosses the line. For Ryan Hartman, crossing that line has become a bit too regular of an occurrence. Last season, Hartman had solid numbers with 11 goals and 15 assists in 69 games with 75 penalty minutes. While he did miss a few games with injury, he also had to serve a 10-game suspension (that was later reduced to eight games) for using his forearm to drive the head of Ottawa Senators star forward Tim Stützle into the ice in February. He’s been suspended numerous times in his career but got the book thrown at him at a time when the Wild were fighting hard in the playoff race. Part of what makes Hartman valuable is his physical play and ability to upset opponents by delivering hits and when he’s focused on his game, the Wild are better for it. Last season he played most often with Marcus Johansson and Marcus Foligno that gave the Wild a group that could deliver heavy physical punishment and contribute occasional offense. For Hartman, that’s all you can ask for. That and staying of NHL Players’ Safety’s radar.

DEFENCE

Jared Spurgeon

Predicted Stats
GP G A PTS PPG
68 5 27 32 0.47

Wild captain Jared Spurgeon’s return to action last season was one of the season highlights. Two years ago, he was held to just 16 games due to hip and back injuries. Last season, he led Wild defensemen in scoring with 32 points in 66 games. He still missed 16 games after he was injured being slew-footed by Nashville’s Zachary L’Heureux. Spurgeon’s leadership with the Wild can’t be understated. The hard work he put into returning to action after injuries and how he’s been such an outstanding puck mover and defender throughout his career despite being undersized compared to most defensemen shows how tough he is. Throughout last season, Spurgeon was paired with Jonas Brodin and Declan Chisholm although he spent most of his five-on-five minutes with Chisholm due to Brodin’s own injury issues. That pairing performed well together in regard to shot attempts taken and allowed and scoring chance quality generated and allowed. It wasn’t the ideal situation for anyone to navigate, but it’s a compliment to both players that they did well together in a tough situation. Brodin and Spurgeon figure to be reunited this season, although if Brodin does miss the start of the season, it could be Jacob Middleton or Zeev Buium who skates with Spurgeon.

Jonas Brodin

Predicted Stats
GP G A PTS PPG
65 3 19 22 0.34

Part of what helped the Wild navigate through all the injuries and constant changes to the lineup was the steady play on the blue line from Jonas Brodin. Unfortunately for him and the team, he also had to deal with injuries of his own. Injuries kept Brodin in and out of the lineup throughout the year although he was able to play for Sweden at the Four Nations Face-Off in February. His influence on the Wild blue line this season will again be affected by his health as he had offseason upper-body surgery to repair what nagged at him last season and it may prevent him from being ready for the start of the season. Brodin’s defensive brilliance gets lost in the mix in Minnesota thanks to having a young star like Brock Faber and soon-to-be young star defenseman Zeev Buium. Brodin’s quiet confidence in his own zone and ability to eliminate plays before they can start makes him an invaluable player. Last season, Brodin had four goals and 16 assists in 50 games. Injuries have nagged at Brodin throughout his career, which is deeply unfortunate given how solid of a defender he is. However, if surgery can keep him on the ice for most of the season upon his return, it’s a net benefit for the Wild.

Brock Faber

Predicted Stats
GP G A PTS PPG
81 9 26 35 0.43

One of the better trades in Minnesota Wild history continues to pay dividends as Brock Faber’s brilliant play continued for the second straight year. Faber had 10 goals and 19 assists in 78 games last season which was an increase in goals, but a sizable dip in assists after he put up 47 points with 39 helpers in his rookie season and was a Norris Trophy finalist. The drop in points is understandable given all the turnover that occurred on the Minnesota blue line because of injuries. It’s also natural that he’d have a bit of a letdown in his second season in the league as the rest of the NHL adjusted to him. That said, Faber’s outstanding play was still there even without the robust point total. Without Jonas Brodin for 32 games, Faber paired with Jacob Middleton for a large part of the season as they played nearly 950 minutes together at five-on-five. The advanced stats didn’t favour that pairing very well as opponents were able to generate more shot attempts and better quality scoring chances than they were while out there. Faber is young and still figuring out what he can and cannot do in the NHL, but he was also a solid player for the United States at the Four Nations Face-Off and seeing his poise and playmaking in a best-on-best tournament like that was impressive.

Jacob Middleton

Predicted Stats
GP G A PTS PPG
77 7 17 24 0.31

With some of the names on the Wild blue line like Jonas Brodin, Brock Faber and Jared Spurgeon it’s easy to get lost in the mix, but Jacob Middleton was able to carve his way into the picture taking advantage of injuries and earning a spot on a pair with Faber. In his fourth season with the Wild, Middleton picked up where he left off the year before and scored a career-high eight goals with 13 assists. His 21 points followed up his career-high 25 from the year before as his straight forward play has earned him coach John Hynes’s trust along the blue line to the point where he averaged more than 21 minutes per game last season. Middleton has helped earn his ice time by laying out for pucks. He blocked more than 100 shots for the fourth time in his career and for the third season in a row (155, 161, 157). He’s also been more than willing to throw the body around as well, something that ideally allowed Faber more of a chance to move the puck freely. If the Wild have to go without Brodin to start the season, Middleton may very well start on the top pairing with Faber again. Experience and chemistry go a long way when it comes to defense and that kind of shared ice time is hard to ignore even if the results last season weren’t totally ideal. Perhaps with better health for the entire lineup those stats will improve naturally.

Goal

Filip Gustavsson

Predicted Stats
GP W L OT SO SV% GAA
54 26 18 6 4 .910 2.64

While it might be tempting to wax poetic about the legacy Marc-Andre Fleury leaves in net in Minnesota - the surprise team where he wrapped up his career years after most of his contemporaries had played their last NHL games - the real story of the 2025-26 Minnesota Wild is that of hopeful optimism and youth. Filip Gustavsson, who had followed up a highly impressive rookie campaign with a lackluster sophomore season in 2023-24, showed he could step up when it counted last year as Minnesota's best NHL goaltender by a mile. Now 27-years old and nearly 170 games into his NHL career, he'll serve as the stabilizing presence Minnesota needs as they look to prove they're ready to challenge in the Central Division long term.

Gustavsson made waves around the NHL at the start of last season for his first career NHL goal, but for Wild fans, he's the perfect positionally sound mainstay who doesn't often get goaded out of position (and proved with his goalie goal that he isn't afraid to have a little fun, too). And his arrival as a featured player on the main stage couldn't have come at a more perfect time for the Wild. With top-ranked prospect Jesper Wallstedt struggling last season both due to a small smattering of injuries and some not-so-minor regression in his game, Gustavsson's reliable play gives Wallstedt the opportunity to ease his way into play without being considered the team's only future hope.

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NHL: CULLEN – 20 FANTASY POINTS – Rossi stepping up, Kane thriving on the power play, Fantilli gets new opportunity, Knies back on track now that Mattews has returned and much more! https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/nhl-cullen-20-fantasy-points-rossi-stepping-up-kane-thriving-power-play-fantilli-opportunity-knies-track-mattews-returned-more/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/nhl-cullen-20-fantasy-points-rossi-stepping-up-kane-thriving-power-play-fantilli-opportunity-knies-track-mattews-returned-more/#respond Fri, 10 Jan 2025 21:06:16 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=191561 Read More... from NHL: CULLEN – 20 FANTASY POINTS – Rossi stepping up, Kane thriving on the power play, Fantilli gets new opportunity, Knies back on track now that Mattews has returned and much more!

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Minnesota Wild Center Marco Rossi (23). (Photo by Nick Wosika/Icon Sportswire)

Each week, I dig into the stats to find information that can help you make better fantasy hockey decisions. This week, Marco Rossi has stepped up in his second season, Patrick Kane is thriving on the power play, Adam Fantilli gets a new opportunity in Columbus, Matthew Knies is back on track now that Auston Mattews has returned and much more!

Here is this week’s edition of 20 Fantasy Points:

#1 Although his role as a top line centre in Minnesota has more value when Kirill Kaprizov is healthy, Marco Rossi is enjoying an excellent second season in the National Hockey League. Across his past 20 games, Rossi has delivered 20 points (9 G, 11 A) with 37 shots on goal and even with Kaprizov out, Rossi still has Matt Boldy and Mats Zuccarello skating on his wings, so there is sufficient skill on his flanks to keep the points coming.

#2 It’s not like Showtime Patrick Kane flies under the radar, but after a slow start to the season, the veteran right winger had tended to fall out of favour with fantasy managers. Since the Red Wings changed coaches however, going from Derek Lalonde to Todd McLellan, Kane has produced eight points (4 G, 4 A) and 17 shots on goal in six games. Five of those eight points have come on the power play, which has dramatically improved since the coaching change.

#3 Second year Blue Jackets centre Adam Fantilli has struggled to find his footing this season, making his return from a calf laceration that ended his 2023-2024 season prematurely. Fantilli does have five points (2 G, 3 A) during a four-game point streak and with Sean Monahan out of the lineup due to an upper-body injury, Fantilli is getting first crack at centering Kirill Marchenko and Dmitri Voronkov on Columbus’ top line.

#4 Toronto Maple Leafs sophomore left winger Matthew Knies had just one assist in his past eight games when Auston Matthews returned from injury. Since Matthews’ return, Knies has produced eight points (5 G, 3 A) during a four-game point streak. He has also hit extremes on the plus-minus front just in that four-game span, going +6 in a win over Boston and -5 in a loss at Carolina. With 16 goals, Knies ranks third on the Maple Leafs and his 22 even-strength points is tied for 63rd in the entire league. Skating on a line with Matthews and Mitch Marner is certainly a prime position for Knies to generate more offence

#5 Dallas Stars captain Jamie Benn plays more of a supporting role at this stage of his career, but the 35-year-old left winger continues to deliver. In his past 19 games, Benn has produced 18 points (7 G, 11 A) with 43 shots on goal. With 57 hits in 40 games, Benn continues to provide value for fantasy managers. He is not the dominant force that he was during his peak years but remains a valuable commodity when he is scoring like he has over the past couple of months.

#6 Some lineup shuffling in Dallas has resulted in right winger Evgeni Dadonov moving up the depth chart to skate alongside Jason Robertson and Roope Hintz on the Stars’ top line. In his past 10 games, Dadonov has contributed 10 points (4 G, 6 A) with 20 shots on goal. He is a four-time 20-goal scorer, so Dadonov has shown that he is a legitimate scoring winger, but at 35 years old, it’s fair to wonder whether his recent uptick in production can continue over the long run. As long as he is playing with Robertson and Hintz, Dadonov should generate interest from fantasy managers.

#7 After managing just 40 points in 82 games for the Kings last season, Pierre-Luc Dubois needed a big bounce-back season and his arrival in Washington has provided him with a fresh start. In his past 18 games, Dubois has 19 points (5 G, 14 A) with 39 shots on goal. Dubois is thriving on a line between Connor McMichael and Tom Wilson, though Dubois has also had success with Aliaksei Protas in McMichael’s place, too.

#8 Injuries tend to be part of the package for Colorado Avalanche left winger Jonathan Drouin, but he is productive when healthy and had a career-high 56 points (19 G, 37 A) in 79 games last season. Since returning from injury this season, he has put up six points (1 G, 5 A) in five games, giving him 10 points in 10 games this season. Drouin has landed on the Avs’ top line, with Nathan MacKinnon and Mikko Rantanen, which is one of the premier opportunities afforded to any point-producing forward.

#9 With a hat trick against Toronto on Thursday, Carolina Hurricanes centre Jordan Staal is up to 12 points (5 G, 7 A) and 26 shots on goal in his past 13 games. Staal is an elite checking centre, who has been criminally underrated in Selke Trophy voting, though he was runner-up last season and fourth the year before. Nevertheless, the 36-year-old pivot is on pace for more than 40 points, which would be the first time since 2017-2018 that he surpassed that threshold. He has had a couple of seasons in that time in which he scored at a higher per-game rate but missed time due to injury (2018-2019) and a shortened season (2020-2021).

#10 Staal’s teammate Eric Robinson is not really one for fantasy managers except in the deepest of leagues, but the 29-year-old winger also scored against Toronto, and he has 21 points (10 G, 11 A) in 42 games, moving him to within six points of his career high of 27 points. Robinson is lunch-box-and-hard-hat type of player who gives an honest effort and plays a physical game. He had some modest success in Columbus but could not settle into a consistent role in Buffalo last season. His move to Carolina this season has brought a fresh start and improved production. Robinson does not play a lot – about 12 minutes per game – but has recently moved up the depth chart to join Jesperi Kotkaniemi and Martin Necas on Carolina’s second line.

#11 Veteran Anaheim Ducks centre Ryan Strome has started to pick up his production after a slow start to the campaign. He has eight points (2 G, 6 A) in his past seven games, and while it’s not unusual that he has Frank Vatrano skating on his left side, the veteran duo had rookie Sam Colangelo on the right wing for Tuesday’s game against Calgary. However, that was due to Troy Terry missing the game for the birth of his child, so when Terry returns, that is an established and proven trio of forwards that can help steer the Ducks in the right direction.

#12 It would be fair to characterize Erik Karlsson’s tenure with the Pittsburgh Penguins as underwhelming, but it should still be noted that he can deliver points. In his past 11 games, he has a dozen points (2 G, 10 A) and is averaging 23:43 of ice time per game. He is back on Pittsburgh’s top power play unit and, considering his pedigree, Karlsson might be a decent buy-low candidate for fantasy managers because there just aren’t that many defencemen who have 100-point seasons in their history.

#13 Penguins left winger Michael Bunting has become a reliable contributor. He has been on a point-per-game pace over his past 18 games, with 18 points (9 G, 9 A), including 10 points on the power play. Bunting has recorded 48 percent of his points on the power play this season, the same as Steven Stamkos. Among players with at least 20 points, these are the only players with a higher percentage of points on the power play: Shayne Gostisbehere (66.7 percent), Jake Sanderson (63.6 percent), Kevin Fiala (50 percent), Teuvo Teravainen (50 percent), Drake Batherson (50 percent), Gabriel Vilardi (48.7 percent), and Chandler Stephenson (48.1 percent),

#14 The Washington Capitals have been one of the great surprises in the NHL this season and part of the reason is their addition of defenceman Jakob Chychrun, who has always been a capable scorer, but injuries have prevented him from maximizing his potential. This season, though, he has stayed healthy and is piling up points. In the past 21 games, Chychrun has 20 points (6 G, 14 A). Among defencemen, since 2019-2020, only Cale Makar (99) and Roman Josi (96) have scored more goals than Chychrun’s 71 goals.

#15 With Jared Spurgeon and Brock Faber injured, Minnesota Wild defenceman Jonas Brodin has become an unexpected offensive contributor. In his past seven games, Brodin has seven points (2 G, 5 A) while playing a whopping 26:35 per game. Brodin scored a career-high 30 points in 2021-2022 but has largely been a standout defensive presence in his career. With 16 points in 31 games this season, Brodin could set a new career high for points, but the moment that Faber and Spurgeon return, Brodin will likely return to his defensive focus.

#16 An unlikely source of offence lately, Florida Panthers forward Jesper Boqvist has eight points (5 G, 3 A) in his past eight games. He has been skating at right wing on the third line with Anton Lundell and Carter Verhaeghe, which does offer some upside. He doesn’t play enough to have wide fantasy appeal, averaging 12:38 time on ice per game in the past eight, but as a short-term fix, Boqvist might have a little bit of unexpected value.

#17 When the San Jose Sharks traded for goaltender Yaroslav Askarov, acquiring him from the Nashville Predators, it was easy to view him as the Sharks’ goaltender of the future. He has played seven games for the Sharks this season, posting a .923 save percentage, and the 22-year-old has done nothing to dispel the notion that he will not only be the Sharks’ starting goaltender, but he might be a very good one, at that. In the short term, Askarov may not play enough to have huge fantasy value, but that day is coming.

#18 Ottawa Senators centre Tim Stutzle has been enjoying a bounce-back season and has 41 points in 40 games, but he has it a dry spell lately, managing one assist in his past five games. While a small sample of games like that should not hold great sway on his fantasy value but it is at least a little concerning that of the six games that Stutzle has failed to record a shot this season, three of them have come in the past five games. He is skating with Claude Giroux and Drake Batherson at evens, certainly a skilled enough line to put up some points, but it will be worth keeping an eye on the Sens’ rising star.

#19 Philadelpia Flyers rookie right winger Matvei Michkov got off to a blazing start in his first NHL season, scoring 27 points (11 G, 16 A) in his first 27 games. In the past month, though, he has just two points (1 G, 1 A) in 13 games. He does have 33 shots on goal in that time, so it’s not like he isn’t getting chances, but this slump has been carrying on for quite a while. Right now, he is skating on a line with Scott Laughton and Morgan Frost, and is on Philadelphia’s second power play unit, which isn’t exactly going to drag him back into a more productive place. He might be a buy-low target at this point.

#20 It has not been an easy season for the Boston Bruins, as they are clinging to a playoff spot in the Eastern Conference, after typically battling for the best record year after year. The Bruins are winless in six straight games and team captain Brad Marchand has no goals and two assists in his past seven games. If there is reason to be hopeful about Marchand, it is that the has generated 26 shots on goal in those seven games and has been a high percentage finisher throughout his career, scoring n 15.1 percent of his shots for his whole career, but what would be a career low of 11.4 percent this season. Marchand is playing with Elias Lindholm and Charlie Coyle right now, but if the winless streak continues, there could be more line shuffling in Boston.

 

*Advanced stats via Natural Stat Trick

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MCKEEN’S 2024-25 NHL YEARBOOK – MINNESOTA WILD – Team Preview https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/mckeens-2024-25-nhl-yearbook-minnesota-wild-team-preview/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/mckeens-2024-25-nhl-yearbook-minnesota-wild-team-preview/#respond Tue, 24 Sep 2024 16:00:41 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=188436 Read More... from MCKEEN’S 2024-25 NHL YEARBOOK – MINNESOTA WILD – Team Preview

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ST. PAUL, MN - APRIL 18: Minnesota Wild forward Matt Boldy (12) lines up during an NHL game between the Minnesota Wild and Seattle Kraken on April 18, 2024, at Xcel Energy Center in St. Paul, MN. (Photo by Nick Wosika/Icon Sportswire)

The Wild missed the playoffs, but they weren’t too far out from a berth, finishing 2023-24 with a 39-34-9 record. For a squad with roughly $15 million in dead cap space because of Zach Parise and Ryan Suter’s bought-out contracts, it’s impressive they could even get close. Kirill Kaprizov (46 goals, 96 points) was phenomenal, but Minnesota still averaged just 3.02 goals per game, putting the squad 21st offensively, and the goaltending duo of Filip Gustavsson and Marc-Andre Fleury floundered despite the Wild’s overall strong defence (the squad tied for seventh defensively with a 2.87 xGA/60). The bigger problem was that Minnesota was simply meh, and that seems to be all the Wild ever are. They’ve had a PTS% above .500 for 12 straight years and have made the playoffs 10 years in that span, but they’ve never gone farther than the second round. They’ve been directionless, neither a major Cup contender nor a team that seems to be making strides towards Cup contention.

WHAT’S CHANGED? Minnesota added bottom-six forward Yakov Trenin. That’s about it. To be fair, defenceman Brock Faber did sign an eight-year, $68 million extension after a fantastic rookie campaign, and veteran defenceman Jacob Middleton was inked to a four-year, $17.4 million contract that will begin in 2025-26, so Minnesota wasn’t quiet even if there wasn’t much roster turnover.

WHAT WOULD SUCCESS LOOK LIKE? Part of the reason why the Wild were signing those long-term deals that come into effect in 2025-26 while simultaneously staying largely out of this summer’s unrestricted free-agent market is because Suter and Parise will still cost a combined $14.7 million against the cap this year. The good news is this is the last season where the Wild have to endure that level of dead-cap space, but it does mean one more year where there isn’t much hope of being anything better than a middle-of-the-pack team. However, a rebound from Gustavsson, who looked great in 2022-23 before faltering last season, would at least make things interesting.

WHAT COULD GO WRONG? Would squeaking into the playoffs really be a good thing? Dating back to 2013, Minnesota has had just one top 10 pick (Marco Rossi at No. 9). Credit where it’s due, the Wild did manage to snag Kaprizov in the fifth round in 2015, but maybe it would be better if Minnesota could secure a high pick in the 2025 draft, giving them a valuable piece to the puzzle or trade chip to utilize just as the Wild’s cap situation opens up again. Minnesota isn’t built like a team likely to draft early, but the Wild aren’t built like a contender either.

TOP BREAKOUT CANDIDATE: The Wild don’t have any ideal players to put in this category for the 2024-25 campaign, but Marat Khusnutdinov is worth watching. He had six goals and 20 points across 55 KHL contests as well as a goal and four points in 16 outings with Minnesota last season. The 22-year-old might start the year as the Wild’s third-line center, which is probably a good role for him because he competes in all three zones, but he doesn’t have high-end offensive upside.

FORWARD

Kirill Kaprizov

Predicted Stats
GP G A PTS PPG
80 52 56 108 1.35

There is no player more electrifying to watch in Minnesota than Kirill Kaprizov and the kinds of numbers he produces makes him even more exciting. Kaprizov had his third straight 40-goal season and put up 46 goals in 75 games for the Wild. His 96 points were best on the team and the second most he’s had in a season since coming over from Russia in 2020-2021. He had an astounding 41 points on the power play (fifth most in the NHL) including 19 goals (tied for third most with Steven Stamkos). Ever since Marian Gaborik departed Minnesota the Wild sought out a player with the raw ability to fill the net at will and Kaprizov is that guy, only he’s better than Gaborik was. Last season, Kaprizov took on an even bigger role regarding ice time and averaged 21:35 per game, up from 21:07 the previous year. He teamed up with Marco Rossi and Mats Zuccarello to give them a fun trio to watch. With Rossi growing into his role as a center in the league between Kaprizov and Zuccarello, it was a group with high potency. Kaprizov also played a lot of minutes with Matt Boldy and Joel Eriksson Ek which created a different kind of wrinkle for how to attack teams. Regardless of who Kaprizov plays with, he’s worth taking time out to watch because anyone that can score with skill and flair the way he can makes it worthwhile.

Matt Boldy

Predicted Stats
GP G A PTS PPG
80 32 46 78 0.98

When it comes to breakout players in Minnesota, Matt Boldy is one that’s sure to stand out at forward. A year after he put up 31 goals and 63 points, he posted 29 goals and 69 points to set a new career high in just his third season in the league. All Boldy has done since breaking into the NHL is become an immediate impact player for the Wild and it earned him a seven-year, $49 million extension in January 2023 that kicks in this season. Even though that might be reason to be stressed, the unflappable Boldy will take it all in stride. What’s incredible about his 29-goal output last season is if it wasn’t for an early season injury that cost him seven games in October, he could’ve easily bettered his career high. After he returned to action, he went 10 consecutive games without a goal and scored just once in his first 12 games. That kind of drought can happen to anyone, especially after dealing with an injury, but if he can avoid that the Wild will benefit from his regular output. An encouraging aspect to Boldy’s goal scoring is how he upped his power play scoring going from eight goals two years ago to 10 last season and added 15 assists. Making teams pay for taking penalties is vital to swing games and if Boldy and Kaprizov can each pile up goals, it’ll make opponents dread going to the box.

Mats Zuccarello

Predicted Stats
GP G A PTS PPG
74 15 49 64 0.86

Given the number of younger offensive players in key roles at forward, having a veteran like Mats Zuccarello is beyond important. It’s even better when he can produce like he was still a young guy, too. Zuccarello had 63 points in 69 games with 51 of those being assists and 28 of them coming on the power play. On a team that has net-fillers like Kirill Kaprizov and Matt Boldy, having a distributor like Zuccarello does everyone a world of good and that he did all of that at age 36 is outstanding. The biggest thing for Zuccarello and the Wild is that he stays healthy and on the ice. He produced at nearly a point per-game pace last season but missed 13 games. In the grand scheme of things, that’s not too bad, but with how inconsistent the Wild were last season and the changes they made at coach going from Dean Evason to John Hynes halfway through, even missing that many games make it a lot harder to keep up. Minnesota has a good thing in place with Zuccarello playing with Kaprizov and potentially Marco Rossi on their top line and if things fall into place that’s a trio that could lead them back to the playoffs.

Ryan Hartman

Predicted Stats
GP G A PTS PPG
77 22 27 49 0.64

Very few players in the NHL play with the kind of ferocious edge Ryan Hartman does and can still put up big offensive numbers. Over the past three seasons with the Wild, Hartman has been a dynamic physical forward capable of playing center or on the wing. Three years ago, he scored 34 goals almost out of nowhere. From that moment on with the newfound offensive confidence, he continued to lean into that role. While injury caused him to miss 23 games two seasons ago, a return to better health last season led him to scoring 21 goals with 24 assists last season in 74 games. He toned down his penchant for taking penalties and increased his proficiency at faceoffs as well to make him a more effective two-way player. Hartman isn’t needed to be part of their top six forward group, instead his set of skills works better in concert with the fierce physical nature of Marcus Foligno to wreak havoc. Although Hartman doesn’t deliver a ton of hits, the ones he makes instantly draw the ire of opponents. For him to be most effective, his line must play straight line, hard hockey and crash the net with impunity to force the issue the way a third line ought to. Expecting another 30-plus goal season out of him might be asking too much, but if he continues to score 20-to-25 and drive opponents mad, it’s exactly what they need.

Joel Eriksson Ek

Predicted Stats
GP G A PTS PPG
79 27 33 60 0.76

One of the more unheralded two-way centers in the NHL is Joel Eriksson Ek and it’s about time that changed. Eriksson Ek scored 30 goals last season, the first time he’s reached that mark. He added 34 assists on his way to setting a new career-high in points with 64, breaking his mark of 61 from the previous season. Each season he’s been in the NHL, Eriksson Ek has improved his offensive output either by scoring goals himself or setting up his teammates.  His defensive game has always been mindful and strong throughout his career, but watching his offensive game grow over the past few seasons has helped strengthen Minnesota up the middle dramatically. Now that the Wild have worked in some of their top prospects to the NHL, Eriksson Ek has more skill to work with along his wings. Matt Boldy has benefited greatly from having a heady linemate in Eriksson Ek to play off and with a veteran like Marcus Johansson or the electrifying Kirill Kaprizov on the other wing, it gives the Wild a lot of ways to alter their looks up front. What’s more important with Eriksson Ek’s game is that he’s a major contributor in all facets. He’s a vital cog on the power play and is an outstanding penalty killer as well. With that kind of ability, it’s no wonder the Wild value him as much as they do.

Marcus Foligno

Predicted Stats
GP G A PTS PPG
74 11 17 28 0.38

Ever since Marcus Foligno joined the Minnesota Wild, he’s embraced what it means to be a leader on and off the ice. He doesn’t wear the captain’s “C” for the Wild, that belongs to Jared Spurgeon, but the way Foligno plays he does it in the way a classic movie hero would lead the charge into battle. Using his size, physicality, and the force he skates with, Foligno can set the tone on every shift. In 55 games last season he had 10 goals and 12 assists to go with 59 penalty minutes. He led the team with 179 hits and considering he missed 27 games, that’s genuinely astounding but was the first time in the past three years he had fewer than 230 hits. His role is clear as a forechecker and shift disturber and he played it to the hilt. Unfortunately, that style of play comes at a price. It was the second straight year Foligno missed significant time because of injury. Two years ago, he missed 17 games and had one fewer point than he did last season with 10 fewer games played. His value to the Wild comes from being in the lineup and playing like a leader on the ice and not having him out there hurts. It’s perhaps not a coincidence that two of the Wild’s acquisitions this summer were hard-hitting, physical players (Jakub Lauko and Yakov Trenin). If Foligno can stay healthy, the Wild will be better for it.

Marco Rossi

Predicted Stats
GP G A PTS PPG
82 24 36 60 0.73

Wild fans have waited somewhat patiently for 2020 first round pick Marco Rossi to arrive and stick in the NHL and good things have come to those who waited. Rossi had 21 goals and 19 assists in 82 games last season, his first full one in the NHL, as he graduated out of the AHL and put the hard road since he was drafted behind him. After injuries and a brutal bout with illness, his presence in Minnesota last season injected more excitement to the lineup. He eventually teamed up with Kirill Kaprizov and Mats Zuccarello on the top line and that trio was able to click and produce scoring chances and goals by the bunch. Rossi’s explosion on the scene was a welcome sight given that in his prior 21 NHL games played in the previous two seasons he had just one assist and only 18 shots on goal. While those situations were different, the lack of production then was enough to cast doubt on him even despite the success he had in the AHL. Those fears were allayed quickly once the points happened with regularity. It may have been one season, but this kind of ability is what made Rossi a top pick in 2020, and he’ll be expected to build on that this season. With linemates like he will have, a big year is possible.

Marcus Johansson

Predicted Stats
GP G A PTS PPG
75 9 22 31 0.41

If one thing’s been proven over the past few seasons, it’s that when Marcus Johansson is healthy, he’s a solid and capable contributor down the lineup. Although he’s not the kind of scorer he was in his younger years with the Washington Capitals, he can help the offence in ways that don’t show up on the score sheet. Last season, the 33-year-old had 11 goals and 19 assists (30 points) in 78 games with a goal and five assists on the power play. Those are not positively eye-popping numbers, but at five-on-five, Johansson was north of 50 percent when it came to shot attempts (50.5) and shot quality for (51.5). Given how Johansson was used in a utility way in the lineup, he was able to keep up with essentially three different lines. He spent virtually equal amounts of five-on-five ice time with Joel Eriksson Ek and Marco Rossi (more than 300 minutes) and nearly 150 minutes with Frederick Gaudreau. Having a versatile style to be able to work with three distinctly different centers is commendable. What would help the Wild and Johansson, however, is a steady spot on a line where they can find chemistry and gel throughout the season. No player is going to be at their best if they’re being shuffled around the lineup and if Johansson is going to produce more offence, finding a group to click with as soon as possible in camp would go a long way to helping that.

Frederick Gaudreau

Predicted Stats
GP G A PTS PPG
80 9 11 20 0.25

An area the Wild will need to strengthen if they’re going to push for a return to the playoffs will be their bottom six forward group. While their third line is relatively strong, the fourth line needs some players to step forward to surround center Frederick Gaudreau. Last season, Gaudreau had five goals and 10 assists in 67 games in was strictly a fourth line role. Those lower lines aren’t meant to be havens for offence and those players aren’t generally lynchpins to ensure success, but they’ve still got to positively contribute. Gaudreau had a host of different linemates ranging from Marcus Foligno to Marcus Johansson to Pat Maroon to Ryan Hartman and Brandon Duhaime. With guys constantly shifting around in the lines it’s tough to build chemistry. Fortunately for Gaudreau, he was also on special teams, particularly the penalty kill unit. Unfortunately, Gaudreau was a witness to how much the Wild’s penalty kill struggled as they had the third worst unit in the NHL, only beating out Anaheim and the New York Islanders. Lots of things could’ve gone better for him and the rest of the team, but a new season means a chance to write a new script.

DEFENCE

Jonas Brodin

Predicted Stats
GP G A PTS PPG
68 4 24 28 0.41

It was an exceptionally frustrating season for Jonas Brodin. The Wild’s No. 1 defenceman missed 20 games due to injury and it was a crucial blow to the team as they fell short of the postseason. In 62 games, Brodin had seven goals and 20 assists and averaged 23:22 per game in ice time, second only to rookie Brock Faber. It was the second straight season that injuries prevented him from playing a full season and now at the age of 30 he’ll be looking to put that all behind him and push to get the Wild back to the playoffs. Brodin has never been a big point producer from the blue line, rather his specialty comes from how he handles the defensive part of the game. His way of controlling his area of the ice, denying passes and entries and having spot-on gap control makes him one of the top defensive defencemen in the league, albeit without much fanfare. He’s been excellent at controlling the puck and generating more shot attempts than opponents while also helping to generate a higher quality of scoring chances for his own team.  It’s necessary for him to stay healthy for the Wild to get back to the postseason. Even though Faber stepped up far beyond what anyone dreamed, if he must try and take it all on himself again, it’s a lot to ask of a guy that young.

Brock Faber

Predicted Stats
GP G A PTS PPG
82 13 43 56 0.68

If it wasn’t for Connor Bedard in Chicago, Brock Faber would’ve won the Calder Trophy as rookie of the year in a landslide. Faber’s first NHL season was a revelation in Minnesota. In 82 games he had eight goals and 39 assists and averaged an unbelievable 24:58 time on-ice per game as a 21-year-old essentially fresh out of college. From the season opener until the end of the year in April, Faber earned big ice time and even bigger responsibilities. Among defencemen, he played the most minutes on the power play and the penalty kill on top of carrying the load at even strength. Although a lot of that burden was added when Jonas Brodin missed 20 games due to injury, it doesn’t take away from the fact that he had to do it and prior to this season he played all of two NHL games after he signed out of the University of Minnesota in the spring of 2023. It’s virtually unheard of for rookie defencemen to play that many minutes so soon into their career. Defence is an exceedingly difficult position to adapt to in the NHL after coming out of any lower level, be it junior hockey or college. Faber not only jumped in right away, but he was also one of the best in the league instantly. Where he goes from here will be exciting to watch. Sophomore seasons can be tough on young defenders. If he can match last seasons output and grow as a player, that would be a successful season.

Jared Spurgeon

Predicted Stats
GP G A PTS PPG
68 6 22 28 0.41

A reoccurring theme on the Minnesota Wild blue line was injuries and how they decimated their best players and Jared Spurgeon was hit the hardest. The Wild captain was held to just 16 games because of injuries to his hip and his back that each required surgery. In those games, he had no goals and five assists and still managed to play 23:20 per game. At 34 years old, dealing with damage like that meant he needed to make sure he did the right thing lest he wind up being worse off. He’s expected to be ready for training camp and should all go well he’ll be in the lineup on opening night. Spurgeon’s ability to move the puck well through all three zones and provide an offensive spark from the blue line was very much missed. In his previous two seasons he put up 40 and 34 points respectively and was a vital part of the Wild power play as a setup man from the blue line. He was also a key player on their penalty kill as well and given how poorly that unit performed all season, getting him back in the fold would provide a huge lift. In the few games he played last season, Spurgeon paired up with Jacob Middleton for most of his five-on-five minutes while Jonas Brodin worked with Brock Faber. Getting Spurgeon back with Middleton makes most sense and will provide him with a boost in performance. Here’s to hoping good health finds him and remains.

Jacob Middleton

Predicted Stats
GP G A PTS PPG
80 5 19 24 0.30

Two years ago, when the Wild acquired Jacob Middleton from San Jose they nabbed a depth player who made a name for himself after he paired up with and played well alongside Erik Karlsson. Adding anyone who can play off an elite puck mover and scorer like him has inherently good abilities themselves and when he landed in Minnesota he immediately went to work next to Jared Spurgeon. But when Spurgeon missed most of last season and Jonas Brodin was sidelined for 20 games, Middleton was pressed into duty on the Wild’s top pairing with rookie Brock Faber. On the upside, Middleton had a career year with seven goals and 18 assists (25 points). He had only scored seven goals in his career before last season and had a total of 32 points in the five previous seasons he appeared in the NHL. It’s encouraging to see a player make the most of added responsibility and Middleton was able to do that. There was a downside, however, as Middleton and Faber did not work as well defensively as Faber did with Brodin or even as well as Middleton did with Spurgeon. At five-on-five, the pairing was outshot heavily and the two of them were better away from each other than together. In a crisis you make the best of things and that’s what they did, but with Brodin and Spurgeon returning from injury, the pairings should return to what they were before, and everyone should benefit from it.

GOAL

Marc-Andre Fleury

Predicted Stats
GP W L OT SO SV% GAA
28 15 10 3 1 0.902 2.92

Filip Gustavsson

Predicted Stats
GP W L OT SO SV% GAA
51 27 19 6 4 0.908 2.62

It feels like no one could have predicted that of the great goaltending giants of the early aughts, Marc-Andre Fleury would be the longest-standing starter. But two months shy of his fortieth birthday, Fleury is poised to spend at least one more year between the pipes for the rebuilding Minnesota Wild, saving heir apparent Jesper Wallstedt from being brought up to the big leagues too early and providing a lighthearted tandem for Filip Gustavsson as he prepares to be the new veteran in next year's tandem. Fleury's age finally started to show this past season, with the bulk of his goals against coming when he seemed a little too gassed to make the high-flying saves he's always been known for. Always a goaltender who thrives best when playing a rhythm-based game full of fluid movement and smooth, quick skating, Fleury struggled to transition out of butterfly when faced with defensive breakdowns and cross-ice playmaking from his opponents.

Jesper Wallstedt has been quietly tearing up the AHL, though, and it does the Wild no good to bring him up early and shatter his confidence. So, expect Gustavsson - who quietly put up decent numbers last year as a true tandem with Fleury - to start to shoulder more of the workload, expect Fleury to serve as a guiding voice for the two up-and-comers, and expect to see a new face in net by the time the 2025 season kicks off 12 months down the road.

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MCKEEN’S 2023-24 NHL YEARBOOK – MINNESOTA WILD – Team Preview – Player Profiles https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/mckeens-2023-24-nhl-yearbook-minnesota-wild-team-preview-player-profiles/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/mckeens-2023-24-nhl-yearbook-minnesota-wild-team-preview-player-profiles/#respond Wed, 04 Oct 2023 11:39:17 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=182080 Read More... from MCKEEN’S 2023-24 NHL YEARBOOK – MINNESOTA WILD – Team Preview – Player Profiles

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SAINT PAUL, MN - FEBRUARY 17: Minnesota Wild left wing Kirill Kaprizov (97) shoots the puck while being defended by Dallas Stars defenseman Miro Heiskanen (4) during the NHL game between the Dallas Stars and the Minnesota Wild, on February 17th, 2023, at the Xcel Energy Center in Saint Paul, MN. (Photo by Bailey Hillesheim/Icon Sportswire)

Review: The Wild are enduring a nightmare cap situation with the decision to buy out Zach Parise and Ryan Suter leaving the Wild with roughly $12.8 million in dead space in 2022-23. It’s hard to remain competitive under those conditions, but Minnesota ended up being solid with a 46-25-11 record. Goaltender Filip Gustavsson deserves a good share of the credit. In his first season out of Ottawa, the 24-year-old (25 now) posted a 22-9-7 record, 2.10 GAA and .931 save percentage in 39 outings. Veteran Marc-Andre Fleury wasn’t as good, but he was at least solid, and the combination resulted in Minnesota allowing the sixth fewest goals per game (2.67). The Wild sorely lacked scoring depth, but Kirill Kaprizov’s 40 goals and 75 points, complemented by Mats Zuccarello, Matt Boldy and Joel Eriksson Ek each recording at least 60 points, was enough to take advantage of the expert goaltending on most nights. What it wasn’t enough for was to push the Wild forward in the playoffs, though, and they consequently were ousted in the first round by Dallas.

What’s Changed? Very little, thanks to Minnesota’s cap situation. Defenseman Matt Dumba and enforcer Ryan Reaves left as free agents. Meanwhile, the Wild acquired bottom-six forward Patrick Maroon from Tampa Bay.

What would success look like? With Suter and Parise’s cap burden swelling to a combined $14.7 million this year, the Wild will once again be at a competitive disadvantage. Still, goaltender Gustavsson and forwards Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov and Boldy are young, positioning Minnesota to have a solid core for years to come. The Wild’s awkward cap situation runs through 2024-25, but after that they’ll be able to make major additions at a time when their core is in its prime. In the meantime, this is largely the same group that got them to the playoffs last year, so a similar outcome in 2023-24 wouldn’t be absurd.

What could go wrong? Though perhaps too much is resting on Gustavsson’s shoulders. He’s only played in 66 career NHL games, and not every goaltender who looks great at first goes on to have a strong career. If he regresses, that would be a huge problem because Fleury, who will turn 39 in November, shouldn’t be counted on to start regularly at this point. As it is, there’s no guarantee he’ll even be a good backup given his age.

Top Breakout Candidate: Although Minnesota had four players last year with at least 60 points, no one else on the team reached even the 40-point milestone. The Wild desperately need secondary scoring and Marco Rossi might be able to provide that. He’s been limited to an assist in 21 career NHL games, but Rossi has a lot of offensive upside and shined in the AHL last season, scoring 16 goals and 51 points in 53 outings. He should get a long look during training camp as a middle-six option.

Forwards

Kirill Kaprizov - LW

For the Minnesota Wild to have one of the most exciting players in the NHL, it’s a rare treat for their fans and for fans around the league. In just his third season, Kirill Kaprizov dazzled by piling up goals by the bucketload. He had his second straight 40-goal season by putting 40 up on the nose. His 75-point season was a drop from the 108 he had the year before, but he also missed 15 games because of a lower-body injury. Kaprizov led the Wild in goals and points for the third consecutive year and because of his outrageous ability to create offense, he’s hands down the Wild’s most important player. Minnesota was 23rd in the NHL in goals scored and Kaprizov accounted for 16.7 percent of them and nearly a third of their total offense. The Wild had strong goaltending and defense, but they had only a few players capable of finishing with regularity (four players had 20 or more goals). Kaprizov’s regular success since entering the NHL shows he can continue to do it and it’s clear the Wild absolutely need him to keep it up. While he and Mats Zuccarello were regularly together, Ryan Hartman’s injury hurt their overall production. A healthy Hartman should help Kaprizov make a run at the century mark once again.

Joel Eriksson Ek - C

The Wild’s outstanding two-way center was having a huge season for a team that was eager to make noise in the postseason, but ultimately, Joel Eriksson Ek’s season was derailed in April because he broke his leg blocking a shot late in the regular season. Eriksson Ek had 23 goals and a career-high 61 points last season in 78 games. Eriksson Ek attempted to return in Game 3 of their first round series against Dallas but lasted 19 seconds before departing for good. He ultimately needed surgery for the broken leg and will be ready for training camp and the regular season. Eriksson Ek has built up his offensive game steadily over his career, increasing his output each season since he entered the league in 2016-2017. The bar is set high for him now after his performance last season, but he teamed up mostly with Marcus Foligno and Matt Boldy last season, the latter of whom was third on the Wild in goals and points. A healthy Eriksson Ek will be vital to them returning to the postseason and improving their success therein. He’s vital to their 5-on-5 play, of course, but also to their power play and penalty kill. Do-it-all players like Eriksson Ek are the difference makers in the playoffs.

Matt Boldy - LW

While Kirill Kaprizov gets most of the attention in Minnesota, Matt Boldy is their other young star player who gives fans the most hope of a Stanley Cup down the road. In his second season in nearly twice as many games, Boldy scored 31 goals and had 63 points. He was third on the team in both categories and eight of his goals came on the power play. The Wild believe in Boldy in a big way. They signed him to a seven-year, $49 million extension in January and based on the numbers he put up, it was a heads-up move by GM Bill Guerin because further 30-goal seasons (or more) would’ve made that price a lot more uncomfortable. At 22 years old, Boldy is the key young player for the Wild. As good as Kaprizov is, he’s 26 years old after coming over from Russia. Boldy, the 12th pick in the 2019 draft, was one of the Wild’s top performers in possession and expected goal percentage at 5-on-5. While that’s not surprising for a player that had the kind of success he did, for a player at his age it’s beyond encouraging to see that he’s already among the best on the team. His career is just getting started, but the future for him is very bright.

Ryan Hartman - RW

An upper-body injury wreaked havoc on Ryan Hartman last season. In 59 games, he had 15 goals and 37 points. After putting up 34 goals and 65 points two years ago, the injury sidetrack was a tough blow for him and the Wild alike. Hartman plays a rugged, physical game and is a menace all over the ice, particularly around the net in the offensive zone. Despite missing 23 games after getting injured in a fight, he was second on the team in penalty minutes (90) which affirms how much he’s able to get under the skin of opposing players. Hartman’s physical nature is needed as the center between Kirill Kaprizov and Mats Zuccarello because those two players aren’t out there to throw the body and get nasty. Hartman handles the dirty work, and he does it well and gets rewarded for it by cashing in on points. Hartman’s become a de facto No. 1 center because he’s most found between those two players. With Marco Rossi potentially on the way to the NHL this season, things could change up the middle for Minnesota’s forward units, but after the consistent success Hartman has had, it would take significant improvement from Rossi to unseat him.

Mats Zuccarello - C

It’s hard to find players as consistently strong offensively as Mats Zuccarello. The 35-year-old Norwegian was second on the Wild with 67 points. Zuccarello is a solid even strength scorer, but he’s also dynamite on the power play. He had nine goals and 29 points on the man advantage last season, and he averaged more than 20 minutes of ice time per game playing on the Wild’s top line. His production was a bit down compared to two years ago, but considering his age and that he had a career-high 79 points then, that he was still one of the team’s top scorers and vital to their success, it says everything you need to know about him. He teamed up on a line with Kirill Kaprizov and Ryan Hartman (as well as Sam Steel in Hartman’s injury absence) and that group drove Minnesota’s offense throughout the season. While Kaprizov and Hartman do more damage scoring goals, Zuccarello excels at setting them up to score. It’s hard to think coach Dean Evason would break that trio up this season, but if Marco Rossi makes a strong case in training camp or throughout the season, things could change. That said, the chemistry those three players have is outstanding and that goes a long way to helping set the lines. This season is a contract year for Zuccarello, and he’ll be 36 once it begins. He’ll have a lot to play for every year from here on out until he retires.

Marcus Johansson - RW

A return to Minnesota was just the thing Marcus Johansson needed to rejuvenate his game. Johansson began last season with Washington, but the Wild re-acquired him around the trade deadline and in 20 games in Minnesota he posted 18 points including six goals. Overall, he had 46 points in 80 games between the Capitals and Wild, but his play to close out the season with Minnesota earned him a new two-year, $4 million contract to stay put. Johansson was last in Minnesota in 2020 after he was acquired in a trade with Buffalo. He played 36 games in the COVID-19-shortened season and put up 14 points in 36 games and later departed for Seattle in free agency. But his return to the Twin Cities lit a fire under him and he also contributed two goals in the Wild’s six-game series loss to Dallas in the first round of the playoffs. His offensive abilities are strong, and he gives the Wild key depth they’ll need to keep up with the other playoff contenders in the West. Johansson played well on a line with Joel Eriksson Ek and Matt Boldy and it stands to reason he’ll be back with them again when the season begins. Johansson will turn 33 this season so his veteran presence is important, but they’ll need him to help spur Boldy to more goals and help on the power play even more this year.

Marcus Foligno - LW

Although he’s not the captain of the team, there’s little doubt that one of the Wild’s strongest on-ice leaders is Marcus Foligno. “Moose” takes care of business on the ice by chipping in with the occasional well-timed goal but also by delivering punishing hits and the occasional fight to fire his teammates up. He had seven goals and 21 points in 65 games last season (lower-body injuries caused him to miss games throughout the year) but he led the Wild with 237 hits which placed him in the top-15 in the NHL in that category. He also led the team with 97 penalty minutes. While that’s not the kind of category you want a player to lead, his penalties were generally crimes of effort because of the physical nature. Two seasons ago, Foligno had a career year with 23 goals and 42 points and assuredly the Wild would love to see him return to that kind of form, but he’ll need good health to allow for that possibility. He teamed up most often with Joel Eriksson Ek last season as well as Jordan Greenway before he was traded to Buffalo. This season he may wind up on a line with Frederick Gaudreau depending on how things shake out. One thing that’s for sure is whoever he’s on a line with can reap the benefits of having one of the league’s hardest working players leading the way.

Frederick Gaudreau - C

One of Minnesota’s most pleasant stories the past two seasons has centered around Frederick Gaudreau. When the Wild signed him as a free agent in the summer of 2021, he just finished his fourth NHL season after a year in Pittsburgh and three previously in Nashville with plenty of time spent in the AHL as well. Since becoming a regular with the Wild, he’s scored 33 goals and has 82 points in 158 games. He set a career high with 19 goals last season and finished with 38 points. His first season in Minnesota saw him put up 44 points. Playing as a third line center, Gaudreau has found a home in Minnesota and a role as the ultimate versatile forward. He played most of his minutes last season with Matt Boldy but also carved up equal amounts of time with Mats Zuccarello, Kirill Kaprizov, Jordan Greenway, Brandon Duhaime, and others. Having a player like that who can step in between any two wingers and be able to be productive and not a detriment is desperately needed for any team in the league. The Wild having Gaudreau score 35-to-45 points while being that guy helps steady their lineup in general, but he particularly makes their middle-or-bottom-six more potent offensively.

Brandon Duhaime - RW

When Brandon Duhaime arrived in the NHL two seasons ago, he announced his presence with physical authority delivering hits and racking up penalty minutes. Last season, things calmed down a bit but a lot of that was due to unfortunate upper-body injuries that held him to 51 games. In that time, he had nine goals and one assist but still managed to pile up 146 hits and 42 penalty minutes. When you consider he had 122 PIM and 201 hits in 80 games in his rookie season the year before, it’s easy to identify which part of the game was missing from the Wild lineup. Duhaime’s feisty play fed Minnesota’s energy lines where he teamed up most often with Conor Dewar, Ryan Reaves, and Frederick Gaudreau. The message was clear when he took a shift: it was time to stir the game up and raise the temperature a few degrees. As he enters his third season, he’s hopeful the injury issues will be behind him so he can contribute regularly and give the Wild more of the physical element they’re looking for deeper in their lineup. Duhaime has no reluctance to get involved and it’s made him a favorite among the fan base.

Pat Maroon - LW

The Wild’s six-game ouster from the postseason to Dallas last year sent a message that was clear as day to read: They needed a spark. They were pushed around by the Stars and often outclassed despite it being a six-game series and to address that they brought in a Stanley Cup champion ringer in Pat Maroon. After winning the Cup three seasons in a row with St. Louis and twice with Tampa Bay, Maroon will try to bring that good fortune with him to St. Paul where the Wild could use a hearty injection of his gamesmanship and grit. Last season with Tampa Bay, Maroon had five goals and 14 points but led the NHL with 150 penalty minutes. He also posted 172 hits and while hits aren’t a lacking category on the Wild with the likes of Marcus Foligno and Brandon Duhaime among others, Maroon’s play helps establish the tone. The Wild didn’t trade for Maroon as a means to reinvent the wheel so to speak, but rather to give them a third- or fourth-line winger who can contribute and knows what it takes to go all the way and that’s a book full of lessons the Wild need to desperately study.

Defense

Jonas Brodin - D

When it comes to defensive defensemen, Jonas Brodin stands out among them as one of the most respected in the league. While Brodin can help with the offensive game, it’s how he handles himself and opponents when he’s on the ice that makes him special. He’s always tasked with the toughest matchups and must fend off the league’s most ferocious scorers, game in and game out. Brodin missed 22 games last season and had three goals and 14 points last season which was a down year for him. In recent years, 20-to-30 points has been a more likely outcome, but he can partially be excused thanks to injury. Still, his 0.23 points per game as his lowest output since 2018-2019. All that said, Brodin was the Wild’s best defenseman in shot attempt percentage and was second best in expected goal percentage. Steady is what teams want from defensemen and the Wild are ecstatic that Brodin is nothing but steady. He averaged the most time on-ice per game on the roster and as he goes, so does Minnesota’s defense. Being solid defensively doesn’t often make the highlight reels, but Brodin is exceptional in his ability.

Jared Spurgeon - D

The Minnesota Wild captain showed why he earned the “C” on his jersey with how he handles the blue line. His 34 points was the best among Wild defensemen as were his 11 goals. Spurgeon has always had a strong offensive game throughout his career and his point total fell in line almost perfectly with his career output. In six of the past seven seasons, he’s scored 30-or-more points and that one outlier season was the COVID-19-shortened 2020-2021 season and he still had 25 points that year. Spurgeon is the guy that once owned the power play but now he’s become their penalty killing stalwart thanks to the arrival of Calen Addison. That said, he’s still getting time on the power play just on a support unit instead of the main group. He averaged nearly 22 minutes of ice time per game last season and got Lady Byng votes because he only had 14 penalty minutes. Spurgeon’s all-around play is outstanding and even though he’s not exactly a large-sized player at 5’9” 166 pounds, he performs in a big way. The Wild count on him in a big way and that he paired up almost exclusively with Jacob Middleton last season, he’s got a partner who will do a lot of the dirty work needed to free him up to create offensively when needed.

Calen Addison - D

Trading Jason Zucker was not an easy move for the Wild back in February 2020, but that they came away with the Pittsburgh Penguins’ top prospect at the time turned out to be a big win because Calen Addison has lived up to his scouting reports. Addison got his first full-season taste of the NHL last season after splitting time between the AHL and NHL the previous two and put up 29 points including three goals in 62 games. Addison’s skill as a puck mover was well evident in his play and how he was able to conduct himself as the Wild’s No. 1 power play quarterback was strong as the Wild had the No. 15 power play in the league and scored 21.4 percent of the time. What the Wild hope to see out of Addison this season is a guy who’s grown into his skin and the roles he’ll move ahead with on the team. He showed savvy and confidence in how he handled the puck last season, but after getting the first real season under his belt, they’ll bank on him to be a lead puck mover in all situations and to improve upon his all-around numbers on the power play and ideally give the Wild a power play to be feared across the league. 

Goaltending

Filip Gustavsson - G

When the Minnesota Wild traded veteran Cam Talbot to the Ottawa Senators and brought in the younger, cheaper Filip Gustavsson, it seemed like a gamble designed just to tide them over until prospect Jesper Wallstedt was ready to go pro. And instead, Gustavsson took the opportunity to prove that sometimes, all a young goaltender needs are a new environment with a little more structure; after putting up one of the worst performances of the rotating carousel of goaltenders Ottawa had trotted out the year prior, Gustavsson put up not just the best performance in Minnesota but one of the best in the entire league.

Gustavsson boasts a litany of prototypical Swedish goaltending traits, preferring to push across the crease from his knees and staying in motion rather than setting and trying to maintain good mental rhythm without physical accompaniment. But while he struggled not to show his hand too early during his stint in Ottawa, the more structured environment of Minnesota’s goaltending situation helped to give the young NHLer a chance to establish better harmony with his defense and look more at home holding his feet instead of giving himself away. He looked more in control of the space he occupied in the blue paint during his time with the Wild last year, and the reliability of his game – he doesn’t seem to try to do too much, even when things get chaotic around the net – helped elevate the team’s play in front of him, too. With Marc-Andre Fleury creeping closer to 40 and the team likely needing to limit the future Hall of Famer’s starts more in the coming year, the real test will be to see just how well Gustavsson can replicate his successes from last season as the likely de facto number one for the Central Division club.

Projected starts: 50-55

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NHL PLAYOFF PREVIEW: DALLAS STARS VS. MINNESOTA WILD – A competitive series between two quality teams https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/nhl-playoff-preview-dallas-stars-vs-minnesota-wild-competitive-series-quality-teams/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/nhl-playoff-preview-dallas-stars-vs-minnesota-wild-competitive-series-quality-teams/#respond Sat, 15 Apr 2023 19:37:32 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=180795 Read More... from NHL PLAYOFF PREVIEW: DALLAS STARS VS. MINNESOTA WILD – A competitive series between two quality teams

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SAINT PAUL, MN - FEBRUARY 17: Minnesota Wild left wing Kirill Kaprizov (97) shoots the puck while being defended by Dallas Stars defenseman Miro Heiskanen (4) during the NHL game between the Dallas Stars and the Minnesota Wild, on February 17th, 2023, at the Xcel Energy Center in Saint Paul, MN. (Photo by Bailey Hillesheim/Icon Sportswire)

The Dallas Stars and Minnesota Wild meet in what ought to be a competitive matchup between the second and third-place teams in the Central Division.

After both teams lost in the first round of last year’s playoffs, one is guaranteed to advance this time around.

Forwards

The Stars have one of the best lines in the league, as the trio of Jason Robertson, Roope Hintz, and Joe Pavelski outscored opponents 52-24. Robertson has emerged as the premier offensive threat on the club, scoring 46 goals and 109 points, with dominant play-driving numbers to boot. What makes the Stars more formidable this season is the improved play from the supporting cast. Captain Jamie Benn had 33 goals and 78 points, his highest totals in both categories since 2017-2018. Tyler Seguin added 21 goals and rookie Wyatt Johnston produced 24 goals, tying Seattle’s Matty Beniers for the rookie goal-scoring lead.

Dallas added Max Domi and Evgenii Dadonov before the trade deadline to improve their scoring depth. Dadonov contributed 15 points in 23 games, but Domi added just two goals and seven points in 20 games with the Stars.  The Stars do have some intriguing depth options. Center Radek Faksa has been excellent in a checking role while Mason Marchment and Ty Dellandrea both tend to play a physical style that could be useful in the playoffs.

While Minnesota did get leading scorer Kirill Kaprizov back from injury late in the regular season, they also lost Joel Eriksson Ek, Mason Shaw, and possibly Marcus Johansson to injuries. That will test Minnesota’s forward depth. When Kaprizov was injured, second-year winger Matt Boldy emerged as a star in his own right, scoring 14 goals in his last 16 games. Mats Zuccarello is a proven point producer and Gustav Nyquist added five points in three games for the Wild after returning from injury late in the year.

The Wild had just four players – Kaprizov, Zuccarello, Boldy, and Eriksson Ek – with more than 40 points, so they will need contributions from others. Ryan Hartman, Frederick Gaudreau, and Sam Steel have all had good moments and Marcus Foligno brings a physical presence, but this series could be a battle between which team gets production beyond its top scorers.

Defense

Miro Heiskanen set a Stars defense record with 73 points, but he is also a premier defender who logs more than 25 minutes per game. The 23-year-old is going to be a Norris Trophy candidate for years to come. Ryan Suter and Esa Lindell are reliable defensively and Jani Hakanpaa consistently lays his body on the line. Colin Miller has been steady enough on the third pair and it looks like rookie Thomas Harley has supplanted Nils Lundkvist on the third pairing. Dallas’ defensive play has been above average, ranking ninth in all-situations shots against per 60 minutes and sixth in expected goals against per 60.

Minnesota’s blueline has been solid and has added a few potential upgrades, too. Captain Jared Spurgeon and Jonas Brodin are two of the better shutdown defenders in the league. Matt Dumba has lost some juice offensively but still logged more than 20 minutes per game for a seventh straight season and Jacob Middleton is a hard-nosed defender. While the Wild have veterans Alex Goligoski and Jon Merrill, both could be bumped from the top six. Trade deadline pickup John Klingberg had a tough season in Anaheim, and his defensive play has seriously slipped, but Klingberg contributed nine points in 17 games for the Wild. He can quarterback the power play and that ability cannot be ignored. The other potential addition to the Minnesota blueline is rookie Brock Faber, the University of Minnesota captain who played two games at the end of the season for the Wild. Faber blocked nine shots in just over 40 minutes of ice time in those two games and he could add some youthful exuberance to Minnesota’s defense.

Although the Wild rank 15th in all-situations shots against per 60 minutes, they have managed to rank eighth in expected goals per 60, an indication that Minnesota is doing okay when it comes to quality of shots allowed.

Goaltending

After last season’s spectacular performance in a first-round loss to Calgary, when he had a .954 save percentage in seven games, Dallas’ Jake Oettinger should not shrink from the playoff pressure. The 24-year-old netminder had an excellent season, posting a .919 save percentage in 62 games, and the Minnesota native looks like one of the premier up-and-coming young goaltenders in the league.

Minnesota is in a rare position heading into the postseason, with the expectation that they will ride a goaltending tandem of Marc-Andre Fleury and Filip Gustavsson. Gustavsson has been the better option this season, posting a .931 save percentage in 39 games. Marc-Andre Fleury has seen everything in a career that includes both great and abysmal playoff performances. The option to turn to Gustavsson is great, but this series could be close enough that one bad goaltending performance could make the difference.

Special Teams

Dallas’ power play has been excellent, scoring 9.40 goals per 60 minutes of five-on-four play, ranking second in the league. It was even better down the stretch, scoring 11.16 goals per 60 after the trade deadline. Part of the unit’s strength is balance. Robertson, Benn, and Pavelski each had 13 power play goals and Hintz added nine. Heiskanen recorded 34 points on the power play, tying Vancouver’s Quinn Hughes for the lead among defensemen.

The Wild ranked 12th with 7.66 goals per 60 during five-on-four play, and while it was fading late in the season, some of that can be attributed to Kaprizov’s absence, as he led the Wild with 17 power play goals. Eriksson Ek contributed 12 power play goals while Zuccarello added nine and Boldy had eight.

Not only have the Stars excelled on the power play, but their penalty killing has been highly effective, ranking fourth in both expected goals against and actual goals against per 60 minutes of four-on-five play. The Wild ranked fifth in expected goals against but 12th in actual goals against.

Conclusion

While this series looks like it should be a competitive matchup between two quality teams, the Wild could be undermined by injuries, most notably to Eriksson Ek, a two-way threat who can’t be easily replaced. In a series this close, that pushes the edge to Dallas. Stars in 7.

 

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MCKEEN’S 2022-23 NHL YEARBOOK – MINNESOTA WILD – NHL Player Profiles https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/mckeens-2022-23-nhl-yearbook-minnesota-wild-nhl-player-profiles/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/mckeens-2022-23-nhl-yearbook-minnesota-wild-nhl-player-profiles/#respond Fri, 16 Sep 2022 18:58:24 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=177455 Read More... from MCKEEN’S 2022-23 NHL YEARBOOK – MINNESOTA WILD – NHL Player Profiles

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ST. LOUIS, MO - APRIL 16: Minnesota Wild left wing Matt Boldy (12) starts to turn up ice during a game between the Minnesota Wild and the St. Louis Blues on April 16, 2022, at the Enterprise Center in St. Louis MO (Photo by Rick Ulreich/Icon Sportswire)

FORWARDS

Kirill Kaprizov

A lot of players after a monster rookie season will have the infamous “sophomore slump” but then again, most players aren’t Kirill Kaprizov. The 25-year-old Russian built upon his Calder-winning season by scoring 47 goals and 108 points. That point total made him fifth in the NHL and his goal total tied him with Winnipeg’s Kyle Connor for fifth best. Kaprizov set Wild team records for goals, assists (61), and points in a season and set the team record for most even strength goals (33) along with Ryan Hartman. Kaprizov was also the best forward when it comes to possession with a 53.6 CF% at 5-on-5, as only defenseman Jared Spurgeon (55.4) was better. Unsurprisingly, Kaprizov was the most dangerous player on the power play leading the team with 14 goals and 31 points. To call him a difference-maker since joining the Wild would be a vast understatement. He’s a legit top-10 player in the NHL and one of its elite scorers. The questions now are how long he can perform at this level, and can he exceed what he accomplished last season. He’s already a challenger for both the Rocket Richard and Art Ross trophies and gunning for the Hart Trophy comes naturally with those. Expect him to be in all those conversations this season.

Mats Zuccarello

It’s rare to see a player have the best season of their career after turning 30, but at 34 that’s precisely what Mats Zuccarello did. He was third on the Wild with 79 points including 24 goals. Zuccarello teamed up with Kaprizov and Hartman to have, perhaps, one of the most unexpected offensive explosions by a line in the NHL. Early in his career with the New York Rangers, Zuccarello was a steady offensive player capable of scoring 45-60 points per season. His first season with Minnesota was disappointing comparably, but the past two seasons has seen him produce at the best rates of his career (0.83 and 1.13 points per game). Teaming him up with Kaprizov likely has a lot to do with that jump, if not everything, but it’s still better than almost every other season he’s played in the NHL. That doesn’t generally happen for players past age 30, never mind their mid-30s. What benefits him most is he’s a naturally smart player on offense and has tremendous vision for passing as well as a sky-high hockey IQ. His size was something always used as a reason why he wouldn’t have success, but at 5-foot-8, 184 pounds he’s proved that size doesn’t always mean results.

Joel Eriksson Ek

The 25-year-old from Sweden has become one of the better defensive forwards in the league. Eriksson Ek was the Wild’s first round pick (20th) in 2015 and the improvement in his game over the past five seasons has been as impressive as it is noticeable. He set career-highs in goals (26), assists (23), and points (49) and was the smallest player on his line with Marcus Foligno and Jordan Greenway. Mind you, Eriksson Ek is 6-foot-1 and 208 pounds. He was third on the team in key advanced statistics with a 53.2 CF% and 56.9 xG%. Eriksson Ek fits in well with his linemates because, like them, he’s unafraid to throw his body around. He was fourth in hits with 138 behind Foligno (238), Brandon Duhaime (201), and Greenway (155) respectively. Physicality is contagious, but to have it come from what’s essentially the No. 2 scoring line makes them a rare team the way the NHL is played these days. Most teams will have fast-skating or overly agile lines with finishing ability, the Wild instead have a line that will punish opponents physically and drop the gloves if needed and it’s Eriksson Ek who drives the line in all those facets.

Ryan Hartman

In the seven seasons prior to last season, Ryan Hartman never scored more than 20 goals or had more than 31 points in a single season. To say that his 34-goal, 65-point season came out of nowhere is beyond true. Even in his two years previous with the Wild there was never any kind of hint this kind of outburst was possible, never mind likely. What stands out about it is that it’s the first time he played center in a full-time basis meaning, like Buffalo’s Tage Thompson, an unexpected position change turned Hartman into a goal-scoring dynamo. What helped Hartman’s scoring explode was how he shot 14.2 percent on 239 shots, career-highs in both categories as well. Is regression likely to hit hard? Probably. In his other seasons, the highest shot percentage he posted was 11.2 percent in his first full NHL season with Chicago. Normally he’s been between 8-10 percent. That said, in no other season did he play with offense drivers like Kaprizov and Zuccarello. That Hartman is a dogged forechecker with a willingness to hit, it gives him an element to his game that his linemates Kaprizov and Zuccarello lack and plenty of reasons to watch and see if he can continue to be an offensive factor.

Matthew Boldy

The anticipation that surrounded the eventual arrival of Matthew Boldy to the NHL was at a high level in the Twin Cities and when he made it to the Wild, the wait was worth it. In 47 games, Boldy posted 15 goals and 39 points and is poised to become a serious point producer from here out. The 21-year-old was the 12th overall pick in the 2019 Draft and signed with the Wild after he finished his sophomore season at Boston College in 2021. After 24 total games in the AHL in the past two seasons, his move to the NHL happened at a rapid pace, but sometimes players just need to be where they’ll flourish best. At 6-foot-2, 201 pounds, Boldy has an NHL build. He also has the kind of vision and play-making ability to improve everyone around him. He also excels at helping creating scoring chances. Boldy posted a 57 percent expected goals rate, behind only Foligno. What will be curious to watch is where Boldy factors into the lineup. It would appear their top two lines from last season are back, and Kevin Fiala–who was traded to Los Angeles–was the other winger on Boldy’s line with Frederick Gaudreau. That will put the onus on coach Dean Evason to find ways to get Boldy more involved.

Marcus Foligno

In his first 10 NHL seasons, Marcus Foligno never broke the 20-goal mark, nor had he scored 30 points in a season. Last season he was able to check off both accomplishments with a 23-goal, 42-point campaign. He also never had a season with more than 100 penalty minutes either until he had 112 last year. Through his career with Buffalo and Minnesota, 30-year-old Foligno has always been a physical player who thrives on throwing the body and wearing down opponents in the process, but he’s never been the kind of offense driver he was last season. Foligno isn’t a prolific shooter. He’s never had more than 100 shots in a season, although he came close last year with 98. All this does is make it impossible to predict how he’ll score by examining his shooting percentage. Where Foligno does a lot of damage is in close to the net cleaning up rebounds and pouncing on pucks down low. His 23.5 percent shooting last season was highest in the NHL and was down four percent from the previous season. Even with all those physical numbers, his possession numbers were still strong with a 52.5 CF%, He also led the team with a 57.8 xG% which exemplifies how he's getting scoring chances in quality areas consistently while also not being on the ice for many against him. With his play style and willingness to stand up for teammates, he’s very much the heart and soul of the Wild.

Frederick Gaudreau

The Wild were a team that thrived on players having productive seasons out of the blue. Another such player was center Frederick Gaudreau. The 29-year-old from Quebec earned a spot on the Wild out of training camp and took full advantage of it and posted a career-year with 14 goals and

44 points. It was Gaudreau’s first season playing entirely in the NHL, and he earned his way onto the third line where he teamed up with Kevin Fiala and Matthew Boldy to give the Wild a third line with equal parts skill and speed. At 6-feet tall and 179 pounds, Gaudreau is a deft skater who uses forechecking to get the puck back when his line doesn’t have it. He also carved out a consistent role with the team by being solid on special teams. Gaudreau had three points on the power play and was one of their regular players on the penalty kill. Although special teams were not one of their strongest areas, Gaudreau’s penalty kill numbers, respectively, were good. If he can build on his solid play from last year, chances are strong he’ll be able to improve his stats as well.

Jordan Greenway

As part of one of the biggest, most physical lines in the NHL that can also fill the net, Jordan Greenway casts an imposing shadow. At 6-foot-6 and 227 pounds, he’s the definition of what a power forward is built like and is a tenacious forechecker as well as a physically punishing player. He hits a lot, and he hits hard. His 155 hits last season was third-best on the Wild behind Foligno and Duhaime who each had more than 200 apiece. Greenway averaged 14:34 in ice time last season and his numbers differ from his linemates Foligno and Eriksson Ek because he doesn’t get much, if any, time on special teams. Greenway is out there to wear teams down at even strength and to intimidate opponents to keep them from winning too many puck battles in corners and along the boards. Even though descriptions like that don’t sound flattering to his offensive abilities, he can add points too. He had 27 points last season, five off his career high, and his 10 goals were two shy of his career-high 12. With the way his line plays and the fact Foligno has made a living crashing the net in Minnesota, it stands to reason Greenway could scrum his way into more goals.

Tyson Jost

The 24-year-old forward and No. 10 pick from the 2016 NHL Draft was a late-season acquisition from the Colorado Avalanche which sent Nico Sturm to Denver. As a one-for-one deal it was a means of getting two players a new setting to turn things around. In 21 games with Minnesota, Jost’s first impressions were OK with two goals and four assists. In all 80 games with the Wild and Avalanche he totaled eight goals and 12 assists. His 20 points are in line with how he’s performed in his previous four-plus seasons. Unfortunately, his average ice time per game has dipped slowly since then. His 12:51 per game with the Wild wasn’t great but was nearly a minute-and-a-half more than Sturm played and two-plus minutes more than others who were regular players like Duhaime and Nick Bjugstad. With a fresh training camp with Minnesota there’s an opportunity for Jost to grab a spot on the third or fourth line and perhaps be the latest Wild player to break out. With Kevin Fiala gone to L.A., there’s a spot up for grabs next to Gaudreau and Boldy, presumably, and Jost’s junior and college career showed he has skill to fill the net. If he can reclaim that ability the Wild would be even more dangerous in the Western Conference.

DEFENSE

Jared Spurgeon

The Minnesota Wild captain thrived last season. Known best for his puck handling ability, and he used that to become their best all-around threat from the blue line. He had 40 points, with 10 of those goals, to be the top scorer on defense. He also led defensemen in key advanced statistical measures with a 55.4 CF% and a 56.4 xG% at 5-on-5. To be a player that unites both old-school and new-school types means doing a lot of everything right. Spurgeon’s 40-point season was his best since 2018-2019 when he had a career-high 43 points and by reaching 10 goals it marked the fifth time he hit double figures in the category. Spurgeon split time among two different partners on the blue line in Alex Goligoski and Jacob Middleton. With Goligoski he had a CF% of nearly 59 percent. But after Middleton was acquired from San Jose at the trade deadline the two were paired up quite often and his possession numbers were below 48 percent. Of course, Middleton’s main strength isn’t exactly puck carrying. It’s tough to believe those two would remain a pairing with those results, but the Wild offense scored almost twice as many goals as allowed at 5-on-5 (15-8) when they were together. Maintaining production and giving Spurgeon a partner that doubles as a bodyguard can be appealing.

Jonas Brodin

All Jonas Brodin does game in, and game out is play superb defense. That’s a big undersell for one of the most under-appreciated blue liners in the NHL. Brodin led the Wild in average ice time per game clocking in at 23:26 per game. He piles on the minutes because he’s their No. 1 defenseman at 5-on-5, their top defender on the penalty kill, and worked the second power play unit. It resulted in him having a career-high in points with 30, seven on the power play. At 29 years old, Brodin is as steady as can be but at a very high level. He paired up with Matt Dumba almost exclusively last season, but also had Dmitry Kulikov when Dumba missed time. His possession numbers were slightly higher with Kulikov than Dumba, but Brodin and Dumba were excellent in keeping scoring chances reduced. In general, Brodin was solid in advanced numbers. At 5-on-5 he had a 52.5 CF% (third-best among Wild defensemen) and his 55.5 xG% was second only to Jared Spurgeon on defense. A big reason for that is how well Brodin handles the puck in general as well as under pressure. Expect him to again be the rock upon which the Wild defense is built.

Matt Dumba

This will be a season to watch Matt Dumba closely because he can become an unrestricted free agent in July. Jared Spurgeon and Jonas Brodin are already locked in long-term and the Wild have the Ryan Suter and Zach Parise buyouts causing them cap pain for the next few seasons. The Wild added defense prospect Brock Faber in the Fiala trade and Calen Addison is knocking on the door. The Wild love Dumba but it’s fair to ask if this will be his final season in Minnesota or if he’ll even finish the season there. As one of the Wild’s jack-of-all-trades defenders, the one thing that got in Matt Dumba’s way last season was injury. A trio of injuries, two upper-body and one lower, caused him to miss 23 games, but during the 59 he did suit up he did well. He put up seven goals and 20 assists for 27 points with five coming on the power play.  Since he spent nearly 90 percent of his 5-on-5 time with Brodin, there was plenty of ice time and Dumba averaged 23:06 per game. It was the sixth straight season Dumba averaged 20 or more minutes a game. Dumba plays in all situations and shows consistently how his steady game can cool down excited situations in the defensive zone. His heavy shot from the point can provide an option on offense as well. If this is it for him in Minnesota, the Wild know they’d be losing someone important.

Jacob Middleton

The allure of a tough player in the NHL will always attract fans, GMs, and coaches alike and that’s what makes Jacob Middleton so popular. Standing 6-foot-3 and 219 pounds, Middleton is a certified big guy and his penchant for using it to wear opponents down and give a bit of protection for his defense partners makes him an attractive player. Minnesota acquired him at the trade deadline last season from San Jose in exchange for goalie Kaapo Kahkonen and put him right to work with Jared Spurgeon. While their skill sets and sizes couldn’t be more different, he was brought in almost specifically with Spurgeon in mind.At nearly 27 years old, it took Middleton a few seasons to crack through to the NHL being stuck in what was a loaded Sharks system. But there he saw plenty of time providing a physical balance on a pairing with Erik Karlsson. Middleton isn’t a point-getter. In the AHL he maxed out at 28 points in 67 games with AHL San Jose back in 2017-2018. He’s also not even a tough guy in the classic sense because he’s never eclipsed 100 PIM in a season going back to his junior hockey days. But his strength comes in being smart about throwing hits (he had 118 between the Sharks and Wild last season) and not backing down from a fight (11 career fighting majors through 80 NHL games). Expect to hear more about Middleton as the season goes on.

GOALTENDING

Marc-Andre Fleury

It’s hard to say just what Minnesota is going to get this year – and it might be even harder, if possible, to root against them. They’ll enter the 2022-23 season with veteran Marc-Andre Fleury – who, with Mike Smith out in Edmonton, will be the second-oldest goaltender in the league – as their clear starter, fresh off a bizarre whirlwind year that saw him dealt to the rebuilding Chicago Blackhawks and forced to make his case on the ice in order to earn a move to the playoff-bound Wild mid-season.

Fleury will be 38-years old by the time the season is over, and the story remains the same as it has been for the last four years. As one of the NHL’s most high-octane and reflex-driven goaltenders, his game will only thrive if he’s able to continue playing at the level he’s been at for the last eighteen years. He’s only as good as his most dynamic saves, and he can only post those when he’s able to perform at an elite level for a full sixty minutes. With every passing season, the wear and tear he’s sustained – his 939 career regular season NHL games are seventh among goaltenders all-time – make it riskier to bet on him continuing to achieve that goal from a technical standpoint. But despite that, he’s managed to defy the odds each and every passing season; he likely can’t pull off a 70-game season without hitting a lull, but he managed to even post quality numbers behind the free-falling Blackhawks until they dealt him to the Wild within the Division. He continues to have some magical level of youth that keeps him pushing smoothly through his crease and out into the slot, although he’s managed to rein in some of his tendencies to over-slide and get set out near the hashmarks. And ultimately, eighteen years in the NHL – behind lottery-worthy teams and Stanley Cup contenders alike – have gifted Fleury with incredible instincts. He knows his limitations at this point enough to know when to pull out all the stops and when to make the simpler save, and that seems to have left him capable of preserving his energy enough to keep his teams in games even when everyone expects him to finally bow out. The real question, it seems, isn’t if he’s still got life left – it’s simply if he has enough life left to get the Wild through a deep playoff run this year.

Projected starts: 60-65

 

 

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CULLEN: 20 FANTASY POINTS – A Look Back at the 2020-21 Season https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/cullen-20-fantasy-points-2020-21-season/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/cullen-20-fantasy-points-2020-21-season/#respond Thu, 20 May 2021 19:33:41 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=170938 Read More... from CULLEN: 20 FANTASY POINTS – A Look Back at the 2020-21 Season

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Each week, Scott Cullen will dive into the numbers to unearth some analytical insights to help your fantasy team.

This week, a look back at the 2021 season and some of the underlying and sometimes just odd numbers for players during the 56-game season.

#1 Boston Bruins left winger Brad Marchand finished third in scoring with 69 points. He was a long way from first but, following offseason sports hernia surgery, Marchand’s longest streak without registering a point was two games, which happened twice. Since 2016-2017, Marchand ranks third in the NHL with 426 points, behind the two players that he was behind in this year’s scoring race, the Edmonton Oilers duo of Connor McDavid (526) and Leon Draisaitl (469). (Yes, that means that McDavid has 100 points more than any non-teammate over the past five seasons.)

#2 Although he had to take a leave of absence from the New York Rangers during the season, left winger Artemi Panarin ended up with 58 points in 42 games this season. Over the past two seasons, his first two with the Blueshirts, Panarin is averaging 1.38 points per game, which ranks third behind Connor McDavid (1.68) and Leon Draisaitl (1.53).

DENVER, CO - FEBRUARY 22: Vegas Golden Knights right wing Mark Stone (61) skates during a game between the Vegas Golden Knights and the Colorado Avalanche at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado on February 22, 2021. The Colorado Avalanche wore retro-themed uniforms with logos of the Quebec Nordiques. (Photo by Dustin Bradford/Icon Sportswire)

#3 Vegas Golden Knights captain Mark Stone tallied 61 points, the sixth time in the past seven seasons that he has scored at least 60 points, and it was not a standard path to get there. In a shortened season, Stone needed a career-high 1.11 points per game to cross that threshold and he did it with a career-low 1.78 shots on goal per game. He scored on a career-high 21.4% of his shots and had a career-high on-ice shooting percentage of 12.1%.

#4 One of the biggest bounce-back seasons was authored by Chicago Blackhawks winger Alex DeBrincat, who tallied 32 goals and 56 points in 52 games after scoring 18 goals and 45 points in 70 games in 2019-2020. Hockey can be fickle, though. Last season, DeBrincat had 2.96 shots on goal per game and it improved this season to 2.98 shots on goal per game. Okay, that minor nudge does not explain the increase in goal scoring. Last season, DeBrincat scored on 8.7% of his shots. This season, he scored on 20.6%. He also played almost three minutes more per game compared to last season but it’s worth noting that DeBrincat had a higher shot and expected goal rate in all situations in the 2019-2020 season than he did in 2021 but sometimes the puck won’t go in the net. Other times, a sniper like DeBrincat can’t miss.

#5 Minnesota Wild rookie sensations Kirill Kaprizov had an outstanding rookie season, but it was a tale of two rookie seasons in one. Coming out of a KHL season in which he tallied 62 points in 57 games, a standard NHL equivalency would have pegged Kaprizov for approximately 45 points in a 56-game season. He exceeded those numbers, finishing with 51 points (27 G, 24 A) in 55 games. The rookie was putting up points immediately but was not generating shots. In his first 17 NHL games, Kaprizov contributed 16 points and 28 shots on goal (1.65 shots per game). In the next 38 games, he scored 35 points, including 22 goals, and generated 129 shots on goal (3.39 per game), more than doubling his shot rate.

#6 32-year-old St. Louis Blues winger David Perron had the first point-per-game season of career, scoring 58 points in 56 games. He averaged 18:33 of ice time per game, the second highest per-game average of his career.

#7 Looking to re-establish his value after a down season in Toronto, Edmonton’s Tyson Barrie decided that signing in Edmonton would work for him, and he was right. Barrie paced all defensemen with 48 points. Keep in mind that Barrie is going to be an unrestricted free agent in the offseason and that Connor McDavid recorded a point on 34 of the 48 goals (70.8%) which Barrie had a point. In Barrie’s 2017-2018 season, when he tallied a career-high 57 points for Colorado, Nathan MacKinnon had a point on 30 of those 57 goals (52.6%).

#8 36-year-old Dallas Stars center Joe Pavelski had a bounce-back campaign after a tough start in Dallas in 2019-2020. He finished with 51 points (25 G, 26 A), scoring 13 of his 25 goals on the power play. Since 2013-2014, Pavelski has 25 goals scored via deflections. Winnipeg Jets captain Blake Wheeler has the second most goals on deflections in that time with 16.

#9 There were five defensemen that had at least 15 points this season that recorded more than half of their points on the power play.  Florida’s Keith Yandle (66.7%), Arizona’s Oliver Ekman-Larsson (58.3%), Montreal’s Shea Weber (57.9%), Tampa Bay’s Victor Hedman (53.3%), and Los Angeles’ Drew Doughty (52.9%).

#10 On the other end of the spectrum, there were 60 defensemen to put up at least 20 points this season. Those with the lowest percentage of power play points were Toronto’s Justin Holl (0.0%), Toronto’s Jake Muzzin (7.4%), Florida’s MacKenzie Weegar (8.3%), and Nashville’s Mattias Ekholm along with Minnesota’s Jonas Brodin (both 8.7%).

#11 Minnesota Wild left winger Marcus Foligno had a career season, scoring a career-high 26 points in 39 games. Foligno had zero power play points. The other top even-strength scorers without any power play points: Winnipeg’s Mason Appleton (24), Montreal’s Phillip Danault (23), as well as the Rangers’ Filip Chytil (22) and Alexis Lafreniere (21). Minnesota’s Jordan Greenway had 31 even-strength points with one power-play point and Vancouver rookie Nils Hoglander had 26 even-strength points with one power-play point.

#12 There were 389 forwards that played at least 300 5-on-5 minutes this season. The leaders in individual expected goals per 60 minutes were Montreal’s Brendan Gallagher (1.30), Toronto’s Auston Matthews (1.14), Ottawa’s Brady Tkachuk (1.02), Minnesota’s Joel Eriksson Ek (1.02), the Islanders’ Anders Lee (1.01), and Carolina’s Nino Niederreiter (1.01). Familiar names for this category but it also shows the difference between an elite finisher like Matthews and others who generate the shots and chances but don’t come close to Matthews’ goal totals.

#13 The forwards with the lowest individual expected goals per 60 minutes were Columbus’ Patrik Laine (0.26), Minnesota’s Victor Rask (0.26), Toronto’s Joe Thornton (0.27), St. Louis’ Tyler Bozak (0.30), and Winnipeg’s Nate Thompson (0.30). Seeing Laine at the very bottom of the list shows just what a disaster this season was for him. A fresh start, with a new coach, can’t come soon enough.

#14 Surprisingly, the most productive player from that early-season trade was Jack Roslovic, who scored a career-high 34 points (12 G, 22 A) in 48 games for Columbus. His ice time went up a couple of minutes per game compared to the 2019-2020 season in Winnipeg. His shot rate (1.77 per game) was a bit of a concern, too, but that appears to be virtually a team-wide issue for the Blue Jackets.

#15 Arizona Coyotes right winger Phil Kessel finished with a flourish and ended up with 20 goals and 43 points; it was the 12th time in the past 13 seasons that Kessel scored at least 20 goals. He scored on a career-high 17.4% of his shots but he did improve his shot rates as the season progressed. In his first 32 games, Kessel had 20 points and 54 shots on goal (1.69 shots per game) and then scored 23 points with 61 shots on goal (2.54 shots per game) in his last 24 games.

#16 Anaheim Ducks winger Rickard Rakell scored nine goals in 52 goals, finishing with a career-low 6.3% shooting percentage. Over the past three seasons, there are 120 forwards that have recorded at least 400 shots on goal. The forwards from that group with the lowest shooting percentage: Boston’s Taylor Hall (7.7%), Rakell (8.0%), Columbus’ Boone Jenner (8.2%), Ottawa’s Brady Tkachuk (8.7%), Dallas’ Tyler Seguin (8.9%), and Arizona’s Clayton Keller (8.9%).

#17 The forwards from that group that have the highest shooting percentages: Edmonton’s Leon Draisaitl (20.1%), Tampa Bay’s Brayden Point (19.2%), Tampa Bay’s Steven Stamkos (18.2%), Winnipeg’s Mark Scheifele (17.8%), and San Jose’s Tomas Hertl (17.3%).

#18 Florida Panthers left winger Jonathan Huberdeau scored 19 points in the last 13 games to finish the season with 61 points, good for 12th in league scoring. In the past three seasons Huberdeau ranks seventh among all scorers with 231 points.

#19 Pittsburgh Penguins center Jared McCann rose to the occasion when Evgeni Malkin was injured. McCann returned to the lineup a few days after Malkin was hurt and from March 20 through the end of the regular season, McCann scored 22 points (9 G, 13 A) in 26 games, giving him 32 points in 43 games. Just something to consider if the Penguins consider moving Malkin in the offseason.

#20 Finally, the Detroit Red Wings’ leading scorer this season was defenseman Filip Hronek, who had a modest 26 points in 56 games. Even more remarkable is that 17 of his 26 points were second assists. He had 11 more secondary assists than any other Red Wings player.

Advanced stats via Evolving Hockey and Natural Stat Trick

 

 

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No(Staal)gia – Minnesota Wild 2018-19 Season Preview https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/nostaalgia-montreal-canadiens-2018-19-season-preview/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/nostaalgia-montreal-canadiens-2018-19-season-preview/#respond Sat, 15 Sep 2018 18:15:40 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=150416 Read More... from No(Staal)gia – Minnesota Wild 2018-19 Season Preview

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REVIEW / STATE OF PLAY – The 2017-18 campaign represented the sixth season since the Minnesota Wild made the bold move of signing UFAs Ryan Suter and Zach Parise to matching 13-year, $98 million contract that was designed to help push them into being a serious contender.  Unfortunately, it hasn’t panned out as planned.

Last season was more of the same for Minnesota.  The Wild posted a 45-26-11 record in the regular season to make the playoffs for the sixth consecutive year and earn at least 100 points for the third time in four seasons.  However, they were expelled in the first round by the Winnipeg Jets over just five games, making it the Wild’s third straight first round exit.  Minnesota still hasn’t gotten past the second round since Suter and Parise joined the team.

UNDER NEW MANAGEMENT – If 2017-18 had been an isolated incident then Minnesota’s mantra would probably be of patience, but with it being the sixth straight disappointing end in the postseason, a change at the top was warranted.  With that in mind, Paul Fenton has been hired to replace Chuck Fletcher as the team’s general manager.

If you were expecting Fenton to immediately make his mark on the team though, you’ve probably felt disappointed this summer.  Rather than make a big splash on the trade or free agent market, Fenton has simply made minor tweaks to the team.

A couple bottom-six forwards in Tyler Ennis and Matt Cullen are gone while new role players J.T. Brown and Matt Hendricks were brought in.  The team’s defense has been largely left untouched with the exception of Greg Pateryn, who signed a three-year, $6.75 million contract and will probably end up on the third pairing.  As for the team’s goaltending, Devan Dubnyk and Alex Stalock are projected to return as the starter and backup respectively.  Should either get hurt, journeyman goaltender Andrew Hammond will be an option after he signed a one-year, two-way deal.

Those are the tweaks that were made and while there is still the chance that the Wild will make a significant trade either during the preseason or perhaps near the deadline, right now we’re looking at largely the same team as 2017-18, just with a different man at the top.

Ryan Suter and Zach Parise
Ryan Suter and Zach Parise

WILL THEY BE HEALTHY? – That might actually be alright if the team has better luck on the injury front this season.  After all, Zach Parise missed half of the 2017-18 campaign and then suffered a broken sternum in Game 3 of the first round.  Ryan Suter was able to play 78 games last season, but fractured his right ankle and missed the Wild’s entire playoff run as a result.  That’s two cornerstones of the team that the Wild lacked when they needed them the most.

On top of that, Jared Spurgeon missed the final 12 games of 2017-18 due to a hamstring injury.  He did return for the playoffs, but was logging just 21:48 minutes per game, down from an average of 24:33 minutes in the regular season despite the fact that Ryan Suter, who typically eats 26:47 minutes, wasn’t available.

Those weren’t even the only noteworthy injuries.  Charlie Coyle and Nino Niederreiter took big steps forward in 2016-17 and both regressed in 2017-18, in part due to injuries.  Coyle dealt with a fractured fibula early in the season that likely disrupted him and then played through tears in both of his wrists.  Niederreiter suffered a broken fibula that was bothering him even after he returned.  So you have to wonder what Minnesota’s season might have been like if so many of its key players were both available and functioning closer to 100%.

OUTLOOK – Even without making any noteworthy additions over the summer, the Minnesota Wild remain a competitive team that should at least make the playoffs.  With a little better luck than they had in 2017-18, they could even be competitive in the postseason.  However, when you look at the top-tier teams in the NHL today, Minnesota does appear to be just a small step below them.  The Wild are a team with many of the right pieces like a strong goaltender, a good defensive core, and offensive depth, but the Wild aren’t necessarily in the very top tier in any of those areas.  For as talented as Suter and Parise are, they also don’t have those one or two superstars that set them apart to the same extent as teams like the Pittsburgh Penguins, Washington Capitals, and Tampa Bay Lightning.

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WILD HORSES https://www.mckeenshockey.com/uncategorized/wild-horses-minnesota-wild-nhl-player-profiles/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/uncategorized/wild-horses-minnesota-wild-nhl-player-profiles/#respond Tue, 26 Aug 2014 22:18:26 +0000 http://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=66541 Read More... from WILD HORSES

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The Wild had another decent season finishing fourth in their division and 12th overall while qualifying for the playoffs for the second consecutive season.  Competition in the Central Division and Western Conference is tough. Minnesota has a good blend of veterans and youth throughout the roster but there are questions throughout as well.

zach pariseThe forwards are led by the likes of veterans Zach Parise, Jason Pominville and Captain Mikko Koivu. Minnesota scored 2.43 goals per game, a number they should be able to increase going forward. The addition of Thomas Vanek should provide a boost to the offense as a significant upgrade over Dany Heatley. The youth also arrived last season to provide secondary scoring and fantasy value. Mikael Granlund, Nino Niederreiter, and Charlie Coyle all enjoyed a breakout season, while Justin Fontaine and Erik Haula also had impressive performances.  The Wild will be able to roll three offensive lines with good depth but may be lacking the role players who provide grit, toughness and defense.

The defense is anchored by the minute munching Ryan Suter who led the NHL in TOI with a whopping 29:24 minutes per game. There is a significant drop off after Suter with Jonas Brodin, Jared Spurgeon, and Marco Scandella in the middle tier. The final two roster spots should be contested by journeymen Keith Ballard and Jonathon Blum, and free agents Christian Folin and Justin Falk.

Perhaps the biggest question is in goal. Ilya Bryzgalov was brought in as a rental at the trade deadline to provide insurance but was not resigned. Despite their concerns in goal, the Wild declined to make any changes and will enter the season with Niklas Backstrom, Josh Harding and Darcy Kuemper. Backstrom is aging, in decline, and fragile while Harding is dealing with M.S. and is a major question. Kuemper may be the safest fantasy option.

We have posted the following player profiles: Zach Parise, Thomas Vanek, Mikko Koivu, Jason Pominville, Mikael Granlund, Charlie Coyle, Nino Neiderreiter, Erik Haula, Ryan Suter, Jonas Brodin, Jared Spurgeon, Darcy Kuemper, Josh Harding

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Buyer Beware – Don’t Overvalue https://www.mckeenshockey.com/uncategorized/39768/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/uncategorized/39768/#respond Tue, 17 Sep 2013 10:09:18 +0000 http://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=39768 Read More... from Buyer Beware – Don’t Overvalue

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DO NOT OVERVALUE

My last posting dealt with players that might be under-valued or underrated fantasy assets going into the 2013-14 season.  But what about those players that may be overrated?  As a fantasy team owner, identifying overvalued stars is at least as important as trying to find those hidden gems at the draft.  In fact, there are probably more championships lost via ill-advised early round picks than won because of later rounds strokes of genius.

There are many reasons why your opponents tend to overrate the pre-season fantasy value of a player: reputation, career stats, projected line-ups, overall team outlook and media hype surrounding the player.  Conversely, some critical factors are too often overlooked: age, injury concerns, career trends, actual value versus fantasy value, and chemistry issues as they relate to the type of player.

Here are the players I feel you should think twice before drafting too soon or paying too much for (in the case of salary cap and auction type leagues).

1-      Nathan Horton (RW) – CLB: Was viewed as one of the top free agents from this year’s crop and was awarded a huge 7-year deal by the Jackets at a $5.3M cap hit.  His career best PPG (0.87) came in his final season in Florida (2009-10), in which he only played 65 games.  Horton has never approached that kind of offensive prowess since.  He isn’t expected back in the line-up until late-December and will be hard-pressed to find the playmaking centerman help he had in Boston when he does reintegrate the Columbus line-up.  Superb playoff performer and key contributor on a contending team, but a risky fantasy proposition.

2-      Jay Bouwmeester (D) – STL: Has always been a tantalizing skater and that’s what made him the 3rd overall pick in the 2002 draft (Florida).  Showed signs of an eventual offensive breakout when he averaged 41.75 points per season between 2005-06 and 2008-09; proceeded to average a measly 27.3 over the next three seasons.  Jumped back up to approach the 40-point mark (pro-rated 38.4) last year, but an obvious lack of elite vision from the back-end along with a diminishing offensive role within the Blues line-up (Kevin Shattenkirk and Alex Pietrangelo ahead of him) all but guarantee he won’t be able to maintain this kind of pace.  Durable, but an unreliable source of offense.

3-      Troy Brouwer (RW) – WAS: To the untrained eye, last season was a breakout for Brouwer: entering his prime at 28, he posted career-high numbers (0.70 PPG, pro-rated 33 goals).  But that all came in a season where the Caps’ PP was on fire.  Brouwer benefitted from the brilliant passing of Mike Ribeiro and Nicklas Backstrom on the man-advantage, where half his points came from.  Also played on Ribeiro’s right most of the season.  No more Ribeiro, no chance at 30 goals.  Let someone else take a flyer on him in the third round.

4-      Artem Anisimov (C) – CLB: We just mentioned the lack of elite playmaking skills in Columbus (see Nathan Horton).  Anisimov has all the NHL-quality individual skills scouts rave about, but 4 years into his NHL career, it’s clear he lacks the offensive vision to help make his wingers better players.  He is likely the Jackets’ no. 1 center yes, but there are no pass-first wingers on the roster that could help bolster his fantasy outlook this season.

5-      Ryan Miller (G) – BUF: It may surprise you to learn that Miller has only authored one season with a SV Pct. of .920 or above (.929 in his Vezina Trophy winning season of 2009-10).  In every other year, Miller has statistically been a very average goaltender.  In leagues that put a premium on wins, he has always had the stamina to collect them in bunches on traditionally good Buffalo squads.  But the Sabres are entering a semi-rebuild and will likely be overwhelmed in the newly formed, powerhouse Atlantic Division.  Now 33, Miller simply isn’t worth wasting a high pick on anymore.

6-      Devan Dubnyk (G) – EDM: Don’t get me wrong, I like Dubnyk as an up-and-coming talent in the crease.  He recorded an impressive .920 SV Pct. last season on a weak defensive team (Oilers ranked 19th with 2.73 GA/G).  The problem is that most fantasy formats love the wins.  Well, the Oilers have a new coach, are still learning how to win and are now in the toughest division in the league.  They will get there, just not quite yet.

7-      Jonas Brodin (D) - MIN: Overwhelmingly viewed as a snub when the NHL announced its Calder Trophy nominees last year, the youngest rearguard in the NHL had a stellar rookie campaign.  The 10th overall pick of the Wild two years ago lived up to the hype playing along-side stud Ryan Suter.  Taking a closer look at the numbers however, we quickly realize that almost all of his offense came with the help of his All-Star playing partner (9 of his 11 points at ES).  Brodin has no track-record for producing significant offense.  He will be an NHL workhorse, but likely never become the true PP quarterback that fantasy owners seek.

8-      Mike Cammalleri (LW) – CAL: Yes, he is coming off a nice bounce-back season; yes, he is still only 31; yes, he is clearly the offensive leader in Calgary; and yes I believe Cammalleri can repeat that same success.  But after last year’s rebound, most will expect a return to the point-a-game player he was in the final season of his last stint in Cow-Town (2008-09).  Cammalleri did find his sniper-type game, as we saw his patented one-timer from the RW dot on a more regular basis in 2013, but who will feed him those pin-point passes now that Alex Tanguay has been shipped to Colorado?  At best expect 60-70 points, but only if Calder candidate Sven Baertschi proves ready to step in right away as a top PP unit playmaker.

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