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Switzerland had one of their best tournaments ever at this stage. They didn’t just beat Sweden in the quarterfinal, they pushed the Czechs to overtime, only losing to Canada by a 3-2 final score and were tied 3-3 vs Russia after 40 minutes in the preliminary games. If you look at the quality of the team and how they performed in all aspects in this tournament, they weren’t a top four competitor, but they came together as a team and played well. They played with good structure, good speed and they battled hard. I wouldn’t say that Switzerland has come close to the top nations, but they certainly can compete with them, and at times even beat one or two of them.
Individually (outside of a charismatic head coach), Philipp Kurashev (CHI) really stood out and was one of the best players in the tournament. He led the Swiss first line with his speed, hand skills and scored an impressive six goals. It wasn’t hard to see why he is producing well in the QMJHL this season. He looks like he can become an NHLer in the future, making him a good 4th round pick by the Blackhawks. In this tournament, he had the same big impact as Nino Niederreiter had last time Switzerland ended up in the top four.
Another great individual performance came from goalie Luca Hollenstein. A smaller goalie with good athleticism and hockey sense. He had a rough semifinal but really came up in big in that quarterfinal versus Sweden. In the third period Sweden pounded 19 shots at him but Hollenstein shut out the Swedes. Since smaller size goalies rarely get drafted these days, he may not get picked by an NHL team. A tournament like this is a small sample size of a prospect’s full potential, but he is still young enough to play again in next year’s tournament and continue to make his case.
The Czechs fell short despite the power they had on their roster compared to previous years, with 12 drafted players and three players currently playing in the AHL with forward talent being led by veteran Martin Necas (CAR), Martin Kaut (COL) and 2018’s sixth overall selection Filip Zadina (DET). Their systems did not gel very well in the tournament and the lines seemed to struggle for consistency leading to fatigued penalty killing and turnovers. Zadina did not have the showing he had the year before where he managed seven goals and an assist through seven games. This year he struggled and managed only a single assist over five games. For a shooter with his skills, that is simply disappointing and unfortunately the Czech Republic definitely felt it throughout the tournament.
Martin Kaut, who is typically very dominant on the forecheck and creative during rushes was also kept quiet with only two assists throughout the tournament despite playing powerplay and top line minutes at even strength. Fellow AHLer Martin Necas of the Charlotte Checkers was left as the only player who played up to his AHL status with four points in five games (only one goal) and a surprisingly high number of penalty minutes as a result of frustration shown towards the team’s poor performance and slow transitional play.
Along with the Czech’s transitional play being a problem, their defensive positioning in both 5-on-5 play and the penalty kill was difficult to watch and often left their goalies (all of whom are drafted) out to dry. Thankfully, their top goaltender Lukas Dostal (ANA) came up big in the four games he played, keeping his team in the game and demonstrating his ability to track the puck and flash his glove to make really solid saves. Efforts made by Jakub Lauko (BOS), Matej Pekar (BUF) and defenceman Filip Kral (TOR) were noticeable but did little to help the team where standings were concerned. All three players added valuable contributions to the team including goals scored, special team performances and gritty play.
Being eliminated in the quarter final this year by Team USA and last year losing the bronze medal game to the US did not help soften Czech feelings towards the Americans That being said, the Czechs will hope to avoid further elimination games against the USA and better prepare themselves for next year’s World Junior Hockey Championship as host nation. As a forerunner in developing hockey nations in Europe with growing recognition on NHL draft boards, and one of the teams with extensive NHL/AHL representation, expectations will be high and they will be motivated to be ready.
For the fourth year in a row, and for the fifth time in six years, Slovakia avoided the relegation round of the WJC, but not much more, with a quarterfinal elimination. One the one hand, with only one victory in the round-robin portion of the tournament – just like in three of those five similar endings – the tournament was not much to write home about. On the other hand, for the first time since they had to be saved in the relegation round in 2007-08, Slovakia scored more goals at the WJCs than they allowed.
During that old event, in which the relegation round was played between four teams, allowing Slovakia to beat up on Switzerland (5-2) and Kazakhstan (8-0), it was easy to see how they managed to end the tournament on a positive note. Once more, this time, despite losing four times in five games, their goal differential was salvaged through a romp against Kazakhstan. Slovakia beat the present-day minnows by an 11-2 score and were shut down by a combined 4-12 differential against Sweden, the United States, and Finland. And of course, the quarterfinal match was a laugher, as Russia romped to an 8-3 victory. In fairness, that proved to be a tough road, having faced each of the three medal winners. But it would have been nice for Slovakia’s future prospects if they could have played close in more than one game, the honorable 2-1 defeat in the opener to the U.S.
When an underdog goes far at the WJC, it is generally the case that one or two players played above their previous levels. When Slovakia won the bronze in 2015, Martin Reway was a force up force, and Denis Godla was unbeatable at the back. No one stepped up in a similar fashion this year. Adam Ruzicka had a third disappointing WJC, with all three of his points coming in the Kazakh blowout. Undrafted Adam Liska had a few moments of grace, showing nice offensive touch and so-called stay-at-home defenseman Martin Fehervary surprisingly tied for the team lead in scoring with five points (none against Kazakhstan!). But with inconsistent goaltending and a scattershot offensive attack, Slovakia left British Columbia as quietly as they had arrived around two weeks earlier.
Starting the tournament as the underdogs, the Kazakhs had a decent round robin then played above their head as they defeated Denmark to negate the forecasts and keep their spot in the Elite Division. To achieve this result, the Kazakhs leveraged their strong qualities such as skating and puck skills, dispatching Denmark after losing all the round robin games.
A few players stood out for Kazakhstan. The best player was probably defenseman Valeri Orekhov. It’s not a surprise, since the blue liner already has two KHL seasons under his belt and is a veteran of three U20 WJC (only one at the elite level). He also represented Kazakhstan at two lower tier U18 WJC. His experience on the ice was visible by the way he played, with more than enough calmness and confidence, and he ended the tournament as one of the top-scoring defensemen, with five assists in six games. Considering his size (6-1”, 190 pounds), skills and WJC performance, it would not be a huge surprise if someone takes a flyer on him next June. Orekhov is having a strong season with Barys in the KHL and is outscoring drafted players of his same age such as, for example, Nikolai Kovalenko. Of course, points aren’t everything, especially when it comes to defensemen, but Orekhov showed a lot of good things at the WJC and he is expected to develop into an NHL-caliber player in the future.
Forward Artur Gatiyatov was one of the top scorers of the tournament, with eight points in six games. He scored five goals through the WJC and was a threat even against the top teams. However, his diminutive size will likely play against him this spring. That said, based on his skating and puck skills alone, Gatiyatov is certainly a draft-worthy player.
More or less, the same considerations apply to the cousins Sayan (forward) and Samat (defenseman) Daniyar. Samat Daniyar posted five points like Orekhov, but in spite of his good performance, he didn’t look to be on the same level as him. Sayan Daniyar had a slow start, but once he picked up pace, he started delivering and finished the tournament with two points. Both players are gifted with excellent skating and soft hands, but they are both unlikely to be picked next spring because of their size.
It will be hard for the Kazakhs to stay up next year, especially considering that their best player will have graduated from the level by December, but didn’t everyone just say the same this year?
Well, this wasn’t pretty. Denmark had a weak team to start and they failed to meet the bar of those low expectations, losing all six games. Next season, we won’t see Denmark in this tournament. Denmark scored the fewest goals, let in the most goals, had the worst power play and the worst penalty kill of the tournament. They ranked 10th in every statistical category.
Prior to the start of the tournament, they had three interesting players with NHL potential. Draft eligible goalie Mads Sogaard, defenseman Malte Setkov (DET) and forward Jonas Rondbjerg (VGK). Large 6’7” goalie Sogaard probably didn’t have much fun in the five games he played with a 6.16 goals against average and an .802 save percentage. Luckily, no one in their right mind blames him for Denmark’s departure. He didn’t have near enough help in front of him and when it comes to the draft, it is unlikely this tournament is what scouts will remember most when they evaluate his potential.
Setkov and Rondbjerg were both in on 67% of Denmark’s goals which is an impressive number. The thing is though, that Denmark only scored three goals in the entire tournament and all three of them came in one of the relegation games against Kazakhstan. Denmark were shut out offensively in five of six games. Rondbjerg, who played in his fourth WJC, had some creative plays but also showed that he doesn’t have that electrifying offensive potential that older Danish talents have shown over the years. Setkov is a player I really like as a very big defenseman that moves his feet and the puck well. He stood out as the best player on this Danish team, even though he had some tough times along with everyone else on the team.
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Watching the Montreal system evolve, it was clear that they were ready for a changing of the guard. Not only did they trade their top defensive prospect in the offseason, but they also moved out a number of other young blueliners, many of whom still retained prospect eligibility. Nathan Beaulieu, a first rounder from 2011, was traded in the days leading up to the draft to Buffalo for a third round pick. One month prior, the team inked Jakub Jerabek, a Czech rearguard who put up great numbers in the KHL last year.
The day before the draft, the team acquired David Schlemko from the expansion Vegas, for a 2019 fifth rounder. They walked away from longtime quarterback Andrei Markov and brought in Mark Streit to take the role of veteran presence. The cherry on top, considering only the NHL roster, was the free agent signing of Karl Alzner as a shutdown option, and rounded out their July 1 with bringing in backline depth in Matt Taormina and Joe Morrow.
All of the above has little to do with prospects, but it leads, although not likely directly connected to, Montreal’s strategy over the last two draft classes. In 2016, four of the Canadiens’ six draft picks were blueliners. After grabbing Sergachev with the ninth overall pick, they selected undersized and mobile Victor Mete in the fourth round, Minnesota high schooler Casey Staum in the fifth and big Victor Arvidsson in the seventh. While Sergachev was dealt for Drouin and the latter two have not yet established themselves as draft day steals, Mete had a strong post-draft year in between injuries.
Montreal repeated that strategy again in the most recent draft, using four of seven picks on blueliners, starting with second rounder Josh Brook. Between the third and fifth rounds, they also selected Scott Walford, Cale Fleury, and Jarret Tyszka. All four of their new defensemen were selected from the WHL, which may have been a coincidence, but surely made one of their scouts feel special. Beyond that coincidence, all four were considered to be great value where they were selected.
If we take all of the blueliners added to the organization in the last two years, add on Noah Juulsen (first round) and Simon Bourque (sixth round) from 2015 and Brett Lernout (third round) from 2014, what we get is a team that is preparing to turn over their defensive corps. Seven of their top 20 prospects are blueliners and while not all will succeed, by buying in bulk, the Canadiens expect to have at least a few percolate up to the top.
As long as the team is willing to trust minutes at the NHL level to young players, this is a strategy that can pay big long-term dividends. If even two can become part of the core rotation in the next two years, Montreal will be able to balance the hefty defense dollars paid to Shea Weber, Jeff Petry and Karl Alzner with minimum contracts, giving them more resources to allocate to the forwards.

1 Ryan Poehling – One of the youngest players to play NCAA hockey last year, Poehling’s number with St. Cloud State need to be taken with a grain of salt. He rarely played assertively with the puck and as a result, his point totals were mediocre. He showed flashes of puck skills and high hockey IQ, but once he pulled on the red, white and blue at the WU18 tournament, he exploded and was often the best American on the ice. Expect big things from Poehling in his sophomore season.
2 Noah Juulsen – After struggling in his first post-draft season to replicate the offensive production of his draft year, Juulsen rebounded in a big way last year with 34 points in 49 games for the defensively stifling Everett Silvertips. He also made Team Canada for the first time, showcasing his plus puck moving skills as well as a very impressive physical game at the marquee event. He will be given as much time as he needs to develop on the farm, but he projects as a good number three in his prime.

3 Mike McCarron – First the obvious, positive and negative. To McCarron’s credit, he is massive, 6-5”, and stocky. On the downside, his feet are slow. He moves better than he used to, though, and has the hockey IQ and smooth hands to negate some of his inherent handicap. While his AHL production has been somewhat stagnant, he has always demonstrated plus vision with the puck and the instincts of a playmaker. With a touch more aggression, he can still be an impact middle six center.

4 Nikita Scherbak – Scherbak, Montreal’s 2014 first round pick, took pleasing strides forward in his offensive game in his second season in the AHL. He is active in all three zones and displays solid puck skills on a regular basis. Although slight, he drives the net with power. His offensive potential suggests a future on a second line, but he needs to show more creativity to evade closer checks and figure out how to more regularly maintain possession of the puck after entering the zone.
5 Charles Hudon – On a list topped with four former first round picks, Hudon is the first later round selection who has already exceeded projections. In three seasons in the AHL, he has overcome questions about his size and strength to post 162 points in 207 games. He is not even that fast, but earns plaudits for his hands. His pucks skills are well above average. He is patient on the puck and sees things developing that many others cannot. He has earned his first extended NHL audition.
6 Josh Brook – The first of four defencemen drafted by Montreal this year, Brook does everything well, but nothing exceptionally. He is generally a defense first blueliner who owns a solid skill set in addition to very strong positional play. He controls his gaps, clears the defensive zone well and can be placed in a shutdown role. If his offensive game does not develop, he can still project as a decent #4/5 defender. Any more development would put the #3 in his sights.
7 Joni Ikonen – A Finnish forward developing in Sweden, the slight Ikonen has an electric offensive game, grading out as plus as a skater, shooter and puck handler. He skates well with the puck, showing great creativity and the ability to get himself into and out of trouble at will. After a strong showing at the WU18 tournament with Finland, Ikonen will be returning to his native land to play this season with KalPa in Liiga, passing up the chance to play for Hamilton in the OHL. The Habs are very high on him.
8 Jake Evans – A seventh round sleeper from the 2014 draft, Evans has spent the past three seasons with Notre Dame, where his offensive production has gone up every year, surpassing one point per game for the first time last year. He has very high hockey IQ and is a natural playmaker. He is always near the puck, pushing it in the right direction on offense, or fighting to get it back in the defensive and neutral zones. An all-situations player.

9 Victor Mete – Undersized but aggressive, Mete is among the smarter defensemen in the OHL. Already showing offensive talents when drafted, his production increased this year, despite injuries limiting him to 50 games, before he slowed down in the postseason. He is mobile, with above average puck skills and a point shot that demands respect.
10 Michael McNiven – Not as tall as many modern day goaltenders, McNiven was passed over on draft day despite strong numbers in a backup role with Owen Sound. Montreal signed him after impressing in rookie camp, signing him to an ELC as a free agent. Two years on, and McNiven will begin his pro career after a season in which he was named the OHL Goaltender of the Year. Plays deep in his crease and is a plus athlete.
11 Will Bitten – Moving from one poor OHL team in Flint for another in Hamilton, Bitten saw his numbers plateau in his first post-draft season. He has a high compete level and plays a responsible, 200-foot game, but can disappear at times. With Hamilton expected to be better with its young players now more experienced, expect Bitten’s above average puck skills to shine more often this year.
12 Brett Lernout – Although the depth added by the Canadiens this offseason makes it more likely that Lernout will spend most of a third full season in the AHL, he is a quietly very effective blueliner. He skates well, can play a physical game and is a steady hand for beginning the transition from defense to offense. His upside is not overly high, but he should be one of the first names considered this year when Montreal is short a defenseman.
13 Simon Bourque – Another example of a late round pick who has exceeded his expected value, Bourque put a cap on a strong junior career with a near point-per-game performance split between Rimouski and Saint John, with whom Bourque won the QMJHL title and played in the Memorial Cup for the second time. He is a solid puck mover who can lead the rush or sit back and slow the game down.
14 Cale Fleury – One of the top scorers with one of the worst teams in the CHL, Fleury, whose older brother Haydn was a top draft pick of Carolina, has a quick, hard and accurate shot and plays an aggressive game. It can be hard to scout a player whose team is often overmatched, but Fleury shows competence in his own zone as well as offensively, with an active stick, and a knack for breaking plays up.
15 Scott Walford – A smooth skater who displays solid instincts off the puck, Walford had an up and down year for an up and down Victoria Royals squad. He has good size, but plays a clean game. More a puck mover than shooter, he does not have the upside of Fleury, Brook or Tyszka, but there is enough raw material to work with here to suggest a third pairing upside is possible.
16 Daniel Carr – Had Carr played in two more games this year in Montreal, he would not have been eligible for this list. Despite the six goals he scored in his first NHL action in 2015-16, his overall game will be limited by his skating deficiencies and the fact that, already 25 years old, the former NCAA champ is already as good as he will ever be. That should be enough to play regularly for Montreal this year on the bottom six.
17 Charlie Lindgren – Another undrafted free agent making his way through the Montreal system, Lindgren had a strong first pro season in the AHL, enhanced by two strong starts against Florida and Detroit late in the year. Lindgren is a very aggressive netminder and really loves playing the puck, sometimes to his own detriment. Will have to fight to hold off McNiven for the role of Carey Price’s future backup.
18 Lukas Vejdemo – Drafted with high expectations as a third rounder after tearing up the Swedish junior ranks, Vejdemo has struggled with only 25 points across his first two campaigns in the SHL. Despite his struggles, speed doesn’t lie and he still shows flashes of enticing puck skills. He needs to take a step forward this year to remain on the radar.
19 Martin Reway – Montreal drafted the tiny, high scoring winger after a strong season as a solid offensive import in the QMJHL. He went back to Europe and put up big numbers in two seasons split between the Czech and Swiss leagues, but missed all of last year due to a heart ailment that required surgery. Reports are that he is ready to get back on the ice this year. That, in itself, is a victory.
20 Jeremiah Addison – Although his offensive abilities are rather limited, Addison is a high energy grinder with just enough in the way of skills to avoid being ignored. He ended his junior career on the highest of high notes, potting a surprising number of goals on the way to captaining the Windsor Spitfires to a Memorial Cup championship.
Having moved their AHL affiliate from St John’s to Laval, Quebec, a leisurely drive from the Bell Centre, expect to see Montreal use their AHL talent liberally. Thankfully, due to strong drafting from the first round through the seventh round, there are enough promising players that should be available on the farm to make that strategic advantage truly fruitful.
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The primary decision makers in Montreal, GM Marc Bergevin and Director of Amateur Scouting/VP of Player Personnel Trevor Timmins are both returning for their fourth and third seasons respectively in the same (or very similar roles). Together, they have drafted 19 players across three drafts. Two goaltenders, four blueliners and 13 forwards. In fairness, much of that imbalance towards forwards comes from their first joint draft in 2013, in which they selected seven forwards and a goaltender. They have also tended to draft players playing in North America (if not necessarily North American born and raised), with only last year’s third rounder, Sweden’s Lukas Vejdemo being European trained in the previous two drafts. They drafted two players out of European programs in 2013.
While the Habs are more likely to draft from the CHL than anywhere, their decisions to select three college-bound prospects with their six 2014 picks clearly demonstrates that they aren’t married to the Canadian junior system. Likewise, size is rarely a deciding factors in Montreal draft picks, as they have drafted both giants (Michael McCarron, Brett Lernout) and the severely undersized (Daniel Audette, Martin Reway). The team seems to rely on its scouts over analytics at the draft board, as many of its draft picks were not lauded for great draft year offensive production. Even their top pick in 2014, Nikita Scherbak, who had a strong pre-draft year, was not overwhelming in his scoring touch with 78 points in 65 games. Each of their last three first rounders has had at least one high end offensive skill, with McCarron possessing a great shot, Scherbak having great puck skills and Juulsen impressing with his puck movement/transition game. 
Possible picks: While there is an inclination to connect Montreal with the draft’s top French Canadian in Pierre-Luc Dubois, he may well be gone by then and his game is more predicated on smarts than raw tools to fit the Timmins drafting profile. Michael McLeod, with his elite speed will be of interest to the Canadien scouts, as will Logan Brown, who in many ways is a like a more skilled, NHL-ready version of Michael McCarron. Clayton Keller will also intrigue if he is available. If they want to go with a defenceman up top, Montreal could be the landing spot of Jake Bean, who has a full set of offensive tools. What they do in the later rounds is anyone’s guess, but may be looking at Brandon Hagel from the WHL in the mid-rounds, and in the later rounds Kody McDonald from Prince George or Gabriel Fontaine from Rouyn-Norand.
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I broke away from the traditional goals-assists-points statistics and focused on the breakdown of ON-ICE even strength goals for/against as well as on the percentage basis for their respective teams. The legend is located just before the table.
Some additional details break down the draft year, team that drafted the player (none of these players have been traded to another NHL team). There are very few undrafted players as this tournament is drafted prospect heavy, but there are many European exceptions – along with some draft-eligible players for 2014 (and two notable 2015 draft eligible players in Connor McDavid and Jack Eichel – as a late birthday).
ESGF - Even Strength Goals For (On-Ice)
ESGA - Even Strength Goals Against (On-Ice)
%TmESGF - Percentage of On-Ice Even Strength Goals For
%TmESGA - Percentage of On-Ice Even Strength Goals Against
Draft Team - Team that drafted this player
Draft Yr - Draft Year
DOB - Date of Birth
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