Shea Theodore – McKeen's Hockey

MCKEEN’S 2025-26 NHL YEARBOOK – VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS – Team Preview

Sat, 20 Sep 2025 20:01:13 +0000

EDMONTON, AB - DECEMBER 14: Las Vegas Golden Knights Defenceman Shea Theodore (27) races up ice in the first period of the Edmonton Oilers game versus the Las Vegas Golden Knights on December 14, 2024 at Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB. (Photo by Curtis Comeau/Icon Sportswire)

The Golden Knights improved by a dozen points over their 2023-2024 total, finishing with 110 points (50-22-10), which was good enough to land atop the Pacific Division. They eliminated the Minnesota Wild in six games in the first round but were bounced from the postseason in five games by the Edmonton Oilers in the second round. During the regular season, the Golden Knights were a solid puck possession squad, ranking seventh with 51.8 percent Corsi and 53.1 percent expected goals percentage. The Golden Knights had an excellent power play, ranking second in the league with 9.98 goals for per 60 minutes of five-on-four play. However, they offset that with penalty killing problems. The Golden Knights allowed 8.59 goals against per 60 minutes at four-on-five, which ranked 26th.

What’s Changed?

The Golden Knights made the biggest move of the offseason to acquire Mitch Marner from the Toronto Maple Leafs in a sign-and-trade deal that sent centre Nicolas Roy to Toronto. Vegas also sent defenceman Nicolas Hague to the Nashville Predators in a trade to acquire checking centre Colton Sissons and defenceman Jeremy Lauzon. A big issue that will hang over the Golden Knights is the status of defenceman Alex Pietrangelo, whose NHL future is in doubt due to a hip that requires reconstructive surgery. Winger Victor Oloffson signed with Colorado, and he had 29 points (14 G, 15 A) in 56 games for Vegas in 2024-2025. In goal, the Golden Knights have moved on from Ilya Samsonov, with Akira Schmid, acquired from New Jersey in 2024, slated to be the back up to Adin Hill.

What would success look like?

Success for the Golden Knights is a Stanley Cup. They may not get there every year, but in eight seasons, the franchise has one Stanley Cup win, one loss in the Final, and two more years in which they were among the final four teams. The roster looks like one that should be able to contend and if they are anywhere close, there is little doubt that the Golden Knights would look to add even more talent.

What could go wrong?

Vegas really needs Marner to make a smooth transition to the team, and continue to play at a star level, because if he can do that, it will alleviate pressure on some of the other forwards, including captain Mark Stone, who is 33 years old and is walking a tightrope every season because of ongoing back troubles. The Golden Knights have enough talent that they can handle some injuries or a player or two underperforming and still make the playoffs, but if Stone missed significant time due to injury and Marner struggles to adjust, the season would be more challenging.

Top Breakout Candidate

On a team full of veterans, the best chance for a breakout season might come from backup goaltender Akira Schmid. He has not had a dominant season in the AHL and had a .886 save percentage in 30 games for Henderson last season, but he did have a .944 save percentage in a handful of games for Vegas and he had a .899 save percentage in 43 games for New Jersey over the previous three seasons. If Schmid has the backup role and Hill gets hurt, which has been known to happen, then there could be an opportunity for Schmid to make a bigger impact on the team.

Forwards

Jack Eichel

Predicted Stats
GP	G	A	PTS	PPG
78	35	63	98	1.26

Jack Eichel didn’t just break personal best records for assists and total points last year; he also broke the Las Vegas franchise record, and he didn’t even need a whole season to do it. He posted 28 goals and 66 assists for a total of 94 points in 77 games. A dynamic two-way superstar, Eichel blends elite vision with sharp playmaking. He can navigate through traffic with a high level of effectiveness, evidenced by the fact that he was in the 100^th percentile of NHL forwards concerning offensive zone entries. He is also elite at setting up teammates, as he was in the 99^th percentile of NHL forwards in terms of primary shot assists. He showcases leadership and discipline, having been a finalist for the Lady Byng trophy. Eichel would be well served to shoot the puck more, as he was only in the third percentile of NHL forwards regarding offensive zone shots-attempts. His puck skill, combined with his elite skating, makes him a handful for NHL defenders. Eichel is entering the final year of his eight-year contract, and both team and player have indicated an interest in signing a long-term commitment this season. The off-season splash of Mitch Marner only elevates the offensive expectations for Eichel; with two elite creators up front, he could easily approach the 100-point mark if he maintains health and momentum.

Mitch Marner

Predicted Stats
GP	G	A	PTS	PPG
82	29	75	104	1.27

Mitch Marner arrived in Las Vegas as the biggest acquisition splash of the summer. Marner looks to wipe the slate clean after several disappointing exits from the playoffs in Toronto, with a lot of the focus and discussion being centric to his performance in the losses. Vegas will produce an entirely different vibe from the bright lights of Toronto. Marner delivered an excellent 2024–25 campaign, tallying 102 points (27 goals, 75 assists) in 81 games. He ranked fifth in league scoring and set a new personal best for points. His assist total placed him third among all NHL players. Marner is a shifty forward with an elite offensive skill set, strong puck manipulation, and stellar playmaking abilities. His in-zone offence ranked in the 95^th percentile of NHL forwards, and he was extraordinarily helpful in exiting the puck from danger in the defensive zone. Now donning #93 in Vegas after signing an eight-year, $96 million deal ($12M AAV), expect Marner to enter a partnership with Jack Eichel that elevates expectations even more, perhaps north of 100 points. With his setup skills and deceptive shot, he’ll anchor the power play and contribute heavily at even-strength. Health and adaptation to a new system are key, but the skill and production trajectory suggest Marner is ready to assert himself as an elite force in Las Vegas.

Mark Stone

Predicted Stats
GP	G	A	PTS	PPG
68	20	45	65	0.96

Despite some injury troubles that caused him to miss time, Mark Stone remained one of the best two-way forwards in the NHL last season. While some elements of his game took a bit of a recession, he was every bit of the play driver and possession commander that we’ve come to know over the years. In 66 regular-season games, he posted 19 goals and 48 assists for 67 points, ranking among the team’s top producers. A consummate two-way winger, Stone balances elite defensive awareness, especially in takeaways and puck recoveries, along with dynamic offensive skill. His defensive Wins Above Replacement at even-strength put him in the 92^nd percentile of NHL defencemen. His forechecking involvement seemed to take a step back, as falling in the seventh percentile of NHL defencemen in that bucket is a career low for him since the data started to be tracked. Despite that, his overall In-Zone Offence ranked in the 93^rd percentile of NHL forwards, a testament to his continued lethality from a scoring perspective. Stone’s 48 assists last season were the highest mark of his NHL career. Heading into his age-34 season, Stone remains central to Vegas’s identity, providing invaluable leadership on and off the ice as captain. If healthy, a projection in the 65–75 point range seems viable, with continued contributions on top special teams and key matchups.

Tomas Hertl

Predicted Stats
GP	G	A	PTS	PPG
75	30	32	62	0.83

Following his mid-season acquisition in March 2024, Hertl fully settled into the Golden Knights lineup for 2024–25. He played 73 games, contributing 32 goals and 29 assists for 61 points with a –3 plus/minus rating—making him one of Vegas’s most reliable offensive producers. He averaged just over 18 minutes per game, wielding significant responsibility in all situations. He was an elite driver of offense for Vegas, as he came in the 92^nd percentile of NHL forwards in shots and the 90^th percentile of NHL forwards in plays that contributed to a shot. His combination of individual skill, vision, and ability to work through traffic was a vital asset on the power-play, where his offensive Wins Above Replacement put him in the 91^st percentile of NHL forwards. Hertl possesses an elite shot with a quick release, strong net-front awareness, and the ability to score in tight spaces. His blend of size and agility allows him to create space off the cycle, win puck battles, and finish rush chances with a lethal touch. His two-way instincts add balance to his offensive game. Hertl is projected to remain an integral top six center or wing and a staple on the primary power-play unit. If he maintains health and production, another 60+ point season is realistic with his offensive versatility and playoff experience. Hertl has shown the ability to dominate his share of second-line minutes.

Ivan Barbashev

Predicted Stats
GP	G	A	PTS	PPG
81	21	32	53	0.65

In 2024-25, Ivan Barbashev crossed the 20-goal plateau for the first time in his tenure with the Golden Knights. He appeared in 70 games and posted 23 goals and 28 assists for 51 points. His lines routinely got out-attempted, but they did not get out-chanced. His 11.8 shooting percentage was the highest on the Golden Knights last year, and his even-strength goals rate put him in the 85^th percentile of NHL forwards. With regards to pure scoring chance creation, Barbashev was in the 87^th percentile of NHL forwards, a testament to his ability to create in a variety of fashions. Barbashev’s skill set uniquely blends versatility, an underrated suite of shooting skills, and physicality. He’s known for his quick, accurate release from the slot and his vision to thread creative passes. He also complements this with an in-your-face approach, consistently pushing play in the dirty areas of the ice. With three years left on his five-year, $25 million contract ($5M AAV), Barbashev enters the 2025-26 season as a reliable middle-six driver with a high level of playoff acumen. Expect him to continue thriving in all situations, especially in key moments, and push again for 50+ points. While his defensive returns were down last year, his blend of creativity, physicality, and finishing will make him an indispensable connector between Vegas’s stars and depth forwards.

Pavel Dorofeyev

Predicted Stats
GP	G	A	PTS	PPG
82	34	25	59	0.72

Pavel Dorofeyev had an underrated two-way performance in 2024-25 that was the definition of a breakout season. The 24-year-old played a full 82-game slate for Vegas, delivering 35 goals and 17 assists for 52 points; setting personal highs in every category and breaking the 30-goal plateau for the first time. His even-strength goal totals put him in the 91^st percentile of NHL forwards, and his defensive Wins Above Replacement put him in the 92^nd percentile of NHL forwards, a testament to his value at both ends of the ice. Dorofeyev isn’t an elite skater or passer, but he’s an extremely hard worker who does a lot of thankless roles on the ice, and his high IQ allows him to be economical in his attack. Dorofeyev features a quick, deceptive release and keen net‑front awareness. He thrives in traffic and uses deft stick positioning to redirect pucks and capitalize on rebounds. He hunts high-danger areas and makes himself available for prime scoring chances. In 2025-26, he will be coming into the final year of a two-year deal ($1.835 AAV). Expect him to maintain his top nine role with continued power-play involvement. Another 30–35 goal, 55+ point season is well within reach, mainly if he builds on the consistency shown this year. His scoring punch, two-way commitment, and strong work ethic make him a rising commodity in Vegas’s high-octane mix.

William Karlsson

Predicted Stats
GP	G	A	PTS	PPG
70	15	31	46	0.66

No matter how you slice it, it was a down year for Karlsson marred by injuries and finishing results that put him in the 11^th percentile of NHL forwards. Expectations were high coming off the back of a 30 + 30 season, but Karlsson finished the year posting nine goals and 20 assists for 29 points in 53 games. Karlsson seemed to get bit by the regression bug as his shots at even-strength were in the 83^rd percentile of NHL forwards and his shots off of the rush were in the 80^th percentile of NHL forwards. Additionally, if you discount Brandon Saad’s 29-game sample, Karlsson had the highest puck-possession share of any Golden Knight forward. Karlsson’s strengths lie in his all-situations ability as a forward. He brings intelligent puck retrieval, disciplined positioning, and a mature north-south game that helps control pace and matchups. As a longtime alternate captain and core member since the team's inception, Karlsson’s 396 career points are second in franchise history, and he’s one of the team’s most durable players in terms of games played. Entering his age-33 season with a cap hit of $5.9 million with two years remaining, it’s easy to see a rebound season for Karlsson next year. Expect another 55-60 point campaign if health allows. Karlsson’s leadership and dependability remain invaluable to the Golden Knights’ hope for another Stanley Cup.

Reilly Smith

Predicted Stats
GP	G	A	PTS	PPG
77	12	24	36	0.47

In March of 2025, one of the most predictable trades in the history of the league occurred, with Reilly Smith returning to Las Vegas in a trade that put him back where he’d won a Stanley Cup with the Golden Knights in 2022-23. It just so happens that 2022-23 was the last time Smith truly looked like himself, and transient visits through Pittsburgh and New York yielded frustrating results for a player who appeared to lack a defined role in those cities. Smith played 21 games for the Golden Knights, contributing three goals and eight assists for 11 points, adding 48 total hits, a testament to how reinvigorated he seemed to be back in Vegas. Smith is best known for his strong puck retrieval work, subtle off-puck movement, and knack for clutch scoring. He is effective in keeping pace with top-quality opponents and utilizing the boards to sustain offensive zone pressure. Now signed to a one-year, $2.0 million deal and set to become an unrestricted free agent next offseason, Smith is expected to slot into a top nine role that capitalizes on two-way play. If he can rediscover his finishing and get back into a forechecking groove, a 12–15 goals campaign with 30–35 points is well within reach. His apparent desire to be in Vegas and familiarity with the system make him a reliable depth asset.

Brandon Saad

Predicted Stats
GP	G	A	PTS	PPG
75	15	16	31	0.41

In January 2025, the St. Louis Blues and Brandon Saad mutually agreed to terminate the remaining years of his contract, allowing him to become an unrestricted free agent and find a new home. Las Vegas ended up being that home, and the Golden Knights immediately got Saad back to a much more familiar version of himself. In 72 total games between both clubs, he posted 13 goals and 17 assists for 30 points, including six goals and eight assists in 29 games with Vegas. Granted it is a small sample size, but Saad led the Golden Knights forward group in both puck-possession share and expected-goal share down the stretch run and into the playoffs. Deployed primarily alongside Ivan Barbashev and William Karlsson, Saad provided veteran poise, secondary scoring, and a dependable net-front presence. His puck protection and ability to find soft spots in coverage allowed him to contribute offensively without sacrificing defensive responsibility. Now on a one-year extension, Saad is expected to continue in a middle six scoring role with special-teams utility. If he can stay healthy, a 15–20 goal, 30–35-point season is reasonable to expect. His ability to slide up or down the lineup, combined with his playoff experience, gives Vegas flexibility as they look to maintain their offensive depth for another postseason run.

DEFENCE

Shea Theodore

Predicted Stats
GP	G	A	PTS	PPG
75	11	53	64	0.85

Shea Theodore had a monstrous 2024-25 season. His 57 points (7 G, 50 A) across 67 games shattered both individual records and franchise records for defencemen. He was the ultimate conduit, safely retrieving and exiting the puck to the forwards and contributing from the blue line with both shots and scoring chances. His ability to successfully retrieve pucks from the defensive zone was in the 97^th percentile of NHL defencemen. His ability to prevent zone entries across his blue line was in the 98^th percentile of NHL defencemen. Theodore has massive impacts in all three zones and can be deployed in big minutes with no limitation. An elite power-play quarterback, Theodore combines crisp, powerful skating with safe passing and high hockey IQ. His vision and poise allow him to control the tempo, transition effectively, and generate offence while under duress. Theodore’s defensive ability is also sound and while he isn’t physical, his mobility and stickwork make him difficult to beat. Coming into the second season of a seven-year deal ($7.425 million AAV), Theodore enters his age-30 season as an anchor of Vegas’s top pairing and primary power-play focal point. Barring injury, another 55–60 point campaign is well within reach, bolstered by his leadership and ever-rising offensive ceiling. Theodore remains one of the NHL’s most impactful two-way defencemen and a central pillar of the Golden Knights identity as a team.

Noah Hanifin

Predicted Stats
GP	G	A	PTS	PPG
81	8	28	36	0.44

In the 2024–25 season, Hanifin delivered one of his most productive campaigns of his career, logging 10 goals and 29 assists for 39 points across 80 games while averaging over 21 minutes per night. He led all Vegas defencemen in puck-possession share at over 52 percent. His offensive Wins Above Replacement at even-strength ranked in the 96^th percentile of NHL defencemen. He registered in the 99^th percentile of NHL defencemen in terms of his ability to contribute to rush offensive attacks. There are times when it almost seems like Hanifin is too good for a second pairing, and he dominates that deployment as a result. His ability to transition play quickly, manage possession, and deliver crisp, accurate passes under pressure makes him a trusted force in transition. Hanifin was dominant from the neutral zone and ranked in the 99^th percentile of league defencemen concerning passes from the neutral zone that led to a shot-attempt. Playing on an eight-year contract with a $7.35M cap hit, Hanifin is still in his prime as Vegas’s foundation to the second pairing and a key contributor on the power-play. Another 35–45 point season is well within reach if he maintains his usage and continues improving his offensive output. His two-way stability will be central to Vegas’s aspirations for a deep postseason run.

Brayden McNabb

Predicted Stats
GP	G	A	PTS	PPG
82	4	20	24	0.29

Brayden McNabb continued his effective style of stay-at-home defence in 2024-25, finishing the year having played all 82 games despite his physical style of play. He registered five goals and 15 assists for 20 points and had the second highest plus/minus of any player in the league with a remarkable +42 on the year. McNabb’s defensive Wins Above Replacement at even-strength was in the 96^th percentile of NHL defencemen, a testament to his strong gap control and protection over his blue line. McNabb’s focus is on hitting, keeping his zone clean, and contributing with shots when he can once the puck is in the offensive zone. Despite his defensive nature, he finished the year in the 80^th percentile for even-strength scoring chance creation among defencemen, indicative of his comfort level with the puck in the offensive zone. McNabb barely attempted to exit the zone with possession last year and generally leaves that up to his mobile partner. His game revolves around suppressing traffic, blocking passing lanes, and providing a stabilizing presence that shifts momentum through defensive plays and positional discipline. McNabb enters his age-34 season on a contract running through 2027-28 firmly embedded in Vegas’s top-pairing rotations. Expect another 18–22 point performance while he continues to log heavy minutes on the penalty kill and key defensive situations.

Zach Whitecloud

Predicted Stats
GP	G	A	PTS	PPG
76	4	14	18	0.24

Zach Whitecloud played the stay-at-home role for Noah Hanifin last year, producing solid results as a defensive-minded defenceman who allows Hanifin to roam and do his best work in that space. He appeared in 74 games and compiled four goals and nine assists for 13 points, but more importantly to his role, also had 117 hits and 103 blocked shots. There is no better testament to Whitecloud’s defensive play than the fact that he was in the 99^th percentile of NHL defenders regarding his ability to shut down possession-based zone entries from the opposition. Physicality was a big part of that gap control as his total hits put him in the 86^th percentile of NHL defenders. Another Vegas defender that isn’t a stranger to the puck, Whitecloud was in the 87^th percentile of NHL defenders regarding pure scoring chances. Whitecloud thrives on physicality, positioning, and board battles. He’s counted on to provide sturdy, error-free minutes, and he sacrifices creative flair for defensive reliability. His ability to neutralize opponents in his defensive zone and disrupt play before danger materializes gives his coaches clear-cut confidence about his deployment. Entering his age‑29 season with a six-year contract carrying a $2.75M cap hit that runs through 2027–28, Whitecloud remains a key fixture in Vegas’s second defensive pairing. Expect similar usage in penalty-kill situations and defensive zone duties, with a target of 15–18 points.

Goal

Adin Hill

Predicted Stats
GP	W	L	OT	SO	SV%	GAA
54	33	14	4	5	0.909	2.68

The Vegas Golden Knights looked like the team to beat in the Pacific Division, who looked particularly vulnerable last season. And sure enough, they swept the board during the regular season; they ran the tables on the rest of the division, faring worse than only the Winnipeg Jets and the Washington Capitals over the 82-game stretch. But where Adin Hill established himself as one of the league's most proficient regular season starters, he fell back into old habits during the postseason en route to an early-ish exit; now, he'll return without Ilya Samsonov as his number two, hoping to replicate that success with a much less experienced Akira Schmid as his backup and a rapidly strengthening Pacific Division breathing down Vegas' neck.

As always, Hill looks like a study in contrast when he's churning out starts; his good games boast speedy reflexes and fantastic agility, but his bad games snowball on themselves and watch him do too much in a desperate attempt to regain control of the scoreboard. Schmid plays a more level headed game overall, but has historically lacked some of that spark that kept NHL coaches coming back for more even during Hill's weaker seasons; it will be interesting to see how the duo manages to hold court out west, especially with teams like Los Angeles back at the top and Anaheim, Calgary, and San Jose all boasting some of the league's most promising young prospects in net.

NHL: DADOUN – FANTASY WEEK AHEAD – Are the New York Rangers really this bad? – Teams and players to target this week

Ryan Dadoun — Sat, 21 Dec 2024 13:30:15 +0000

_{NEW YORK, NY - MAY 30: Igor Shesterkin #31 of the New York Rangers prior to the National Hockey League Eastern Conference Final game 5 against the Florida Panthers on May 30, 2024 at Madison Square Garden in New York. (Photo by Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire)}

Are the New York Rangers really this bad or just stuck in an absurdly long slump? Or is there a third possibility?

The common narrative seems to put the blame on Rangers president and GM Chris Drury, who some speculate has created a rift between management and the players that's having a significant impact on the ice. Vincent Z. Mercogliano of Lohud reported that some on the team have taken issue with Drury's methods, from waiving Barclay Goodrow to get around his no-trade clause to threatening to do the same to captain Jacob Trouba if he didn't sign off on a trade to Anaheim, to Drury reportedly issuing a memo that the Rangers were open for business on the trade front following a loss to Edmonton, despite team still being a strong 12-6-1 at that time.

Then there was the incident with Kaapo Kakko. Rangers coach Peter Laviolette decided to scratch him for Tuesday's tilt against Nashville after New York lost 10 of 13, dropping to 15-14-1. However, Kakko took exception to that, feeling he was getting unfairly singled out.

"I know you've got to do something as a coach when you're losing games, but I think it's just easy to pick a young guy and boot him out. That's how I feel, to be honest," Kakko said, per Mollie Walker of the New York Post. He added, "I have not been the worst guy. But that was me out of the lineup."

The Rangers ended up losing 2-0 to Nashville. The next day, Kakko was dealt to Seattle. Even if Kakko never really developed as the Rangers hoped when they selected him with the No. 2 overall pick in the 2019 NHL Draft, that whole saga this week was another distraction that the team could ill afford.

But is this really as simple as mismanagement leading to the group failing to play up to its potential or is there a deeper problem? On the surface, the answer seems obvious. The Rangers reached the Eastern Conference Finals in 2022 and 2024 and started the campaign 12-4-1. How could this not be a team capable of contending?

There are some areas of concern, though. Chris Kreider's success has been driven by his ability to score goals, but he might be slowing in that regard at the age of 33. He has 10 markers in 28 appearances in 2024-25, which would be considered good for other players, but he doesn't bring a lot else to the table -- he has just one assist -- so that's worrying.

Mika Zibanejad has seen his production dip too. He has six goals and 21 points through 31 outings and is in a four-way tie for the fourth-worst plus/minus at minus-17. Plus/minus isn't the best metric, but he also has a relative 5v5 CF% and 5v5 FF% of minus-6.7 and minus-5.8, respectively, which suggests that his team is doing better in terms of puck possession when he's off the ice compared to when he's on it. He also has a 5v5 CF%/FF% of 44.0/44.2, which would represent career lows for him.

To some extent, this reminds me a little of what happened to the San Jose Sharks. They were a perennial contender through the 2018-19 campaign. They reached the Stanley Cup Final in 2016 and the Western Conference Final in 2019. San Jose was far from resting on its laurels either. Still searching for that elusive championship, San Jose acquired elite defenseman Erik Karlsson in September 2018 and locked him up to an eight-year, $92 million contract in the summer of 2019.

The stage seemed to be set for the Sharks to be Cup contenders in 2019-20. Sure, Joe Pavelski was gone, but the forward group of Timo Meier, Evander Kane, Logan Couture and Tomas Hertl was still fairly young. Joe Thornton and Patrick Marleau were there as the veteran presences, and the duo of Karlsson and Brent Burns was one of the best on paper. Not only did San Jose fail to make the playoffs that year, but the Sharks haven't made it since. In retrospect, they misjudged their core and got caught in an awkward position of needing to rebuild but being slow to do so due to their already established long-term contracts.

It might be overly dramatic to suggest that the Rangers are a repeat of that, but a slump this long and dramatic is unusual and hard to dismiss.

Igor Shesterkin just has to hope that the Sharks comparison proves to be invalid. In that scenario, he'd be the Karlsson: A player who made a major commitment to a team he thought was going to be a contender, only to see some of his prime years squandered. Shesterkin recently agreed to his own eight-year, $92 million contract that doesn't even begin until next year. Maybe he'll end up having better luck with the team around him than Karlsson…

Boston Bruins (Mon @ VAN, Thu @ SJS, FRI @ ANA, Sun vs. SEA)

The upcoming week will be relatively light because the NHL will not play Tuesday, Wednesday, or Thursday due to its Christmas break. That said, there are still teams worth highlighting, starting with the Bruins, who begin the week with a difficult home game against Washington on Monday but will then face the rebuilding Blue Jackets on the road Friday and then in Boston on Saturday.

The Bruins' rough start to the campaign is largely behind them. From Nov. 21 onward, the Bruins have a 9-4-1 record to put them at 17-13-4 overall. The single biggest difference is that Boston has given up far fewer goals, going from an average of 3.45 goals allowed over its 8-9-3 start to 2.71 across its past 15 games.

Jeremy Swayman has been a benefactor of that, posting a 2.68 GAA over that 15-game span (he's appeared in 10 of those contests) while earning a 6-3-1 record. However, Swayman's save percentage during that stretch is a less impressive .892. It's worth noting that span includes a rough 8-1 loss to Winnipeg in which Swayman was charged with every goal. If you exclude that one start, then his save percentage during that span jumps to .912.

Boston's offense has also improved over the past 15 games, though it's still not special, earning 2.86 goals per game over that stretch compared to 2.40 during the first 20 games. Pavel Zacha and Morgan Geekie have provided some key secondary scoring recently, totaling nine and eight points, respectively, across Boston's last 15 outings. Neither one has been particularly consistent, though, and their production is only impressive when measured against their dreadful starts to the campaign.

Meanwhile, Elias Lindholm continues to underwhelm with five goals and 17 points through 34 appearances. However, he is on a three-game scoring streak (two goals, four points), so perhaps he'll be effective in the upcoming week.

Buffalo Sabres (Mon vs. DAL, Thu @ MIN, FRI vs. PIT, Sun vs. STL)

I started this article by highlighting the Rangers for their struggles, but Buffalo has been even worse. Going into Friday's action, the Sabres have lost 11 straight games, dropping to 11-17-4. Rather than showing signs of turning things around, they suffered a 6-1 loss to Montreal on Tuesday.

The Sabres won't face particularly stiff competition next week, though, so perhaps they can stabilize. They'll play on the road against the Islanders on Monday, host Chicago on Friday and conclude the week in St. Louis on Sunday.

Finding a diamond in the rough on a team doing that poorly is difficult. Jason Zucker is about as close as you'll come. He has eight goals and 21 points through 32 appearances, making this a nice bounce-back campaign for him after he finished 2023-24 with 32 points in 69 regular-season games between Arizona and Nashville. It helps that he's averaging 2:53 with the man advantage, which would be a career-high if he maintains that. Zucker has seven power-play points (three goals), which puts him on track to easily surpass his 2023-24 total of 10 and potentially even best his personal best of 16, which was set in 2017-18.

Outside of that, though, there isn't much to like. Rasmus Dahlin (back) is set to return on Friday, which should be a significant boost for Buffalo. The Sabres' losing streak predates Dahlin's seven-game absence, but it's still reasonable to say that Dahlin plays an important role for Buffalo and that his exclusion from the lineup was felt. He has six goals and 19 points in 25 appearances in 2024-25 while averaging 24:42 of ice time, including 3:23 with the man advantage.

Owen Power has been seeing significant power-play usage recently, but with Dahlin back, Power might be absent from the power play entirely for Friday's game. For other defensemen, that would be a big blow, but Power has failed to take advantage of that role -- he hasn't recorded a single power-play point in 2024-25 -- so it shouldn't change much for those who have Power on their team.

Dallas Stars (Mon @ BUF, Thu vs. VGK, FRI vs. TBL, Sun vs. MIN)

Dallas is set to play in Utah on Monday, host the Wild on Friday and play in Chicago on Sunday. It's not a bad schedule, but under normal circumstances, it wouldn't be good enough to highlight. Still, it's nice to have an opportunity to talk about Dallas, which has done well this campaign with a 19-12-0 record heading into Friday's action.

The Stars are also in an interesting spot right now. Matt Duchene is their scoring leader with 30 points (13 goals) in 31 appearances, but his hot start has come to an end with him recording just a goal and three points across his past nine outings. Duchene's cold stretch probably isn't the new normal, but it's equally fair to suggest that he overperformed early in the campaign. His shooting percentage, which remains an uncomfortably high 26.0, suggests that there might still be more backsliding to come. He might ultimately finish the campaign with 60-70 points, which would be in line with his 2023-24 results and would represent a mild, but not dramatic, scoring decline from his overall scoring pace this campaign.

Fortunately for Dallas, Duchene's decline has corresponded with Jason Robertson showing signs of life. The 25-year-old forward's overall numbers this campaign remain well below what you'd expect from him (seven goals and 21 points in 31 games), but he has collected two goals and six points over his past five appearances.

Jamie Benn has also been solid, recording an assist in each of his past six outings and contributing two goals and nine points across his last 10 games. His 20 points through 31 appearances in 2024-25 still put him on pace to finish below his 60-point regular-season total from 2023-24, but it still wouldn't be shocking to see him end up hitting that mark by the end of the campaign.

Minnesota Wild (Mon vs. TBL, Thu vs. BUF, FRI @ VGK, Sun vs. DAL)

The Wild will begin next week by hosting the Blackhawks before playing in Dallas on Friday and finally returning home to face the Senators on Sunday. Dallas, as discussed above, is a tough opponent, but Chicago is a rebuilding squad, and the Senators are a middling 7-7-1 on the road.

The big question out of Minnesota is the health of Filip Gustavsson. At the time of writing, he's out with a lower-body injury, but his status appears to be day-to-day, so it's possible he'll be back next week. Gustavsson has been a key part of Minnesota's success with a 14-5-3 record, 2.24 GAA and .922 save percentage in 22 appearances.

Marc-Andre Fleury has been mostly okay this campaign, but the 40-year-old netminder is coming off a rough 6-1 loss to Florida on Wednesday, which dropped him to a 2.88 GAA and a .898 save percentage through 10 outings this season. The current alternative to him is Jesper Wallstedt, who stopped 24 of 27 shots en route to a 3-2 loss to Vegas on Dec. 15. To be fair to both goaltenders, Florida and Vegas are some of the toughest competition they could have possibly faced.

Still, it seems reasonable that they'll need a meaningful amount of goal support going forward. Fortunately for the Wild, Kirill Kaprizov is continuing to play like Kirill Kaprizov. The elite forward has nine goals and 14 points over his past 11 appearances, which gives him 22 goals and 48 points in 31 outings overall. Mats Zuccarello also returned Dec. 14 from a lower-body injury and has gotten back to work with three assists over three outings.

Zuccarello's return also means Matt Boldy has shifted to the second line. Boldy has an impressive 13 goals and 30 points in 32 contests in 2024-25, but Kaprizov has been involved in 18 of those points. They are still sharing the ice on the power play, but if they don't skate together regularly in 5-on-5 situations, then Boldy might see a modest decline in production.

Pittsburgh Penguins (Mon @ STL, Thu vs. VGK, FRI @ BUF, Sun @ TBL)

Pittsburgh seemed doomed to miss the playoffs again based on its 7-12-4 start, but the Penguins have rebounded by going 8-2-1 since. Can they keep it up next week? They'll host the Flyers on Monday before a back-to-back set against the Islanders on Saturday and Sunday. Pittsburgh will be on the road for the first half of that set and then play at home.

So who is responsible for Pittsburgh's comeback? Is it Sidney Crosby or Evgeni Malkin? Actually, it's Bryan Rust and Rickard Rakell.

That's not to take anything away from Crosby, who has nine goals and 35 points in 34 outings in 2024-25, or Malkin, who has seven goals and 27 points. However, Crosby has been largely productive during the good times and bad while Malkin was actually doing better early in the campaign.

Their importance is clear, but what has really changed recently is Rust and Rakell providing far more than just secondary scoring. If I told you that a Penguins forward had nine goals and 17 points across the past 11 appearances without providing any other context, your first guess would likely be Malkin or Crosby, but that's what Rust has done. He was limited early in the campaign due to injury, but he's been playing some of the best hockey of his career lately.

Rakell has been nearly as good, supplying eight goals and 14 points across the same 11-game span. That brings him up to 15 goals and 26 points through 34 outings overall. His offensive struggles in 2023-24, dropping to 37 points from 60 points in 2022-23, were part of why the Penguins fell short of playoffs last year, so it seems appropriate that his resurgence is leading Pittsburgh back into postseason contention.

Not everything is rosy with the Penguins, though. Goaltending was the team's biggest issue early in the campaign and it remains a question mark. Tristan Jarry has a 3.62 GAA and a .883 save percentage through 14 outings and has surrendered at least three goals in three of his past four starts. Alex Nedeljkovic isn't giving the Penguins much of an alternative, though, with his own 3.26 GAA and .886 save percentage through 14 outings.

Pittsburgh does rank 28th in xGA/60 (3.30), per Moneypuck, which suggests that the defense in front of the netminders deserves part of the blame. However, Nedeljkovic has a goals saved above expected of minus-6.0 while Jarry is at minus-6.5, so this seems to be a case of both a bad defense and poor goaltending. The result is Pittsburgh ranks last in the league in goals allowed per game at 3.68. For context, that's just outside of the top-10 worst of any team in the salary cap era (2005-06 and onward). Of the teams who have posted a goals allowed per game worse than Pittsburgh, none of them finished with a points percentage of .500 or better.

St. Louis Blues (Mon vs. PIT, Thu @ DAL, FRI vs. TBL, Sun @ BUF)

The Blues will start next week with a game in Detroit on Monday, but after that, they'll return to St. Louis to host Nashville on Friday and Buffalo on Sunday. St. Louis has been a mixed bag in 2024-25, posting a 15-16-3 record going into Friday's action.

Jordan Binnington has left plenty to be desired this campaign with an 8-13-3 record, 3.00 GAA and .896 save percentage in 25 appearances. He's had some good stretches, but he's been inconsistent and is presently in a cold stretch after allowing at least three goals in six of his past seven games. His struggles have led to Joel Hofer becoming more of a 1B rather than a true backup, and Hofer might begin to migrate into being the 1A. The 24-year-old hasn't been stealing the show, but he has been the better option with a 7-3-0 record, 2.72 GAA and .907 save percentage through 11 appearances.

Of course, the Blues aren't alone in their goaltending woes. We just discussed a worse situation in Pittsburgh, but St. Louis doesn't have the offensive prowess to make up for it. The Blues rank 30th in goals per game with 2.50.

Robert Thomas has done well recently with four goals and 14 points across his past nine appearances while Jordan Kyrou has supplied seven goals and eight points over the same stretch, so the team isn't completely devoid of scoring, but it lacks depth and consistency.

Brandon Saad stands out as someone who has been disappointing when it comes to secondary scoring. After supplying 26 goals and 42 points in 82 outings last year, he has four markers and 10 points through 30 appearances in 2024-25. His decline has led to St. Louis using him less and less. He's even set to be a healthy scratch Friday. At this point, I don't have a lot of hope that he'll rebound, though he's not too old at 32, so anything is possible.

Tampa Bay Lightning (Mon @ MIN, Thu vs. PIT, FRI @ STL, Sun @ PIT)

Tampa Bay is riding a five-game winning streak and is 7-1-0 over its past eight to improve to 18-10-2 on the season. The Lightning will seek to keep that momentum going next week, when it plays in Florida on Monday and hosts the Rangers and the Canadiens on Saturday and Sunday, respectively.

The Lightning deserve a lot of credit for moving on from Steven Stamkos and instead signing Jake Guentzel over the summer. While Stamkos has started to find his way with Nashville after a rocky start, Guentzel is four years younger and has proven to be a great fit.

Guentzel enjoyed an incredible seven-game goal-scoring streak from Nov. 30-Dec. 17 and now has 18 markers and 33 points across 30 appearances in 2024-25. The trio of Guentzel, Brayden Point (21 goals and 38 points in 26 outings) and Nikita Kucherov (14 goals and 35 points in 31 appearances) have been wildly successful. It would not be shocking if each of those three finished the campaign with over 40 goals and 80 points. That alone would make the Lightning a dangerous adversary, but they also have Brandon Hagel and Anthony Cirelli excelling on the second line with 37 and 28 points, respectively.

One underrated aspect of this team is how well Tampa Bay has performed defensively. The Lightning ranked 18th in xGA/60 last campaign (3.14) but are sixth in 2024-25 (2.78). That's part of the reason why Andrei Vasilevskiy has looked so much better this campaign, posting a 2.38 GAA and a .911 save percentage through 25 appearances compared to his 2.90 GAA and .900 save percentage in 51 regular-season games last year.

Tampa Bay could use a better backup, though. Jonas Johansson has a 3.84 GAA and .882 save percentage in six appearances, and the Lightning's lack of trust in him has led to Tampa Bay leaning heavily on Vasilevskiy. The 30-year-old Vasilevskiy is no stranger to heavy workloads, but I have to wonder if the Lightning won't look to add a goaltender at some point in the hopes of managing Vasilevskiy a bit ahead of what Tampa Bay doubtlessly hopes will be a lengthy playoff run.

Vegas Golden Knights (Mon vs. SEA, Thu @ DAL, FRI vs. MIN, Sun @ BOS)

The Golden Knights have a relatively favorable week ahead of them. They'll host the Ducks on Monday, play in San Jose on Friday and then return home to face the Flames on Sunday. Vegas is 21-8-3 and has been particularly dominant at home (12-3-0), though the Golden Knights should also be heavy favorites against the 11-19-5 Sharks, even if that is a road engagement.

Injuries have been a recurring issue for Vegas in recent years, and while they haven't been immune to them in 2024-25, it hasn't been as bad. Vegas has nine forwards, including Jack Eichel, Ivan Barbashev and Tomas Hertl, and four defensemen, namely Noah Hanifin, Shea Theodore, Alex Pietrangelo and Brayden McNabb, who have logged at least 29 of 32 games. That doesn't make Vegas special from a health perspective, but it's certainly not bad.

Mark Stone is the main notable exception to that. He was so good early in the campaign with six goals and 21 points through 13 appearances, but he suffered a lower-body injury that kept him out of 14 games from Nov. 8-Dec. 4. Since returning, he's been fine, but the injury stopped his momentum, leaving him with four assists across his past five outings.

Eichel's been healthy, though, and on his way to having the best campaign of his career. He's up to nine goals and 42 points through 32 outings. Eichel's never recorded more than 82 points in a single campaign, in large part due to injuries. That's killed the whole Eichel versus Connor McDavid debate -- although Eichel is the one with a championship, there's no question who has been more impressive -- but not too much has separated them so far this campaign. McDavid is narrowly ahead with 15 goals and 45 points through 29 outings.

Another former Sabres forward has been even hotter than Eichel recently. Surprisingly, Victor Olofsson has provided four goals over his past four games. He had just seven goals and 15 points over 51 outings last year, and a lower-body injury that sidelined him from Oct. 17-Nov. 29 (a total of 20 games missed) has complicated his first campaign with Vegas. However, it'll be interesting to see if he can keep this going now that he's healthy. Olofsson did score 28 goals in 2022-23 and has surpassed the 20-goal milestone three times, so there is some upside here, especially with Vegas currently using him on the second line and first power-play unit.

NHL: DADOUN – THE FANTASY WEEK AHEAD (November 11th to 18th, 2024) – Winnipeg and Florida dominate

Ryan Dadoun — Sat, 09 Nov 2024 18:45:55 +0000

OTTAWA, ON - OCTOBER 10: Florida Panthers Right Wing Sam Reinhart (13) before a face-off during third period National Hockey League action between the Florida Panthers and Ottawa Senators on October 10, 2024, at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON, Canada. (Photo by Richard A. Whittaker/Icon Sportswire)

The Colorado Avalanche have problems, as I’ve discussed in previous articles, but going into Thursday’s action those issues hadn’t extended to their core players. In fact, defenseman Cale Makar opened the campaign with a 13-game scoring streak in which he provided five goals and 23 points, and after an injury scare, he was available for Thursday’s tilt against Winnipeg and ended up logging an impressive 25:16 of ice time.

Against every other team, Makar and Nathan MacKinnon, who took his own 13-game scoring streak into Thursday’s action, would have done some damage even if they hadn’t come away with the win. Winnipeg has been in a league of its own, though, especially with Connor Hellebuyck between the pipes. The goaltender shrugged off the Avalanche’s 35 shots to earn his second consecutive shutout, bringing him up to a 10-1-0 record, 1.91 GAA and .932 save percentage through 11 starts.

Hellebuyck being an amazing goaltender is old news. There’s a reason why Winnipeg inked him to a seven-year, $59.5 million contract that began this season -- a contract that’s looking increasingly good, especially with the way the goaltender market is heading. However, the Jets under new bench boss Scott Arniel are giving him more defensive support than he’s accustomed to. The Jets have an xGA/60 of 2.49, per Moneypuck, the second-best in the league. By contrast, Winnipeg ranked 10th last year with a 2.93 xGA/60. That suggests the quality of the shots making their way to Hellebuyck has gotten significantly lower, making it easier for the netminder to do his job. That might also be why Winnipeg is also 3-0-0 on the nights that journeyman goaltender Eric Comrie has started instead.

Winnipeg’s dominance doesn’t end there, though. The Jets rank first in goals per game with 4.50, which is a feat they’ve accomplished in part through depth. Kyle Connor (nine goals, 19 points), Mark Scheifele (seven goals, 18 points) and Gabriel Vilardi (six goals, 12 points) can compromise an amazing top line, and that still leaves you with the luxury of putting Nikolaj Ehlers (eight goals, 17 points) on the second line and a red-hot Nino Niederreiter (seven goals, 12 points) on the third unit to exhaust the enemy’s defense. It is worth noting that Moneypuck ranks Winnipeg 21st in xG/60 with 2.99, so there’s an argument to be made that the Jets have enjoyed good puck luck, and they haven’t endured anything close to the same kind of injury issues that a team like Colorado has.

It's also worth remembering the cautionary tale of the 2007-08 Ottawa Senators, who started 13-1-0 but faltered after that, finishing 43-31-8 and being swept in the first round of the playoffs. That said, there isn’t a lot of sample size when it comes to 13-1-0 starts. Ottawa showed that even a start as hot as this doesn’t guarantee success, but that doesn’t mean a fall from grace is inevitable either. And sure, maybe the Jets’ offense won’t continue to perform at this level, but if the defense stays effective and Hellebuyck remains healthy, then Winnipeg won’t necessarily need that much goal production. This is a strong team, potentially far stronger than analysts rated the Jets to be going into the campaign, and they’ll certainly be one to watch going forward.

While some might still view the Jets as a team with something to prove even after starting 13-1-0, not many would question Florida’s 10-3-1 start. Back-to-back trips to the finals, including a Stanley Cup championship, affords you a great deal of faith. That’s not to say every player on the team receives that level of belief, though. Sam Reinhart is probably raising some eyebrows after scoring 11 goals and 22 points through 14 games. Sure, he had 57 goals and 94 points in 82 appearances in 2023-24, but his 24.5 shooting percentage was insanely high, so it must have been a fluke, right?

Those who read my articles from last year would know I pushed back against the assumption that his high shooting percentage was unsustainable.

More specifically, this is what I said about Reinhart back in January: “His shooting percentage of 27.5 is by far the highest of any player with at least 100 shots -- next is Brock Boeser at 23.3 -- and more than double his 2022-23 finish of 13.7. Digging a little deeper, Reinhart is selective with when he shoots, firing 40.4 percent in high-danger areas. By contrast, Nikita Kucherov has nearly the same number of goals (28) while firing nearly double the shots (amounting to a 15.4 shooting percentage), but just 18.1 percent of his shots are in high-danger locations, so by that measure, Reinhart’s higher shooting percentage makes some sense.”

This year tells a somewhat similar story. Of his 39 shots, 13 (33.3 percent) have been in high-danger areas while another 12 (30.8 percent) have been mid-range. By contrast, Nikita Kucherov, who has 11 goals on 54 shots has fired 12 (22.2 percent) in high-danger areas and 16 (29.6) at mid-range. In other words, while someone like Kucherov fires more shots than Reinhart, they end up with a similar number of high-quality shots, so there’s logic behind Reinhart’s high shooting percentage, making it less of a warning sign than it would be for some other players.

Carolina Hurricanes (Mon @ VGK, Wed @ UTA, Sat vs OTT, Sun vs STL)

The Hurricanes have done nearly as well as the Jets, posting a 10-2-0 record after Thursday’s 5-1 victory over Pittsburgh. Carolina will open the week with a challenging road match versus Vegas, but the schedule gets more manageable after that with a road game against Utah on Wednesday followed by home contests versus Ottawa and St. Louis on Saturday and Sunday, respectively.

Carolina is still without Frederik Andersen (lower body), and there’s no guarantee he’ll be an option next week, so Spencer Martin might make his season debut. The 29-year-old is far from an ideal choice, but Carolina is one of the most goaltender-friendly teams in the league, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see Martin walk away with the win if he faces the Senators or Blues.

That’ll be especially true if Martin Necas remains hot. He’s on an eight-game scoring streak in which he’s provided six goals and 18 points. Necas took a step back last season with a 53-point showing, but he’s a good bet to rebound with the second 70-plus point campaign of his career. Just don’t count on him maintaining anything close to his current point-per-game pace, which stands at 1.75 (21 points in 12 outings). Necas has been impressive, but he’s unlikely to finish 2024-25 among the league’s scoring leaders. To give you some perspective, he had seven goals and 17 points through 11 appearances in 2022-23 and finished that campaign outside the top-50 in the scoring race despite logging the full 82 games.

Moving from the Hurricanes’ top offensive performer to a physical defenseman, Riley Stillman (lower body) will likely make his Hurricanes debut soon. He had a goal, eight points, 81 hits and 44 blocks in 50 outings between Vancouver and Buffalo in 2023-24. His presence won’t dramatically alter Carolina’s blue line, but we might see Sean Walker be an infrequent healthy scratch after dressing in all of the team’s first 12 games. Maybe Jalen Chatfield will end up being a scratch at some point too if everyone is healthy, though I suspect Walker’s position in the lineup is less secure.

Nashville Predators (Mon @ COL, Thu @ EDM, Fri @ CGY, Sun @ VAN)

Not secure describes the Predators pretty well. Nashville GM Barry Trotz even recently floated the idea of beginning the team’s rebuild plan if the team doesn’t start turning around -- a move that would be awkward after signing veterans Steven Stamkos to a four-year, $32 million contract and Jonathan Marchessault to a five-year, $27.5 million deal over the summer.

All the same, you can hardly blame Trotz for thinking that way after the club’s 4-9-1 start. Perhaps next week will offer more hope, though it would have to come on the road. The Predators will play in Colorado on Monday, Edmonton on Thursday, Calgary on Friday and Vancouver on Sunday.

Stamkos is finally showing life, providing three goals and six points across his past six games after being limited to one point (a goal) over his opening eight appearances. The problem is no other Predators player has stepped up recently -- outside of Stamkos, every Nashville skater has recorded three or fewer points over the team’s past six games.

Then there’s Juuse Saros, who is leaving plenty to be desired with a 3-7-1 record, 2.85 GAA and .904 save percentage in 11 outings. You might be wondering if his mediocre numbers are a reflection of struggles on his end or just a byproduct of poor play in front of him. Nashville ranks 24th in xGA/60 at 3.27 while Saros’ goals saved above expected is plus-3.9, which suggests Saros has been doing fine, but the Predators have been letting him down. If there’s any silver lining to be had there, it suggests that if Nashville can start tightening up defensively, then Saros will reward his teammates by putting up the kind of elite numbers we know he’s capable of. Imagining that scenario, though, might just be an exercise in wishful thinking.

Philadelphia Flyers (Mon vs SJS, Thu @ OTT, Sat vs BUF)

The Flyers haven’t been much better than Nashville, though Philadelphia doesn’t have the same burden of expectations. Either way, the 5-8-1 Flyers have a favorable set of adversaries ahead of them. They’ll host the Sharks on Monday, play in Ottawa on Thursday and conclude the week with a home game versus the Sabres on Saturday.

Samuel Ersson (lower body) and Aleksei Kolosov (lower body) weren’t able to play Thursday, which left Ivan Fedotov, who had a 5.35 GAA and an .821 save percentage through his first three starts, to get the nod against Tampa Bay while Kyle Konin signed an amateur tryout to be the emergency backup. Despite those challenging circumstances, Philadelphia earned a 2-1 shootout victory over the Lightning, but I wouldn’t count on seeing continued success out of Fedotov if Ersson and Kolosov remain on the sidelines. Not that I have much confidence in any of the Flyers’ current goaltenders.

To be fair, the Flyers’ netminders get sparse goal support even when they manage to put forth a strong showing. Philadelphia ranks 27th offensively with 2.50 goals per game. Matvei Michkov has been one of the Flyers’ few scoring threats with four goals and 10 points in 13 outings, but coach John Tortorella hasn’t been thrilled with the 19-year-old forward’s five-on-five play -- note that Michkov is minus-8 and only three of his points have come at even strength -- which led to him being a healthy scratch Thursday. It’s also worth noting that his production has slowed recently, resulting in him registering just an assist over his past five outings.

Michkov is still young, so some growing pains are expected, and with Tortorella certainly not being afraid to mix some tough love into his teaching regime, it wouldn’t be surprising to see the occasional healthy scratch sprinkled in there as the campaign progresses. Taking a step back, a reasonable project for Michkov’s rookie season would be about 50 points.

Pittsburgh Penguins (Mon vs DAL, Wed vs DET, Fri @ CBJ, Sat vs SJS)

Sidney Crosby is continuing to defy his age, but it hasn’t been enough. Pittsburgh is 5-8-2, putting more pressure on the squad to start to right the ship. The Penguins are set to host Dallas and Detroit on Monday and Wednesday, respectively. They’ll then play in Columbus on Friday and round out the week by hosting the Sharks on Saturday.

Cody Glass (upper body) was put on injured reserve Friday while Bryan Rust (lower body) was activated, enabling him to return to the lineup after a five-game absence.

As I already alluded to, Crosby has continued to dominate in Rust’s absence -- Crosby has six goals and 15 points through 15 appearances in 2024-25 -- but Rust is nevertheless likely to rejoin the top line. That would probably result in Evgeni Malkin moving off the top unit to his more standard position headlining the second line. For what it’s worth, Malkin and Crosby have shown up on the scoresheet together for just two even-strength goals this season, and Malkin has been quiet lately with a goal and two points across his past five games. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has lost its last two games, along with six of its past eight, so it’s not like there are circumstances on a team level or a line level that would compel head coach Mike Sullivan to keep Malkin and Crosby together in five-on-five play at this time.

At the other end of the ice, the goaltending situation continues to be a question mark. Alex Nedeljkovic gave the Penguins hope with strong starts against the lowly Ducks and Canadiens, but he’s faded quickly, allowing eight goals on 44 shots (.818 save percentage) over his past two losses to the Islanders and Hurricanes. Meanwhile, Tristan Jarry has been rebuilding his confidence in the minors, posting a 1.69 GAA and a .946 save percentage across four games with Wilkes-Barre/Scranton. Perhaps Jarry will get recalled soon and get another shot? Just as the Crosby-Malkin duo hasn’t done anything to force Sullivan to keep them together, Nedeljkovic’s play isn’t great enough to secure the No. 1 job, so the possibility of a Jarry comeback remains.

Seattle Kraken (Tue vs CBJ, Thu vs CHI, Sat vs NYI, Sun vs NYR)

The Kraken will stay at home next week, hosting the Blue Jackets on Tuesday, the Blackhawks on Thursday, the Islanders on Saturday and finally the Rangers on Sunday. We’ll see if that homestand will right the ship for Seattle, which has lost four straight games and seven of its last eight contests, dropping to 5-8-1.

Seattle has managed just 2.25 goals per game across its last eight matches, but interestingly, there have been some standout performers over that stretch. Jared McCann and Matty Beniers have each managed three goals and eight points during Seattle’s slump while defenseman Brandon Montour has contributed three goals and six points in that span.

The problem is other players you’d expect to do well have fallen short. Oliver Bjorkstrand is the most notable example of that. He set a career high with 59 points last season but has just three goals and five points through 13 appearances in 2024-25 and is heading in the wrong direction with a goal and an assist across his past eight outings. Those struggles reached a possible crescendo when he was scratched Tuesday, so it will be interesting to see if he uses that time in the press box to reset.

Jordan Eberle and Eeli Tolvanen need to rebound too. They have managed just two and three points, respectively, over Seattle’s past eight games. Neither is a major offensive threat, but they are important secondary scorers for the Kraken and lately, they have failed to fulfill that role.

Some of those cold stretches would have been swept under the rug if Shane Wright was adapting to the NHL, but the No. 4 overall pick from the 2022 NHL Draft has been disappointing thus far, providing just a goal and two points through 14 games in 2024-25. I wonder if he might benefit from a stint in the press box of his own. Either way, it’s impossible to recommend him at this time in standard leagues, but I will at least say the potential remains there, so he’s worth keeping an eye on. If you want a silver lining, you could say that the Kraken’s overall offensive struggles do open the door to Wright landing a top six spot if only he could start producing.

St. Louis Blues (Tue vs BOS, Thu @ BUF, Fri @ BOS, Sun @ CAR)

The Blues have a busy week ahead of them, but the competition isn’t the easiest. They’ll host the Bruins on Tuesday before heading on the road to play in Buffalo on Thursday, Boston on Saturday and Carolina on Sunday.

We could all breathe a sigh of relief after Dylan Holloway avoided serious injury after a scary incident Tuesday when he was hit by a high puck and taken away on a stretcher. He even managed to play in St. Louis’ very next game. His former Oilers teammate who came with him to St. Louis, though, will be out for a while.

Philip Broberg suffered a lower-body injury Saturday and is expected to miss the next 4-6 weeks. Broberg had been making the most of the increased role the Blues gave him, providing two goals and nine points through 12 appearances while averaging 19:34 of ice time. St. Louis is also missing Torey Krug (ankle) for the 2024-25 campaign and Nick Leddy (lower body), though at least in Leddy’s case, he might be back in the not-too-distant future.

Absences have likely contributed to Ryan Suter playing a bigger role than initially envisioned. Although he an insanely big minutes eater in his prime, Suter dipped below 20 minutes per game in 2023-24 for the first time since his rookie campaign, averaging 18:56 of ice time with Dallas. The 39-year-old initially looked like he would have a strictly supporting role with St. Louis in 2024-25, averaging just 16:02 across the Blues’ opening four games. Then Leddy got hurt, and Suter has averaged 23:53 since. Don’t be surprised if Suter’s ice time takes a notable hit once Leddy is back, though until Broberg is healthy too, Suter will probably still see at least decent minutes.

Leddy’s eventual return might also make things a little easier on Blues goaltenders Jordan Binnington and Joel Hofer. Neither netminder has gotten off to a good start, though Binnington has been encouraging recently. He’s still just 4-5-0 with a 2.78 GAA and a .904 save percentage in 10 outings overall, but he’s saved 75 of 81 shots (.926 save percentage) across his past three games. Going into the season, it looked like Hofer might challenge Binnington for the starting gig, but that hasn’t happened yet to any major extent, and Binnington’s recent success helps put more distance between the two.

Vancouver Canucks (Tue vs CGY, Thu vs NYI, Sat vs CHI, Sun vs NSH)

Vancouver is on a three-game winning streak, bringing the Canucks up to 7-2-3. They’ll look to continue that success next week with home games against Calgary on Tuesday, the Islanders on Thursday, Chicago on Saturday and Nashville on Sunday.

While things are going well for the Canucks overall, the same can’t be said for Elias Pettersson. He has two goals and five points across 12 appearances in 2024-25. He did discuss his slump last week, and unfortunately, not much has changed since with Pettersson providing one point (a goal) over his past three games despite Vancouver combining for a solid 12 goals during that stretch.

One thing I didn’t bring up then is Pettersson’s shot total, which is concerning low at 22, which translates to 5.7 shots per 60 minutes, a drop from 7.7 last year. That’s despite having one six-shot game in 2024-25 -- he also has been held to a single shot on seven occasions. He also has just 52 shot attempts, which is 4.3 per game, down from 4.9 in 2023-24.

I went to dig a bit deeper, and one thing that stood out to me is that his skating metrics are down from last year, and the same can be said about his shot speed. In terms of shot location, 60 of his 207 in 2023-24 were high danger, translating to roughly 29 percent while he has nine of 22 (40.9 percent) in high-danger locations this campaign, so at least when he is shooting the location is generally good, but still, some of those other metrics are concerning.

Pettersson is still just 25, so unless he’s playing hurt, I don’t think it’s fair to believe there isn’t a physical reason for his drop in play. Instead, it’s likely to be mental, which is a theory that gains credibility when you consider former Canucks head coach Bruce Boudreau’s analysis of the situation, per the Vancouver Province. Boudreau noted that Pettersson “doesn’t look excited when he plays and gets frustrated very easily.” Perhaps the pressure of his eight-year, $92.8 million contract, which he’s in the first season of, is getting to the star forward.

Whatever the case, other members of the Canucks have been picking up the slack. Not much was expected of Conor Garland going into the campaign, but he’s been great, providing four goals and 11 points through 12 appearances. That probably won’t last, but he isn’t showing signs of slowing down yet after recording at least a point in each of his past three games. Defenseman Quinn Hughes is also red hot, supplying a goal and five points over his last two outings, bringing him up to three goals and 14 points in 12 appearances this season.

Vegas Golden Knights (Mon vs CAR, Wed @ ANA, Fri @ UTA, Sun vs WSH)

The Golden Knights will start the upcoming week by hosting the Hurricanes, but after that, they’ll have to take to the road. Vegas will play in Anaheim on Wednesday, Utah on Friday and Washington on Sunday.

The Golden Knights have won six of their past seven games, elevating their record to 9-3-1. The top line of Jack Eichel, Mark Stone and Ivan Barbashev continues to be a major part of that with Stone leading the way with six goals and 21 points in 13 outings. The 32-year-old Stone is on a seven-game scoring streak (four goals,12 points) and has been held off the scoresheet just once in 2024-25.

It also helps to have a player of Tomas Hertl’s caliber on the second unit, who has four goals and 12 points through 13 outings. Meanwhile, Noah Hanifin is red hot from the blue line with three goals and eight points across his past two games.

Those two really highlight the amazing sticking power Vegas has managed thanks to its aggressive trade strategy. Those are two veterans who were added during the 2023-24 campaign and are locked up to 2027-28. Other teams add rental pieces leading up to a Cup run, but the Golden Knights tend to take a longer view when making trades, so even when a postseason run doesn’t work out, as was the case in 2024, the additions they made are still around to help them moving forward.

Eventually, the bottom might fall out of this strategy. In the cap era, we haven’t seen a team that has been able to sustain itself indefinitely on trades alone without going through a rebuild. But when you look at the team’s core of Eichel, Stone, Hertl, Barbashev, William Karlsson, Alex Pietrangelo, Noah Hanifin and Shea Theodore, you’re seeing a group that’s still largely in its prime and positioned to potentially be competitive for years to come.

The one thing that the group is missing is a star goaltender. Adin Hill can be solid, but he also has his rough patches, and the 2024-25 campaign has been more miss than hit for him so far, leaving Hill with a 3.01 GAA and an .882 save percentage through eight outings. On the plus side, he’s allowed just five goals on 64 shots (.922 save percentage) across his past three starts, and the Golden Knights are strong enough offensively to put him in a position to win even when he doesn’t have a great night, so there’s still plenty of value to be had here.

NHL: DADOUN – THE FANTASY WEEK AHEAD (October 21st to 27th) – Avalanche and Predators Off to Rocky Starts

Ryan Dadoun — Sun, 20 Oct 2024 13:00:39 +0000

_{VANCOUVER, BC - APRIL 30: Nashville Predators goaltender Juuse Saros (74) stops the puck during Game Five of the First Round of the 2024 Stanley Cup playoffs between the Nashville Predators and the Vancouver Canucks on April 30, 2024, at Rogers Arena in Vancouver, B.C. (Photo by Ethan Cairns/Icon Sportswire)}

We’re still way too early into the season to read anything into the standings, but it is eyebrow-raising to see Colorado and Nashville both 0-4-0 through Thursday’s action.

Goaltender Alexandar Georgiev is a big part of the Avalanche’s early woes, posting a record of 0-3-0 with a 5.80 GAA and an .802 save percentage across four appearances this season. To put that into context, Jack Campbell got off to a 1-3-0 start with a 4.35 GAA and an .878 save percentage in four contests with Edmonton last year, and he played in just one more game beyond that before being sent to the minors. It’s not as if Georgiev has a strong track record to fall back on either. Yes, he won 38 games last year, but that was thanks to Colorado’s stellar offense. Georgiev finished the 2023-24 regular season with a 3.02 GAA and an .897 save percentage in 63 contests.

Do I think Georgiev is about to be sent to the minors? No, but there is an opportunity here for Justus Annunen or Kaapo Kahkonen to get a serious look, especially because Georgiev is in the final campaign of his three-year deal, so the Avalanche aren’t locked into him.

On the Nashville side, Juuse Saros hasn’t been great either (3.84 GAA and .878 save percentage through three games), but he has a far superior body of work, and there’s more reason to believe he will bounce back. It is somewhat interesting that Nashville hasn’t gotten any offensive production out of Steven Stamkos yet, but the former Lightning captain has fired 14 shots over four games, so we should see something out of him soon.

Colorado Avalanche

If there’s a silver lining for the Avalanche, it’s that their upcoming schedule looks extremely favorable. In addition to wrapping up this week with games against a pair of teams not projected to make the playoffs, Anaheim and San Jose, on Friday and Sunday, respectively, Colorado’s competition next week is fairly middling. The Avalanche will play in Seattle on Tuesday and Utah on Thursday before wrapping up next week’s action by hosting Ottawa on Sunday.

I picked on Georgiev during the intro -- justifiably so, in my opinion -- but I’d be remiss if I didn’t note that Colorado has far more than its fair share of important players injured. Up front, Jonathan Drouin (upper body), Gabriel Landeskog (knee), Atturi Lehkonen (shoulder) and Valeri Nichushkin (suspension) are all on the shelf. Meanwhile, Colorado’s second-best defenseman, Devon Toews, has been dealing with a lower-body injury.

Landeskog, Lehkonen and Nichushkin were already known to be long-term absences, but Drouin won’t be re-evaluated until Oct. 28, so he’s not going to be an option next week either. There isn’t much clarity when it comes to Toews timetable, so maybe the Avalanche will at least get him back.

Could it be argued that all those injuries are part of the reason for Georgiev’s struggles? After all, goaltending doesn’t happen in a vacuum, and when the quality of the play in front of the goaltender diminishes, their numbers tend to suffer. That might be a factor, but it’s not enough to completely explain away Georgiev’s horrendous’ numbers. Taking a look at Goals Saved Above Expected, per Moneypuck, which attempts to evaluate a goaltender independent of his team, Georgiev isn’t just the worst goaltender in the league, it’s not even close. He’s minus-9.5 while the next worst is a tie between Stuart Skinner and Ivan Fedotov at minus-3.9.

That’s why I focused on goaltending rather than injuries up top -- no matter what else happens, Colorado won’t have a successful season without better netminding. It’s simply nearly impossible to assemble a team capable of winning games consistently when your goaltender is this leaky. Although all that said, rather than need a new goaltender, it is possible that Georgiev will at least improve somewhat as the campaign goes on -- he certainly can’t get much worse.

That all aside, Colorado’s injuries have created opportunities for other players to step up. Ross Colton has gone from recording 40 points (17 goals) in 80 regular-season games while averaging 13:43 of ice time in 2023-24 to contributing two goals and three points while averaging 18:42 this year. Given the Avalanche’s situation, Colton should continue to get plenty of work in the upcoming week, and his production should remain respectable as a result.

Casey Mittelstadt is the second-line center, which would remain the case even if everyone was healthy, but those injuries have led to him playing on the top power-play unit. He’s supplied three goals through four games, including one with the man advantage.

Unfortunately, Colorado’s younger cast of Calum Ritchie, Nikolai Kovalenko and Ivan Ivan haven’t been able to step up in the face of the Avalanche’s injuries. They’re still worth keeping an eye on, but none of them have done enough yet to warrant a roster spot in standard fantasy leagues.

Detroit Red Wings

The Red Wings will split next week between road and home games. They’ll play the Islanders and Sabres on the road Tuesday and Saturday, respectively, and host the Devils and Oilers on Thursday and Sunday, respectively. It’s a mixed bag as far as the level of competition goes, but it’s still worthy of mention based on how full Detroit’s schedule is.

The Red Wings got off to a 1-3-0 start. The most noteworthy thing to happen during that span was Ville Husso allowing four goals on 14 shots in 25:28 minutes of action en route to a 6-3 loss to Pittsburgh on Oct. 10. Just like that, Husso promptly changed from Detroit’s Opening Night starter to an AHLer, leaving Alex Lyon and Cam Talbot on the NHL roster. Neither goaltender is the clear-cut No. 1 at this time, so don’t be surprised if they split next week’s starts evenly.

Up front, Patrick Kane and Vladimir Tarasenko have gotten off to a slow start, each recording just one point through four appearances. The duo got a look together, but they’ve been split with Kane now playing alongside his old Blackhawks buddy in Alex DeBrncat while Tarasenko is getting a look with Lucas Raymond. That shakeup might help spark both of those veteran forwards.

On defense, the biggest surprise is Erik Gustafsson spending two of Detroit’s first four games as a healthy scratch. He did register a power-play assist in the Red Wings’ Opening Night and picked up another one when he re-entered the lineup for Detroit’s 5-2 loss to the Rangers on Oct. 17. Gustafsson looked like a potential replacement for Shayne Gostisbehere, who is now with Carolina, on Detroit’s top power-play unit, and that still appears to be Gustafsson’s role when he’s in the lineup. However, if the blueliner isn’t going to play consistently, then obviously his fantasy value will suffer dramatically.

Nashville Predators

The Predators will kick off the week with a tough home contest against Boston, but things will get easier afterward with a road clash versus Chicago on Friday before the Predators host Columbus on Saturday.

With the Predators winless at the time of writing, Stamkos needs to get going. As noted above, though, that should happen. A degree of transitional pain isn’t shocking given Stamkos not only spent his entire NHL career to this point with Tampa Bay but doesn’t even have much experience at the top level adjusting to a new head coach -- Jon Cooper has been running the show in Tampa Bay since he took over during the 2012-13 campaign. Still, Stamkos has also just had some bad puck luck, and things should even out eventually.

One player who hasn’t needed time to get going is Roman Josi. He already has three assists through four outings this year. As a fun aside, the Predators captain is now just 11 points from becoming the first player in Predators history to accumulate 700 points with the franchise -- the 34-year-old defenseman has spent his full career in Nashville.

Filip Forsberg ranks second on that chart with 609 career points. He accumulated 48 goals and 94 points across 82 regular-season contests in 2023-24 and is off to a strong start this campaign with two goals and four points through four games. Playing alongside Forsberg is the best assignment Nashville can offer, and it will be interesting to see if Stamkos or fellow newcomer Jonathan Marchessault get much of a look alongside him. So far Forsberg has mostly played alongside Ryan O’Reilly and Gustav Nyquist at even strength, which to be fair is a line that worked great last season and seems to be continuing to pay dividends, so Nashville doesn’t have much motivation to mess with that.

New Jersey Devils

Through Thursday’s action, no team has played more games than New Jersey. The Devils have already logged seven contests while Carolina has gotten into only two games (albeit that’s after the Hurricanes-Lightning game that would have been played Oct. 12 got postponed). The schedule isn’t getting any lighter for the Devils next week: They’ll host the Lightning on Tuesday, play in Detroit on Thursday and then wrap the week with home games against the Islanders and the Ducks on Friday and Sunday, respectively.

The Devils won five of their first seven games, putting them in a strong opening position after missing the playoffs last season. Although he’s been far from perfect, Jacob Markstrom has evened out to be a good acquisition thus far, posting a 3-2-0 record, 2.42 GAA and .918 save percentage through five starts. Credit also needs to go to Jake Allen, who has been masterful in his two starts, saving a combined 37 of 38 shots en route to two victories. Allen should be expected to play at least one game next week, likely either against Detroit on Thursday or the Islanders on Friday.

On defense, Brett Pesce (leg) and Luke Hughes (shoulder) remain out, and there’s no indication that either’s return is imminent. That should allow rookie Seamus Casey to continue to play regularly. Casey has averaged just 12:35 of ice time, but that includes a role on the second power-play unit, which has paid off. He has three goals and four points across seven appearances, including two markers with the man advantage. I’m not confident Casey will remain with the team long-term, but he’s not a bad short-term pickup, especially with how heavy the Devils’ schedule is.

New York Rangers

The Rangers will open the week with a contest in Montreal on Tuesday before heading home to host the Panthers on Thursday and the Ducks on Saturday. While Florida is a difficult adversary, Montreal and Anaheim are rebuilding squads.

While you never want to get overly excited over four games, Artemi Panarin has been unreal with five goals and 11 points in that span. Panarin set career highs in 2023-24 with 49 goals and 120 points in 82 regular-season outings, and he may put up similar numbers this year.

That’s great for Alexis Lafreniere, who has played almost exclusively alongside Panarin at even strength so far this season. Lafreniere has two goals and five points through four appearances, and Panarin has been involved in all of Lafreniere’s offense. It took the 2020 No. 1 overall pick a few seasons to get going, but he set personal bests with 28 goals and 57 points last campaign, and that might be just a taste of what his career has in store.

By contrast, Kaapo Kakko, who was the No. 2 overall pick in 2019, still hasn’t managed to find his way. He showed promise in 2022-23 with 18 goals and 40 points in 82 regular-season outings, but he faltered last season, managing just 19 points in 61 appearances. He’ll try to rebound this campaign, and he does already have a decent two assists across four games, but Kakko seems limited to third-line duties alongside Will Cuylle and Filip Chytil, which limits his potential.

Pittsburgh Penguins

The Penguins will start next week with a home-and-away series against Washington on Tuesday and Wednesday followed by a second back-to-back set over the weekend in which Pittsburgh will host Minnesota on Saturday and Montreal on Sunday.

Like the Rangers in Panarin, Pittsburgh has a red-hot forward. Evgeni Malkin has accumulated two goals and 11 points through five appearances this year -- not bad for a 38 year old. That run includes his 500th career goal, which was tallied in Pittsburgh’s 6-5 overtime victory over Buffalo on Wednesday.

It hasn’t been all good news for the Penguins, though. Tristan Jarry is another netminder off to a disastrous start, posting a 1-1-0 record, 5.45 GAA and .836 save percentage through three outings. That’s particularly discouraging following his disappointing 2.91 GAA and .903 save percentage across 51 appearances last year.

Alex Nedeljkovic started the season on injured reserve due to a lower-body issue, which gave Jarry an opportunity to make his case for the starting gig after losing it in the final weeks of 2023-24. Instead, Pittsburgh has every reason to give the job to Nedeljkovic once he’s healthy. Nedeljkovic was taken off IR and moved to AHL Wilkes-Barre/Scranton on Thursday for conditioning, so he probably will be back with the Penguins in the near future.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Toronto doesn’t have an easy week ahead, but it is at least one with plenty of actions. The Maple Leafs will host Tampa Bay on Monday, play in Columbus on Tuesday, return to Toronto to face the Blues on Thursday, and then conclude the week with a game in Boston on Saturday.

The Maple Leafs made a three-year, $11 million commitment to Joseph Woll over the summer that will begin with the 2025-26 campaign. That contract might prove to be favorable to the Maple Leafs if the 26-year-old develops into the starting goaltender Toronto is hoping he can be, but it might be soured due to injuries. Woll dealt with health problems last season and hasn’t played yet in 2024-25 due to a lower-body issue, though his time on the shelf might be coming to a close after taking part in Friday’s practice.

When he does return, he might find himself as the understudy. Although the situation remains fluid, Anthony Stolarz has at least for now forced the Maple Leafs to see him as the No. 1 option after posting a 2-1-0 record, 1.69 GAA and .940 save percentage across three appearances this season. Dennis Hildeby looked solid in his NHL debut too, stopping 21 of 23 shots en route to a 4-2 win over New Jersey on Oct. 10, but he’ll nevertheless report to the AHL once Woll is healthy.

Up front, John Tavares’ situation is arguably the most interesting one to watch. Although he has seen a significant amount of time on the second line alongside Max Domi and William Nylander, the Maple Leafs have also experimented with using Tavares on the third unit with Pontus Holmberg and Nicholas Robertson. Part of that is enabling the Maple Leafs to spread out its offense more evenly, but it might also be a bit of a reflection of Tavares’ age. To be fair, he has two goals through three appearances, so his early production has been nothing to complain about, but it will be interesting to see how he’s utilized throughout the season.

Tavares’ use also ties in with Bobby McMann, who stands to gain a top-six spot if Tavares ends up spending regular minutes on the third line. McMann has provided three goals across three outings after being a surprise healthy scratch in Toronto’s opener.

Vegas Golden Knights

The Golden Knights will play at home next week, hosting the Kings on Tuesday, the Senators on Friday and the Sharks on Saturday.

Vegas was a team that thrived at home last season, posting a 27-12-2 record at T-Mobile Arena versus 18-17-6 on the road. That trend has continued into the early portion of 2024-25 -- the Golden Knights have a 3-0-0 home record and are 0-2-0 away. If the split continues to be noticeable, it will be worth skewing towards Vegas players when the squad is at home and shying away from the Golden Knights a bit in other locations.

Not that the top line has shown any care for where the squad is playing. Jack Eichel has begun the campaign on a five-game scoring streak in which he’s provided two goals and 10 points. Linemates Mark Stone and Ivan Barbashev are right behind him with nine and eight points, respectively. Defenseman Shea Theodore has also been a standout performer with a goal and seven points across five outings.

As a group, Vegas has little to complain about offensively. Adin Hill has left something to be desired, though, allowing at least three goals in each of his first four games. That offense has allowed him to escape that stretch with an okay 2-2-0 record, but in the long run, Vegas will need more out of him. Otherwise, there will be an opportunity for Ilya Samsonov. The 27-year-old backup stopped 22 of 23 shots en route to a 3-1 win against Anaheim on Sunday, but he otherwise hasn’t been tested this season. Samsonov has been a mixed bag in his career, and it’s hard to know what to expect from him this time around. If you did draft Hill, though, it wouldn’t be a bad idea to hedge your bets by grabbing Samsonov.

MCKEEN’S 2024-25 NHL YEARBOOK – VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS – Team Preview

Sat, 14 Sep 2024 20:00:40 +0000

_{ST. LOUIS, MO - March 25: Vegas Golden Knights center Jack Eichel (9) during a regular season game between the Vegas Golden Knights and the St. Louis Blues on March 25, 2024, at the Enterprise Center in St. Louis MO (Photo by Rick Ulreich/Icon Sportswire)}

The defending Stanley Cup champions made it into the playoffs, recording 98 points (45-29-8), and lost in seven games to Dallas Stars in the first round. The Golden Knights dealt with injuries to key personnel, with Jack Eichel, Mark Stone, Shea Theodore, and Alex Pietrangelo all missing at least 18 games, so there were some difficulties that had not been such a problem the year before. The Golden Knights ranked 21st in Corsi percentage (48.6%) but fared better when it came to expected goals percentage, ranking 13th with 51.3%. Either way, those are numbers closer to a mediocre team and not necessarily a championship contender. Vegas’ power play ranked 21st with 7.19 goals per 60 minutes while the penalty killing ranked 11th with 7.15 goals per 60 minutes. Those special teams results pretty much even each other out, so there was not much reason to believe that the Golden Knights were capable of defending their championship. They had enough to get into the playoffs and enough to give Dallas a competitive series, but ultimately the Golden Knights were not serious championship contenders.

WHAT’S CHANGED? It was a difficult offseason for the Golden Knights as they watched both Jonathan Marchessault and Chandler Stephenson leave via free agency, signing with Nashville and Seattle, respectively. Veteran defenceman Alec Martinez moved on to Chicago and winger Anthony Mantha signed in Calgary. The Golden Knights made their biggest acquisitions before the trade deadline, acquiring defenceman Noah Hanifin from Calgary and centre Tomas Hertl from San Jose. In the offseason, Vegas signed winger Victor Olofsson, who had played with Eichel in Buffalo, and traded left winger Paul Cotter to New Jersey for right winger Alexander Holtz and goaltender Akira Schmid. The Golden Knights also signed goaltender Ilya Samsonov, who played for Toronto for the past two seasons.

WHAT WOULD SUCCESS LOOK LIKE? The Golden Knights have always appeared to be pushing for the Stanley Cup and that would presumably be the team’s goal this season, but after their losses in free agency it seems like the next championship is further out of their grasp. Making the playoffs again would count as modest success, but if the Golden Knights are in the playoff hunt, they will find a way to bring in more talent so that they can compete for a title because that is how this team rolls.

WHAT COULD GO WRONG? While the Golden Knights come under scrutiny for having team captain Mark Stone emerge from the injured list just in time for the playoffs, it is noteworthy that Stone has missed large chunks of each of the past three seasons. Injuries are a concern for any team, but the Golden Knights have enough older players that their injuries can take longer to heal, and eventually those players just become shells of the players they were before. Stone is the most glaring case, but there are plenty of quality players in Vegas who could have a negative impact if they are knocked out with injuries. Any team will be in trouble if key players are injured, but the Golden Knights do not have great depth so they could be in tough shape if they suffer significant injuries.

TOP BREAKOUT CANDIDATE: Having lost quality players this summer, the Golden Knights could really use some younger players to rise to the occasion. Up front, Pavel Dorofeyev and Brendan Brisson are possibilities, but Alexander Holtz is the best breakout candidate for the Golden Knights. Holtz was the seventh pick in the 2020 Draft and while he has taken some time to carve out his place in the NHL, he scored 16 goals (15 at even strength) last season while playing just 11:38 per game. There will be a chance for Holtz to play more minutes in Vegas and potentially unleash the scorer that is waiting to be turned loose.

Forwards

Ivan Barbashev

Predicted Stats
GP	G	A	PTS	PPG
82	23	28	51	0.62

Ivan Barbashev has been a fixture along top center Jack Eichel ever since arriving in Las Vegas. The chemistry between these two continues to grow and evolve and 2023-24 was no exception. Barbashev was only slightly behind the pace of his normal offensive rates and ended the year with 19 goals with only three of those coming via the power-play as he had limited minutes with the man-advantage. The quicker the pace, the more Barbashev looked at home last season. He finished in the top third of the league’s forwards in forecheck involvement and rush offence, a testament to his partnership with Eichel. Barbashev’s defensive returns are generally not very grand, but they regressed in 2023-24 and he found himself in the 1st percentile of NHL forwards regarding even-strength defensive WAR. Barbashev’s puck support and off-puck positioning often do the thankless work of opening up space for teammates or keeping loose pucks alive in the offensive zone. Barbashev ended the season posting puck-possession and expected-goal rates that were roughly five percent higher relative to his teammates. The expectation for this season is for Barbashev to return to Eichel’s wing on the top line and continue to take peripheral power-play minutes. While his shooting percentage and finishing ability experienced a bump year over year, Barbashev’s shot totals dipped slightly. In order for his goal total to go beyond 20 this year, he’ll need to shoot the puck a bit more this season.

Jack Eichel

Predicted Stats
GP	G	A	PTS	PPG
70	37	35	72	1.03

Eichel cracked the 30-goal plateau last season for the first time since 2019-20 and experienced an increase in almost every statistical bucket offensively speaking. He was in the 99th percentile of NHL forwards with regards to both zone entries with possession of the puck and shots created off of the rush, a testament to how much the puck was on Eichel’s stick. His skating has, over time, matured into a great combination of speed and power. His first few steps are explosive, and he continues to exhibit high levels of puck protection and dangle-ability, routinely putting defencemen in compromising positions in transition. Eichel’s offensive performance last season was so strong that he experienced great leaps in his defensive results by virtue of playing a lot of hockey in the offensive zone and being dogged on the backcheck. Eichel’s even-strength defensive returns went from the 58th percentile of NHL forwards in 2022-23 to the 94th percentile of NHL forwards in 2023-24. Although the reliability and speed of Jonathan Marchessault is no longer there, former linemate Victor Olofsson, former linemate of Eichel in Buffalo, steps in to take his spot. I expect Eichel to continue to lead the pace for the Golden Knights forward group using his explosive skating and confidence in carrying the puck as the main straw that continue to stir the drink for Vegas’ offence.

Victor Olofsson

Predicted Stats
GP	G	A	PTS	PPG
74	18	16	34	0.46

Victor Olofsson is arriving to Vegas alongside a familiar face. During their tenure together in Buffalo, Olofsson and Jack Eichel spent over 800 minutes together at even-strength over the years. Olofsson has two separate 20 goal campaigns playing alongside Eichel. Although he struggled last year to return to his 28-goal form of the previous season, there’s a longstanding history of Olofsson being able to provide 20+ goals in the right environment. Playing on the Golden Knights top line certainly seems to be that kind of potentially thriving environment. Olofsson’s finishing took a big hit last year as he missed a significant chunk of time with injury. Assuming he deploys on the Golden Knights top line, the familiar face and playmaking ability of Eichel combined with the space creating ability of Ivan Barbashev seems like the perfect situation for a player of Olofsson’s skill. His shot and ability to nestle into open space are two of his best attributes. He should find plenty of time and space to execute on his best abilities but be cautioned that the Golden Knights’ power-play is chock full of talent and I don’t expect Olofsson to usurp anyone on that unit. He may get secondary power-play minutes, but whether or not he cracks the 20-goal plateau this year may depend on exactly how much power-play time that ends up being.

Mark Stone

Predicted Stats
GP	G	A	PTS	PPG
60	22	40	62	0.13

While Mark Stone became the centerpiece for discussions around Long Term Injured Reserve cap savings last season, it’s easy to lose sight of the fact that he was actually hurt. His recovery from a lacerated spleen took a long time and wasn’t anything to be written-off as cap shenanigans. Despite the injury, Stone looked much like himself upon returning to the lineup for the post-season. Despite only playing in 56 games during the regular season, Stone’s 53 points were his highest total since 2020-21. When healthy, Stone is the rare type of player that can give you tangible results in the offensive and defensive zone alike. A dedicated, two-way forward, he uses his size and skating to put himself in advantageous positions with and without the puck. A cerebral player, Stone is deployable in virtually any situation and can be leaned on for both needing a goal late in a game and holding a lead late in the game. Stone posts yearly results with regards to Wins Above Replacement that are markedly similar year after year, a testament to his overall consistency when he’s in the lineup. One note to watch for, Stone’s shot rates were low last year relative to his own averages. If those numbers increase, expect Stone to best his 16-goal total from last season.

Tomas Hertl

Predicted Stats
GP	G	A	PTS	PPG
77	26	36	62	0.81

Hertl arrived in Vegas via trade out of San Jose and was shelved for a knee injury before his arrival and had to wait until April to make his official debut. Getting his wheels back under him post-procedure seemed to take a little bit of time, and the Golden Knights were eliminated from playoff contention before we really had an opportunity to see the new pieces, Hertl especially, settle into their new roles. The expectation for Hertl this season is that he’ll step into second-line duty alongside Mark Stone. That gives the Golden Knights some significant size and skill in their top six unit, as both he and Stone play a physical, north-south style of hockey. Stone and Hertl didn’t spend enough time together in the playoffs to garner any real insight into how they match up, but the early returns weren’t the best. They didn’t register a goal together in just under an hour of ice time and spent an uncanny amount of time in their own zone. Traditionally sound defensively, Hertl should bolster the already great defensive returns provided by Stone. With three goals in his first thirteen games as a member of the Golden Knights, it’s fair to assume training camp will provide the needed organization and control required to pick up on a new environment with a clean bill of health. He should be a safe bet to return to 25 goals and 60+ points.

Pavel Dorofeyev

Predicted Stats
GP	G	A	PTS	PPG
72	25	25	50	0.69

Pavel Dorofeyev had a breakout season last year offensively and has seemingly cemented a spot for himself in the Golden Knights top six forward group. He missed time due to injury last year, most notably an upper-body issue at the midpoint of the season. Fresh off of a two-year extension, the expectation is for him to slot into the second line alongside Mark Stone, but don’t rule out a promotion later in the year if he gets hot from a goal scoring perspective. Dorofeyev is a deceptive, talented winger that has a great shot that he uses in a variety of fashions and strong individual skills that he uses to dangle through defenders. He has added weight each season and improved his strength in some of the battle areas of the ice. Overall, however, no Vegas forward had a lower impact on shots generated off the forecheck or the cycle. Dorofeyev is at his best when he’s surrounded by players that can do that lifting for him and a combination of Stone and Tomas Hertl should significantly help in that department. Dorofeyev had the fourth highest carry-in percentage of any Golden Knights forward, a testament to his skill with the puck and desire to get north as quickly as possible. With a clean bill of health, Dorofeyev is one of the more interesting forwards to keep an eye on this upcoming season, as there’s plenty of reason to believe his game is still maturing. If he finds chemistry on his line, and can stay healthy, he can threaten 20 goals and 50+ points.

Alexander Holtz

Predicted Stats
GP	G	A	PTS	PPG
82	18	18	36	0.44

Holtz arrives in Vegas having played his first full 82 game season with the New Jersey Devils last year and looking to soften some of the forward losses Vegas experienced over the offseason. In what can be considered a personnel issue, Holtz was not given a ton of looks inside the Devils top six and never was able to leapfrog his peers for ice time in that grouping. He arrives in Las Vegas with a similar issue facing him, but a cast of characters and playing style that might suit him well. At just 22 years old, Holtz still has a lot of maturation and development in front of him, but we’ve already seen the core of his skills that should grow and mature with age. Holtz’ best attribute is his shot, and he isn’t afraid to use it. He was in the 85th percentile of NHL forwards regarding raw shot totals and the 93rd percentile of NHL forwards with regards to shots taken off of the rush. With 16 goals in 82 games last year, Holtz was able to showcase some of the elusiveness and puck skill that made him a top ten pick in the 2020 NHL draft. Expect Holtz to get some looks in the top six in the event of injuries, but the expectation is that he’ll form a partnership with fellow speedy countryman, William Karlsson.

William Karlsson

Predicted Stats
GP	G	A	PTS	PPG
79	25	27	52	0.66

Karlsson was a force last year for Las Vegas, scoring 30 goals and 60 points in a 70-game campaign that saw him crack the 30-goal mark for the first time since the 2017-18 campaign. Karlsson has proven he has the ability to be deployed in any situation. His footspeed allows him to be a vital member of the penalty kill and his ability to shoot from everywhere and get the puck on net consistently is vital to the power-play. Last year, Karlsson’s defensive returns at even-strength put him in the 92nd percentile of NHL forwards, a testament to his two-way game and investment in backchecking to break plays up. He played through an injury in the NHL post-season that noticeably hampered his ability to operate in his usual capacity. One of the higher hockey IQ’s in the league, Karlsson uses his mobility to cut off plays on the forecheck. No Golden Knights forward had a higher percentage of forecheck pressures per 60 minutes of even-strength than Karlsson did. While his linemates are due to change this year, expect the core foundations of his game to remain the same. While another 30-goal season may be difficult to replicate, he’ll be surrounded by players that can complement his fast style of play.

Nicolas Roy

Predicted Stats
GP	G	A	PTS	PPG
75	13	20	33	0.44

This will be the first year in the existence of the Golden Knights bottom-six that William Carrier is not a foundational piece after departing for Carolina in free agency, but expect Nicolas Roy to step in and lay claim as the challenger to that throne. Roy is proving to be an extremely reliable bottom-six scoring presence. While his 13 goals in 2023-24 were his lowest total in three years, he surpassed his high-water mark for points with a total of 41 on the year. Held off the scoresheet entirely in the post-season, Roy will be looked upon to continue to provide a steady scoring presence in the bottom half of the Golden Knights lineup. You can summarize Roy’s 200-foot approach to the game by looking at impacts he has at both ends of the ice. Roy finished the year in the 99th percentile of NHL forwards with regards to his forecheck involvement and was in the 92nd percentile of NHL forwards for defensive zone exits. His shot metrics were down a touch last year, which could explain his slight drop on goals, but his puck-distribution abilities were on display in a major way as he bested his career assist total for a single season. Roy is deployable in a variety of situations and effectively uses his size to protect the puck and be a problem for opposing forwards in the defensive zone.

DEFENCE

Alex Pietrangelo

Predicted Stats
GP	G	A	PTS	PPG
78	10	39	49	0.63

Alex Pietrangelo enjoyed another year as the leader of the Golden Knights defence. He remains one of the better skating defencemen in the league and is almost unflappable in his unwavering attention to protecting his own blueline. While his point totals were down year over year, he missed a bit more time due to injury than previous seasons. Coming into this year with a clean bill of health, Pietrangelo looks to get back to the success he had last year on the blueline. No Golden Knights defenceman had a lower percentage of opponents carry the puck across the blueline than Pietrangelo did. He also led the Golden Knights in defensive puck retrievals per 60 minutes of even-strength ice time. That success on retrievals put him in the 100th percentile for NHL defencemen last year, a testament to how well Pietrangelo operates under pressure at both ends of the ice. He was also in the 92nd percentile for both shots and scoring chances among NHL defencemen last year. Pietrangelo seems immune to the effects of Father Time. Expect him to continue to take huge minutes for the Golden Knights in all situations, especially on the power-play, where he co-led in ice time with Shea Theodore. Pietrangelo was targeted for zone entries the least of any Golden Knights defenceman last year, directly speaking to his reputation as someone that can shut down an oncoming rush. On offence you can expect 10 or more goals and between 40 and 50 points.

Noah Hanifin

Predicted Stats
GP	G	A	PTS	PPG
82	12	33	45	0.55

After arriving via trade from the Calgary Flames, Hanifin immediately re-upped with the Golden Knights, signing an eight-year contract with an $7.35 million AAV. A steep price to be sure, but when you consider all the things Hanifin is good at, it seems like a small price to pay for a defenceman as multi-faceted as this. Hanifin arrived from Calgary and immediately fit into the Golden Knights system. This easy transition netted him 12 points in 19 regular season games with the team, and he followed that up with five points in seven playoff games. Hanifin ranked in the top third of the league in virtually every statistical bucket for defencemen: shots, assists, zone entry prevention, zone exits, and puck retrievals. You’d be as hard pressed to find a weakness in his game as you would be hard pressed to see him slip up under pressure. Hanifin is the perfect complement to a defenceman like Alex Pietrangelo and I expect the two of them to fully control the pace of play. In their 19 regular season games together, they controlled 58 percent of the shot-attempts and 55 percent of the expected goals. Their careful maintenance of the defensive blueline combined with their mobility will make this one of the most formidable top pairings in the league, and Hanifin will be a large part of that. In his 19 games, power play time was relatively split between Hanifin and Theodore, which will put a lid on offensive upside, but a safe bet for eight to 10 goals and 35 – 40 points.

Shea Theodore

Predicted Stats
GP	G	A	PTS	PPG
76	12	44	56	0.74

Theodore missed a large chunk of the 2023-24 campaign due to surgery on an upper-body injury. That put him out of contention for almost a third of the season and put a stop to a scorching hot start that saw him register 18 points in the first 20 games of the season. Theodore struggled to regain that pace and settle back in but had a strong ending to the season and once again cracked the 40-point plateau for the year. Theodore’s strength is being the puck moving presence on the second pairing for the Golden Knights. Despite his injury, he still ranked in the 91st percentile among defencemen for defensive zone exit rate and in the 94th percentile for scoring chance contribution. Theodore is most comfortable with the puck on his stick, navigating his way through traffic. A true power-play architect, he isn’t afraid to sneak into the offensive zone to set up his teammates and put pucks on net. Theodore’s strong suit has never been transition defence, but it was an area he noticeably struggled in last season. Entering the final year of his contract, it will be interesting to see what direction Theodore heads as the trade deadline approaches. Does Vegas look to re-sign him, or does he end up an asset at the deadline? He will be motivated and should be favourite to head up the first power play, but he has competition there and by no means a sure thing. If healthy he should be a threat for 60+ points with the potential for more with a contract as incentive.

Brayden McNabb

Predicted Stats
GP	G	A	PTS	PPG
82	3	17	20	0.24

Brayden McNabb played every regular season game for the Golden Knights for the second season in a row. The only thing steadier than his presence in the lineup is his presence defensively. McNabb’s 26 points in 2023-24 are the highest total he’s reached in his career and a testament to how much was asked of him in the absence of some of his puck-moving teammates to injury last season. McNabb’s strength is gap control and tidy business along the defensive blueline, a modern version of what shutdown defenceman looks like, as his approach is multifaceted. He was in the 78th percentile for hits last season and the 90th percentile for defensive zone entry denials. Only Alex Pietrangelo had a higher amount of defensive zone puck retrievals last season. A regular in the shot-blocking category, McNabb is very strong in front of the net and in the battle areas of the ice. While puck handling is not his strength, he can maneuver with the puck with competency and move it out of danger for a safe play. His penalty-killing presence has been of major importance to the Golden Knights throughout his tenure there. McNabb’s gap control and stick work make him a calming presence during rush situations. Also entering the last year of his contract, it will be intriguing to see what Vegas decides to do regarding his future with the team.

GOAL

Adin Hill

Predicted Stats
GP	W	L	OT	SO	SV%	GAA
38	21	14	3	2	0.906	2.79

Ilya Samsonov

Predicted Stats
GP	W	L	OT	SO	SV%	GAA
44	24	16	4	2	0.904	2.88

Former Arizona Coyotes prospect Adin Hill is a Stanley Cup champion - and now, it seems, he’s a clear-cut starter for a Vegas Golden Knights roster that seems poised to bank on the historically weak Pacific Division staying as weak as it’s been. Vegas cleared the way for Hill to become the true number one when they sent Logan Thompson out the door, ushering in a new third-stringer in Akira Schmid and bringing on a surprising backup in Ilya Samsonov.

Samsonov brings a higher upside and more-renowned pedigree than Hill, so the number one spot isn’t necessarily Hill’s for keeps. But despite stretches of strong play in Toronto, Samsonov was plagued by both dismal stretches and lengthy injury bouts that call into question just how high his ceiling truly is. He serves as a bit of a gamble for Vegas, but the Sin City club seems to enjoy leaning into their hometown’s favorite pastime when it comes to manning the crease. Samsonov certainly brings no more uncertainty to the lineup than Robin Lehner, Marc-Andre Fleury, or Jonathan Quick did before him - and with a much lower-pressure environment than he faced in Toronto, it’s entirely possible that fans will finally get a chance to truly see what he can do.

McKeen’s 2024 NHL Playoff Pool Picklist

Robert Howard — Sat, 20 Apr 2024 17:01:11 +0000

COLUMBUS, OH - FEBRUARY 25: Edmonton Oilers center Connor McDavid #97 prior to the game between the Columbus Blue Jackets and the Edmonton Oilers at Nationwide Arena in Columbus, Ohio on February 25, 2023. (Photo by Jason Mowry/Icon Sportswire)

In kicking off our 2024 NHL Playoff Pool coverage, Scott Cullen did an excellent breakdown of how to strategize for your pool. We recommend you give it a read and can link here.

The picklist below largely follows the strategy laid out in his article focusing on these broad categories – 1) Diversify 2) Stacking 3) First Round Winners 4) Power Play 5) Late Season Production 6) Injuries 7) Targeting playoff performers. Every playoff season will be different, of course, and simply following the Stanley Cup odds laid in many places including BetGM will provide a picture of which teams you should focus on with your picks to make the final, but the path to that result will vary. They currently have the Carolina Hurricanes (650) and the Colorado Avalanche (700) as odds on favourites to meet in the Stanley Cup Final, followed closely by Florida Panthers (700), Dallas Stars (800), Edmonton Oilers (800) and the New York Rangers (900).

If we look at McKeen’s team predictions for each of the first round series it becomes clear some teams have an easier path and their players will provide the best odds to play the most games. Lets look at how the brackets might shake out.

WESTERN CONFERENCE

Dallas Vs. Vegas – We have Dallas winning in seven in a very hard-fought battle. A deep Dallas team versus the defending Champion who boasts several high-profile additions to end the season.

Winnipeg Vs. Colorado – This should be another war with the potential of a Winnipeg upset if Connor Hellebuyck rises to the occasion and Georgiev continues his late season struggles. Colorado should triumph in seven games.

Second Round Matchup: Colorado vs Dallas - The winner of these two close series meet and it means one of the highly ranked Colorado or Dallas will eliminate each other in the second round, assuming no upset in the first.

Edmonton Vs. Los Angeles – Edmonton should have the depth and firepower to take Los Angeles in six as we have predicted.

Vancouver Vs. Nashville – We hesitate to underestimate Nashville again, and this could be a close contest, but feel confident Vancouver will take it in six.

Second Round Matchup: Edmonton vs Vancouver – This should make for a thrilling series, but McDavid and company looked on a mission in the second half and should proceed to the conference final in six.

Therefore, the conference final in the west is projected to be Edmonton versus Colorado or Dallas (two very closely matched teams).

EASTERN CONFRENCE

Florida Vs. Tampa Bay – The recent two-time Stanley Cup champion meets last year’s finalist in the first round. While Tampa’s core may be aging, they are still a real threat if they get rolling. Florida showed they know how to win in the playoffs last year as well. Two goaltenders who can steal a series may make this a potential upset, but Florida should prevail in six.

Boston Vs. Toronto – Old nemesis meet again in the first round. Boston has beaten Toronto consistently in the playoffs in recent years and won all head-to-head matchups this season. There are questions about both teams, but the series should go seven and really could go either way.

Second Round Matchup: Boston Vs. Florida – with both series offering potential upsets, Florida players are ranked higher than Boston, and have ranked some high scoring Leafs and reasonable picks given they could well make it to the second round and can provide a challenge for both teams.

Carolina Vs. New York Islanders – A deep Carolina team adding some significant pieces at the deadline and should beat the Islanders here in five games.

New York Rangers Vs. Washington – The Rangers should be heavy favourites in this series and should beat the Capital in five or six games.

Second Round Matchup: - Carolina vs New York Rangers – of the second-round matchups this is the one we are most comfortable predicting. It should be a close series with the Hurricanes moving on to the Conference Final against Florida.

The following picklist is based on those possible outcomes. The first round offers some interesting matchups that could leave a favourite or two on the outside looking in early. Stack up on the teams you feel have the best odds of taking the cup but understand there are always upsets. Looking at the above, the teams with the easiest path to the conference final are Edmonton and Carolina. Colorado and Dallas are favourites of both the oddsmakers and ourselves to win a cup, but one of them will bow out by the second round. Florida has depth but will have to go through Tampa and either Boston or Toronto.

Good luck whichever strategy you choose.

Subscribers can download an excel version of this list in subscriber downloads

RANK	Player	Team	Pos	GP	G	A	P	+/-	PIM	P/GP	EVG	EVP	PPG	PPP
1	Connor McDavid	EDM	C	76	32	100	132	35	30	1.74	24	87	7	44
2	Nathan MacKinnon	COL	C	82	51	89	140	35	42	1.71	41	92	10	48
3	Sebastian Aho	CAR	C	78	36	53	89	34	36	1.14	24	55	11	32
4	Jake Guentzel	CAR	C	67	30	47	77	25	22	1.15	25	55	5	22
5	Leon Draisaitl	EDM	C	81	41	65	106	26	76	1.31	20	65	21	39
6	Mikko Rantanen	COL	R	80	42	62	104	19	50	1.3	28	64	14	40
7	Cale Makar	COL	D	77	21	69	90	15	16	1.17	13	47	7	39
8	Sam Reinhart	FLA	C	82	57	37	94	29	31	1.15	25	55	27	34
9	Matthew Tkachuk	FLA	L	80	26	62	88	19	88	1.1	19	55	6	32
10	Aleksander Barkov	FLA	C	73	23	57	80	33	24	1.1	18	49	5	29
11	Artemi Panarin	NYR	L	82	49	71	120	18	24	1.46	38	75	11	44
12	Jason Robertson	DAL	L	82	29	51	80	19	22	0.98	20	52	9	28
13	Roope Hintz	DAL	C	80	30	35	65	26	22	0.81	19	42	8	19
14	Seth Jarvis	CAR	C	81	33	34	67	23	14	0.83	18	44	13	20
15	Andrei Svechnikov	CAR	R	59	19	33	52	13	58	0.88	14	35	5	17
16	Evan Bouchard	EDM	D	81	18	64	82	34	32	1.01	10	47	8	35
17	Zach Hyman	EDM	L	80	54	23	77	36	48	0.96	39	57	15	20
18	Valeri Nichushkin	COL	R	54	28	25	53	5	22	0.98	12	30	16	21
19	Nikita Kucherov	TBL	R	81	44	100	144	8	22	1.78	31	91	13	53
20	Auston Matthews	TOR	C	81	69	38	107	31	20	1.32	51	77	18	29
21	David Pastrnak	BOS	R	82	47	63	110	21	47	1.34	35	75	12	35
22	Jack Eichel	VGK	C	63	31	37	68	4	27	1.08	20	44	11	22
23	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins	EDM	C	80	18	49	67	10	36	0.84	14	38	4	26
24	Joe Pavelski	DAL	C	82	27	40	67	12	20	0.82	16	46	11	21
25	Matt Duchene	DAL	C	80	25	40	65	15	20	0.81	19	49	6	16
26	Mika Zibanejad	NYR	C	81	26	46	72	15	30	0.89	12	35	12	31
27	Martin Necas	CAR	C	77	24	29	53	-9	42	0.69	16	40	8	13
28	Vincent Trocheck	NYR	C	82	25	52	77	16	55	0.94	13	52	11	24
29	Chris Kreider	NYR	L	82	39	36	75	19	26	0.91	19	41	18	29
30	William Nylander	TOR	R	82	40	58	98	1	24	1.2	26	59	11	35
31	Mitch Marner	TOR	R	69	26	59	85	21	18	1.23	17	57	8	27
32	Adam Fox	NYR	D	72	17	56	73	21	36	1.01	10	38	6	33
33	Miro Heiskanen	DAL	D	71	9	45	54	8	36	0.76	7	33	2	21
34	Carter Verhaeghe	FLA	C	76	34	38	72	17	36	0.95	26	51	8	21
35	Mark Stone	VGK	R	56	16	37	53	1	22	0.95	10	35	4	14
36	Wyatt Johnston	DAL	C	82	32	33	65	14	38	0.79	26	52	3	10
37	Casey Mittelstadt	COL	C	80	18	39	57	10	32	0.71	15	48	3	9
38	Jonathan Drouin	COL	L	79	19	37	56	12	28	0.71	14	37	5	19
39	Artturi Lehkonen	COL	L	45	16	18	34	11	14	0.76	9	22	7	12
40	Sam Bennett	FLA	C	69	20	21	41	17	100	0.59	15	29	5	12
41	Vladimir Tarasenko	FLA	R	76	23	32	55	13	12	0.72	20	46	3	9
42	Jamie Benn	DAL	L	82	21	39	60	8	41	0.73	13	35	7	22
43	Tyler Seguin	DAL	C	68	25	27	52	10	26	0.76	22	42	3	8
44	J.T. Miller	VAN	C	81	37	66	103	32	58	1.27	25	61	10	40
45	Quinn Hughes	VAN	D	82	17	75	92	38	38	1.12	12	54	5	38
46	Elias Pettersson	VAN	C	82	34	55	89	20	12	1.09	21	56	13	31
47	Brad Marchand	BOS	L	82	29	38	67	2	78	0.82	19	37	7	26
48	Charlie Coyle	BOS	C	82	25	35	60	-2	38	0.73	17	44	7	11
49	Jonathan Marchessault	VGK	R	82	42	27	69	-2	40	0.84	34	52	8	17
50	Tomas Hertl	VGK	C	54	17	21	38	-28	22	0.7	10	26	6	11
51	Teuvo Teravainen	CAR	L	76	25	28	53	15	10	0.7	15	32	9	17
52	Mason Marchment	DAL	L	81	22	31	53	22	54	0.65	16	42	6	11
53	Thomas Harley	DAL	D	79	15	32	47	28	18	0.59	13	37	1	9
54	John Tavares	TOR	C	80	29	36	65	2	30	0.81	20	45	9	20
55	Pavel Zacha	BOS	C	78	21	38	59	12	18	0.76	15	44	6	15
56	Brayden Point	TBL	C	81	46	44	90	-16	14	1.11	31	58	15	32
57	Steven Stamkos	TBL	C	79	40	41	81	-21	34	1.03	21	42	19	39
58	Victor Hedman	TBL	D	78	13	63	76	18	76	0.97	9	45	4	31
59	Brandon Hagel	TBL	L	82	26	49	75	1	79	0.91	24	66	2	7
60	Evander Kane	EDM	L	77	24	20	44	-4	85	0.57	21	36	2	7
61	Logan Stankoven	DAL	C	24	6	8	14	10	4	0.58	5	12	1	2
62	Devon Toews	COL	D	82	12	38	50	28	18	0.61	12	43	0	5
63	Charlie McAvoy	BOS	D	74	12	35	47	4	86	0.64	11	34	1	13
64	Morgan Rielly	TOR	D	72	7	51	58	7	27	0.81	6	38	1	20
65	Brock Boeser	VAN	R	81	40	33	73	23	14	0.9	24	48	16	25
66	Alexis Lafrenière	NYR	L	82	28	29	57	2	40	0.7	26	51	2	6
67	Mark Scheifele	WPG	C	74	25	47	72	19	57	0.97	19	54	6	18
68	Kyle Connor	WPG	L	65	34	27	61	-6	6	0.94	29	42	5	19
69	Chandler Stephenson	VGK	C	75	16	35	51	-9	25	0.68	10	35	4	13
70	Mattias Ekholm	EDM	D	79	11	34	45	44	47	0.57	8	41	2	3
71	Josh Morrissey	WPG	D	81	10	59	69	34	44	0.85	8	50	2	19
72	Ross Colton	COL	C	80	17	23	40	-8	61	0.5	14	35	3	5
73	Warren Foegele	EDM	L	82	20	21	41	3	47	0.5	18	38	1	1
74	Brady Skjei	CAR	D	80	13	34	47	15	40	0.59	11	31	1	12
75	Brent Burns	CAR	D	82	10	33	43	19	20	0.52	5	22	4	20
76	William Karlsson	VGK	C	70	30	30	60	15	22	0.86	22	43	7	15
77	Shea Theodore	VGK	D	47	5	37	42	4	6	0.89	3	27	2	15
78	Filip Forsberg	NSH	L	82	48	46	94	16	43	1.15	35	62	13	32
79	Roman Josi	NSH	D	82	23	62	85	12	45	1.04	14	51	9	33
80	Sean Monahan	WPG	C	83	26	33	59	-1	12	0.71	15	36	9	21
81	Gustav Forsling	FLA	D	79	10	29	39	56	43	0.49	9	37	1	2
82	Brandon Montour	FLA	D	66	8	25	33	1	46	0.5	7	16	1	17
83	Mathew Barzal	NYI	C	80	23	57	80	-4	34	1	18	55	5	25
84	Noah Dobson	NYI	D	79	10	60	70	12	36	0.89	9	45	1	24
85	Nikolaj Ehlers	WPG	L	82	25	36	61	27	29	0.74	25	54	0	7
86	Tyler Toffoli	WPG	C	79	33	22	55	-6	14	0.7	22	37	11	18
87	Cole Perfetti	WPG	C	71	19	19	38	13	12	0.54	14	27	5	11
88	Gabriel Vilardi	WPG	C	47	22	14	36	11	14	0.77	13	22	9	14
89	Anthony Duclair	TBL	L	73	24	18	42	-8	34	0.58	19	30	5	12
90	Brock Nelson	NYI	C	82	34	35	69	-5	28	0.84	24	48	9	19
91	Bo Horvat	NYI	C	81	33	35	68	-1	39	0.84	22	48	10	18
92	Adrian Kempe	LAK	R	77	28	47	75	13	72	0.97	20	44	5	27
93	Kevin Fiala	LAK	L	82	29	44	73	1	62	0.89	18	43	11	30
94	Anze Kopitar	LAK	C	81	26	44	70	11	22	0.86	16	44	9	23
95	Jake DeBrusk	BOS	L	80	19	21	40	4	18	0.5	15	28	2	10
96	Tyler Bertuzzi	TOR	L	80	21	22	43	2	53	0.54	16	37	5	6
97	Ivan Barbashev	VGK	C	82	19	26	45	15	42	0.55	16	40	3	5
98	Gustav Nyquist	NSH	C	81	23	52	75	7	8	0.93	17	49	5	24
99	Ryan O'Reilly	NSH	C	82	26	43	69	6	18	0.84	12	41	14	28
100	Max Domi	TOR	C	80	9	38	47	10	118	0.59	8	45	1	2

NHL: DADOUN – THE FANTASY WEEK AHEAD – A look at the playoff race – Teams with favourable schedules and players to target

Ryan Dadoun — Sat, 23 Mar 2024 14:07:22 +0000

Last week I touched on Detroit’s losing streak, but the Red Wings’ situation has since stabilized. The Red Wings have won three of their past four games and earned a 6-3 victory in a key contest against the Islanders on Thursday. The Red Wings (36-28-6) now have a three-point edge over Washington (33-26-9) in the battle for the second wild-card spot, though Washington has two games in hand, so Detroit still has no margin for error.

At this stage, it looks like the fight for the final playoff seed in the East will come down to Detroit and Washington, but the Islanders (29-25-15), New Jersey (34-32-5), Buffalo (33-33-5) and even Pittsburgh (30-29-9) all have an outside chance of squeaking into the playoffs. Would it be shocking if, say, the Penguins earned a postseason berth? Absolutely, but it’s at least a mathematic possibility at the time of writing.

The final wild-card slot in the Western Conference is slightly more secure. Vegas (37-25-7) has a four-point edge over St. Louis (37-30-3) and a five-point lead over Minnesota (34-28-8) despite playing in one game less than either team. The Golden Knights likely still need to be solid down the stretch to secure their playoff berth, but at least they have a bit of breathing room.

The Blues and Wild are Vegas’ only real competition, but there is still an outside chance of a Cinderella story involving Calgary (33-30-5) or Seattle (28-28-12).

The Golden Knights still also have a path to earn the third seed in the Pacific Division over Los Angeles (36-22-11), though I’d almost say it doesn’t matter. Getting the third seed would put the Golden Knights on track to face Edmonton in the first round instead of Winnipeg, Colorado, Dallas or Vancouver. All five of those potential adversaries are great, so Vegas will have a tough first round either as a wild-card team or as the third seed in the Pacific Division.

Either way, the battle for the last playoff spots should be fun.

BOSTON, MA - JANUARY 24: Anaheim Ducks goalie Lukas Dostal (1) in warm up before a game between the Boston Bruins and the Anaheim Ducks on January 24, 2022, at TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Fred Kfoury III/Icon Sportswire)

Anaheim Ducks - TUE @ SEA, THU @ SEA, SAT @ EDM, SUN @ VAN (BTB)

Anaheim is set to play on the road all of next week. They have back-to-back contests against Seattle on Tuesday and Thursday, followed by games in Edmonton on Saturday and Vancouver on Sunday. It’s certainly not an easy schedule, especially on the back half, but the Ducks are one of the few teams scheduled to play four games, so they’re still worthy of mention.

Trevor Zegras hasn’t been in the lineup since Jan. 9 because of an ankle injury, but he has been able to resume practicing without restriction, which suggests that he’s close to returning. After exceeding the 60-point milestone in each of his previous two campaigns, he has just four goals and seven points in 20 outings this year. There’s a good chance he’ll at least be able to finish the year on a positive note, but regardless of what happens, it’s important you remember him for next season’s fantasy drafts. The 23-year-old forward should enjoy a comeback campaign, provided he gets better luck on the injury front.

The 2024-25 campaign should also be one of progress for Leo Carlsson, who has recorded nine goals and 24 points in 43 games as a rookie this season. In the meantime, though, he suffered a lower-body injury Thursday, so his status for next week’s contests is undetermined. If he can’t play then Isac Lundestrom might serve in a top-six capacity, but honestly rather than that be an opportunity for Lundestrom, it would just highlight the sorry state of the Ducks. The 24-year-old has just six points (four goals) in 34 contests this year and likely won’t do much offensively even if he moves up to the second line.

At least they have goaltender Lukas Dostal, who has done alright lately, posting a 2.69 GAA and a .916 save percentage over his past eight games. That’s worlds better than John Gibson’s 5.80 GAA (yes, really) and .833 save percentage in his past four outings. Given the disparity in their play, Dostal should get the majority of the remaining starts.

Buffalo Sabres – WED VS OTT, FRI VS NJD, SAT VS TOR (BTB)

The Sabres are likely to miss the playoffs for the 13th consecutive campaign, extending their record for the longest postseason drought in NHL history. However, they still have an outside shot of squeaking into the playoffs. In order to keep that hope alive, they’ll likely need to win all three of their contests against Ottawa on Wednesday, New Jersey on Friday and Toronto on Saturday. It’s a tall order, but at least the Sabres will have the home-ice advantage in all those games.

With Buffalo’s postseason hopes all but dashed, Jeff Skinner will likely have to wait even longer to make his first playoff appearance. The 31-year-old is approaching 1,000 career regular-season contests. This hasn’t been his best campaign, but Skinner has been alright with 24 goals and 45 points in 63 outings. He also earned his seventh career hat trick Monday when he led Buffalo in its 6-2 victory over Seattle.

Tage Thompson is surely hoping he won’t have to wait nearly as long as Skinner to get into the playoffs. However, if Thompson had played like he did in 2022-23 (47 goals, 94 points), perhaps the Sabres’ fortunes would have been different this campaign. Instead, he’s been alright, but not great with 21 goals and 43 points through 60 outings. The 27-year-old might end the season on a positive note, though. He’s on a four-game scoring streak in which Thompson has provided a goal and six points.

Meanwhile, Bowen Byram is just 22, but his name is already on the Cup thanks to his time with the Avalanche. Now a member of the Sabres, Byram is playing a prominent role and has taken advantage of that opportunity. He’s recorded three goals, six points, 17 blocks and 17 hits in eight contests while averaging 23:53 of ice time. Byram has even averaged a healthy 2:39 with the man advantage as a member of the Sabres, though the presence of Rasmus Dahlin and Owen Power means the fight for power-play ice time will always be fierce among Buffalo defensemen.

Columbus Blue Jackets – TUE @ ARI, THU @ PIT, SAT VS PIT

This will mark the Blue Jackets’ fourth straight season without a playoff berth. Nothing they do now will alter the fact that it’s been a rough campaign, but they can at least end things on a positive note. It helps that they’ll be facing other non-playoff teams next week – they’ll play in Arizona on Tuesday, in Pittsburgh on Thursday and then host the Penguins on Saturday.

Johnny Gaudreau isn’t the reason Columbus will be missing the playoffs, though it is true he hasn’t lived up to expectations. His 55 points (11 goals) through 69 outings, would mark the lowest point-per-game pace of his career if the season ended now. However, Gaudreau has contributed a goal and six points in his past four contests, so the stage is set for him to finish the campaign on a positive note.

The same might be true of Alexander Nylander, who has eight goals and 11 points in 13 contests since being acquired by Columbus from Pittsburgh. The 26-year-old forward was held off the scoresheet in his previous two games, and it’s reasonable for fantasy managers to wonder if this is the right time to jump ship, especially because he doesn’t have a track record of success beyond his recent stretch. Personally, I recommend waiting a little longer though to see if his production picks up again. Keep in mind, Nylander is being utilized on the Blue Jackets’ top line and first power-play unit, which are roles that he hasn’t enjoyed for any noteworthy stretch until now, so there might be more to his production than a mere hot streak. I’m not saying that his new role has transformed him into a superstar, but he might still do well enough to be fantasy relevant the rest of the way.

Daniil Tarasov might have value going forward too. The 24-year-old has been subpar in 2023-24 with a 7-9-3 record, 3.20 GAA and .903 save percentage across 20 appearances, but he’s been far better dating back to Feb. 21, posting a 2.30 GAA and .934 save percentage over nine games. His strong play has led to the Blue Jackets increasingly using him over Elvis Merzlikins.

Ottawa Senators – WED @ BUF, THU VS CHI, SAT @ WPG

Ottawa will begin next week with a breather before playing in Buffalo on Wednesday. The Senators will then host Chicago on Thursday and play in Winnipeg on Saturday. Like Ottawa, the Sabres and Blackhawks are having campaigns and aren’t expected to make the playoffs (Chicago has been mathematically eliminated while Buffalo has just a fringe chance of a wild-card spot), so those are two winnable games.

Ottawa is in a four-way tie for 28th defensively with 3.59 goals per game despite having an xGA/60 of 2.94, which ties the Senators for 11th overall. Those two stats in combination suggest is Ottawa’s defense is underrated and has been made to look bad this year due to poor goaltending. A case could be made that Joonas Korpisalo has been this year’s worst starter, ranking last in Goals Saved Above Expected at minus-19.4. In terms of his base stats line, he has a 15-21-4 record, 3.37 GAA and .887 save percentage in 44 contests. While it would be an oversimplification to say that Ottawa isn’t making the playoffs because of Korpisalo, it is fair to say that his terrible play has been a key factor.

Unfortunately, it seems the Senators overvalued his strong 2022-23 campaign when they inked Korpisalo to a five-year contract. While he had a Goals Saved Above Expected of 12.7 last season, he finished in the negatives in each campaign from 2017-18 through 2021-22, so performing below average relative to the team in front of him appears to be the norm for Korpisalo rather than the exception. This is all to say that if you’re looking for the 29-year-old goaltender to rebound in 2024-25, you’re making a risky bet that likely won’t pay off.

Not that Anton Forsberg, who has a 12-12-0 record, 3.42 GAA and .885 save percentage in 25 outings in 2023-24, is good either. Forsberg is signed through 2024-25 at a cap hit of $2.75 million, so Ottawa might have this unfortunate duo again next year. If that’s the case, it’s hard to see them making the playoffs in 2024-25 either.

That’s unfortunate for Claude Giroux, who is 36 years old and consequently running out of chances to make another run at the Cup. If the direction of the Senators has been weighing on him, though, he hasn’t let that bleed into his game. He’s still provided a goal and five points over his past six contests, giving him 19 goals and 58 points through 68 outings overall. It wouldn’t be surprising to see the veteran finish the season on a high note. That should also be true of Brady Tkachuk, who has provided four goals and five points over his past four contests.

The goaltending clearly needs work, but with players like Giroux and Tkachuk leading the forward corps, at least that aspect of the Senators is strong.

Philadelphia Flyers – TUE @ NYR, THU @ MTL, SAT VS CHI

The Flyers are set to play on the road against the Rangers on Tuesday and the Canadiens on Thursday before hosting the Blackhawks on Saturday. While the Rangers are a tough adversary, Philadelphia has a golden chance to collect four points against Montreal and Chicago as it looks to secure its playoff spot.

The biggest story in Philadelphia is coach John Tortorella scratching Sean Couturier for the Flyers’ 4-3 win over Toronto on Tuesday and 3-2 overtime loss to Carolina on Thursday. This comes after a stretch in which Couturier registered just three assists and had a minus-13 rating over 14 games from Feb. 15-March 19. He also has only six points (one goal) in his last 23 contests, undoing his solid start to the campaign -- 30 points (10 markers) through his first 41 appearances.

Maybe this time off will allow him to reset and come back stronger. He’ll certainly be a player to watch closely next week because when Couturier’s at his best, he’s a strong top-line option.

In the meantime, Owen Tippett has been leading the Flyers’ attack. He has three goals and eight points over his past five games, bringing him up to 25 goals and 46 points through 66 outings this year. The 25-year-old is just two goals and three points shy of his career highs.

Morgan Frost is also on a five-game scoring streak, totaling three goals and seven points in that span. He hasn’t had an amazing campaign overall (12 goals and 38 points in 59 games), but the 24-year-old has been centering the top line and serving on the first power-play unit during Couturier’s absence. Given how well he’s done in that role, Frost might continue to feature prominently even after Couturier slides back into the lineup.

Pittsburgh Penguins – TUE VS CAR, THU VS CBJ, SAT @ CBJ

The Penguins have faded out of the playoff picture at this point and things aren’t going to get any easier when they host the Hurricanes on Tuesday. The silver lining is Pittsburgh does have a home-and-away series against the lowly Blue Jackets, which will take place Thursday and Saturday, respectively.

Michael Bunting, who Pittsburgh acquired from Carolina in the Jake Guentzel trade, seems to be settling in with his new team. He’s on a three-game scoring streak and has recorded a point in four of his last five contests, totaling two goals and two assists in that span. He’s seeing time on the top power-play unit and alongside Evgeni Malkin at even strength, so Bunting seems set to have a solid finish to the campaign.

Bryan Rust is looking to finish on a high note too. He’s been limited to 48 games this season due to injury, but he has been effective when healthy with 21 goals and 41 points. The 31-year-old has done particularly well recently, providing three goals and five points across his last four contests.

Lastly, while it doesn’t have fantasy relevance, you might want to pay attention to Jeff Carter. The 39-year-old is dealing with an upper-body issue, but when he returns, he’ll likely be playing out the last games of his career. While it’s possible he’ll pursue a new contract once his present one expires this summer, he likely won’t find any takers. He’s been held to nine goals and 12 points in 61 outings this campaign. Still, Carter has had a storied career, scoring 440 goals in 1,310 career games and playing a significant role in Los Angeles’ Stanley Cup victories in 2012 and 2014.

Seattle Kraken – TUE VS ANA, THU VS ANA, SAT VS DAL

Seattle will start the week with a pair of favorable home matchups against the lowly Ducks on Tuesday and Thursday. After that two-game series, the Kraken will host the Stars on Saturday.

Vince Dunn hasn’t played since March 4 due to an upper-body injury, and he doesn’t appear to be close to returning. He’s been a key offensive defenseman for the Kraken this campaign, providing 11 goals and 45 points in 57 games. Due to Dunn’s absence, Brian Dumoulin has seen an uptick in even-strength minutes, while Ryker Evans was summoned from AHL Coachella Valley and has received a power-play role.

Evans has done decently during Dunn’s absence, recording three assists -- all with the man advantage -- in the last seven games. He’s also played with a physical edge, accumulating eight PIM and 16 hits in the same span. Once Dunn returns, Evans might lose his spot in the lineup, but it wouldn’t be surprising to see him continue to make those kinds of contributions until Dunn’s back.

Seattle’s forward corps hasn’t done great this campaign and Seattle’s attack has been particularly lackluster recently, totaling just five goals in four games from March 14-21. Still, Oliver Bjorkstrand has been a rare bright spot with a goal and three points during that stretch. He also has five goals and eight points over his last 11 contests to put his cold spell from Jan. 30-Feb. 24 (one assist in eight outings) well behind him.

As poor as the Kraken’s offense has been, Anaheim has done even worse, ranking 30th offensively with just 2.49 goals per game. It wouldn’t be surprising to see goaltenders Philipp Grubauer and Joey Daccord split the two-game set against the Ducks, and both netminders would be a good play versus Anaheim.

Vegas Golden Knights – MON @ STL, TUE @ NAS, (BTB), THU @ WPG, SAT @ MIN

The Golden Knights are one of the few teams set to play four games next week, though they’ll be on the road for that stretch. They’ll play in St. Louis on Monday, Nashville on Tuesday, Winnipeg on Thursday and Minnesota on Saturday. It’s not the easiest schedule, but the Golden Knights’ hold on the second wild-card spot is loose, so they’ll need to find a way to win a good chunk of those contests.

Their pursuit of a playoff berth has been complicated by Adin Hill, who has struggled mightily with a 3.90 GAA and an .872 save percentage over his last seven games. By contrast, Logan Thompson has saved 41 of 43 shots (.953 save percentage) over his last two contests, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see Vegas pivot to Thompson, at least in the short term. Earlier in the campaign, the Golden Knights might have been more open to riding out Hill’s cold spell in the hopes that he’d rebound, but they don’t really have that luxury at this stage.

In terms of offense, it’s been defenseman Shea Theodore who has led the charge. The 28-year-old has collected 15 assists in 14 outings since returning from an upper-body injury. That’s propelled him to four goals and 33 points across 34 outings in 2023-24. Theodore has missed significant portions of the last two campaigns due to injury, but he would likely breach the 50-point milestone for the second time in his career if he manages to stay healthy next season.

Meanwhile, blueliner Noah Hanifin seems to be settling in fine with Vegas. He has four assists, a plus-3 rating, 10 blocks and 10 hits in seven contests since being acquired from the Flames. Hanifin’s also averaging 22:09 of ice time with Vegas, though he’s only on the second power-play unit, which limits his offensive potential a bit.

NHL: DADOUN – THE FANTASY WEEK AHEAD (February 19th to 25th) – Guentzels injury complicates a tough situation for Penguins – Favourable schedules and players to target

Ryan Dadoun — Sat, 17 Feb 2024 14:27:49 +0000

WASHINGTON, DC - OCTOBER 13: Penguins center Sidney Crosby (87) takes a face-off wearing his CCM helmet, gloves, and stick and left wing Jake Guentzel (59) on his wing during the Pittsburgh Penguins versus Washington Capitals National Hockey League game on October 13, 2023 at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C.. (Photo by Randy Litzinger/Icon Sportswire)

Pittsburgh earned a 4-1 victory over Chicago on Thursday with Sidney Crosby scoring two goals, including his 30th of the campaign -- marking the 12th time he’s reached that milestone. However, with a 24-20-7 record, the Penguins are still five points behind the Detroit Red Wings and the second wild-card spot and would need to climb over the New York Islanders and the New Jersey Devils on their way to gaining that position.

That’s not an insurmountable obstacle, but it’s one that got much harder when Jake Guentzel suffered an upper-body injury Wednesday that’s projected to cost him four weeks. The Penguins have already taken the step of moving him to the long-term injured reserve list.

That complicates an already tough situation. As I’ve talked about before, Pittsburgh went into this season trying to manufacture at least one more run out of the era of Crosby, Evgeni Malkin and Kris Letang before time finally catches up to them. That would make them very reluctant sellers at the deadline as it would essentially be an admission that the era is over and the Penguins now need to rebuild.

As it happens, that brings us back to Guentzel. He’s playing out the final season of his six-year, $30 million contract and is in line for a big raise. It’s not clear if the Penguins will re-sign him, but if they feel they can’t or are otherwise willing to commit to rebuilding, then he could potentially command a huge return on the trade market. Obviously, his injury complicates that -- he might not even be healthy by the March 8 deadline -- but those interested in his services will naturally have an eye toward the playoffs and based on Guentzel’s timetable, he should be fine well before the postseason starts.

Pittsburgh still has 10 games before the deadline, and it wouldn’t be surprising if Penguins president and general manager Kyle Dubas waits until those contests are in the books before deciding what direction he wants to go. That makes those upcoming games of vital importance to the future of the franchise and, perhaps, whether Crosby spends his final campaigns in the NHL as part of a contender or as a mentor for a rebuilding squad.

Anaheim Ducks - MON @ BUF, WED VS CBJ, SAT @ LAK, SUN VS NSH (BTB)

The Ducks will begin the week with a game in Buffalo on Monday and then host the Blue Jackets on Wednesday. After a breather, the Ducks will visit LA on Saturday before playing at home against the Predators on Sunday. Anaheim isn’t a strong team, but the Blue Jackets are one of the few with a comparable record. The Sabres are also far outside of the playoff hunt, so that should be another competitive matchup for the Ducks.

Anaheim has an especially good chance of winning those contests if Frank Vatrano stays hot. The 29-year-old forward has two goals and seven points over his past five appearances. He’s having a strong campaign overall too with 23 goals and 41 points in 53 outings, which matches his career high in points, which was set in 2022-23. It helps that Vatrano is playing on the top power-play unit, which has accounted for 15 of his points, and he’s likely to remain in that role for the remainder of the campaign.

Trevor Zegras should join him on the first power-play unit once he’s recovered from a broken ankle, which he sustained Jan. 9. Based on his original six-to-eight week timetable, we’re getting to the point where you’ll want to keep an eye on the situation. Zegras has just four goals and seven points in 20 contests in what’s been an injury-riddled season, but he’s capable of far more. If nothing else, remember him for your 2024 fantasy drafts, because the 22-year-old should be an excellent rebound candidate.

Mason McTavish hasn’t had the same kind of rough campaign that Zegras has endured, but McTavish should also see improvement in 2024-25. You don’t have to wait, though. In fact, this might be a good week for the 21-year-old, especially after he scored three goals and six points over his last eight outings.

Columbus Blue Jackets - TUE @ LAK, WED @ ANA (BTB), FRI VS BUF, SUN VS NYR

Columbus will start on the road with games in Los Angeles and Anaheim on Tuesday and Wednesday, respectively. The Blue Jackets will then return home to face the Sabres on Friday and the Rangers on Sunday.

Although Ivan Provorov was able to complete Tuesday’s 6-3 loss to Ottawa, he might have suffered an injury while blocking a shot and underwent X-rays as a result. At the time of writing, the results aren’t known, so it’s unclear if he’ll be available next week. Provorov has four goals, 23 points, 44 hits and 99 blocks in 52 contests while averaging 22:36 of ice time, so he’d leave a considerable hole in the lineup if he’s unavailable.

If Provorov is forced to miss time then we might see Jake Bean take on a bigger role at even strength and start regularly featuring on the second power-play unit. Bean has four goals and nine points in 49 contests, so he hasn’t been particularly productive this season, but he’s been averaging just 16:17 of ice time and has gotten almost no work with the man advantage. The 25-year-old recorded 25 points in 2021-22 while averaging 20:34, so Bean can chip in offensively when given the opportunity.

We might also see Andrew Peeke play regularly should Provorov miss time. Like Bean, Peeke can do a bit with the puck when the opportunity presents itself. The 25-year-old blueliner has six assists, 39 hits and 40 blocks in 20 contests while averaging 15:40 in 2023-24.

When it comes to hot players, Boone Jenner is an interesting pickup option after scoring three goals in his past two games. He has 16 markers and 21 points through 37 contests in 2023-24, so he’s not a great long-term option but can provide some help when he’s on a roll.

Detroit Red Wings - MON @ SEA, THU VS COL, SAT VS STL, SUN @ CHI (BTB)

The Red Wings will start next week in Seattle for a contest Monday, but they’ll get to return to Detroit afterward to host the Avalanche on Thursday and the Blues on Saturday before closing out the week with a game in Chicago on Sunday.

With four games on the schedule, including a back-to-back set during the weekend, it’s safe to assume that the Red Wings will need more than Alex Lyon in goal. With Ville Husso once again shelved due to a lower-body injury, though, James Reimer is instead projected to get at least one start next week.

If you’re still holding onto Husso, you might want to drop him. It’s unfortunate because he only recently recovered from a different lower-body injury, but the reality of the situation is he’s week-to-week and even if he does return before the end of the campaign, he’s unlikely to receive much work. Although Husso entered the season as the projected No. 1 goaltender, the 29-year-old has lost that role to Lyon due to Husso’s 3.55 GAA and .892 save percentage in 19 appearances. With Husso’s three-year, $14.25 million contract set to run through 2024-25, he’ll need to rebound next year if he wants the league to still see him as a legitimate starter candidate.

Patrick Kane is healthy, though, having returned last Saturday from a lower-body injury. He hit the ground running with a goal and four points in three contests since rejoining the lineup. Kane’s contributed eight goals and 20 points in 22 games this season, demonstrating that the 35-year-old is still a high-end scoring threat.

Christian Fischer certainly won’t match Kane in terms of offensive production, but the 26-year-old forward is on a three-game scoring streak in which he’s collected three assists. That might be enough to warrant consideration for a short-term pickup, but Fischer’s fantasy value is typically minimal, so don’t hold onto him if he cools down.

Edmonton Oilers- MON @ ARI, WED VS BOS, FRI VS MIN, SAT VS CGY (BTB)

The Oilers will play in Arizona on Monday to conclude a three-game road trip. Afterward, Edmonton will host the Bruins on Wednesday, the Wild on Friday and the Flames on Saturday. Boston is a difficult team, but the Oilers’ other three adversaries next week have been middling.

Whether you’re lucky enough to have Connor McDavid on your fantasy squad or not, you might want to watch him next week for the fun of it. He’s doing amazing even by his incredibly high standards, scoring four goals and 20 points in his past seven games. That’s barrelled him to the 80-point milestone (21 goals, 59 assists) by his 48th contest. Nikita Kucherov and Nathan MacKinnon are the only players ahead of him in the scoring race, and it wouldn’t be shocking if all three of them finish with at least 120 points each. To put that into context, there have been seven occasions of a player reaching the 120-point milestone since the start of the salary cap era, so for three to achieve that feat all in the same campaign would be remarkable.

One of McDavid’s three assists Thursday came on a Corey Perry goal. It was Perry’s first goal and second point in six contests with Edmonton. Since signing a one-year, $775,000 contract with Edmonton on Jan. 22, Perry has seen time on the ice with McDavid and he’s also been utilized alongside Leon Draisaitl and Evander Kane. While those are choice assignments, Perry’s power-play work has been somewhat limited and he’s finished with more than 15 minutes in just two of his six games -- and even then, just barely. The 38-year-old should be seen as an okay secondary scorer, but not someone who is going to be a big enough threat with the Oilers to be worth having on a standard fantasy league team.

By contrast, Stuart Skinner was a great fantasy option for months, posting a 22-5-0 record, 2.02 GAA and .926 save percentage in 27 games from Nov. 11-Feb. 6. He’s hit a rough patch, though, allowing at least three goals in each of his past three contests. Skinner’s struggles haven’t gone on long enough to warrant panic, but meanwhile, Jack Campbell has been finding himself with AHL Bakersfield. He got off to a rough start after being sent to the minors but allowed just 20 goals over nine starts from Dec. 30-Feb. 14. Perhaps it’s time for Campbell to get another shot with the Oilers.

New York Rangers - TUE VS DAL, THU @ NJD, SAT @ PHI, SUN @ CBJ (BTB)

The Rangers will host Dallas on Tuesday, but after that they’ll take to the road, playing in New Jersey on Thursday, Philadelphia on Saturday and Columbus on Sunday. That opponent list is a mixed bag with Dallas doing well, the Flyers and Devils being decent, but not amazing, and the Blue Jackets ranking near the bottom of the NHL.

Meanwhile, the Rangers have built a firm lead in the Metropolitan Division race and their offense has been a key factor. Chris Kreider can take some credit for that. After scoring a hat trick Thursday, he’s up to 27 goals and 51 points through 54 contests this season, including seven tallies and 12 points over his past 10 games. Kreider’s goals tend to come in bunches, so be sure to take advantage of him while he’s hot if given the opportunity.

Will Cuylle hasn’t been making the same kind of headlines as Kreider. The 22-year-old is serving in a bottom-six capacity and has offered the kind of gritty play that role typically dictates, recording 38 PIM and a team-leading 173 hits in 54 appearances this season. However, Cuylle was an offensive force at lower levels, providing 80 points (43 goals, 37 assists) in 59 outings with OHL Windsor in 2021-22 as well as 45 points (25 goals, 20 assists) in 69 games with AHL Hartford last season. He’s up to 10 goals and 18 points in 54 contests with the Rangers in 2023-24 despite his limited playing time and is on a three-game scoring streak. Consider picking up Cuylle for the duration of his hot stretch, especially if your league uses hits as a category.

You also might want to consider giving Kaapo Kakko a chance. When healthy, he struggled mightily on offense during the first half of the campaign, scoring three goals and four points across 26 contests. However, he’s shown life recently, contributing three goals and five points over his last seven outings.

Tampa Bay Lightning - MON VS OTT, THU VS WAS, SAT @ NYI, SUN @ NJD (BTB)

The Lightning are set to play at home against the Senators on Monday and the Capitals on Thursday. They’ll follow that up with a road set over the weekend versus the Islanders and the Devils on Saturday and Sunday, respectively. None of Tampa Bay’s upcoming opponents are in a playoff position, though the Islanders and Devils still have a solid shot of reaching the postseason.

The Lightning is in a strong spot in the playoff race with a 30-20-5 record thanks to their run of 11 wins over their past 14 contests. The Lightning’s resurgence is thanks in no small part to Andrei Vasilevskiy, who has rebounded from a rough start to post a 10-2-0 record, 2.41 GAA and .915 save percentage in his last 12 starts.

Meanwhile, Jonas Johansson has been used sparingly, but he’ll probably get a start Saturday or Sunday. If it’s against the Islanders, who are tied for 22nd offensively with 2.91 goals per game, then he might be worth considering as a short-term pickup for a spot start. Johansson has a 3.46 GAA and an .889 save percentage in 23 outings, so he’s not having a great year, but with Tampa Bay rolling, he’s at least a decent candidate to collect a win.

In contrast to Johansson’s struggles, Anthony Cirelli had one of the best campaigns of his career with 12 goals and 30 points through 54 appearances. A lot of that production has come recently -- Cirelli has three four and 13 points over his last 11 outings. He’s unlikely to maintain that pace, but fantasy managers should take advantage of the 26-year-old forward while he’s hot.

Vegas Golden Knights - MON @ SJS, TUE VS NSH, THU VS TOR, SAT @ OTT

The Golden Knights will start the week with a road game against the lowly Sharks before hosting the Predators and the Maple Leafs on Tuesday and Thursday, respectively, and finishing with a visit to Ottawa on Saturday. Toronto is the only team on that list in a playoff position, though the Predators are also in the running.

Jack Eichel, who underwent lower-body surgery in mid-January, was originally given a four-to-six-week timetable, so we’re at the point where he might be getting close to returning. When Eichel is back, he’ll likely serve on the first line and top power-play unit. His return might cut into Nicolas Roy’s playing time, especially with William Karlsson having also recently rejoined the lineup from a lower-body injury. If that happens, Roy, who has 10 goals and 29 points in 44 outings, would likely see his production dip.

Shea Theodore (upper body) is also getting close to returning and when he does, Daniil Miromanov will likely see his power-play role vanish. However, the 26-year-old defenseman is an interesting pickup to hold onto until Theodore’s back. Miromanov missed most of the campaign because of an undisclosed injury, but after recovering he recorded a goal and six points in five outings during a conditioning stint with AHL Henderson, and he made his NHL season debut Feb. 8. Although he didn’t record a point in his first two contests with Vegas, he did average 2:38 with the man advantage (17:56 overall), so he’s getting a solid opportunity.

If Logan Thompson is available to be picked up, he’s also worthy of consideration given the likelihood that he’ll start versus San Jose on Monday or Nashville on Tuesday. Obviously, facing the Sharks is preferable for the goaltender, but Nashville ranks 19th offensively with 2.96 goals per game, so either opponent might yield a good result. Thompson has been alright this season with a 16-10-4 record, 2.77 GAA and .906 save percentage in 31 games, but he’s fallen into the No. 2 slot with Adin Hill recovered from his undisclosed injury.

Winnipeg Jets - MON @ CGY, TUE VS MIN, FRI @ CHI, SUN VS ARI

The Jets will face the Flames in Calgary on Monday, and then return to Winnipeg to play against Minnesota on Tuesday. After that back-to-back, Winnipeg will play in Chicago on Friday and host the Coyotes on Sunday.

Winnipeg’s offense has gone ice cold in February, scoring just four goals over its last four contests. That’s despite acquiring Sean Monahan from Montreal on Feb. 2 at the cost of the Jets’ 2024 first-round pick. Monahan hasn’t recorded a point with the Jets, but he’s fired nine shots while averaging 16:16 of ice time, including 2:13 with the man advantage, over his first four games with Winnipeg, so it should just be a matter of time before he breaks through.

Monahan’s addition has been bad news for Adam Lowry, though. Lowry has averaged just 14:55 since the Jets’ trade and has received almost no power-play ice time. He has eight goals and 23 points in 51 outings in 2023-24, so Lowry already wasn’t a significant factor in fantasy circles, and his offensive production is likely to slow further.

One player who conversely might start doing better is Cole Perfetti. The 22-year-old has been limited to an assist over his last 11 games, but it’s not unusual for younger forwards to be prone to big hot and cold streaks. In terms of strong stretches, he had eight goals and 17 points across 18 contests from Oct. 24-Dec. 2 as well as five markers and 10 points in 11 games from Dec. 18-Jan. 9, so be on the lookout for his next big run.

DADOUN: THE FANTASY WEEK AHEAD – Sharks show some bite in tough season – Coyotes, Hurricanes, Avalanche, Devils, Islanders, Maple Leafs, Canucks and Golden Knights – Players to target

Ryan Dadoun — Sat, 09 Dec 2023 16:09:54 +0000

BOSTON, MA - NOVEMBER 30: San Jose Sharks left wing Fabian Zetterlund (20) takes a shot in warm up before a game between the Boston Bruins and the San Jose Sharks on November 30, 2023, at TD garden in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Fred Kfoury III/Icon Sportswire)

This column was previously getting released at the start of the week, but starting today, it will come out Saturdays instead. It’ll still preview the upcoming week, but now you’ll have more time to plan your strategy. Please bear in mind that the information provided is reflective of the time of writing (in this case, the morning of Dec. 8).

That aside, I wanted to cast a light on San Jose, which has won five of its last seven games. The Sharks have been fun to watch recently with them overcoming a 4-1 deficit against the Islanders on Tuesday and a 4-0 deficit to the Red Wings on Thursday. After a 0-10-1 start to the campaign that included back-to-back games in which they surrendered 10 goals, the Sharks are now 8-17-2. Still not good, but given where they came from, that’s impressive.

Looking at their last seven games specifically, the big change for San Jose has been its offense. The Sharks have scored 4.00 goals per game over that span, compared to 1.09 over their first 11 outings. Tomas Hertl has been an important factor in their recent surge, providing five goals and nine points over his last six appearances, but the real standout performer has been Mikael Granlund, who went from recording four assists over his first 13 contests to contributing three goals and 12 points over his last seven outings.

The Sharks have gotten some support team-wide too. Seven different players have supplied at least two goals over the past seven games, including three markers from defenseman Jacob MacDonald, who had just three goals over 101 career NHL games going into this campaign.

Is this sustainable, though? Probably not. The Sharks don’t have a particularly good team. Goaltenders Mackenzie Blackwood and Kaapo Kahkonen are still struggling, so if the offense cools from its unreal pace, then the whole house of cards will likely crumble again. Plus overcoming three- or four-goal deficits is fun to watch, but not something that can be counted on to happen routinely.

It is encouraging to see youngsters William Eklund, who has two goals and five points over his last four contests, and Fabian Zetterlund, who has four goals and five points over his last seven games, do well though. They’re the future of the franchise, so strong performances from them matter much more to San Jose than whether the squad is winning or losing today.

Arizona Coyotes - MON @ BUF, TUE @ PIT (BTB), FRI VS. SJS, SAT VS. BUF (BTB)

The Coyotes enjoyed a five-game winning streak from Nov. 25-Dec. 4, bringing them up to 13-9-2 by the end of that run. After spending a few years rebuilding, Arizona has a real shot of making the playoffs this year.

Of course, the Coyotes still have a lot of work ahead of them, which they’ll continue next week with games in Buffalo on Monday and Pittsburgh on Tuesday, followed by home contests versus the Sharks on Friday and Sabres on Saturday. Those adversaries range from bad to middling this campaign, so the Coyotes should do well.

With two back-to-back sets, Karel Vejmelka should get some work for the first time since Nov. 22. He’s struggled this campaign with a 2-6-2 record, 3.45 GAA and .892 save percentage in 11 contests, so he’s not an ideal option for a situational pickup. That said, if he draws the Sharks, then it might be worth considering him (provided San Jose has cooled by that point).

If Alex Kerfoot is still available in your league, he’d be a good pickup. He’s one of the hottest players in the league with a goal and nine points over his last five contests. Part of that surge is thanks to him getting an increased role. Over his first 15 contests this campaign, he had a goal and four points while averaging 15:01 of ice time, including just 0:18 with the man advantage, but that’s jumped to 18:57 over his last 10 contests, including 2:21 on the power play. So, while he obviously can’t maintain the offensive pace of his last five games, as long as Arizona keeps deploying him like it has recently, Kerfoot should continue to be a valuable forward in most fantasy leagues.

Someone else to consider in the short-term but is less likely to have long-term success is Michael Carcone. He has five goals over his last five contests, but his shooting percentage has climbed to an unsustainable 32.4 and he serves in a bottom-six role, so expect him to crash completely once the hot streak is over.

Carolina Hurricanes – TUE @ OTT, THU @DET, FRI VS NSH (BTB), SUN VS WAS

The Hurricanes will start the week by completing their six-game road trip with games in Ottawa on Tuesday and Detroit on Thursday. They’ll then get an opportunity to defend PNC Arena when they host the Predators on Friday and the Capitals on Sunday. Detroit’s been pretty good this campaign, but Nashville is the only other opponent currently in a playoff position, and even then, just barely.

Andrei Svechnikov couldn’t play Thursday due to an upper-body injury. If it turns out he won’t be available for some or all of next week’s games, then that will have a significant impact on Carolina’s lineup. In particular, Michael Bunting could play a major role during Svechnikov’s absence. When Svechnikov missed the first eight contests of the campaign because of a knee injury, Bunting had two goals and six points in eight contests while averaging 18:12 of ice time. Since then, Bunting has dropped to 13:45 while providing four goals and 10 points over 17 games.

We also might see Brendan Lemieux playing consistently during Svechnikov’s absence. Lemieux isn’t much of a factor offensively, but if you’re in a position where you’re looking for penalty minutes, he can help you there. Through 10 appearances this season, he’s accumulated 33 PIM and the 27-year-old has 517 PIM in 285 career games.

On the power play, there might be an opportunity for Brady Skjei to assume a second-line role. He has four goals and 15 points in 29 contests this season, which is great for a defenseman who is averaging just 0:13 with the man advantage. Even a second unit power-play role would be a potentially meaningful boost for him.

Colorado Avalanche – MON VS CGY, WED VS BUG, SAT @ WPG, SUN VS SJS (BTB)

The Avalanche will play four games next week, including home contests against the Flames on Monday, the Sabes on Wednesday and the Sharks on Sunday. Sprinkled in there will also be a road outing in Winnipeg on Saturday. Of those opponents, just Winnipeg is in a playoff position. The Sharks have won five of their last seven games, though, so it’ll be interesting to see if they’re still hot by the time that contest happens.

Speaking of hot players, Nathan MacKinnon is on a 10-game scoring streak, providing four goals and 16 points over that stretch, including two goals and five points over his last two contests alone. Through Thursday’s action, MacKinnon has moved into a three-way tie for fourth in the scoring race with 36 points in 26 outings.

The Avalanche don’t have any other players who are currently excelling, though. Bowen Byram is interesting with two goals and three points over his last four contests. He might be worth some short-term consideration, but the lack of a consistent power-play role is a significant negative.

We also should see Ivan Prosvetov start this week, likely Sunday versus San Jose. He’s been decent when utilized, posting a 2-1-1 record, 2.45 GAA and .919 save percentage in six contests this season, so if you’re looking for a situational pickup in goal, then Prosvetov is a good option.

New Jersey Devils – WED VS BOS, SAT @ CBJ, SUN VS ANA (BTB)

The Devils are a borderline selection because they have just three games this week and their first contest is a home game versus the mighty Bruins on Wednesday. However, New Jersey will then face two of the worst teams in the league with matches in Columbus on Saturday and against the Ducks on Sunday.

If you look at the league leader in terms of points per game, it isn’t Nikita Kucherov, Artemi Panarin or Connor McDavid. That honor instead belongs to Jack Hughes, who has 10 goals and 33 points in just 19 contests. Hughes missed five straight games from Nov. 5-16 due to a shoulder injury but has bounced right back. In particular, he scored four goals and 10 points over a four-game stretch from Nov. 28-Dec. 5. Provided he stays healthy the rest of the way, Hughes is a good bet to surpass his career high of 99 points.

Hughes is far from New Jersey’s sole offensive threat with the team averaging 3.63 goals per game -- fourth in the NHL. However, that’s been counterbalanced by the Devils allowing 3.67 goals per contest, which is the second worst in the league. Their expected goals against per 60 is 3.27, which suggests that part of the problem is New Jersey’s defense, but its goaltending has been lacking too.

Vitek Vanecek is having a disastrous campaign with a 3.60 GAA and an .877 save percentage in 16 contests. The fact that he has a 9-5-0 record despite that is a testament to the Devils’ amazing offense, but for a team with playoff aspirations, Vanecek isn’t looking like an acceptable option. Lately, that’s led to New Jersey pivoting more toward Akira Schmid.

Schmid struggled initially with a 3.46 GAA and an .885 save percentage through his first six appearances in 2023-24, but since then he’s rebounded with a 3-2-0 record, 2.53 GAA and .920 save percentage in five outings. With the 23-year-old outplaying Vanecek, Schmid has a real opportunity to steal the No. 1 gig, which could lead to him accumulating a lot of wins given the offensive support New Jersey can provide.

New York Islanders – MON VS TOR, FRI VS ANA, SAT @BOS (BTB)

The Islanders will start the week with home games versus the Maple Leafs, Ducks and Bruins on Monday, Wednesday and Friday, respectively, before visiting Montreal on Saturday. Toronto and Boston are tough adversaries, but Anaheim and Montreal rank near the bottom of the league, and it helps that the Islanders will be playing mostly at home next week.

Mathew Barzal and Bo Horvat have been playing some of the best hockey of their lives recently. Barzal has four goals and 11 points over his last four games, propelling him to nine goals and 27 points in 24 outings this year. Meanwhile, Horvat is on a five-game scoring streak in which he’s scored four goals and nine points, bringing him up to nine markers and 23 points through 24 appearances in 2023-24.

The Islanders have been getting offensive help from less common sources too. Julien Gauthier has two goals and five points in five contests this year. You can consider taking him in the short term, but keep in mind that he’s a depth forward, so once his hot streak ends, he won’t have value in anything but the absolute deepest of leagues.

Similarly, Simon Holmstrom is averaging just 13:38 of ice time this year, so he hasn’t been getting a big enough role to warrant holding him in standard fantasy leagues. However, Holmstrom is an interesting short-term option after scoring two goals and four points over his last four contests.

Toronto Maple Leafs – MON @ NYI, TUE @ NYR (BTB), THU VS CBJ, SAT VS PIT

The Maple Leafs’ schedule isn’t necessarily easy, but it is full with four games ahead of them. They’ll start the week with games in New York versus the Islanders on Monday and the Rangers on Tuesday. Afterwards, the Leafs will return home to host the Blue Jackets on Thursday and Penguins on Saturday.

Goaltender Joseph Woll sustained a leg injury during Thursday’s 4-3 victory over Ottawa and is expected to miss time. He had been serving as the Leafs’ top goaltender, but the injury will at least temporarily force Toronto to pivot back to Ilya Samsonov, who has missed the last two games due to an illness but will presumably be fine by next week. Samsonov has a 3.58 GAA and an .878 save percentage in 10 contests, so he’s been far from ideal, but he shouldn’t be dismissed after recording a 2.33 GAA and a .919 save percentage in 42 outings last season.

Martin Jones might also get a start next week depending on how long Woll is out for. Don’t expect too much out of Jones, though. He had a 3.09 GAA and an .895 save percentage in 220 NHL games from 2018-19 through 2022-23 and more recently has posted a 3.37 GAA and an .870 save percentage in five outings with AHL Toronto. Simply put, he’s not a good option. You might want to keep Dennis Hildeby in the back of your mind, though. The 22-year-old excelled in the Swedish Hockey League and has looked dominant in the AHL this campaign with a 1.89 GAA and a .925 save percentage in nine contests.

Putting the Maple Leafs’ goaltending aside, the team has been led by the usual suspects recently, which is to say that Mitch Marner, Auston Matthews and William Nylander have combined for seven goals and 12 points over Toronto’s last three games. Meanwhile, Max Domi has provided a goal and an assist over his last two contests. He’s been inconsistent offensively, which is unlikely to change so long as he’s averaging just 12:54 of ice time, but he’s an interesting short-term pickup while he’s hot, especially if you’re in a position to benefit from the penalty minutes he can provide.

Vancouver Canucks – TUE VS TBL, THU VS FLA, SAT @ MIN, SUN @ CHI (BTB)

The Canucks will kick off the week by hosting the Lightning on Tuesday and the Panthers on Thursday. They’ll then travel to Minnesota for a contest Saturday and face the Blackhawks in Chicago on Sunday. Those later two games are of particular interest given that they’re against teams not in playoff spots.

Sam Lafferty has bounced around the lineup this campaign, but lately, he’s been playing alongside Elias Pettersson and Ilya Mikheyev. That’s a golden opportunity for the 28-year-old, who has seven goals and 13 points in 27 contests this year. He’s also doing well at the moment with two goals and three points over his last three games. Be careful not to get too excited about Lafferty, whose career high in points is just 27, but his fantasy value will increase meaningfully if his current top-six role proves to be more than just a temporary assignment.

One Canucks player who has trended in the other direction recently is Andrei Kuzmenko. After scoring 39 goals and 74 points in 81 contests last year, the 27-year-old has been limited to four goals and 15 points over 24 outings in 2023-24, including just one point (a goal) over his last eight appearances. Things got so bad that he was even a healthy scratch for two straight games from Nov. 24-25 and he logged just 12:15 of ice time Thursday, his second-lowest total of the season.

While I don’t expect Kuzmenko to repeat his 2022-23 heights, he certainly can do better than he has lately. Given his recent play and his diminished role (which I believe to be temporary), he’s a solid buy-low candidate.

Vegas Golden Knights – TUE VS CGY, FRI VS BUF, SUN VS OTT

Vegas has just three games scheduled next week, but they’re all home contests against teams not in a playoff position. Specifically, the Golden Knights will host the Flames on Tuesday, the Sabres on Friday and the Senators on Sunday.

Jack Eichel is easily the hottest member of the Golden Knights with four goals and nine points over his last four contests, pushing him up to 12 goals and 30 points in 27 contests in 2023-24. Alex Tuch has already worked out great for Buffalo while Peyton Krebs and Noah Ostlund still might be good for the Sabres in the long run, so it’d be overly simplistic to call Vegas the winners of the Eichel trade, but the Golden Knights nevertheless must be thrilled with how that move has worked out.

Ben Hutton has been a bit of a disappointment, though, at least from a fantasy perspective. With Shea Theodore (upper body) unavailable, Hutton has averaged 2:17 of power-play ice time over the last seven contests, up from an average of just 0:25 over his first 14 outings. However, Hutton has just a goal and an assist over his last seven games and neither of those points came with the man advantage. Hutton’s never been much of an offensive force anyway, but it is a shame that he hasn’t gotten any production out of that power-play role.

If Daniil Miromanov (undisclosed) returns before Theodore, then he might take that power-play spot from Hutton. In that scenario, Miromanov would have some fantasy value.

*(BTB) – Denotes the second of a back-to-back series

FANTASY: The Week Ahead – November 27 to December 3rd – Teams with favourable schedules and who to target

Ryan Dadoun — Mon, 27 Nov 2023 17:41:13 +0000

With a 4-1 loss to Detroit on Sunday, Minnesota has now lost its last seven straight contests to drop to 5-10-4. That puts them 30th in the NHL in terms of points, ahead of just Chicago and San Jose.

At the heart of Minnesota’s issues is its goaltending. Marc-Andre Fleury has a 3-4-2 record, 3.46 GAA and .875 save percentage through nine outings while Filip Gustavsson is 2-6-2 with a 3.94 GAA and an .881 save percentage in 11 starts. Going into Sunday’s action, the Wild ranked eighth in expected goals against with 57.31, which suggests the defense has been solid, but the goalies have wasted the effort.

To be fair to Fleury and Gustavsson though, the Wild have also struggled to score and currently sit in a three-way tie for 20th offensively with 2.95 goals per game. Mats Zuccarello, Kirill Kaprizov and Joel Eriksson Ek are a solid enough trio, supplying 21, 18 and 17 points respectively through 19 games, but after them, the Wild’s next best players are Ryan Hartman and Marco Rossi, who each have 11 points. In other words, they could use more secondary scoring.

These are issues that have been tough for Minnesota to address. Buying out Zach Parise and Ryan Suter in July of 2021 might have helped the Wild out in the short term, but they’re paying for it now. The team has $14.7 million in dead space this year and they’ll have the same penalty next season as well. After that, the bulk of the cap burden will go away, but in the meantime, GM Bill Guerin is assembling this team with a hand behind his back. It’s unfortunate because it’s squandering the prime years of Kaprizov, who is also only under contract through 2026, but that’s the reality.

Maybe it’s too early to write Minnesota off, though. Fleury has defied expectations before, so maybe the 38-year-old has one more comeback in him. Maybe Gustavsson will bounce back too, given how much better he was than this in 2022-23. It’s a long shot given how deep the Wild’s hole is at this point, but it’s also their best hope.

MONTREAL, QC - NOVEMBER 11: Look on Boston Bruins center Charlie Coyle (13) during the Boston Bruins versus the Montreal Canadiens game on November 11, 2023, at Bell Centre in Montreal, QC (Photo by David Kirouac/Icon Sportswire)

Boston Bruins

Boston is experiencing its first downswing of the season, though it’s only been a mild one. The Bruins have lost two straight contests and three of their last four games, bringing their record to 14-3-3.

Boston will attempt to end the slump during a busy week, featuring games in Columbus on Monday, against the Sharks on Thursday, in Toronto on Saturday and versus the Blue Jackets on Sunday. Two contests against the lowly Blue Jackets, not to mention the league-worst Sharks, make the upcoming stretch a great opportunity for the Bruins to enter a new winning streak.

Keep an eye on Charlie Coyle, particularly during this stretch. He’s riding a five-game scoring streak in which he’s collected four goals and seven points. With nine markers and 19 points in 20 outings this campaign, Coyle’s well on his way to shattering his career highs of 21 goals and 56 points. Take some caution with him though: His 23.1 shooting percentage is a big red flag. Given the nature of the upcoming competition, I don’t expect him to slow down yet, but if you have Coyle on your fantasy squad, you might want to think about attempting to sell high in a week or two.

If your team happens to include either Bruins goaltender -- Linus Ullmark or Jeremy Swayman -- don't worry yet. Sure, Swayman has allowed nine goals on 75 shots (.880 save percentage) over his last two starts while Ullmark was on the wrong end of a 7-4 loss to the Rangers on Saturday, but those struggles are an anomaly is what has been a generally strong campaign for both of them. The Bruins were also facing some of the league’s top offenses recently, which won’t be the case in three of their four contests this week.

Florida Panthers

The Panthers are another team that needs to rebound after a bit of a skid. They have a two-game losing streak heading into a road trip against Ottawa on Monday, Toronto on Tuesday and Montreal on Thursday. They’ll then return to Florida to host the Islanders on Saturday. Of those adversaries, Toronto is the only one in the upper half of the league in terms of points.

With that busy schedule against mostly middling teams ahead of Florida, you might be well served to grab defenseman Niko Mikkola in fantasy leagues for the short term if you have the opportunity. He’s not typically a significant offensive threat -- his career high in points is 13 -- but the Panthers have used him in a top-four role this season, which has led to his production ticking up to three goals and eight points in 20 contests. He’s been particularly effective recently with two goals and three points over his last three outings.

This week should also see the end of Matthew Tkachuk’s scoreless drought, which currently stands at five games. In particular, I’m looking for him to find the back of the net soon. He has just three tallies through 20 contests, leaving him with a 3.5 shooting percentage, which is far below his career average of 12.7. Tkachuk is not going to continue to be that unlucky with the puck, especially with him currently ranking in the 99th percentile in terms of high-danger shots on goal.

Nashville Predators

Nashville has clawed its way back to .500 by winning its last five contests, and the Predators have three home games ahead of them as they look to extend that run. They’ll host the Penguins on Tuesday, the Wild on Thursday and the Rangers on Saturday before concluding the week with a road contest versus Buffalo on Sunday.

Filip Forsberg has been the chief architect of the Predators’ current winning streak, providing four goals and seven points over that five-game span. Through 20 outings this year, he’s up to 11 goals and 25 points. Forsberg was held back by injury troubles last year, but now that he’s healthy again, it’s entirely plausible for him to challenge his career highs of 42 goals and 84 points, which were set in 2021-22.

If you’re looking for a lower profile forward who might be had in standard fantasy leagues as a short-term pickup, then Yakov Trenin should fit the bill. After being held off the scoresheet over his first 14 contests this season, Trenin has contributed four goals and five points over his last five contests. He typically serves in a middle-six role but has logged over 17 minutes in each of Nashville’s last three contests, including a season-high 19:18 on Sunday.

New York Rangers

The Rangers have won three consecutive contests, bringing them up to 15-3-1, so they’re in a dominant position going into what will be a busy week. They’ll host the Sabres and Red Wings on Monday and Wednesday, respectively, before traveling to Nashville for a contest Saturday and returning home to play the Sharks. Of those teams, the 11-6-3 Red Wings are the fiercest competition, but the Rangers already earned a 5-3 victory over Detroit earlier this month.

Jimmy Vesey might be a decent short-term pickup this week. He’s primarily a fourth line forward, but recently he’s seen an uptick in ice time to an average of 13:34 over his last three outings and even has gotten a little use on the second power-play unit. Vesey also supplied a goal and an assist Saturday, bringing him up to four tallies and seven points in 17 outings this campaign. It’s all still not enough to make him fantasy-relevant in most leagues under normal circumstances, but New York’s busy schedule combined with his increased usage makes things interesting for now.

On the blue line, Erik Gustafsson is on fire with a goal and 10 points over his last nine appearances. It’s no coincidence that Gustafsson’s offensive climb coincides perfectly with Adam Fox’s (lower body) absence. Gustafsson is on the first power-play unit during Fox’s absence and three of Gustafsson’s last four helpers have been recorded with the man advantage.

Fox is eligible to be activated off LTIR on Nov. 29, so there’s a non-zero chance he’ll return this week. If that happens, Gustafsson’s production is likely to cool somewhat.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Speaking of returning stars, goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy made his season debut Friday, saving 22 of 24 shots in an 8-2 victory over Carolina. Now that their elite netminder has recovered from his back injury, Tampa Bay will look to go on a run this week with games in Colorado on Monday, Arizona on Tuesday and Dallas on Saturday. The Lightning also have a home contest Thursday versus the Penguins.

Vasilevskiy is extremely unlikely to play in both halves of the back-to-back, especially so soon after returning, so Jonas Johansson is likely to make at least one start this week. Beyond that though, Johansson should be used sparingly for the remainder of the campaign. He didn’t do enough to earn a bigger role in the long run with his 8-4-5 record, 3.41 GAA and .894 save percentage in 17 outings during Vasilevskiy’s absence.

Up front, this should be another big week for Nikita Kucherov, who is on fire with four goals and 11 points over his last four contests. It’s crazy to think that Kucherov comes with a sub-$10 million cap hit through 2026-27 ($9.5 million to be exact), especially with the cap expected to jump dramatically over the next couple of seasons.

He’s not the biggest bargain on the Lightning though: That’d be Brandon Hagel. He’s in the final campaign of a three-year, $4.5 million deal. Hagel set career highs in 2022-23 with 30 goals and 64 points in 81 contests and might do even better this season after providing 10 goals and 22 points through 21 outings. Even the eight-year, $52 million deal he signed in August might prove to be a steal when you consider that he’s just 25.

He also highlights the downside of the Blackhawks’ aggressive fire sale in the pre-Connor Bedard era. While it’s too early to truly judge the trade that sent Hagel to Tampa Bay in March 2022, and it’s possible Hagel’s breakout would have interfered with Chicago’s ability to tank for Bedard, it’s hard not to argue that Hagel wouldn’t be an ideal player for a rebuilding squad like the Blackhawks to have, if only they had held onto him.

Vegas Golden Knights

After getting off to an 11-0-1 start, Vegas has won just three of its last nine games. The Golden Knights will start the week against two struggling teams though, with contests in Calgary on Monday and Edmonton on Tuesday. Vegas will then wrap up the road trip with a contest in Vancouver on Thursday before hosting Washington on Saturday.

Vegas is missing key blueliner Shea Theodore (lower body) after he was put on the injured reserve list Sunday and defenseman Alec Martinez (lower body) has missed the Golden Knights’ last two contests and is regarded as day-to-day.

That’s created an opportunity for Ben Hutton, who logged a season-high 20:34 of ice time Saturday, including 2:49 with the man advantage. By contrast, he’s averaged 15:02 this season and 0:35 on the power play. Hutton has just two assists in 15 games this season, so don’t get too excited, but if he maintains the role he had Saturday for as long as Theodore and Martinez are out, then Hutton might still make some short-term offensive contributions.

Vegas has just scored two goals over its last three games, so naturally, the Golden Knights don’t have much in the way of hot forwards, but Jonathan Marchessault is the closest to an exception with three goals and five points over his last five outings. The 32-year-old is up to nine goals and 14 points through 21 contests overall and should surpass the 50-point milestone for the third straight campaign.

Washington Capitals

The Capitals suffered a 5-0 loss to Edmonton on Friday but won its previous five games. They’ll be on the road this week with contests in San Jose on Monday, LA on Wednesday, Anaheim on Thursday and Vegas on Saturday.

T.J. Oshie (upper body) suffered an injury Friday, so the Capitals might be without him this week in addition to forwards Nicklas Backstrom (hip) and Max Pacioretty (Achilles). With so many key scorers out, the Capitals’ top six is looking fairly thin.

Matthew Phillips has been a healthy scratch for the Capitals’ last three games, but he might draw back into the lineup Monday and even see time on one of the top two lines. The 25-year-old had 36 goals and 76 points in 66 AHL contests this year, so he’s always been worth keeping an eye on to see how the Capitals utilize him. So far in 2023-24, he has a goal and four points in 14 outings but has averaged just 10:40 of ice time.

Connor McMichael also has the potential to see his role increase somewhat. Through 17 outings this year, he has four goals and eight points while averaging 14:38 of ice time. It’s worth noting he’s been hot lately with two goals and five points over his last seven outings, making this an ideal time for the Capitals to utilize him more anyway.

One additional forward to monitor is Hendrix Lapierre. The 21-year-old has struggled to get a regular role this campaign, but the injuries might change that. Taken with the 22nd overall pick in the 2020 NHL Draft, he gave a taste of what he might be capable of last Saturday when he scored a goal and registered two assists in a 4-3 win over Columbus. Outside of that, though, Lapierre’s been quiet with Washington.

Winnipeg Jets

Despite a 3-2 loss to Nashville on Sunday, Winnipeg is one of the hottest teams in the league after claiming eight of its last 10 games. The Jets only have three games this week, but they’re all home contests, against Dallas on Tuesday, Edmonton on Thursday and Chicago on Saturday. Those final two games look particularly winnable given the state of the Oilers (7-12-1) and Blackhawks (6-13-0).

Connor Hellebuyck has been a huge part of the Jets’ recent success, posting a 6-1-0 record, 2.15 GAA and .926 save percentage over his last seven starts. That’s night and day compared to his first eight starts of the campaign -- a 4-3-1 record, 3.09 GAA and .891 save percentage. Hellebuyck has been an elite goaltender for years, so it’s not surprising to see the 30-year-old rebound from his shaky start. With this week’s contests spread out, there’s a good chance the Jets will deploy him in all their games.

Josh Morrissey is also on a strong run, providing three goals and five points over his last four outings. That brings him up to four goals and 19 points in 20 contests this year. Vladislav Namestnikov has been an underrated factor too, supplying a goal and six assists over the span of a six-game scoring streak from Nov. 11-24. That run ended Sunday, but it’s a little early to declare the hot streak completely dead. That said, he traditionally hasn’t been a significant offensive force -- he's exceeded the 40-point mark just once in his career -- so if you picked him up during his recent success, then you should be prepared to drop him if he has a couple more quiet contests in a row.