[04-May-2026 15:31:54 UTC] PHP Fatal error: Uncaught Error: Class 'WP_Widget' not found in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/widgets/mckeens_news_feed_widget.php:3 Stack trace: #0 {main} thrown in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/widgets/mckeens_news_feed_widget.php on line 3 [04-May-2026 15:31:55 UTC] PHP Fatal error: Uncaught Error: Class 'WP_Widget' not found in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/widgets/mckeens_sidebar_menu_widget.php:3 Stack trace: #0 {main} thrown in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/widgets/mckeens_sidebar_menu_widget.php on line 3 [04-May-2026 15:31:45 UTC] PHP Fatal error: Uncaught Error: Call to undefined function add_action() in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/shortcodes/mckeens_display_editorials.php:22 Stack trace: #0 {main} thrown in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/shortcodes/mckeens_display_editorials.php on line 22 [04-May-2026 15:31:46 UTC] PHP Fatal error: Uncaught Error: Call to undefined function add_action() in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/shortcodes/mckeens_display_tabs.php:50 Stack trace: #0 {main} thrown in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/shortcodes/mckeens_display_tabs.php on line 50 [04-May-2026 15:31:47 UTC] PHP Fatal error: Uncaught Error: Call to undefined function add_action() in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/shortcodes/mckeens_heading.php:15 Stack trace: #0 {main} thrown in /home/mckeens/public_html/wp-content/themes/understrap-child/inc/shortcodes/mckeens_heading.php on line 15 Kody Clark – McKeen's Hockey https://www.mckeenshockey.com The Essential Hockey Annual Sat, 11 Sep 2021 12:20:36 +0000 en-US hourly 1 2021-22 TOP 15 PROSPECTS: WASHINGTON CAPITALS – RANK: #28 – TIER VI https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/top-15-prospects-washington-capitals-rank-28-tier-vi/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/top-15-prospects-washington-capitals-rank-28-tier-vi/#respond Sat, 11 Sep 2021 12:20:36 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=172350 Read More... from 2021-22 TOP 15 PROSPECTS: WASHINGTON CAPITALS – RANK: #28 – TIER VI

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Washington Capitals

#28 Washington - Washington has been trying to add some higher end players of late, but not enough of them. There may not be ten real future NHLers in this system.

Connor McMichael
  1. Connor McMichael

It was an excellent development year for McMichael, especially given the circumstances surrounding his first pro season (thrust into the AHL as a 19-year-old because of the OHL’s cancellation). McMichael finished the season as Hershey’s leading scorer and was subsequently named to the AHL’s All-Rookie team. The 2019 first round selection has put himself firmly in competition for NHL playing time as early as this upcoming season.

The former London Knights star has the potential to be an extremely versatile player. He can play any forward position. He has the intelligence level to play in any situation. And he is a more than competent finisher, due to a great wrist shot and scoring instincts. While he may not project as a first line all-star at the NHL level, he does have a chance of becoming a consistent 20-goal scorer and someone who can play a middle six role for Washington in the near and distant future. Look for him to split the year between the AHL and NHL this upcoming season, likely serving as the Capitals’ top injury call-up. In that situation, he should establish himself as an NHL regular by the time the 2022/23 season comes along. - BO

  1. Hendrix Lapierre

How good it feels to see a healthy Hendrix Lapierre! This past season Lapierre finally managed to distance himself from his previous injuries. Visually, he appeared much better equipped to play a more physically engaged brand of hockey. He was sturdier, stronger and he looked like he had added serious lower body power. It had been a difficult season for everyone last year (COVID-19), but especially so for Lapierre. He earned the nickname "King of Quarantines" after spending 63 days in administrative quarantine during the season, split between the camp for Junior Team Canada, the pro camp in Washington and a return to Chicoutimi with his junior team.

It was an emotional season for the young man from Aylmer, Quebec too. A heartbreaking cut at Team Canada junior selection camp, a surprise invitation to the Capitals camp, a trade after the season (In the QMJHL), etc. His periods of isolation (quarantine) had to be difficult, and it did prevent him from finding consistency early on. But he got better over the year, finally living up to some of his hype. A highly skilled player, Lapierre has the talent to be a top six forward for the Capitals in a few seasons. He will play this year with the AB Titan and should be among the leading scorers in the QMJHL. He just needs another year without injuries. - BB

  1. Alexander Alexeyev

Despite Alexeyev being a first round pick back in 2019 and leaving a very good impression at every level where he has played so far, somehow, he continues to fly under the radar and is rarely mentioned in the conversation as an elite level prospect. Playing on loan to the KHL to start last season, Alexeyev was quick to adjust to the KHL game again after playing in North America the previous four seasons (WHL and AHL). Alexeyev showed that he doesn't have a lot of weaknesses and was very good at finding the balance between the defensive responsibilities and supporting the attack offensively. When the KHL season ended, Alexeyev returned to the AHL a more confident offensive player, which was converted to improved offensive production.

While the Capitals plans are unclear for their bottom pairing this upcoming season, Alexeyev will have to beat out NHL veteran Trevor Van Riemsdyk or fellow prospect Martin Fehevary for a role. He is likely ready to play on the third pairing right away after a very successful 2020/21 season. His potential probably lies on the Capital’s second pairing in the future, where he can play a variety of roles and be a steady presence on the blueline. - VF

  1. Martin Fehervary

A former second round selection by the Capitals in 2018, Fehervary has progressed very well since. The former captain of the Slovak World Junior Team, Fehervary took an unconventional road by playing out of Sweden for the majority of his junior career. However, since signing and coming to play in North America two seasons ago, Fehervary has established himself as one of Washington’s top prospects. In his first pro year, he actually got into a couple NHL games, including a few in the playoffs for the Capitals. Last season, he played strictly in the AHL, but played very well, improving his offensive production, while remaining one of Hershey’s best defensive players.

The 6’2, 203lbs defender is a rock in the defensive end. His defensive instincts are sound. He brings a physical element. His high-end mobility makes him a suffocating presence and someone who should be able to at least fill a shutdown role at the NHL level. However, Fehervary’s confidence in using his plus skating ability to start the breakout and his confidence in his puck handling abilities have grown considerably in the last calendar year. He appears primed for an NHL role as early as this season, but he will need to beat out veterans like Trevor Van Riemsdyk and Matt Irwin for a spot on the third pairing. Fehervary projects as a second pairing defensive anchor and a long time NHL defender. - BO

  1. Aliaksei Protas

A year after a breakout campaign with the Prince Albert Raiders of the WHL, hulking Belarussian forward Aliaksei Protas followed that up with a very strong performance in 2020/21. His 10 goals in the KHL for Dinamo Minsk were tied for the most by any U20 player in the top men’s league with Columbus first round pick Yegor Chinakhov. Following the KHL season, he joined Hershey of the AHL and performed admirably in a smaller sample size. Then to close out the year, he played for Belarus at the World Championships.

The 6’6, 215 lbs center is an absolute load to handle down low for opposing defenses, as he dominates the cycle game and works his way to the net. Not really your typical power forward, Protas relies more on his skill and puck protection ability to create in traffic. The key for him is to continue putting in the work to improve his skating ability. He will likely spend the entire upcoming season in the AHL, adjusting to the pace and strength of the pro game in North America. Protas projects as a middle six forward for Washington but will likely require several years of development before being ready for a full-time role. - BO

  1. Garrett Pilon

Slow and steady wins the race. That saying certainly personifies Pilon’s professional development thus far in Washington’s system. The former WHL standout (and son to former NHL pugilist Rich Pilon) has slowly improved over the course of three seasons with Hershey of the AHL, finally breaking through as a top contributor last season. As a reward, Pilon was even given a small taste of NHL action. Now eligible for waivers this season, the Capitals will have a decision to make this training camp.

The highlight of Pilon’s game has always been the stocky center’s two-way play and awareness on the ice. A high-end playmaker, he has finally gained the confidence to be more creative at the AHL level and has learned how to control the pace from the middle, becoming a difficult player to separate from the puck. The finer points to his game, like his faceoff ability, strong neutral zone play, and positional versatility, make him a great candidate to earn a depth role on the Capitals this season. Given his progression, it seems unlikely that the Caps would risk sending him through waivers unless he really struggles at training camp. His upside may not be significant, but he does have the potential to be a high-end checking line player or depth option moving forward. - BO

  1. Vincent Iorio

A 6’3, right shot defender, Iorio was a rock for a strong Brandon Wheat Kings team this past season. A late born ‘02, Iorio emerged as an all-situations, minute-cruncher for Brandon, anchoring the second pair behind New York Rangers first round pick Braden Schneider. Iorio is the modern day shut down defender, blending size, mobility, and physicality to stymie attackers. Using his strong four-way quickness, Iorio is aggressive in defending transitional attacks, stepping up early to angle attackers off, always minding a tight gap. Iorio is also a highly intelligent defender who makes a good outlet pass and possesses good awareness at both ends of the ice. This is what allows him to excel at the WHL level in all situations.

That said, Iorio’s game does appear to have some limitations. His even strength production was pretty limited, with the majority of his points coming on the powerplay. He is at his best when he keeps things simple because he does not possess the creativity or hands to be a topflight puck mover. The Capitals are likely hoping that Iorio’s offensive skill set can continue to blossom with Brandon and that he can eventually become a really solid #4 defender for them in the future. - McKeen’s Draft Guide 2021

  1. Brent Johnson

Johnson is a toolsy defender, who even likes to play rough, despite his clear size disadvantage. He throws his body around, gets involved in scrums regularly, and often defends with an ornery edge. That said, Johnson’s best strengths come in the offensive end. His speed allows him to drive the transition, and he looks impressive carrying the puck up the ice. He isn’t the type to engage very deep in the offensive zone, but can control play rather well from the point, with quick and accurate puck movement from high to low, or a solid shot. Even though he comes across as an offensive-minded defender, he is not absent in his own zone, and played a regular shorthanded role for the Stampede of the USHL last year.

There is a valid question of how effective he can remain at higher levels against more uniformly bigger and stronger players, but Johnson has a dynamic element that is worth gambling on, especially if his lack of a high-level resume means he will have more to show in the coming years, which will include time playing collegiately for North Dakota. He will look to bounce back this year as a freshman after shoulder surgery ended his season in 2021. - McKeen’s Draft Guide 2021

  1. Kody Clark

When the Capitals took Kody, the son of Toronto Maple Leafs legend Wendell Clark, in the second round in 2018, the hope was that he could develop into an elite power forward not all that dissimilar from their very own Tom Wilson. Unfortunately, the offensive side of things has been fairly slow to develop. Clark never reached the point per game mark in the OHL before graduating to the AHL and his first pro season was fairly underwhelming. However, Clark’s sophomore effort last year did show marked improvement from an offensive perspective, suggesting that there could be hope yet for him to become an NHL player.

An intense physical competitor, Clark is a human missile on the forecheck. He knows his role on the ice is to cause havoc by driving the net and by forcing turnovers on the opponent’s side of the ice. While Clark is not likely to be a Tom Wilson type, he could still be a serviceable checking line player for the Capitals in a couple of seasons. Washington will be looking for Clark to continue to show improvement offensively this season in the AHL before earning a look the following year (when he is waivers eligible in 2022/23). - BO

  1. Brett Leason

It’s been quite the meteoric rise for Leason, who was passed over twice in the NHL draft before his skating caught up to the rest of his game and he exploded on the scene in 2018-19 with a monster season that included a point-per-game stint at the world junior under-20 tournament. This resulted in Leason hearing his name called in the second round of the draft by the Washington Capitals. Since then, while the pandemic has perhaps stalled the development of many other prospects around him, Leason has continued to blossom, with two successful seasons in the AHL with the Hershey Bears. Last year was another step forward, with 20 points in 33 games for the big winger.

Leason brings size, scoring punch and the motor of a player half a foot shorter. His skating continues to improve, and his hockey sense allows him to be effective with or without the puck. He uses his massive frame well and distributes the puck well, to go with an NHL-calibre shot. He could stand to be even more physical and continue to improve his first three steps. Already 22-years-old, it would be easy to discount Leason as a potential middle-six winger at best in the NHL, but he continues to make inroads and has beaten the odds thus far. With a fairly thin prospect cupboard in front of him, it’s not a stretch to think Leason could see a cup of coffee in the NHL this upcoming season, if the stars align. - AS

  1. Axel Jonsson-Fjallby

The upside may not be incredibly high, but Jonsson-Fjallby’s talents as a forechecker and penalty killer can be used at the NHL level. After parts of three seasons at the AHL level, the time is now for the Swedish spark plug to earn a fourth line role for the Capitals this season.

  1. Mitchell Gibson

A former fourth round pick, Gibson had a solid freshman season for Harvard two seasons ago, establishing himself as the program’s starter. However, due to the pandemic, Harvard did not play last season, leaving Gibson with nowhere to play. He will look to get his development back on track this season as he re-assumes the starter’s role on what should be a strong Crimson team.

  1. Garin Bjorklund

Bjorklund had an excellent post draft season with Medicine Hat (WHL) last year, as he emerged as one of the top netminders in Western Canada. Bjorklund has the skill set to be an NHL netminder and worked hard to correct some technical flaws to become a more consistent performer. He should be a contender for the WHL’s goaltender of the year this season.

  1. Martin Has

The plan for Has was to have him play a full season in the OHL last year, after a partial year prior to that. But the pandemic had other plans and as such, Has played sparingly outside of a few international appearances for the Czech Republic (including the World Juniors). The stay-at-home defender can be an asset in the defensive end because of his strong transitional defensive ability, however his play with the puck needs to improve. His playing location this season remains a mystery, especially since he has not yet been signed by the Capitals.

  1. Beck Malenstyn

The previous season was not a good one for the competitive and physical, former WHL winger. An achilles tear ended his season before it began and has even put the start of this season in jeopardy. Malenstyn will look to bounce back strong at some point with Hershey. He still possesses the potential to be an impact fourth liner for the Caps.

 

 

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McKeen’s 2020-21 Hockey Yearbook: Washington Capitals Top 20 Prospects https://www.mckeenshockey.com/uncategorized/mckeens-2020-21-hockey-yearbook-washington-capitals-top-20-prospects/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/uncategorized/mckeens-2020-21-hockey-yearbook-washington-capitals-top-20-prospects/#respond Wed, 23 Dec 2020 22:30:38 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=167902 Read More... from McKeen’s 2020-21 Hockey Yearbook: Washington Capitals Top 20 Prospects

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McKeen's Top 20 Washington Capitals prospects for the 2020-21 season. You can read an organizational assessment prior to the draft in Ryan Wagman's article found here. Following the draft we provided a review on each teams performance based on our rankings found here.

  1. Connor McMichael, C (25th overall, 2019. Previous ranking: 1)

Few 2019 draft selections progressed as well as McMichael did this past season with London, where he went from a strong complimentary piece to the lifeblood through which the offense flowed. A strong skater, he showed much more confidence when carrying the puck, allowing him to dominate touches. He can beat you in transition because of his speed and he can beat you down low because of how well he protects the puck and how sound his decision making is. We also saw a huge improvement in his shot, especially his powerful wrist shot, and he uses different shooting angles to deceive goaltenders. McMichael also showed improved strength away from the puck, and paired with his high-end IQ, is now a strong two-way presence. Originally projecting as a winger in the NHL, he has shown enough to alter this belief. He is a very versatile player. Given the improvements he made last year, it is not impossible to see him playing in the NHL next year with the Capitals. He already skates well enough for the NHL. At this point, his projection is that of a two-way, goal scoring forward who can play inside the first two lines. – BO

  1. Hendrix Lapierre, C (22nd overall, 2020. Previous ranking: NA)

Lapierre battled consistency and injury issues all season, but of his high-end IQ and skill combination make him a potential steal. Originally thought to a concussion victim, it was later found to be a cervical spine issue. He has a very dynamic skill level and can make the spectacular look easy. He is smooth with the puck in transition and is a precise, pass-first center. He is a strong skater, who gets separation through excellent acceleration. He can work well along the wall and behind the net, with crisp turns, making him elusive in coverage. Lapierre is also a terrific two-way player who excels in all three zones because of his high-end hockey IQ. He uses anticipation and a quick stick to force turnovers on the backcheck, which he excels at transitioning the other way. He needs to take a step forward as a goal scorer. His game can be too predictable at times and to keep the opposition on their toes, he could stand to become a more well-rounded offensive player, shooting more often.  Even despite a poor year, his potential remains high as a two-way, all situations center who can make his teammates better players. – BO

  1. Alexander Alexeyev, D (31st overall, 2018. Previous ranking: 2)

Alexeyev brings size (6-4”) and hockey IQ to the Washington organization. Making the jump from the WHL, he managed to make it through his first professional season with no serious injuries despite his shaky health track record. He struggled early in the beginning of the season to adjust to the pace of the AHL, but as the season went along his confidence grew and the skills that got him drafted began to show themselves, particularly in the form of his passing ability and offensive zone positioning. Alexeyev will need to demonstrate better conditioning when the next season gets underway to remain consistent throughout the full 60 minutes and he will need to find another gear to add more speed to his game. Numerous times last season opponents blew past him when driving the net and he will need to improve at keeping them to the outside. As he continues to develop and his game matures, there is little doubt that he has the overall ability to become a top pairing defenseman at the NHL level, it is simply a matter of opportunity and Alexeyev staying healthy, as he cannot sustain another serious injury without suffering major career setbacks. – SC

  1. Martin Fehervary, D (46th overall, 2018. Previous ranking: 3)

Tight competition between Fehervary and fellow Hershey Bears roommate and first round pick Alexander Alexeyev has been good for Fehervary’s development, pushing him hard in order to see results. The results of that developmental push have been evident as the lanky Slovakian has managed to impress in his rookie North American professional season, often using his tremendous skating to sail past opponents and earn scoring opportunities. He is the complete package as a future NHL defenseman; he plays a physical and rough game, can skate, carry the puck, and his defensive zone coverage is good. The only downsides come in the form of patience, passing, and decision making with the puck. He is not as well known for his passing abilities as he is for his skating and skill level and at times it was evident this past season with turnovers and missed important passes that oftentimes led to icings or offsides. Fehervary will need to tighten up his passing and work on how he moves the puck as well as when he moves it in order to be able to make the right choices in the NHL. - SC

  1. Aliaksei Protas, C (91st overall, 2019. Previous ranking: 4)

Protas has a very solid offensive toolkit. His unique size and frame enable him to be an elite puck protector. He can pace the game to his level and allow plays to develop. He is able to shed defenders and maintain control just a half step longer than most which dovetails perfectly with his playmaking and passing. He has excellent vision and can play the half-wall or behind the net equally comfortably. He has a deft touch and can make highlight reel passes due to his soft hands and a great ability to hit teammates in stride. His shot is above average and enables him to always be a dual threat to defend. His willingness to shoot the puck has helped his offensive game blossom. The knock on Protas was always his cumbersome footwork and lack of pace, but he has made some serious strides in that part of his game as well. He still needs to work on his overall defensive commitment and has struggled in the faceoff dot but those have improved with coaching. He is still a long-term project but the potential upside here is much higher than most expected in his draft year. - VG

  1. Garrett Pilon, C (87th overall, 2016. Previous ranking: 5)

Standing out in the NHL will always be hard due to Pilon’s style of play. A hard-working grinder who can skate and who keeps his feet moving at all times, there is nothing particular that stands out about the way that he plays. To get too the next level, he will have to broaden his play, bettering his offensive production and puck possession skills next season. A top penalty killer using speed and determination, Pilon works hard every shift but at the next level it is about putting all of those things together and he will have to have a better, more cohesive and consistent game to earn a bottom six spot on the NHL club. He is a passionate player, and he will also need to keep his temper and frustration in check to avoid spending more time in the box than on the ice. He will be a big-league asset soon enough should he continue to put his overall game together and mature. - SC

  1. Brian Pinho, C (174th overall, 2013. Previous ranking: 6)

Pinho is the flashy forward with good puckhandling skills that every team has or needs. For a sixth-round selection, he has taken the long route for his development, finally coming into his own this past season, finishing top in prospect points. For his performance with the Hershey Bears, Pinho earned a spot on the Washington Capitals playoff roster and managed to also make his debut suiting up for two playoff games. Throughout the season, he was a clutch player for Hershey, often earning overtime marker and tying goals. He dominates in the offensive zone and often times earns breakaways on turnovers and long passes. That being said, he needs to work on bringing that competitive level to every game and on further developing his defensive play. With the recent call up to the Capitals, Pinho may have earned his chance at next season’s roster as a member of the bottom six. - SC

  1. Kody Clark, RW (47th overall, 2018. Previous ranking: 7)

After a decent season with the OHL Ottawa 67’s, Clark swung his talents over to the AHL’s Hershey Bears for his rookie professional season. He quickly realized that the next level would not be as smooth sailing as major junior and he was a scratch for majority of the first half of the season. Following in father Wendel’s footsteps, Clark brings the grit and offensive prowess to a mildly physical Hershey roster, but that is where his talents stop until he finds a way to keep up at the AHL pace. He is a strong skater but his puck possession was simply not there last season and he will have to find a way to get to the net if he wants to even be considered as a top priority call up option. Serving more time in the penalty box than often necessary, Clark will have to prove himself as a skilled player first more than anything in terms of next season and working his way towards a call up. He has the potential and skill to play as a bottom six forward in the NHL, but he still has a lot of learning to go before that will happen. - SC

  1. Brett Leason, RW (56th overall, 2019. Previous ranking: 8)

For a player who was passed over two years in a row in the draft, Leason has managed to defeat the odds, becoming a second-round pick for the Capitals. He has the size to play and to stay safe at the next level, proving so during his rookie season with AHL Hershey, however speed and skill is another thing. This is where the Washington offensive prospect structure starts to thin out and with Hershey last season, Leason failed to mark more than five goals, a disappointing drop from the 36 goals he scored in major junior the year before to being a healthy scratch for Hershey towards the season’s end. Leason will have to find another gear and start playing up at a professional level, as right now he is simply not fast enough to cut it and if he cannot find another gear it will be uncertain if he will ever be given a chance with the Washington Capitals as a bottom six. - SC

  1. Lucas Johansen, D (28th overall, 2016. Previous ranking: 9)

With an expired contract and only nine games played this past season, it is unsure as to where Johansen will be playing next season. It is assumed the Capitals will re-sign him; however he has not had the best of progressions in the organization as his play has gotten worse over the course of his three seasons with the Hershey Bears. As a first-round pick, Johansen needs to perform better, he has offered little in the way of point production and the quantity of turnovers he gives up is just bad. Having missed the bulk of the season with a leg injury, Johansen will need to show that he spent the time off well to come back better than ever to prove to Capitals management that he is deserving of a call up at least. As the time goes by, the Capitals are drafting more and more high-quality defensemen and Johansen’s name is getting further and further down their organizational depth list. It is now or never to prove that his passing, hockey IQ, and composure with the puck are good enough for a bottom four spot in Washington’s lineup. - SC

  1. Vitek Vanecek, G (39th overall, 2014. Previous ranking: 10)

For a Washington Capitals organization which may be missing a goaltender next season with the expiring contract of incumbent starter Braden Holtby, it means that the young prospects in the system are getting their much-awaited shot. Although the current future may be Ilya Samsonov, recent backup and first call up Vitek Vanecek has the talent and hockey IQ to read NHL speed plays and the focus to get him to the next level. With a tight goaltender race, Vanecek will have to show his composure every time he gets a chance to be up with the Capitals. His quick reflexes and athleticism in the net are what set him apart from his counterparts as he is very active and aggressive in his crease, he fights for positioning well, and sees plays with good vision. His rebound control could use a little work and his timing when playing the puck can sometimes be a worrisome issue, however the Capitals look to have a promising goaltender tandem for the future as Vanecek could manage the starting role just as well as Samsonov. - SC

  1. Axel Jonsson-Fjallby, LW (147th overall, 2016. Previous ranking: 11)

Despite starting his North American professional career off a little shaky, including a return trip to Sweden to finish the season, Jonsson-Fjallby has redeemed himself this past season, completing the full season in North America, finishing with 23 points. It is clear to see that the winger has the speed and the offensive hockey ability to make an impact at the next level when it comes to getting to the net and putting forth the necessary individual effort. That being said, he lacks instincts as a two-way player and in the defensive end, and there is little else to be said about his giveaways and ill-advised passes in the neutral zone and on breakouts. Jonsson-Fjallby is a difficult prospect to talk about because he has NHL-level skills, but his hockey sense is poor and hard to overlook. With any luck, he will find himself in a Capitals jersey within the next season as a first choice call up to a bottom six position. - SC

  1. Damien Riat, LW (117th overall, 2016. Previous ranking: 12)

While some in the hockey world have dismissed Switzerland as a nation worth heavily scouting, the Capitals have always been believers. Look at NHLer Jonas Siegenthaler, their second-round pick in 2015, now an established NHLer. Look at Tobias Geisser, their first selection in 2017, albeit in the 4th round. And look at Riat, taking in between the two blueliners, who signed an entry level deal with the Capitals in March after five successful seasons in the NLA. A speedy winger with intriguing puck skills, he has been the top scorer in his age cohort ever since being overshadowed by a young Auston Matthews in 2015-16, until finally being overtaken again last year. For an organization that rarely drafts out of Europe, Riat has a chance to convince the Capitals to change their scouting direction once more if he adapts well to the North American game this year. - RW

  1. Oskar Magnusson, LW (211th overall, 2020. Previous ranking: NA)

A top scorer as a youth, Magnusson took off in his second season in SuperElit, finishing second in the league in scoring among all U18 players, behind only Carolina draft pick Zion Nybeck. Magnusson has a fine collection of offensive tools and can contribute as both a finisher as well as a playmaker. He has good instincts for the game and reads the play well, helping him to maximize his physical tools. On the other hand, he is very physically underdeveloped, and his skating is average at best. He is actually fairly explosive on his feet, but his strides are short, causing him to burn out too much energy too quickly. He earned a four game call up to Malmo’s senior side last year and is expected to have a chance to compete for a regular SHL role this season. Before even thinking of a move to North America, he will have to prove that his offense-first game can succeed against men at home in Sweden. – RW

  1. Bobby Nardella, D (Undrafted Free Agent, signed Apr. 5, 2019. Previous ranking: 14)

At 5-9” Nardella is certainly undersized as defenseman go in professional hockey, however, do not be fooled as this crafty and highly offensive defenseman is a threat no matter where he is on the ice. He finished seventh on the Bears in points and tops for defenseman this past season, his rookie professional campaign. Having been trusted for a role on the Bears’ top powerplay unit, Nardella clearly shows his maturity and that he is focused enough to manage high pressure situations and smart enough to make the right plays. He also has the skill as a top-level skater and puckhandler to get to the net for scoring opportunities which can make him an asset in today’s game. The major downside is size and if the Capitals can get past that, rest assured that Nardella has the potential to be a top four pairing defenseman. The delay in cracking the Washington lineup simply comes from defensive depth and prospect hierarchy politics, because as a player Nardella offers nothing but good things to a team. - SC

  1. Martin Hugo Has, D (153rd overall, 2019. Previous ranking: 15)

A late arrival to the OHL made Has a bit of a mystery and a difficult player to evaluate. Some may wonder about why he only played a single game for the North Bay Battalion before being moved to Guelph. The answer is because the OHL has a rule that imports cannot be traded until they play at least one game for the drafting team. In Guelph, Has was eased into a top four role for the Storm, playing as a stay at home defender with partner Daniil Chayka (a top 2021 eligible player). At 6-4”, he certainly has good length and exhibits good gap control when containing the transition game of the opposition. As an offensive player, we saw Has struggle at times with his decision making and the pace of play in the OHL. It remains to be seen just how much potential he has as an NHL prospect moving forward. Next year he will return to Guelph and will likely resume his partnership with Chayka. As he becomes more comfortable, we should get a better idea of the type of player he is and can become. – BO

  1. Garin Bjorklund, G (179th overall, 2020. Previous ranking: NA)

Playing as art of a platoon with Ottawa draft pick Mads Sogaard, Bjorklund didn’t have the kind of year that scouts hoped of him, as consistency issues plagued him in his intermittent starts. Part of that may have come from not playing consistently as part of a routine. He still has the size (6-2”) and quickness to be an NHL netminder and the potential to turn it around given more regular time between the pipes. To his credit, he tracks the play well and seems to have a solid grasp of the technical nuances of the position. A former first round pick in the WHL Bantam Draft, even in his struggles, he showed flashes of pro caliber ability, but was done in too often by juicy rebounds, and seeming to lose his composure after surrendering a bad goal. Reports of his commitment to the game are promising, and, even though he was outperformed last year on the whole by the Danish second round pick, more often than not, there was little to separate the two performance-wise, and there may be a lot of room for growth in this profile.  – BO

  1. Mitchell Gibson, G (124th overall, 2018. Previous ranking: 17)

If we want to search for rays of hope with Bjorklund (#17), we need look no further than Gibson, who struggled badly in his first post draft season making the adjustment from the NAHL to the USHL. Moving on to Harvard, his performance improved by several grades. Given the chance to play regularly, he took the bulk of a time-share from senior Cameron Gornet and kept the Crimson in pretty much every game, something he could not say for his time with Central Illinois. Gibson is on the smaller side for a modern netminder but moves well and fights for every puck. He did a good job at limiting second chances and has a knack for puck play as well. Where concerns remain are in his ability to track the play through traffic, where his height works against him, as well as his propensity to lose the finer details of his technique in the crease. A second season like the last one with Harvard and he will rise up this list. - RW

  1. Beck Malenstyn, LW (145th overall, 2016. Previous ranking: 18)

Re-read everything written above about Garrett Pilon and just make him a winger instead of a center, and then lower the ceiling a fair bit. Considering how low we stated the ceiling was for Pilon, we are basically stating that Malenstyn projects as a replacement level player. His hands have promise, and he plays a hard and tough style of game, but it is hard to see him as more than an injury replacement callup. The simple fact is that his offensive contributions are meagre. Even in the WHL, he was a secondary scorer. Through two seasons in the AHL, he hasn’t exceeded 16 points, although, to be fair, he could have cracked 20 if last season wasn’t ended early due to the pandemic. He could have been a regular in the 1980s, but it is hard for players of his ilk to establish themselves in the NHL anymore, and we don’t see why Malenstyn will break that mold. - RW

  1. Riley Sutter, RW (93rd overall, 2018. Previous ranking: UR)

One of the few of the next generation of the Sutter family to still retain NHL hopes, Riley Sutter’s projection was stunted over the previous two injury-plagued seasons. He has always carried the grit and smarts of his father’s generation, but the knock on him, from the time of his draft year, has been his heavy feet. Now, with only 63 combined games played in the last two years, split between the WHL and AHL, his chances have taken a hit with the missed development time. We can give him a mulligan for his poor numbers in his abbreviated rookie pro season, as he has solid puck skills and reads the opposition well, but he can scarcely afford a repeat of the last two seasons. A return to health and improved performance will help Sutter re-ascend this list. Continued injuries can end his NHL hopes. He has the size and strength to play a bottom six role in the future, but he has a ways to go to achieve that goal. - RW

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MCKEEN’S 2020 NHL PROSPECT REPORT – WASHINGTON CAPITALS – ORGANIZATIONAL RANK: 20 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/mckeens-2020-nhl-prospect-report-washington-capitals-organizational-rank-20/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/mckeens-2020-nhl-prospect-report-washington-capitals-organizational-rank-20/#respond Tue, 15 Sep 2020 17:26:50 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=167243 Read More... from MCKEEN’S 2020 NHL PROSPECT REPORT – WASHINGTON CAPITALS – ORGANIZATIONAL RANK: 20

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washcapitalsWashington Capitals

While most competing teams make a habit out of trading draft picks (we see you, Pittsburgh Penguins!), the Washington Capitals, winners of the Metropolitan Division for five years running (which includes this season, truncated as it was, wherein the Capitals went into the pandemic-pause with a one point lead over Philadelphia in equal games played), have not.

True, they do not always have their full complement of seven draft picks, as they left draft weekend with only four players selected in three of the last five draft classes. But with the exception of the class of 2017, the Capitals have always had their own first rounder. In fact, 2016 and 2017 were also the only years in the previous five drafts that saw the Capitals without a second-round pick.

Spelling out the consequences of this approach, unlike the Penguins (one first rounder in five years), the San Jose Sharks (three first rounders in five years, one of which was traded away before playing a professional game)*, the recent vintage of the New York Rangers, who did not have a first rounder between 2013-16, and others, the Capitals are achieving long-term success without selling the future.

*The Penguins and the Sharks are also both without a first rounder going into the 2020 draft, but that is a topic for another year.

This is not to say that the Capitals haven’t traded some future assets for pieces in the here and now, but those assets are much more likely to take the form of a middle or late-round draft pick. Perhaps we can say that the organization is under the after-effects of the “once bitten, twice shy” mentality. After trading future star Filip Forsberg within ten months of selecting him 11th overall, the Capitals prefer these days to use a more minor asset, picks from the back half of the draft, or youngish depth players, to make the upgrades they need to remain competitive at the highest level. If absolutely necessary, they will deal away a second-round pick, such as the one they shipped to San Jose for Brendan Dillon at this year’s trade deadline.

If anything, the Capitals feel more secure in trading away a later pick as they also try to add them when dealing away excess talent. Since winning the Stanley Cup in 2018, the Capitals have acquired five draft picks in various trades while shipping out six (two of which were conditional).

All else being equal, you would want your team to have more draft picks to play with than less, but if you have to move some picks for a roster upgrade, it is far better to send away something farther from the top. There have been numerous studies performed over the years, by people far more numerically savvy than myself, noting how the value of a pick at the top of the draft starts very high (on aggregate) and drops off rapidly, flatlining sooner than one might expect. In short, once we get past the first round, the expected value from a third rounder or a seventh rounder is not all that large. We might even say that that value can be replaced through the astute signings of undrafted talent from the collegiate or European ranks, such as Bobby Nardella further down this list, or Joe Snively, who was our first cut.

As of this writing, the Capitals own five picks for the 2020 draft and will sit out the second and seventh rounds.

Connor McMichael of the London Knights. Photo by Terry Wilson / OHL Iimages.
Connor McMichael of the London Knights. Photo by Terry Wilson / OHL Iimages.
  1. Connor McMichael, C (25th overall, 2019. 2019 Rank: 3)

Few 2019 draft selections progressed as well as McMichael did this past season with the London Knights, where he went from a strong complementary piece to the lifeblood through which the Knights’ offense flowed. This has many scouts re-evaluating his potential as an NHL player.

A strong skater, McMichael showed much more confidence when carrying the puck and this allowed him to dominate touches when on the ice. He can beat you in transition because of his speed and he can beat you down low because of how well he protects the puck and how sound his decision making is. He is just a solid all-around offensive player. We also saw a huge improvement in his shot that saw him nearly hit the 50-goal mark. His wrist shot is powerful, and he is great at using different shooting angles to deceive goaltenders.

McMichael also showed improved strength away from the puck, which when paired with his high-end IQ, makes him a strong two-way presence. Originally thought of by many to be an eventual winger at the NHL level, he has shown enough to alter this belief. This is a very versatile player. Given the improvements he made this year, it is not impossible to see McMichael playing in the NHL next year with the Capitals. He already skates well enough to be an NHL player.

His versatility will make him very valuable and he could fill a variety of different roles for Washington if he shows himself worthy at training camp. At this point, McMichael’s projection is that of a two-way, goal scoring forward who can play inside the first two lines. – BO

  1. Alexander Alexeyev, D (31st overall, 2018. 2019 Rank: 1)

When people think of the Washington Capitals they think of their offensive prowess as a system and the big names on the attack which is why for the past few years the Capitals management has not had to bother drafting forwards with their first round picks. From goaltenders to defensemen, the Capitals have decided to build up their back end and defensive structure instead.

Alexeyev, their 2018 first rounder, is no exception to the defensive pattern and he adds size (6-4”) and hockey IQ to the game. Making the jump from the Western Hockey league’s Red Deer Rebels, he managed to make it through his first professional season with no serious injuries despite his shaky health track record. He struggled in the beginning of the season to adjust to the pace, but as the season went along his confidence grew enough for the skills that got him drafted to make themselves present, particularly in the form of his passing ability and offensive zone positioning.

Alexeyev will need to come back to the Bears better conditioned in order to remain consistent throughout all three periods and he will need to find another gear when it comes to skating and speed. Numerous times last season opponents blew past him when driving the net and he will need to get stronger in keeping them to the outside.

Overall as he continues to develop and his game matures, there is little doubt that he has the overall ability to become a top pairing defenseman for Washington, it is simply a matter of the Capitals finding the right time and Alexeyev staying healthy, as he cannot sustain another serious injury without suffering major career setbacks. - SC

  1. ARLINGTON, VA - SEPTEMBER 12: Martin Fehervary of the Washington Capitals poses for his official headshot for the 2019-2020 season on September 12, 2019 at MedStar Capitals Iceplex in Arlington, Virginia. (Photo by Patrick McDermott/NHLI via Getty Images)
    ARLINGTON, VA - SEPTEMBER 12: Martin Fehervary of the Washington Capitals (Photo by Patrick McDermott/NHLI via Getty Images)
    Martin Fehervary, D (46th overall, 2018. 2019 Rank: 5)

Having earned a spot on the Capitals 2020 playoff roster, as well as having suited up for his first playoff game in the NHL, Fehervary is off to a good start to the somewhat long and drawn out COVID-19 season. Tight competition between Fehervary and fellow Hershey Bears roommate and first round pick Alexander Alexeyev has been good for Fehervary’s development in the Washington organization, pushing him hard in order to see results. The results of that developmental push have been evident as the lanky Slovakian has managed to impress Capitals management is his rookie North American professional season, often using his tremendous skating ability to sail past opponents and earn scoring opportunities.

He is the complete package as a future NHL defenseman; he plays a physical and rough game, can skate, carry the puck, and his defensive zone coverage is good. The only downsides come in the form of patience, passing, and knowing when to hold onto the puck or to pass it. He is not as well known for his passing abilities as he is for his skating and skill level and at times it was evident this past season with turnovers and missed important passes that oftentimes led to icings or offsides. Fehervary will simply need to tighten up his passing and work on how he moves the puck as well as when he moves it in order to be able to make the right choices in the NHL when his time comes to suit up as a top four defenseman. - SC

  1. Aliaksei Protas, C (91st overall, 2019. 2019 Rank: 8)

Protas has a very solid offensive toolkit. His unique size and frame enable him to be an elite puck protector. He can pace the game to his level and allow plays to develop. He is able to shed defenders and maintain control just a half step longer than most which dovetails perfectly with his playmaking and passing. He has excellent vision and can play the half-wall or behind the net equally comfortably. He has a deft touch and can make highlight reel passes due to his soft hands and a great ability to hit teammates in stride.

His shot is above average and enables him to always be a dual threat to defend. You have to respect his shot as he has been averaging 3.6 shots/game this season, over double his previous years. His willingness to shoot the puck has helped his overall offensive game blossom into one of the best in the WHL this past season.

The knock on Protas in his draft year was always his cumbersome footwork and lack of pace, but he has made some serious strides in that part of his game as well. He will never be mistaken for a speedster, but his speed has improved enough that it does not hinder his game anymore. He still needs to work on his overall defensive commitment and has struggled in the faceoff dot but those are both things have improved with coaching. He is still a long-term project but the potential upside here is much higher than most expected in his draft year. - VG

  1. Garrett Pilon, C (87th overall, 2016. 2019 Rank: 17)

For a player like Pilon, making the NHL and standing out will always be hard due to his style of play. Every team is in need of a hard working grinder who can skate and who keeps his feet moving at all times, however there is nothing particular that stands out about the way that Pilon plays and that is the main issue. The Capitals roster currently has its fast skaters and its fourth line grinders in the likes of Carl Hagelin and company, therefore Pilon will have to impress by broadening his play and bettering his offensive production and overall puck possession next season.

He finished fifth in team scoring with the Hershey Bears this past season and managed to establish himself as one of the AHL club’s top penalty killers with his speed and determination, both with and without the puck. It is clear that Pilon takes his hockey seriously and works hard every shift but at the next level it is about putting all of those things together and he will have to have a better, more cohesive and consistent game heading into next season in order to pull away from the pack and lead his way into a bottom six spot on the NHL club.

He is a passionate player and he will also need to keep his temper and frustration in check to avoid spending more time in the box than on the ice. As stated before, if the Capitals cannot find a spot for him, all teams are in need of a hard working grinder to do the dirty work and Pilon will be a big-league asset should he continue to put his overall game together and mature. - SC

  1. Brian Pinho, C (174th overall, 2013. 2019 Rank: UR)

Pinho is the flashy forward with good puckhandling skills that every team has or needs. For a sixth-round selection, he has taken the long route for his development, finally coming into his own this past season, finishing top in prospect points. For his performance with the Hershey Bears, Pinho earned a spot on the Washington Capitals playoff roster and managed to also make his debut suiting up for two playoff games.

Throughout the season, he was a clutch player for Hershey, often earning overtime markers and tying goals. He dominates in the offensive zone and often times earns breakaways on turnovers and long passes. That being said, he needs to work on bringing that competitive level to every game and on further developing his defensive play. With the recent call up to the Capitals, Pinho may have earned his chance at next season’s roster as a member of the bottom six. - SC

  1. Kody Clark, RW (47th overall, 2018. 2019 Rank: 11)

After a decent season with the OHL Ottawa 67’s, Clark swung his talents over to the AHL’s Hershey Bears for his rookie professional season. He quickly realized that the next level would not be as smooth sailing as major junior and he was a scratch for majority of the first half of the season. Following in father Wendel’s footsteps, Clark brings the grit and offensive prowess to a mildly physical Hershey roster, but that is where his talents stop until he finds a way to keep up at the AHL pace.

He is a strong skater but his puck possession was simply not there this season and he will have to find a way to get to the net if he wants to even be considered as a top priority call up option. Serving more time in the penalty box than often necessary, Clark will have to prove himself as a skilled player first more than anything in terms of next season and working his way towards a call up. He has the potential and skill to play as a bottom six forward in the NHL, but he still has a lot of learning to go before that will happen. - SC

  1. Brett Leason, RW (56th overall, 2019. 2019 Rank: 4)

For a player who was passed over two years in a row in the draft, Leason has managed to defeat the odds, becoming a second-round pick for the Capitals. He has the size to play and to stay safe at the next level, proving so during his rookie season with AHL Hershey, however speed and skill is another thing. This is where the Washington offensive prospect structure starts to thin out and with Hershey this season, Leason failed to mark more than five goals, a disappointing drop from the 36 goals he scored in major junior the year before to being a healthy scratch for Hershey towards the season’s end. Leason will have to find another gear and start playing up at a professional level, as right now he is simply not fast enough to cut it and if he cannot find another gear it will be uncertain if he will ever be given a chance with the Washington Capitals as a bottom six. - SC

  1. Lucas Johansen, D (28th overall, 2016. 2019 Rank: 7)

With an expired contract and only nine games played this past season, it is unsure as to where Johansen will be playing next season. It is assumed the Capitals will re-sign him; however he has not had the best of progressions in the organization as his play has gotten worse over the course of his three seasons with the Hershey Bears.

As a first round pick, Johansen needs to perform better, he has offered little in the way of point production and the quantity of turnovers he gives up is just bad. Having missed the bulk of the season with a leg injury, Johansen will need to show that he spent the time off well to come back better than ever to prove to Capitals management that he is deserving of a call up at least.

As the time goes by, the Capitals are drafting more and more high-quality defensemen and Johansen’s name is getting further and further down their organizational depth list. It is now or never to prove that his passing, hockey IQ, and composure with the puck are good enough for a bottom four spot in Washington’s lineup. - SC

  1. Vitek Vanecek, G (39th overall, 2014. 2019 Rank: 14)

For a Washington Capitals organization which may be missing a goaltender next season with the expiring contract of incumbent starter Braden Holtby, it means that the young prospects in the system are getting their much-awaited shot. Although the current future may be Ilya Samsonov, recent backup and first call up Vitek Vanecek has the talent and hockey IQ to read NHL speed plays and the focus to get him to the next level.

With a tight goaltender race, Vanecek will have to show his composure every time he gets a chance to be up with the Capitals. His quick reflexes and athleticism in the net are what set him apart from his counterparts as he is very active and aggressive in his crease, he fights for positioning well, and sees plays with good vision. His rebound control could use a little work and his timing when playing the puck can sometimes be a worrisome issue, however the Capitals look to have a promising goaltender tandem for the future as Vanecek could manage the starting role just as well as Samsonov. - SC

  1. Axel Jonsson-Fjallby, LW (147th overall, 2016. 2019 Rank: 16)

Despite starting his North American professional career off a little shaky, including a return trip to Sweden to finish the season, Jonsson-Fjallby has redeemed himself this past season, completing the full season in North America, finishing with 23 points. It is clear to see that the winger has the speed and the offensive hockey ability to make an impact at the next level when it comes to getting to the net and putting forth the necessary individual effort.

That being said, he lacks instincts as a two-way player and in the defensive end, and there is little else to be said about his giveaways and ill-advised passes in the neutral zone and on breakouts. Jonsson-Fjallby is a difficult prospect to talk about because he has NHL-level skills, but his hockey sense is poor and hard to overlook. With any luck, he will find himself in a Capitals jersey within the next season as a first choice call up to a bottom six position. - SC

  1. Damien Riat, LW (117th overall, 2016. 2019 Rank: 18)

While some in the hockey world have dismissed Switzerland as a nation worth heavily scouting, the Capitals have always been believers. Look at NHLer Jonas Siegenthaler, their second-round pick in 2015, now an established NHLer. Look at Tobias Geisser, their first selection in 2017, albeit in the 4th round. And look at Riat, taking in between the two blueliners, who signed an entry level deal with the Capitals in March after five successful seasons in the NLA.

A speedy winger with intriguing puck skills, he has been the top scorer in his age cohort ever since being overshadowed by a young Auston Matthews in 2015-16, until finally being overtaken again this year. For an organization that rarely drafts out of Europe, Riat has a chance to convince the Capitals to change their scouting direction once more if he adapts well to the North American game this year. - RW

  1. Tyler Lewington, D (204th overall, 2013. 2019 Rank: UR)

With his contract expired and the end of his prospect eligibility coming up, Lewington has hopefully proved himself to be enough of an asset on the backend in the Washington organization to be offered a new contract.

He is a big body and has been a physical, mature presence on the ice for the AHL Hershey Bears. He plays a solid defensive game and often times lends his shooting ability in offensive situations which allows him to stand out with his overall in-game effectiveness as a two-way player.

He is a good defenseman with a promising future ahead and the potential to be a bottom four contributor either with the Capitals or another team should they choose not to resign him. There are slight discipline issues but nothing of concern with Lewington’s actual play and for a seventh round pick his development has surpassed anything expected when he was first drafted. - SC

  1. Bobby Nardella, D (Undrafted Free Agent, signed Apr. 5, 2019. 2019 Rank: UR)

At 5-9” Nardella is certainly undersized as defenseman go in professional hockey, however, do not be fooled as this crafty and highly offensive defenseman is a threat no matter where he is on the ice. He finished seventh on the Bears in points and tops for defenseman this past season, his rookie professional campaign.

Having been trusted for a role on the Bears’ top powerplay unit, Nardella clearly shows his maturity and that he is focused enough to manage high pressure situations and smart enough to make the right plays. He also has the skill as a top-level skater and puckhandler to get to the net for scoring opportunities which can make him an asset in today’s game.

The major downside is size and if the Capitals can get past that, rest assured that Nardella has the potential to be a top four pairing defenseman. The delay in cracking the Washington lineup simply comes from defensive depth and prospect hierarchy politics, because as a player Nardella offers nothing but good things to a team. - SC

  1. Martin Hugo Has, D (153rd overall, 2019. 2019 Rank: 20)

A late arrival to the OHL made Has a bit of a mystery and a difficult player to evaluate. Some may wonder about why he only played a single game for the North Bay Battalion before being moved to Guelph. The answer is because the OHL has a rule that imports cannot be traded until they play at least one game for the drafting team. In Guelph, Has was eased into a top four role for the Storm, playing as a stay at home defender with partner Daniil Chayka (a top 2021 eligible player).

At 6-4”, he certainly has good length and exhibits good gap control when containing the transition game of the opposition. As an offensive player, we saw Has struggle at times with his decision making and the pace of play in the OHL. It remains to be seen just how much potential he has as an NHL prospect moving forward. Next year he will return to Guelph and will likely resume his partnership with Chayka. As he becomes more comfortable, we should get a better idea of the type of player he is and can become. - BO

 

 

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Washington Capitals 2019-20 Prospect Review: Top 20 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/washington-capitals-2019-20-prospect-review-top-20/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/washington-capitals-2019-20-prospect-review-top-20/#respond Sat, 14 Sep 2019 13:30:48 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=162639 Read More... from Washington Capitals 2019-20 Prospect Review: Top 20

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Many clubs in the Capitals’ position of always being in the hunt, always being buyers at the trade deadline, see their prospect stock stumble, mostly due to the combined effects of having fewer picks, picking later when they do make picks, and sometimes trading away still developing youth for the more reliable promise of tested veterans.

In many cases, teams supplement their prospect income with free agent signees, and Washington has been no exception, although to a lesser extent than many other teams, with only seven qualified having been brought into the organization – having been brought into professional hockey – as undrafted free agents. That said, the player’s inked by the Capitals off the free prospect market do not have the organizational impact that you see from free agents in other systems. While the two free agent collegians signed by Washington this year (Joe Snively from Yale and Bobby Nardella from Notre Dame) were considered for the top 20 list, none of the free agent signees ultimately featured in the list below.

Also incidentally not appearing anywhere in the top 20 below is a single product from the Capitals’ small draft class of 2017, when they did not select a single player prior to the fourth round.

The above factors would typically lead to a system that is among the bottom end of systems in the game, and while we have not yet scored out all systems as of this writing, and even without Chase Priskie, who would have likely been in the top six here were it not for his stated intentions to explore free agency after Washington’s right on him expire in mid-August as a college graduate, the Capitals have a decent system, buttressed by a top four who all profile to be top half of the NHL roster players.

The system, from the 30,000 foot view lacks for inspiration, but between minute munching, two-way defender Alexander Alexeyev, long-touted netminder Ilya Samsonov, who began to demonstrate the potential that had Capitals’ brass salivating for years in the second half of his season in North America, and their top two picks from the 2019 class, forward Connor McMichael and Brett Leason, there are four players here who could grow into future core pieces for a franchise that should reasonably expect to continue to contend for postseason glory.

What the system lacks, on the other hand, is the breadth and depth of the system that is also needed to ensure that a team can withstand the inevitable injuries that teams accrue over the course of a season. The AHL talent – at least those guys who will not be AHL rookies this year – has very few forwards who could be expected to play NHL roles yet, with the only young potential 2019-20 contributing players coming on the blueline. In fact, two of the following three players listed below after the aforementioned top three, and three of those in the 5-10 range are defensemen with at least one full season of AHL experience under their belts.

The moral here, if there is one, is that the Capitals have a better system than might be expected, but that the system may not be structured to help the NHL team as needed, depending on how those needs shake out. Expect their depth to be tested this year.

-Ryan Wagman

RALEIGH, NC - SEPTEMBER 21: Washington Capitals goaltender Ilya Samsonov (30) during the 3rd period of the preseason Carolina Hurricanes game versus the Washington Capitals on September 21, 2018 at PNC Arena in Raleigh, NC. (Photo by Jaylynn Nash/Icon Sportswire)
Washington Capitals goaltender Ilya Samsonov  (Photo by Jaylynn Nash/Icon Sportswire)

1 Alexander Alexeyev, D (31st overall, 2018. Last Year: 3) Alexeyev is a great story wrapped in a very good player who has all the tools to be a top four defender in the NHL. He has good size, skates very well, and has more snarl in his game then most give him credit for. Couple all that with a defender who is an excellent passer both in his own zone as well as when quarterbacking a powerplay, and he shows real promise.  He has had some injury trouble the past couple of seasons and had a tragic loss as his mother passed away mid-season in his draft year. Despite so many ups and downs he has been one of the top defenders in the WHL since his arrival from Russia. He projects as playing both sides of special teams although maybe on second units and he could be an very solid second pairing defender. - VG

2 Ilya Samsonov, G (22nd overall, 2015. Last Year: 1) Having had good numbers in the KHL, Samsonov was destined to be a top goaltender in North America, however despite his cool demeanor, depending on the outcome of a play he can get easily frustrated and distracted. His playoff performance with AHL Hershey was less than desirable and he seemed to lack the maturity to keep his focus into the postseason. Samsonov is a very intense, high pressure goaltender and he has all the traits to be a starter in the NHL. It will be a matter of time and perhaps a chance at a better playoff run to build his confidence up before we see him make the leap to starting more than a game or two with Washington. There is no doubt that with his tracking abilities and poise Samsonov will see another call up to the NHL again this season and hopefully for a longer time frame in order to further his NHL experience. - SC

3 Connor McMichael, C (25th overall, 2019. Last Year: IE) McMichael was one of the most consistent performers for the London Knights this past season, despite being in his NHL draft year. His hockey IQ is his best asset as he is such an intelligent player in the offensive zone. He is also a great skater, which he uses in combination with his vision and anticipation to find those soft spots in the opposing defense. As a shoot first center, McMichael’s ability to create for his linemates will need to improve should he want to stick down the middle moving forward. A lot of that comes from a need to play with more intensity, especially with the puck on his stick. He needs to attack the middle of the ice with more ferocity. While scouts are unsure as to whether McMichael is a center or wing in the future, he profiles as a strong two-way middle six forward who can provide versatility and goal scoring to the Capitals in the future. - BO

4 Brett Leason, RW (56th overall, 2019. Last Year: IE) Leason’s skating has improved by leaps and bounds since his first time through the draft. He is now an average skater but it is now enough to enable his many other skills to shine through now that he can keep up with play. He is an underrated passer with good instincts in the offensive zone. He is a monster on the cycle game and below the dots where he can tire out opponents forcing them to chase the game. His shot is lethal and he is an excellent net front presence as he battles and keeps his skill free to tip pucks or reach loose pucks. If the scoring doesn’t translate he can still be an effective energy guy that can tilt the ice and generate offensive zone time. At his best he could be a power forward with 20-25 goal potential. -VG

5 Martin Fehervary, D (46th overall, 2018. Last Year: 6) An aggressive import from Slovakia, Fehervary played full time in the SHL last season, in his last year qualifying for junior hockey. He finished the season ranked sixth on HV71 in ice time. All told, he had a good, but not great, season. He played in his customary aggressive style, with quick skating, physicality, and good reach. His game was well suited to the SHL level and he had mostly good underlying numbers. The one area where his stats were not as strong was in his on-ice save percentage. While that rate is usually luck-related, with only a single season of data, it is hard to tell for sure. He still has NHL potential, with the look of a third pairing blueliner. His skating, reach and aggressiveness will becoming a strong defensive defender. He should be playing n North America next season, most likely in the AHL, which will go a long way in pushing his development along. - JH

6 Jonas Siegenthaler, D (57th overall, 2015. Last Year: 12) Siegenthaler really stepped up at the end of last season and managed a good enough performance as a call up to the Capitals to earn a spot as one of their starters for this coming season. He is a strong and smooth skating defenseman who has a very high hockey IQ which makes him an asset to any team. As a bottom pairing defender with the Capitals to start this season, it will be up to Siegenthaler to work his way up the ladder a little more. An added bonus is his playoff experience from last season, having already proved himself in the most high pressure of situations. It should be a relatively easy transition from training camp into NHL mode this season with fewer nerves to worry about. It is safe to say that Siegenthaler’s time in the AHL is done if he can clock his first full season with the Capitals in 2019-20. - SC

7 Lucas Johansen, D (28th overall, 2016, Last Year: 2) It is debatable whether Johansen is a good skater. His crossovers and edgework are fine but he lacks consistency with his speed in-game. If he can continuously maintain an urgency to his game and avoid being caught standing still then he will be on the right track to earning his first call up to the Capitals next season. For now, he will remain at the AHL level with the Bears until he finds the maturity in his game to take him to the next level. As a first rounder in 2016, Johansen has the skill to play the NHL and the potential to be a second pairing defenseman but he is still only scratching the surface with his development. Johansen will most likely be relegated to another two seasons in the AHL before being in position to gain a full time roster spot with the Capitals. - SC

8 Aliaksei Protas, C (91stoverall, 2017. Last Year: IE) Protas is a monster on the ice. His presence is as noticeable as his shadow. He needs to work on his feet as he is slow and cumbersome as he moves around the rink. That said, he has pretty good puck skills and is a very deft passer. He is able to create from the halfwall or from behind the net where he can hold on to the puck for longer than most. He uses his size very effectively although his overall game is not especially physical. He gained more scouting notoriety as he upped his offensive game drastically in the WHL playoffs, playing a key role in pushing the Raiders to a WHL championship. If he can improve his skating stride there is some potential there. - VG

9 Riley Sutter, RW (93rd overall, 2018. Last Year: 9) Riley is the latest chapter in the Sutter family dynasty with the Capitals selecting him in the third round of the 2018 draft. He was on a good pace last year, with 41 points through 38 games, before suffering a severe lower body injury that cost him the remainder of the regular season (although he managed to return for the end of Everett’s postseason run, as well as a cameo with AHL Hershey in their playoffs). Sutter is a solid two way forward with good size and smarts. He is versatile and can play either center or on the wing, has a nose for the net, and an above average shot. He projects to be a bottom six forward at the highest level and will most likely be used in checking roles as he moves up. As he turns 20 in October, he could still return to Everett for another season, but the ods suggest he will spend next season in the AHL. - KO

10 Connor Hobbs, D (143rd overall, 2015. Last Year: 4) Hobbs is a great team player and a solid passer compiling 15 assists over the course of the season. He is not the smoothest of defensemen and may seem somewhat scrambly but he gets the job done. Although he plays a more gritty and passionate game than other defensemen on this list, his maturity on the ice is what will carry him to the next level. His positioning is good and he is dynamic and capable of playing an offensive role which only adds to his value. Hobbs plays with vibrant energy and his progression with the Capitals organization has been good and will only get better should he stay focused. That being said, expect him to play another full year in the AHL before earning a call up. The unorthodox, late blooming defenseman has the potential to be a Tory Krug type of defender, but will need another full year in the AHL to come into his own. - SC

11 Kody Clark, RW (47th overall, 2018. Last Year: 13) One would expect the son of former NHL’er Wendell Clark to be quite the physical aggressor and that expectation happens to be a correct one. Kody Clark is an intense competitor who is very active on the forecheck and in puck pursuit. He also has great lower body strength which makes him difficult to separate from the puck as he works the wall and prolongs possession for his more skilled linemates. There are some limitations to Clark’s offensive game and subsequently his offensive ceiling. His puck skill, creativity, goal scoring instincts, hands, and vision would all have to be classified as average. Likely the key to Clark’s development moving forward will be the development of his defensive game. This will determine whether he becomes more than just a fourth line agitator and energy player. -BO

12 Colby Williams, D (173rd overall, 2015. Last Year: Not ranked) Among defensemen in the Washington system, Williams is on the smaller end but that does not stop him from making smart plays. He plays a physical game, is strong on the boards and does well at keeping the puck on his stick. His shot production and offensive play needs to improve a little more before he can be considered for a call up to the NHL. He is a mature enough player to earn the call and he plays with enough determination and control that he would be a solid addition to the Capitals’ roster. It is hard to estimate at this point whether or not Williams will play another full year with the Hershey Bears or be sent up for a few games. If he checks off every area of development, he could emerge on a third pairing in time. - SC

13 Shane Gersich, C (134th overall, 2014. Last Year: 5) Gersich is a high energy and entertaining forward to watch and having already won the Stanley Cup with the Capitals in 2018 he has high pressure experience with the big club under his belt already. Unfortunately however, Gersich fell short this season with Hershey as he did not quite live up to expectations. Gersich is a very fast and skilled player with a great set of hands but these skills were lost as he adjusted to the pace of his first professional season while making the jump from NCAA. Gersich had a great development camp and it is without question that he will be better adjusted and prepared this coming season when he starts with Hershey. It is well known that the Capitals have a strong forward lineup but a spot on the Capitals’ roster is not too far away for Gersich as he is certainly dynamic, aggressive and skilled enough to be a bottom six forward once he gets the call. - SC

14 Vitek Vanecek, G (39th overall, 2014. Last Year: 14) Vanecek is a tricky case with the Washington Capitals in terms of goaltenders in their system as they have a lot of goaltending talent and it is quite a competitive system in terms of skill. On the smaller end of the standard goaltender size spectrum, Vanecek moves well, has good vision and keeps rebounds low which are all things that make him a contender for a spot on the Capitals. Last season, Vanecek and Ilya Samsonov nearly split the starts evenly. Vanecek finished in the top 20 in the AHL for his goals against average which is a testament to his athleticism. His temperament may be stable enough for an NHL club however consistency is an issue and he needs to work on being more stable in net if he wants to earn a spot as a backup goaltender in the future. - SC

15 Eric Florchuk, C (217th overall, 2018. Last Year: Not ranked) Florchuk has been a mixed bag this past season but he has some offensive skills and good hockey IQ. He is a pass first player who makes smart plays in all three zones. He needs to add some strength to continue to develop into his pro-sized frame. He is a responsible two-way player who back checks hard and gets in on his forecheck well. He projects as a bottom six forward that helps on the penalty kill and contributes to an overall team game. While not the most exciting or high skilled forward in the system, he looks like great value for literally the final pick of the 2018 draft.- VG

16 Axel Jonsson-Fjallby, LW (147th overall, 2016. Last Year: 7) When he is at his best, Jonsson-Fjallby is a highly energetic and quick player to play with and tough to keep up when paired against. His speed makes him a force to be reckoned with and his hockey IQ has improved drastically in the last year. He has become a smart and reliable two way player, whereas once his defensive game was insubstantial. His backwards skating is weak and his consistency and ability to read the play needs to drastically improve. Jonsson-Fjallby still has the potential to be a bottom six forward but first he needs to complete a full season in North America - last season did not go as planned and he returned back home to play with Djurgardens in the Swedish Hockey League - and prove that he has made a proper adjustment to the ice size and style of North American professional hockey. - SC

17 Garrett Pilon, C (87th overall, 2016. Last Year: 17) Pilon is a hard working forward capable of winning battles, allowing for good puck possession. He is dynamic and has a good head on his shoulders where playmaking is concerned. He creates offensive opportunities and passing is certainly a strength of his with his goal/assist ratio only proving that fact. He is a clean, but physical player who gets well into the tough spots and adds notable pressure to create turnovers. However, good two way players are a valuable commodity and Pilon needs to find an extra gear and find a way to keep up the tempo in all zones and not just the offensive end to move to the next level. His level of comfort moving from the Everett Silvertips of the WHL to the AHL has been shifted somewhat and it will be up to him to manage his transition better in order to be noticed as a potential bottom six center with Washington. - SC

18 Damien Riat, LW (117th overall, 2016. Last Year: 11) Last season, Riat left his childhood team of Geneve-Servette for NLA competitor Biel-Bienne, and there was some hope that the fresh start would allow him to take that next step in his development as a prospect. And while he had a decent season with his new team, Riat did not take any such steps. His point production barely budged (from 24 to 25 points in an equal number of games) and according to first-hand accounts, the skilled winger didn’t look any better in producing the way either. He is still an agitating winger whose feet are as quick as his hands, but with his NLA contract expiring this summer, this will be a critical year for him to show that his greasy game would be worth an ELC from the Capitals. - RW

19 Beck Malenstyn, LW (145th overall, 2016. Last Year: Not ranked) Last season was rough for Malenstyn and presumably not how he expected to start off his professional career. With only a meager 16 points throughout 74 games, the regular season was disappointing. He started to pick up steam as he hit the playoffs only for Hershey to be eliminated, killing his momentum. It is optimistic to say that he will need a confidence boost next season in order for him to be able to showcase his skills better. When on his game, Malenstyn is a natural goal scorer and great at gaining puck possession, but he will have to have a much better showing in order to prove to Washington that he still has NHL upside. With his shot and natural scoring ability, he will have to find the back of the net more than just 7 times next season to reach even ensure that he can remain in the AHL long term. - SC

20 Martin Hugo Has, D (153rd overall, 2019. Last Year: IE) The Capitals selected the towering Czech defenseman in the fifth round of the 2019 draft. Has spent the past two seasons with Tappara U20 and unless he makes the Liiga team this year, it is reasonable to think that he will stay at the U20 level. His shooting ability stands out, with a wrist shot that is hard and accurate, while his slap shot features a lot of power and a good wind up. He also has a knack for getting shots through on the net. His other attributes project to be more around average and the jury is still out on whether he has enough upside to play a significant role in the NHL at his maturation. His acceleration and overall mobility need work and although he shows promise in his defensive and physical games, there is room for improvement in those areas as well. – MB

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McKeen’s 2019 NHL Shadow Draft https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/mckeens-2019-nhl-shadow-draft/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/mckeens-2019-nhl-shadow-draft/#respond Tue, 25 Jun 2019 12:00:27 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=160967 Read More... from McKeen’s 2019 NHL Shadow Draft

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Before writing up our division by division draft reviews, I wanted to take some time to conduct the McKeen's Hockey Shadow draft and then share a few draft thoughts. As a reminder, for the shadow draft, we assume that we are picking 16th in any given round and simply draft the top ranked player on our board at that point, with the only tweaks being that we cannot draft more than one netminder and that our shadow draft class needs at least two forwards and two defensemen.

For additional context, here are our shadow classes from the 2017 and 2018 drafts, including the slot, the player we would have chosen, where that player was actually selected (if he was selected at all), and the actual player selected at that slot.

Pick # 2017 Draft - Player McKeens Rank Actual Draft slot Actual Pick
16 Kristian Vesalainen 9 24 Juuso Valimaki
47 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen 32 54 Alex Formenton
78 Keith Petruzzelli 37 88 Stuart Skinner
109 Adam Ruzicka 40 109 Adam Ruzicka
140 Sasha Chmelevski 61 185 Zach Fischer
171 Kirill Slepets 74 Undrafted D'Artagnan Joly
202 Emil Oksanen 76 Undrafted Filip Sveningsson

The positional rules went into effect after the 2017 draft saw us pick two goalies and zero defensemen. How did we do? I think we come out ahead for 2017. Vesalainen has yet to fully breakthrough in the NHL while Valimaki split last season between the NHL and the AHL. I still believe that Vesalainen has greater upside. Formenton and Luukonen both had tremendous final seasons of junior eligibility last year, but “our” guy looks like a potential number one netminder and Formenton still seems more likely to top off as a third line forward with exceptional speed. Petruzzelli and Skinner might be a wash as it is too early to tell on either and neither has really demanded attention.

Ruzicka was nailed in the fourth round while we crushed the NHL in both the fifth and sixth rounds. The NHL picks at those slots – Zach Fischer and D’Artagnan Joly – were both left unsigned and their NHL rights were surrendered. We drafted Sasha Chmelevski, who has since blossomed into a top CHL player while Slepets went undrafted until now, but Carolina took him this year, showing that we were definitely on to something. I will give the seventh round to the NHL as Svenningson is moving up the ranks in Sweden, having a solid first senior season in the Allsvenskan. He isn’t yet signed to an ELC, but our pick Emil Oksanen was not been drafted or signed anyway and his career hasn’t really taken off.

Pick # Player McKeens Rank Actual Draft slot Actual Pick
16 Joe Veleno 10 30 Martin Kaut
47 Akil Thomas 26 51 Kody Clark
78 Blake McLaughlin 40 79 Sampo Ranta
109 Aidan Dudas 52 113 Tyler Weiss
140 Alexis Gravel 67 162 Brandon Saigeon
171 Merrick Rippon 85 Undrafted Nikolai Kovalenko
202 Danila Galenyuk 96 Undrafted Shamil Shmakov

It is harder to yet judge the 2018 results, but we’ll give it a shot. The real #16, Martin Kaut, went right to the AHL and more or less held his own as a teenager while also impressing at the WJC. Our pick, Joe Veleno, also made Canada’s WJC roster and finished fourth in QMJHL regular season scoring. Veleno may have had more of an eye-popping season this year, but I will not discount Kaut’s accomplishments in his D+1 season. Let’s call it a wash for now even if I may yet prefer Veleno as bias might be present.

In the second round, I prefer our pick of Akil Thomas to Colorado’s selection of Kody Clark. If we are comparing fathers, Clark wins hands down, but Thomas finished eighth in OHL scoring this year while Clark had less than half as much production. In a nice little coincidence, the third-round picks both went on to play for the University of Minnesota. McLaughlin had a slightly more effective freshman season especially looking better over the season half of the season, but the gap is not enough to overcome the confidence interval. We’ll call it even for now.

In the fourth round, neither our pick (Aidan Dudas) nor the real pick (Tyler Weiss) had especially good seasons. Dudas essentially repeated his production from his draft year while Weiss struggled to impact in his first NCAA campaign. No winner. I am prepared to give McKeens a slight edge in the fifth round, as Alexis Gravel took a big step forward last year, and was a rock in the QMJHL playoffs, taking Halifax to the Q finals and keeping up the good work in the Memorial Cup. To be honest, Saigeon had a nice season as well, but he was an onverager, so his step forward was less noteworthy. Neither of our last two picks, Merrick Rippon or Danila Galenyuk were drafted. Rippon was basically the same guy this year while Galenyuk took a modest step forward and I think we should continue to keep our eyes on him.

The NHL easily wins the sixth round, as Nikolai Kovalenko spent the year in the KHL and played in the WJC. He is still a far ways from the NHL but he is still on the radar. The NHL seventh rounder, netminder Shamil Shmakov, took a step back while failing to get out of the Russian junior ranks. I prefer Galenyuk at this stage, but will call it a tie, because Shmakov at least has his NHL rights under control for now.

Track record established (pretty solid) let’s look at how our shadow draft for 2019 played out.

Pick # Player McKeens Rank Actual Draft slot Actual Pick
16 Peyton Krebs 8 17 Alex Newhook
47 Albert Johansson 26 60 Drew Helleson
78 Pavel Dorofeyev 31 79 Alex Beaucage
109 Marshall Warren 35 166 Marc Del Gaizo
140 Yegor Chinakhov 49 Undrafted Sasha Mutala
171 Nikola Pasic 53 189 Luka Burzan
202 Oleg Zaytsev 66 Undrafted Trent Miner

Once again, we are going up against the Colorado Avalanche scouts this year, who had the 16th pick, although the fourth-round pick of Del Gaizo was actually made by Nashville following a pick swap.

If you look at where we had ranked the players drafted, we are clearly excited by how our shadow draft played out. Krebs was a top ten talent and may have fallen a few slots due to an achilles injury that will delay his 2019-20 season a touch but should have zero impact on his long-term prognosis. We had our second and third rounders also slotted as first round talents. Both Johansson and Dorofeyev have dynamic offensive skills and I especially feel that Johansson will make his real draft slot look laughable (in a good way) within two years. He was a late riser and capped his season with an impressive WU18 tournament. Dorofeyev has his warts, namely lack of interest in his own zone, but I am happy to bet on the skills here.

As much as I like those picks, I love getting Marshall Warren in the fourth round. His real-life fall to the sixth was the biggest shock of the draft for me. He is a truly dynamic puck moving defender and while he can play a risky game, having seen him extensively, I always got the sense that his risks were calculated. I have inquired around with some sources about why he might have fallen and received some speculative theories, but nothing definitive. One source simply stated that he had no clue. Our bottom three round picks were long term plays with European flavor, although Zaytsev spent this past season in the WHL. They are all tools bets and I am happy to take those in any draft, but especially in the back half.

I am happy to welcome these seven young men into the McKeen’s family. We will look back at these picks again next year to track everyone’s progress.

Now for some random thoughts about the draft

  • I had thought that all of the USNTDP U18 class, barring Danny Weight, would be drafted. As it turns out, Michael Gildon and Cam Rowe joined him in limbo. Gildon’s not being selected was especially surprising. He plays a heavy game, but with good wheels and good hands. He can play with talented players and keep the pace. He is going to a good program at Ohio State and will have a chance to play in a top six role right away as the Buckeyes have had a lot of turnover. Rowe is a very athletic netminder, but his technical game falters way too quickly. North Dakota has a good reputation for developing goalies and he could be a redraft with a bit of refinement to his game.
  • As I personally cover the USHL most fervently, the late seventh round pick of McKade Webster by Tampa was odd. In his first year of eligibility, I liked him enough with Green Bay, although not enough to consider him for our draft rankings. A decent future collegian basically. He went back to Green Bay for 2018-19 but has limited to six games due to injury. What did he do in six games that he didn’t show when healthy the year before? I have no clue.
  • There were 41 players drafted that we didn’t have on our expanded list, slightly better than the 44 we completely whiffed on last year. A good number of the 41 we didn’t rank were redrafts we didn’t feel had improved enough. Most of the rest were deep scouting cuts from Europe. Also, there was Cade Webber, who I think we meant to have in our top 217, but somehow omitted. I will take the blame on that one. He went higher than we would have ranked him, but I will not slam Carolina for taking him in the fourth round when completed by reviews in the coming days.
  • I mentioned Marshall Warren in the shadow draft above as being the biggest faller. The biggest risers were a quintet of second rounders who we had as much later picks. Shane Pinto was the first pick of day two and while his numbers were great and he is a late bloomer, I never saw him as a dynamic player and would have been more comfortable with him in the third round. Artemi Knyazev was similar. Dillon Hamaliuk was ranked in the fifth-round area, but with the caveat that he could have been graded considerably higher if not for a devastating knee injury which cut his season short. We are not privy to medicals, so I will presume that San Jose was fine with what they saw there. The final two who jumped were a pair of combine stars in Jayden Struble and Samuel Bolduc. We actually had Bolduc as an honorable mention player (218-325) and probably should have ranked him closer to the 150 range. Still would have been drafted too high for our tastes, but live and learn. The combine can boost some guys into the second tier.
  • I didn’t count how many, but teams are more and more willing to draft second- and third-year eligible players, even pretty high. If I’m not mistaken, three were taken in the second round (Kotchetkov, Fagemo, Leason), all roughly in line with where we had them ranked.
  • This means nothing but a few giggles from myself on the media riser on day two, but we ranked a few guys exactly where they were drafted after the top two. Going exactly in line with our rankings were Matthew Boldy (12), John Beecher (30), Vladislav Kolyachonok (52), Gianni Fairbrother (77), Sasha Mutala (140), Elmer Soderblom (159). 24 picks were made within two slots of where we had them ranked.
  • 92 of our top 100 were drafted, one less than last year, but roughly on par with our expectations. I’ll be satisfied when we break 95, but our misses included players from Russia, the Czech Republic, OHL, WHL, and the USHL. No real patterns to glean lessons from but we will come back better and stronger next year. Ever onwards, ever upwards.
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Washington Capitals Prospect System Overview https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/washington-capitals-prospect-system-overview/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/washington-capitals-prospect-system-overview/#respond Fri, 14 Sep 2018 14:30:56 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=150355 Read More... from Washington Capitals Prospect System Overview

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At this time last year, we were collectively nonplussed by Washington’s system. Of course, we recognized that Ilya Samsonov was one of the better goaltending prospects in the sport, but we also recognized that he would not be available to the Capitals during the season, except as an asset to dangle in trade talks.

That take on a bland system was the natural result of an organization that had been trading draft picks like hockey cards for years. The Capital made only four selections in both the 2015 and the 2017 drafts. In the latter year, their earliest pick came at the tail end of the fourth round.

Some teams can get away with not drafting often as they supplement their systems with undrafted free agents. After all, the difference in quality between players drafted in the sixth or seventh rounds and the top 30-50 undrafted free agents can be pretty minimal. In fact, the latter group, as they are generally older, are closer to realizing their potential than 17-18 year-olds who are still in the early stages of their respective journeys.

Unfortunately, Washington has not had a strong track record of luring undrafted talent into their ranks. Most of the undrafted players playing with their AHL affiliate in Hershey were of the older variety. To wit, their average age on the farm last year was 25.51 years old, second oldest in the league to only the San Diego Gulls.

As it happened, any successes experienced by Hershey last year were largely the product AHL veterans, instead of NHL prospects. Their 1A goalie turned 26 during last season, and four of their top ten scorers will be at least 28 years old before the 2018-19 season begins.

In fairness, there were some pretty important contributions from Washington’s top prospects on the team’s run to their first Stanley Cup championship. Number two prospect Jakub Vrana, a former first rounder, had 27 points in his rookie NHL season and added eight postseason points. Chandler Stephenson, who had ranked eighth on this list last year, was a fixture on the fourth line. He contributed 18 points in the regular season and another seven in the postseason. Madison Bowey, who we had ranked fifth, was the ostensible seventh defenseman during the regular season, although he did not play in the playoffs at all. Finally, thirteenth ranked Christian Djoos, who had cycled in and out of the lineup with Bowey in the regular season, cemented his place in the lineup in the playoffs, playing in 22 of the Capitals’ 24 games. A few other guys snuck into games here and there, but he have covered the bulk of the prospect contributions to the championship.

We can appreciate the fact that the Capitals’ championship was a largely veteran affair, but we cannot overlook the value of the draft in creating the Cup raising team. Instead of making a series of veteran-adding trades at the deadline, this team was run by players who had spent years in the organization. From former first rounders such as Ovechkin, Backstrom, Kuznetsov, Carlson, Wilson, Burakovsky, and the aforementioned Vrana, to later round picks like Dmitri Orlov, and Braden Holtby, the importance of the draft cannot be overlooked. By it is also a reminder that the payoff is generally not immediate.

1 Ilya Samsonov, G (22nd overall, 2015. Last Year: 1st) The wait on one of the best goalies on the planet not yet in the NHL has seemingly come to an end with Samsonov’s dominant three year run with Magnitogorsk of the KHL coming to an end with a combined .929 save percentage and a 2.20 GAA. His game between the pipes is very well rounded. He is a high-end athlete who adjusts his body quickly and acrobatically to get to puck that other goalies would have no chance on. He is competitive, reads the game well and technically sound, covering his angles well and playing with an understanding of depth. He even does well at controlling the first shot, thereby minimizing second and third chances. He could still to improve his puck handling skills. While Washington’s net is in capable hands with Braden Holtby, in Samsonov, they have a succession plan in place, and he will spend most, if not all, of the coming season in the NHL.

2 Lucas Johansen, D (28th overall, 2016. Last Year: 3rd) An exceptional puck mover, Johansen has developed at a stately but reasonable pace since the Capitals made him a late first round pick in 2016. Coming out of the blueline factory in Kelowna, he is another highly mobile, modern-era defenseman who has more upside than any other skater in the system. Thanks to his late birthdate, he was able to play in the AHL before his 20th birthday and he ended the season fifth in points among U21 blueliners in the league. Almost as impressive as his offensive capabilities, he also shows a responsible game in his own end. His point shot is strong enough to pick up time on the power play once he reaches the NHL. Speaking of the NHL, he still needs to add muscle to his lanky frame while the chance to dominate at a lower level will allow him to explore the extent of his game before being under the spotlight.

Alexander Alexeyev 33 Alexander Alexeyev, D (31st overall, 2018. Last Year: IE) The final pick of the 2018 first round, Alexeyev had to overcome quite a lot to get to that point. Not only did he leave home before his 17th birthday to play hockey in Red Deer, but he also dealt with a few injuries in his time on the WHL, notably a knee injury that robbed him of a large chunk of his draft year. Even more than that though, he dealt with the unexpected passing of his mother near mid-season. Alexeyev showed a lot of maturity and drive to come back to Canada within a few weeks of that tragedy and continue to play a high end two way game. He brings size and processing power to his own end, and a big point shot and even more impressive passing ability to the offensive game. His above average skating comes with him wherever he goes. May have more untapped potential than any skater in the system.

4 Connor Hobbs, D (143rd overall, 2015. Last Year: 4th) The Capitals took a risk drafting Hobbs after a draft year partially lost due to a dispute with his original WHL club. The subsequent growth in his game in his final two WHL years make him the best value pick in the organization still working his way up the ladder. He plays a punishing physical game with a big, strong frame. His offensive output from the WHL has not yet followed him to the AHL, but he has been able to demonstrate a promising ability to move the puck, both as a carrier and as a passer. There will be an expectation placed on his shoulders to stand out more in his second-go-round with Hershey, such as being more selectively assertive with his powerful point shot, but his first step showed enough to keep him high in Washington’s future plans.

5 Shane Gersich, C/LW (134th overall, 2014. Last Year: 9th) The Capitals were very patient with Gersich. After using a fifth round pick on him four years ago, they waited as he spent one more season in the USHL and three seasons in NCAA with North Dakota. He played a depth role as UND won a national title in his freshman year but was more prominent in their failed attempts to return to the summit in the last two years. He is a fantastic skater, with both speed and slipperiness. Gersich is also a creative stickhandler, able to find ways out of tricky situations. After his junior year, he signed a late-season ELC with Washington, getting into three regular season games and two in the postseason, to add an NHL title to his NCAA glory. More likely to break into the league as a winger than a center, he should spend most of the next season apprenticing in the AHL first.

Martin Fehervary
Martin Fehervary

6 Martin Fehervary, D (46th overall, 2018. Last Year: IE) A smooth skater with a rich resume in international hockey, Fehervary had already represented his country in two WU18s, two WJCs, and one World Championship before being selected in the second round by the Capitals this past June. He does not jump out on the stats pages, and unfortunately, that is indicative of the type of game he brings to the ice. In addition to his prime acceleration and overall mobility, he has a large frame that he knows how to use and has an advanced feel for the game. With the puck, he is less of a sure thing, sometimes looking downright jittery. He does not have great upside, but has a mature game that can find a fit on the back half of an NHL defensive corps.

7 Axel Jonsson Fjallby, LW (147th overall, 2016. Last Year: not ranked) With his rock star flow and sprinter’s speed, Jonsson Fjallby had a coming out party in last year’s WJC, dazzling as he helped Sweden to a Silver Medal. He grew into a depth scoring role in his first full season in the SHL, but showed more finishing touch with six goals through the first two rounds of the SHL playoffs for Djurgardens. He can be unpredictable to cover, not just with the elusiveness that is a natural by-product of his near-elite speed, but some creativity with the puck as well. He knows how to utilize his speed to be a PK asset as well. Signed to an ELC in May, he should send this coming season in the AHL.

8 Riley Barber, RW (167th overall, 2012. Last Year: 15th) After a year beset by injury, Barber stayed healthy and played a practically full schedule last season, but had his worst output yet as a pro in a down year for AHL Hershey. Further, without a single callup to Washington, he was not able to add to his bulging championship collection. The Capitals will want to see more ability to control the offensive game, and he has the tools to do so. His skating, shot, and puck skills all grade out as above average and last year was his first year where he was not near his team’s scoring lead. He should have a good chance to make the team as an extra forward this year.

9 Riley Sutter, RW (93rd overall, 2018. Last Year: IE) A prototypical member of the Sutter dynasty, son of Ron is a meat-and-potatoes winger who brings a pluggers’ mentality along with a pretty hard wrist shot that has won him a number of admirers in the WHL. The type of player who can play on both special teams units, Riley Sutter can screen the opposing goalie at one end while shutting down the play from the point at the other. He has ideal size for a bottom six winger at the NHL level, and would probably have been a first round pick in clutch and grab days of the early to mid-1990s. These days however, skating prowess rules the day, and while his top speed is alright, Sutter is a bit sluggish afoot. A more explosive takeoff can make him a high-end NHL prospect.

10 Brian Pinho, C (174th overall, 2013. Last Year: 18th) Like Shane Gersich above, Pinho is a product of patience on Washington’s part. He spent an additional year in the USHL after being drafted and then four full years at Providence before finally signing an ELC. Also like Gersich, Pinho won an NCAA title in his freshman year as he gradually grew into a leadership role for his school. The captain as a senior, he has a full set of solid tools to play with, although nothing that would qualify him as a dynamic talent. He projects as more of a defensive sound center who can chip in offensively, but cannot drive play on his own.

11 Damien Riat, LW (117th overall, 2016. Last Year: 10th) After two times each at the WU18 and the WJC, Riat has aged out of junior competition and spent part of his offseason this year helping Switzerland get to the World Championship final, albeit in a depth role. A strong skater, he also grades out well for his puck skills, hockey IQ and physical game. The point requires note that his lack of size will ensure that he is never a punishing player, but he plays with a pest’s mentality, forechecking hard and generally getting into the face of an opponent as he works to separate him from the puck. The Capitals seem to be n no real rush to bring him state-side and his new contract with Biel-Bienne in the Swiss NLA should keep him in Europe for another two seasons.

Jonas Siegenthaler
Jonas Siegenthaler

12 Jonas Siegenthaler, D (57th overall, 2015. Last Year: 7th) A physical specimen at 6-2” and over 220 pounds, Siegenthaler is much more than a coke machine on ice. For starters, he is fairly mobile. Not dynamic by any stretch (which is something that can be said about most parts of his game), but he gets around well and has shown that he can keep up at the pro level. He showed a bit more offense in his first year in the AHL than some had anticipated, which is to say that he could be more than a pure stay-at-home defender. The fact that he was playing professionally in his native Switzerland from age 17 shows up in his reads and positioning. His one true selling point, however, as expected by his frame, is a high end physical game. He is not mean, but when he leans on a guy, there isn’t much the opponent can do.

13 Kody Clark, RW (47th overall, 2018. Last Year: IE) Despite his status as a second round pick of the defending Stanley Cup champions, Kody Clark has a long way to go before he ceases being primarily the son of Wendel Clark. Whereas his father was a star for his toughness and world class wrist shot – not always in that order – Kody is a very raw player. He has flashed a facsimile of what made his father great, as well as some reports of fine wheels, but he has never really put it all together on the ice and his production has been closer to that of a late round pick than someone with a number in the mid double digits. He needs to play with more consistency and start to anticipate instead of react.

14 Vitek Vanecek, G (39th overall, 2014. Last Year: 14th) To be absolutely clear, the Capitals highest hopes for Vanecek are as a future backup. This would be the case almost no matter how well he performs. With a former Vezina winner still in his prime in the NHL and one of the top netminding prospects in the sport ready to move into the NHL this year, the athletic Czech goaltender is more a curiosity at this point. His third pro season did not match his second, although Hershey as a whole had a down year. He does a pretty good job of limiting second chances, but the rest of his game is fairly average. Also worth noting is that at 6-1”, he is on the small side for the modern goalie.

15 Travis Boyd, C (177th overall, 2011. Last Year: 11th) While Hershey had a rare down year, Boyd continued to produce offense and earned his first NHL stint, including one playoff game to start his career off with a ring. The former Golden Gopher has the offensive tools necessarily to be a respectable secondary scoring presence in the NHL, although his size and lack of attention to detail in his own zone mean he will likely need to be sheltered, whether with a more responsible linemate, or with favorable shifts. Expected to compete for the fourth line center job in 2018-19, he will also need to prove that he can play effectively in the greasy areas in order to secure that spot and create new career highlights.

Nathan Walker
Nathan Walker

16 Nathan Walker, LW (Waivers: Dec. 20, 2017 [Edmonton]. Last Year: not ranked) All’s well that ends well, I suppose. The first Australian drafted by an NHL team, the Caps placed Walker on waivers in late November and he was promptly claimed by Edmonton. He was with the Oilers for eight games, six of which were spent in the press box, before he was waived again and the Capitals re-claimed him. Small, quick and feisty, he spent much of the rest of the season in the AHL, but got up to Washington for stretches, and played in one playoff game against Pittsburgh, where he even picked up an assist. He will once again be viewed as organizational depth on the wing, but he got his name on the Cup.

17 Garrett Pilon, C (87th overall, 2016. Last Year: 17th) Son of longtime New York Islander, the offensively declined Rich Pilon, Garrett developed as a two way forward instead. There were hopes that he could develop more offensively as he completed his junior career, but his tools have trended more towards average. As with most sons-of, his hockey IQ is the selling point of his prospects for an NHL future. At present Washington’s system is not very deep, so he will get a decent chance. But as the team replenishes its minor league ranks, he will have to show more ability to drive the play than he has to this point.

18 Chase Priskie, D (177th overall, 2016. Last Year: 20th) Very much a late bloomer, Priskie has shown much greater ability to drive the play with Quinnipiac than he ever had in the BCHL. Now the captain of the Bobcats, he is a fantastic skater, fast and with plus edge work, making his forays up the ice a treat to observe. Despite the impressive goal totals for the defenceman, his shot is not nearly as impressive as his ability to control the flow from the point as a distributing quarterback. He has also filled out some physically in his time on campus, but his game is lacking a physical component. Expect the Capitals to make a big push to get him under contract after his senior season ends.

19 Juuso Ikonen, RW (UDFA: May 2, 2018. Last Year: IE) One year after younger brother Joni was drafted in the second round by Montreal, Juuso signed as a free agent with Washington. Juuso is a little bit smaller and a fair amount less talented than his brother, but is still a decent player in his own right as is demonstrated by his having played high level hockey in Finland and Sweden since his age 16 season. He skates well and is tricky with the puck on his stick. His hockey has been well honed by his accumulated experience, although do not be mistaken into thinking he is a defensive specialist, as he is here to help drive the offense. He will have to prove that his size is not a detriment in the AHL before getting a full NHL opportunity.

20 Steven Spinner, RW (159th overall, 2014. Last Year: not ranked) Yet another example of the Capitals’ willingness to let their collegians maximize their time on campus, Spinner has slowly grown into a reliable play-maker’s game with Nebraska-Omaha. He is a skilled puck handler who has good reach and strong puck protection ability. The Mavericks have not hesitated to use Spinner on the penalty kill and in other defensively challenging situations. Despite having average size, he adds a dash oh physicality to his skilled game, finishing his checks before re-assuming a defensive posture. His upside is not the greatest, but there should be room for him in Hershey after next year, if he want sot sign with Washington.

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2018 NHL Draft Review: Metropolitan Division https://www.mckeenshockey.com/prospects-blog/2018-nhl-draft-review-metropolitan-division/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/prospects-blog/2018-nhl-draft-review-metropolitan-division/#respond Wed, 11 Jul 2018 17:09:35 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=149795 Read More... from 2018 NHL Draft Review: Metropolitan Division

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The draft is over and 217 young players are newly affiliated with 31 different NHL organizations. Outside of three to six of those players, who could jump right into NHL lineups in the fall, we will not know whether the vast majority of those players are draft successes for two, three, four, or five years.

The lack of clear foresight aside, we should still be able to judge draft classes at least in terms of expected value. In some cases, we can look at strategy as well, although the way the board shakes out based on the picks that came before, we can rarely truly discern what a club was trying to do, but only what they were able to do.

I had hoped that we would be able to provide an average Overall Future Projection of the various draft classes, but there are a few picks from the high school ranks, the NAHL and a few European junior leagues for whom we lack enough information to give a full grade, so we will focus on where we had players ranked as we assess the draft haul of each team, as we run division-by-division through the NHL.

Here is the Metropolitan Division

Carolina Hurricanes
1 (2) Andrei Svechnikov, RW, Barrie (OHL) - ranked 2nd
2 (42) Jack Drury, C, Waterloo (USHL) - ranked 66th
4 (96) Luke Henman, C, Blainville-Boisbriand (QMJHL) - ranked 156th
4 (104) Lenni Killinen, RW, Blues U20 (Jr. A SM-Liiga) - ranked 137th
6 (166) Jesper Sellgren, D, Modo (Allsvenskan) - ranked 207th
7 (197) Jacob Kucharski, G, Des Moines (USHL) - not ranked

For starters, a heartfelt congratulations are in order to the Carolina Hurricanes, their employees and their fans, as they did not overthink the #2 selection in the draft and walked away with the best forward money couldn’t buy in Andrei Svechnikov. In his first year in North America, he scored 1.2 points per game for Muskegon of the USHL in his age 16-17 season. After that, he moved up to the OHL and put up over 1.6 points per game for the Barrie Colts, despite missing time to the WJC and assorted injuries and suspensions. I am not saying we can expect two points per game as a rookie next season for the Hurricanes, but I am saying that he will be a rookie next season for the Hurricanes, and 20 goals is my minimal projection. He can play at both ends, but I expect him to be somewhat sheltered as a rookie. He is going to be very good for a long time. Moving on to the rest of the draft class.

After Svechnikov, the Hurricanes selected three more forwards, one blueliner and a goalie. Considering that the strength of the organization is on the blueline and most of their defenders are still rather young, that was a good strategy to take. Unfortunately, while I can say good things about the rest of the players that were drafted by Carolina, I cannot say that they selected the best player on the board at any other slot. Jack Drury is a good player with deep NHL bloodlines. He does a lot of things well. The points he put up for Waterloo were spectacular. On the other hand, way too many of those points were second assists and/or power play points. He is generally not the engine that makes the offense run. Just looking at the USHL, I would have taken either Blake McLaughlin or Sampo Ranta at that spot.

The Hurricanes did not have a third round pick, but selected twice in the fourth. The first pick there was used on Luke Henman, an athletic center from Blainville-Boisbriand in the QMJHL. He is an undersized playmaker, who performed well enough as a rookie in the Q this year and then upped his stock with a very good showing at multiple stations at the Draft Combine. Staying just with forwards from the Q, I would have preferred Dmitri Zavgorodny or Anderson MacDonald. But for those last two picks, it seems like the Hurricanes, with a management team that has not yet spent much time together, heavily weighted combine performance. With their second fourth rounder, the Canes finally took a non-combine player, grabbing Lenni Killinen from their usual stomping grounds in Finland. An explosive skater with promising offensive tools, Killinen put up respectable point totals in the Finnish junior ranks, but we would have preferred one of Ville Petman, Arttu Nevasaari, or Kristian Tanus, among young Finnish forwards.

Jesper Sellgren makes for a nice story as their sixth round pick. In his third year of eligibility, he was named to the Swedish team for the WJC. He is a very good skater and exhibits very good hockey sense, but his ceiling is limited. A reasonable pick in the sixth round, no doubt, but among Swedish netminders, fellow ’98 birthdate Henrik Malmstrom, would have been our pick there. Finally, in the seventh round, the Hurricanes added another netminder to their stable. Jake Kucharski has a lot of tools and can look very good at times, such as his performance in the USHL Top Prospects Game. But he could not keep the job in Des Moines, which brought in Roman Durny from Slovakia after the WJC. Kucharski scarcely played from there on out. This was a down year for netminder in the USHL, but I would have been inclined to gamble on one of Keegan Karki or Vincent Purpura instead. Your mileage may vary. In total, I cannot truly fault the Hurricanes for their draft picks. I don’t love it, but they did under circumstances (new management group) that do not often allow for exemplary draft planning.

OFP - 53

Columbus Blue Jackets
1 (18) Liam Foudy, C, London (OHL) - ranked 25th
2 (49) Kirill Marchenko, LW, Mamonty Yugry (MHL) - ranked 34th
3 (80) Marcus Kallberg, RW/LW, Leksands IF J20 (SuperElit) - unranked
6 (159) Tim Berni, D, GC Kusnacht Lions (NLB) - unranked
6 (173) Veini Vehvilainen, G, Karpat (Liiga) - unranked
7 (204) Trey Fix-Wolansky, RW, Edmonton (OHL) - ranked Honorable Mention

As a testament to the Blue Jackets history of going away from the so-called “consensus”, the example always brought up is when they selected Pierre-Luc Dubois third overall in 2016 instead of Jesse Puljujarvi, who was ranked third by literally everyone else. It is still early, but that pick looks pretty good so far for GM Jarmo Kekalainen. That, and the relative success of other recent unheralded prospect acquisitions by Columbus such as Markus Nutivaara (7th round, 2015) or Markus Hannikainen (UDFA, 2015), suggest that we reserve judgement after the Jackets only selected two players we had ranked in our top 217, and only one more who made our top 300. The third round pick, Marcus Karlberg, was the biggest head scratcher of the lot. He put up great numbers in the SuperElit, but he is tiny, and outside of his hockey IQ, lacks tools that project to above average.

Their first sixth rounder, Tim Berni, is an accomplished young defender from Switzerland, who did not look completely overwhelmed at the last WJC, but similarly did not show much to suggest a surefire NHL upside is within. There is some promise there, but I would want to see him do something at the top flight in Switzerland. All of his success thus far has come in the junior ranks, or in the second tier. The other sixth rounder, a rare Finnish pick by Kekalainen, is someone I can get on board with. To be completely honest, we have had Vehvilainen ranked in previous drafts, but left him out this year, his fourth of draft eligibility. Mostly, we figured if his amazing run at the WJC in 2017 was not enough to get him noticed, what else could he do. He is borderline undersized by modern netminding standards, but he dominated in the top men’s league in Finland and then led Karpat to the Liiga championship while still mourning the death of his father. He was also named the top goaltender in Liiga. Not every goalie with that hardware makes it in the NHL, but some (Tim Thomas, Kari Lehtonen, Antti Raanta, Miikka Kiprusoff, etc.) do. Trey Fix-Wolansky, the Columbus draftee we listed as an honorable mention selection, does not look like a good player, as he is short and stocky, and he is not the greatest skater, but he is very strong on the puck and has finished first or second in scoring for the woeful Edmonton Oil Kings in each of the last two seasons. So those are the picks that are off our boards. Despite not having the full-throated backing of the McKeens scouting staff, we can see good reasons for liking each of them (OK, maybe not Karlberg).

Thankfully, we really like their first two picks. Liam Foudy was a classic late riser. He began the season in a bottom six role with the London Knights, but when the perennial powerhouse decided that this was not going to be their year, a few veterans were traded away and Foudy ascended way up the depth chart. And he excelled. Over the second half of the season, he was one of the more electric players in the OHL, and backed it up with strong performances in the CHL Top Prospects Game as well as at the WU18s. He also has a strong case to be proclaimed the best athlete in the draft class. Kirill Marchenko was someone who drew mixed reviews from our Russian-based scouts, but raised his play for international events. He has a great skill set and fantastic size and could project to nearly any role down the road. The Blue Jackets are certainly an enigmatic team when it comes to scouting, but they are correct more than their fair share of the time. I wouldn’t put it past them to surprise again.

OFP – 52.25

New Jersey Devils
1 (17) Ty Smith, D, Spokane (WHL) - ranked 15th
4 (110) Xavier Bernard, D, Drummondville (QMJHL) - ranked 71st
5 (136) Akira Schmid, G, Langnau U20 (Elite Jr. A) - ranked Honorable Mention
5 (151) Yegor Sharangovich, C, Dynamo Minsk (KHL) - ranked Honorable Mention
6 (172) Mitchell Hoelscher, C, Ottawa (OHL) - ranked 134th
7 (203) Eetu Pakkila, LW, Karpat U20 (Jr. A SM-liiga) - unranked

One year after injecting a boat load of talent into the organization thanks not only to owning the number one pick in the draft, but making 11 total selections, this year, the Devils exhibited a magnificent turnaround and ended up trading away both their second and third round picks, as part of packages for Michael Grabner, and Sami Vatanen. Considering that the team still has the young core drafted in 2017 as well as a surprise playoff berth in their recent past, it’s a pretty good trade off. And even picking 17th this year, in a deep draft for defenders, the Devils were able to add another high end talent to their system, a player who many had projected to be taken in the top ten. Ty Smith, while small, is an excellent puck mover and plays an advanced positional game in his own end. In league play, he has been very effective at winning the puck back for his team, although he has had his bumps in the CHL Top Prospects Game as well as at the WU18s. Still, between his skating, puck skills, and high, high hockey IQ, there is potential for a future first pairing defender.

When they finally selected a second player, 93 picks later, the Devils were fortunate to get late Xavier Bernard, a player who looks much different than Smith, but has similar attributes. He is a smooth skater, can make the basic passes, and exhibits promising hockey IQ. On the other hand, Bernard is not a natural puck mover, but has much more impressive size and knows how to utilize it. New Jersey went to Europe with both of their fifth round picks, both times taking players from smaller hockey nations who have plenty of international experience. Akira Schmid started his draft off with a bang, thanks to a stellar showing at the Ivan Hlinka tournament. He was then one of the top goalies in the Swiss junior ranks, but struggled at the WU18s to end the year. He has enough size and athleticism to be a decent gamble. Yegor Sharangovich was in his third year of eligibility and has three WJCs (one in the second tier) under his belt for his native Belarus. He played a depth role for the Dynamo Minsk KHL team this year, but has flashed impressive goal scoring ability in the past.

Sixth rounder Mitchell Hoelscher is slight, but wiry strong. His production with the Ottawa 67s was not much in his first full season in the OHL, but he is a good skater, and plays an intelligent brand of hockey. He has energy line upside. With their final 2018 selection, the Devils popped Finnish winger Eetu Pakkila, a winger with great feet and a good shot. Despite decent numbers for Karpat’s U20 team, Pakkila slipped under the radar due to rarely being considered for international duty for any age group in Finland. While one could quibble about the upside about their late round selections, with the exception of Hoelscher, the Devils did a nice job of drafting players with a history of production in their local leagues. And without exception, each player has at least one attribute that suggest NHL upside.

OFP – 52.5

New York Islanders
1 (11) Oliver Wahlstrom, RW, USNTDP (USHL) - ranked 5th
1 (12) Noah Dobson, D, Acadie-Bathurst (QMJHL) - ranked 8th
2 (41) Bode Wilde, D, USNTDP (USHL) - ranked 17th
2 (43) Ruslan Iskhakov, RW, Krasnaya Armiya Moskva (MHL) - ranked 68th
3 (72) Jakub Skarek, G, Dukla Jihlava (Czech) - ranked 93rd
4 (103) Jacob Pivonka, C, USNTDP (USHL) - ranked 182nd
5 (134) Blade Jenkins, C, Saginaw (OHL) - ranked 69th
7 (196) Christian Krygier, D, Lincoln (USHL) - unranked

Two years ago, the Islanders drafted Kieffer Bellows from the USNTDP and seem to be pretty happy with their choice. Of course, Lou Lamoriello was not there when that draft went down. He was in Toronto. His Maple Leafs drafted Auston Matthews, another (indirect) USNTDP alum, and a couple of other program graduates in the middle rounds. Prior to his time in Toronto, Lamoriello spent many years in New Jersey and his draft record there is also dotted with players who had come from the program. That history aside, it is still at least somewhat surprising that the Islanders ended up with three players from this year’s stacked USNTDP graduating class. Two of those players, right winger Oliver Wahlstrom and defensemen Bode Wilde, were widely not expected to be available at picks 11 and 41 respectively. Wahlstrom is one of the best natural goal scorers in the draft class. He is a near elite sniper, a fantastic puck player and a very strong skater as well. He can float for some stretches, but his talent suggested he should have gone up to five picks earlier were the other teams not so focused on drafting centers at the top. Wilde elicited some rumors that his stock had fallen before the draft, partially due to a poor showing at the WU18s and partly due to de-committing from Michigan. He is not the most intense defender, but looks downright pretty carrying the puck up the ice. He is a high end skater and puck handler and mostly needs refinements to his game away from the puck to be an impact player.

The third USNTDP player drafted by the Islanders this year, Jacob Pivonka is more of a grinding role player with decent hands, but plays a 200 foot game, and has NHL bloodlines, as father Michal played over 800 games in the NHL. Outside of those three, the Islanders drafted two others with USNTDP ties, although they were not in the program in their draft year. Fifth rounder Blade Jenkins left the program for Saginaw of the OHL prior to this past season. He plays a gritty game and is a gifted skater, although the latter trait does not always show up at game time. He has very good sleeper potential. In the seventh round the Islanders selected Christian Krygier, the more physical of the Krygier twins who spent this season with the Lincoln Stars of the USHL. Krygier has very marginal puck skills, but he skates well and plays hard.

Not every pick made by the Islanders this year was American. In fact, immediately after drafting Wahlstrom, Lamoriello and company returned to their table for a couple of minutes to work the phones (reportedly to trade the pick for immediate NHL help) but then returned to the podium and selected Noah Dobson, another player thought by some to be a potential top five pick and leading the Titan to both QMJHL and Memorial Cup championships, eating up a ton of minutes on the journey. Dobson looks like nothing so much as a future first pairing blueliner, between the wheels, the smarts, and the ability to put that bulk to work. His shot and puck playing ability also grade out as above average. He might be only twelve months from playing in the NHL. Two picks after nabbing Wilde, the Isles made an upside play in drafting pint-sized Russian winger Ruslan Iskhakov, who while not as quick as other players of his stature, has amazing hands and has been hard to catch. He has performed well both in Russian junior league play as well as on the international stage.

Finally, nothing rounds out a diverse draft class like a promising goalie. Along with four forwards and three blueliners, the Islanders selected Jakub Skarek, a highly accomplished netminder from the Czech Republic, in the third round. Although he looked bad at the most recent WJC (his second go round in the high profile tournament), he is very athletic, has prototypical size and reads the play well. He will get to test himself against more advanced competition this year as he leaves his homeland to play for Pelicans in Finland’s top circuit, Liiga. While I would have preferred them drafting the other Krygier with their seventh round pick, this is almost the perfect draft class. Two players ranked in our top ten, another ranked as a first round talent, and three more in our top 100. There are players who will be ready for professional hockey within one or two seasons, and players who will need (and due to where  they were drafted from) and will receive three or four years before forcing the Islanders’ hands. Along with Mathew Barzal, Wahlstrom and Dobson should make up a big part of the team’s core for years to come.

OFP – 55

New York Rangers
1 (9) Vitali Kravtsov, RW, Traktor Chelyabinsk (KHL) - ranked 16th
1 (22) K'Andre Miller, D, USNTDP (USHL) - ranked 14th
1 (28) Nils Lundkvist, D, Lulea (SHL) - ranked 37th
2 (39) Olof Lindbom, G, Djurgardens J20 (SuperElit) - ranked 91st
3 (70) Jakob Ragnarsson, D, Almtuna (Allesvenskan) - ranked 152nd
3 (88) Joey Keane, D, Barrie (OHL) - ranked 99th
4 (101) Nico Gross, D, Oshawa (OHL) - ranked 82nd
5 (132) Lauri Pajuniemi, RW, TPS (Liiga) - unranked
6 (163) Simon Kjellberg, D, Rogle J20 (SuperElit) - unranked
7 (216) Riley Hughes, RW, St. Sebastian's School (USHS - MA) - ranked 208th

With three first round picks, including the drafting of my personal favorite player from the 2018 draft class, I want to be able to say nice things about the Rangers’ large draft haul. Unfortunately, I am underwhelmed. Of course, with 10 players taken, they have definitely given their organizational depth, for years an afterthought, a serious injection of talent. Further, considering the imbalance of their draft class, with six blueliners taken among the 10 picks, I know that they did not go for balance, but drafted the top player on their board. Further, with the early success of their two 2017 first rounders (Lias Andersson, and Filip Chytil), both of whom were thought to be reaches at the time, I cannot assume to know more than they do. I can note the six player drafted out of Europe, and how four of those six were already playing in men’s leagues, meaning their lead time to being ready will be shorter than others. That’s definitely a positive. Again though, I wanted to see more upside.

Starting in the first round, they took two Europeans who have already experienced impressive performances in the top leagues in their respective countries. Ninth overall pick Vitali Kravtsov had one of, if not the, best performances ever by a teenager in the KHL playoffs. He earned plus-plus grades for his skating, puck skills and shot. He might be able to come to North America after one more season with Chelyabinsk. If there is a concern here, it is due to having so little international experience, we do not have a great feel for how he would do on the smaller North American ice surface. At pick 22, the Rangers selected my personal favorite in K’Andre Miller. He is a tremendous athlete, has prototype build for a defenseman, is a terrific skater and plays with brawn and skill. If there is a downside, it is how raw he is as a defender, having only converted from forward three seasons ago. He could be a legit number one defender, but will need at least three years in college before he is ready. With the 28th pick of the first round, the Rangers selected late rising Swedish blueliner Nils Lundkvist. He is undersized, but incredibly skilled with the puck and demonstrates very impressive hockey intelligence. He was excellent in the Swedish junior ranks, but struggled some in roughly half a season in the SHL and underwhelmed at the WU18s. There is also the question of whether he is a good enough skater to mitigate his size issues. All three first rounders could work, but none is without questions.

Similar to their second rounder, Olof Lindbom, the first netminder selected in 2018. He is a good goalie prospect, as far as that class goes, was a world beater at the WU18s, and receives especially high grades for his ability to read the play and his technique, but he is a goalie after all. He is also slightly undersized by modern goaltending standards, listed at only 6-1”. Of their remaining six picks the Rangers selected four defensemen. Jakob Ragnarsson and Simon Kjellberg were both drafted out of Sweden, and Joey Keane and Nico Gross were both selected out of the OHL. Keane is interesting as a second year eligible prospect who took big steps in his second season with the Barrie Colts. He is a very good skater, with a decent all around game. Ragnarsson’s father Marcus played for the Sharks and the Flyers around the turn of the century. He is more of a defense-first defender, who makes a sharp first pass. He has never been tested outside of Sweden’s domestic leagues.

Simon Kjellberg is another bloodlines player, as his father Patric spent time with Montreal, Nashville, and Anaheim. The younger Kjellberg has good size, and plays a muscular game, but his skating is currently very rough. He will need to improve that aspect of his game significantly to have a chance at playing in the NHL. Of the four mid round defenders, I have the most time for Nico Gross, a Swiss national who has already played at two WJCs and three WU18s. He is a solid skater, who plays with poise and energy. While not often an offensive force, he has shown enough flashes there to project for more growth in that side of his game. Of the two late round forwards, Lauri Pajuniemi could surprise. He has high end puck handling ability and held his own in his first year in Liiga. As for seventh rounder Riley Hughes, he is not bad as far as prep products go, but there is a reason why more and more future collegians are electing to play in the USHL instead of staying home. He has never really been tested against high end competition. He is likely to spend next year in the USHL (Sioux Falls has his rights) before attending Northeastern in 2019. I have no doubt but that one or two of the players drafted by the Rangers this year will exceed my expectations, but I would have been happier if I did not have to make this kind of mitigating remark.

OFP – 53.25

Philadelphia Flyers
1 (14) Joel Farabee, LW, USNTDP (USHL) - ranked 12th
1 (19) Jay O'Brien, C, Thayer Academy (USHS-MA) - ranked 48th
2 (50) Adam Ginning, D, Linkoping (SHL) - ranked 42nd
4 (112) Jack St. Ivany, D, Sioux Falls (USHL) - ranked 108th
5 (127) Wyatte Wylie, D, Everett (WHL) - ranked 139th
5 (143) Samuel Ersson, G, Bryan J20 (SuperElit) - ranked Honorable Mention
6 (174) Gavin Hain, C, USNTDP (USHL) - ranked Honorable Mention
7 (205) Marcus Westfalt, C/LW, Brynas IF (SHL) - ranked 162nd

As with the Rangers above, I expected to like the Flyers’ draft class more than I did. Again, this has nothing to do with the players taken. Fine talents, all of them. The Flyers have been strong with USHL prospects over the past few years and dug deep in the top NCAA-feeder league once again, with three selections, plus another who will head to college from the pre ranks. They have also scouted Sweden heavily in recent years and took three more Swedish prospects this year. And continuing the theme of visiting familiar territory, the final Flyers’ pick not yet accounted for came from the same Everett program in the WHL where they would have been comfortable in light of top prospect Carter Hart calling it home. I like the Flyers drafting from areas where they are comfortable that they can project out. I like that the Flyers selected players of different positions, with two centers, two wingers, three defensemen and a goaltender (it wouldn’t be a Flyers draft without at least one goalie). And, as stated above, I like the players. I just see this draft class and the draft slots that the Flyers owned, and do not see many high value picks. Some players drafted roughly where they should have been selected, some taken earlier than I would have advised, and one notably higher than we believed was reasonable.

They kicked things off in fine fashion, with winger Joel Farabee, one of two players they selected out of the USNTDP system. Farabee can play up or down the lineup. He has experience in the middle, but is more natural on the wing. He is a true 200 foot player with skill, grit and heavy on the intangibles. He will need to bulk up at Boston University, but his potential is top six, both special teams and a team leader. Five picks later, Ron Hextall and friends stepped to the podium again and dropped jaws across the hockey world. Jay O’Brien is a confident young man, brash even, and he shows some high end attributes, with a fine shot and slick puck handling skills. He plays tough and he has been well coached, but he has very rarely been tested against other high caliber prospects. He was the big man on campus at Thayer, scoring closing to three points per game than two. But in 12 games of experience in Tier I hockey over the last two years, he had only three points. All draft picks are risky, but high picks out of the high school ranks are riskier than most.

Philadelphia’s first three picks on day two were all blueliners, each with good size. Adam Ginning is the stay-at-home type of the trio. Although he contributed offense at a decent clip for Sweden at the WU18s, his game is about positioning and making the first pass to clear the zone. Low upside, but high floor. After sitting out the third round, the Flyers used their fourth rounder on second year eligible Jack St. Ivany of Sioux Falls in the USHL. He was very young in his first year of eligibility and only one year removed from playing U16 hockey in the Los Angeles area. He took a few big steps forward this year for the Stampede and shows some two-way ability. I’m a fan. The Flyers rounded out their blueline haul with Wyatte Wylie, an alliterative late 99 birthdate player who not only played with Carter Hart in Everett, but is actually from Everett. He is not bursting with skill but plays hard.

Later in the fifth round, Philadelphia drafted the obligatory goalie, picking up Swede Samuel Ersson, who has been overshadowed in his homeland by Olof Lindbom and others, but was an absolute workhorse for Brynas’ U20 team and some of the best numbers in the SuperElit. He is a technically proficient goalie with a good frame. Speaking of overlooked, sixth rounder Gavin Hain was often relegated to the bottom six with the USNTDP, below players like Farabee and others, but he is not without a modicum of hockey skill and is responsible in all three zones. I haven’t seen anything to suggest he has hidden talent, but he is not a bad way to use a sixth round pick. Finally, the Flyers used their seventh rounder on big Swedish winger Marcus Westfalt. His skill set is moderate, but he uses his big frame well to create havoc in front of the net. If Jay O’Brien works out, the Flyers will be laughing for ages. If not, Farabee is safe enough that the draft class will not be a write-off, but will be looked at as a relative disappointment.

OFP – 52.5

Pittsburgh Penguins
2 (53) Calen Addison, D, Lethbridge (WHL) - ranked 30th
2 (58) Filip Hallander, C, Timra (Allsvenskan) - ranked 47th
5 (129) Justin Almeida, C/LW, Moose Jaw (WHL) - ranked 173rd
6 (177) Liam Gorman, C, St. Sebastian's School (USHS - MA) - unranked

Only four picks, but the Penguins made them count. Well, most of them anyway. Actually, they would have had a fifth pick, but traded up into the late second round when they saw value on the board. Despite not picking until 53rd overall, the Penguins walked away with two players who had reasonable arguments to go in the first round. Their first pick, Lethbridge defender Calen Addison is a modern style blueliner, making up in speed and daring what he lacks in size or the ability to play physically. He needs a lot of work off the puck, but he proved both in the Ivan Hlinka tournament and the WHL postseason that he can step up his production in the spotlight.

The player they gave up two later picks to nab towards the close of the second was Swedish center Filip Hallander, who had a very strong draft year in the Allsvenskan, Sweden’s second highest men’s league. The fact that he was as productive as he was (20 points in 40 games) while dealing with a knee injury that kept him out of the WU18s. He is very physical while still playing clean, and grades out above average as a skater, shooter, and for his hockey intelligence. With Timra now in the top flight SHL, and Hallander presumably healthy, Hallander’s stock could leap forward next year. The Penguins went with production over physical maturity when they finally selected again late in the fifth round, selecting Moose Jaw’s second year eligible center, Justin Almeida. After scoring only 28 points between the Warriors and Prince George in his first year of draft eligibility, he was an afterthought entering the year, but with 43 goals and 98 points for the powerhouse Warriors, he could not be overlooked again. He is a strong skater and gifted with the puck on his stick. Finally, they took Massachusetts prepster Liam Gorman, with their final pick. Gorman was not really on our radar, and in fact was only the number three scorer with St. Sebastian’s, behind fellow draft pick Riley Hughes. He has plus size though, and is likely to spend next season in the USHL. The 2018 draft class will not alter the trajectory of the Penguins’ fortunes, but they should be pleased with the type of quality they came away with.

OFP – 52.25

Washington Capitals
1 (31) Alexander Alexeyev, D, Red Deer (WHL) - ranked 35th
2 (46) Martin Fehervary, D, Oskarshamn (Allsvenskan) - ranked 78th
2 (47) Kody Clark, RW, Ottawa (OHL) - ranked 138th
3 (93) Riley Sutter, RW, Everett (WHL) - ranked 87th
4 (124) Mitchell Gibson, G, Lone Star (NAHL) - unranked
6 (161) Alex Kannok-Leipert, D, Vancouver (WHL) - unranked
7 (217) Eric Florchuk, C, Saskatoon (WHL) - ranked 168th

If there is a team for which the draft is a serious afterthought, it would be the team that is still hungover from the release of winning their first Stanley Cup championship. That is not to imply that the Capitals did not draft some good prospects, but that they would not be focused from the top down on these players at the moment. True to the Washington drafting rulebook, they went heavy on the WHL (four players), avoided the QMJHL and Finland, and took a player from a lower level of hockey (NAHL goalie Mitchell Gibson). With three forwards, three defensemen and a goalie, they balanced themselves positionally.

Their first round pick, Alexander Alexeyev, could have been taken higher, but suffered through a trying draft year, most notably dealing with the unexpected passing of his mother in the days before the CHL Top Prospects game. He is a very big player who skates beautifully, handles the puck very well and processes the game wisely. Given a full, healthy season, he could take off. Washington buttressed the blueline with their first of two consecutive picks in the middle of the second round, taking Slovakian Martin Fehervary, who has been playing in Sweden for the last four seasons. A veteran of two WJCs and two WU18s, Fehervary is a great skater and a physical player, but has minimal offensive upside. While we think Fehervary was a slight reach at 46, the selection of Kody Clark (son of Wendel) at 47 was a massive overreach. Like Alexeyev (and his own father) Clark has been injury prone in his two OHL seasons, but has no real standout tool. His skating and shooting abilities are fine, but he looked like a better candidate for the middle rounds than the second round. Also, this is the first time the Capitals have selected a player out of the OHL since drafting Tom Wilson in the first round in 2012.

A more appropriate pick was their use of a fourth rounder on another bloodline player in Riley Sutter, the son of Ron from the famous clan. A big, beefy player, Sutter will never be mistaken for an elite skater, but he plays a responsible, heavy game and can finish. Goalie Mitchell Gibson was not very prominent on our radar, but the NAHL has a knack for producing one or two goalies of note every year, and Gibson was obviously the one for 2018. He was named the top netminder in the league and will likely spend next year in the USHL before moving on to Harvard. The Capitals will give him plenty of time.

The Capitals ended their draft with two more players from the WHL in Vancouver blueliner Alex Kannok-Leipert and Saskatoon center Eric Florchuk. Kannok-Leipert is undersized and does not have a standout attribute, although he is a decent skater and is surprisingly physical. Florchuk, on the other hand, 2018’s Mr. Irrelevant, is quote good value for the end of the draft. His trade at midseason from the competing Victoria Royals to the moribund Saskatoon Chiefs, might have pushed him off the radar for some scouts, but he scored a decent clip for both clubs. He is a fine skater and a gifted puck handler. Although the Capitals selected some interesting players here, the leap to draft safe early will hurt them within a few years when they need to integrate low salaried youth into an aging roster.

OFP – 51.5

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OHL: Kody Clark (2018 Draft Eligible) https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/ohl-kody-clark-2018-draft-eligible/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/ohl-kody-clark-2018-draft-eligible/#respond Sat, 14 Apr 2018 13:51:43 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=147521 Read More... from OHL: Kody Clark (2018 Draft Eligible)

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Scott Crawford provides a detailed scouting report on 2018 NHL Draft eligible prospect Kody Clark. Crawford breaks down his game below, and while there are encouraging offensive skills, there are question marks around Clark's game to give pause.

A note on the 20-80 scale used below. We look at five attributes (skating, shooting, puck skills, hockey IQ and physicality) for skaters and six for goalies (athleticism/quickness, compete/temperament, vision/play reading, technique/style, rebound control and puck handling). Each individual attribute is graded along the 20-80 scales, which includes half-grades. The idea is that a projection of 50 in a given attribute meant that our observer believed that the player could get to roughly NHL average at that attribute at maturity.

Kody Clark of the Ottawa 67's. Photo by Terry Wilson / OHL Images.
Kody Clark of the Ottawa 67's. Photo by Terry Wilson / OHL Images.
Kody Clark 2018 Draft Eligible
Position: RW, Shoots: R H/W: 6-1", 180 lbs.
Stats to date (GP-G-A-PTS-PIMS) Ottawa 67's, OHL (56-18-21-39-38)

Skating: Clark is a dynamic skater. He can shift in and out of different situations when he is skating, and it helps the 67’s drives their offense. His specialty when it comes to skating is in using small ice properly to move around different players along the boards so that he is not pinned against them. Or facing different pressure situations he can time himself correctly and shift his skating around a player and move forward with his play. He has a decent first stride and an even longer second strive that gives him good speed up the ice. His speed comes in handy when he is coming back to his own end to help his defenseman. Grade: 55

Shot: Clark boasts several good shots and once he gets going in a game, goaltenders pay extra close attention to see what he is doing because they know how dangerous he can be. He possesses a strong wrist shot that he uses for close range shots because accuracy is in his shot, but power is not. That is why from a far distance he will use a snap shot to drive the puck into the goaltender. His wind up is quick and if he is in a Grade B area he will let it go through traffic. His timing to shoot is superb, he understands that you cannot just shoot the puck on net and hope for the best, you must wait for the right opening. Grade: 55

Skills: He boasts a strong pair of puck handling hands to generate offense. Clark carries loads of potential in the offensive creativity category he can magician with moves to put the puck between an opponent’s legs and go to the net with ease. However, there will be times that he will try and dance around three opponents at once and think he is the man. Arguably, he can only stick handle around one opponent without losing the puck, but because he lacks the superstar feed he can only do so much with the puck. Grade: 50

Smarts: Clark demonstrates inconsistency to his game, on one hand he can be a reliable offensive forward, but then relies on his teammates to pick up the offensive pace when he is having goal dry spell. His defense leaves a lot to be desired as he has shown little interest to making a real commitment to defense. Whenever he is in his own zone, he will participate in battles along the boards, but will not push body into his opponent. Instead he will push his stick at the opponent in the hopes of drawing the puck away. Offensively he is creative and knows how make some highlight real plays, but that overshadows his inconsistency in trying to get open. A player of his caliber should not be standing in one spot and expect the puck to come to him. Grade: 45

Physicality: Physically he needs to be more aggressive in playing hockey. Today’s modern hockey game boasts more skill and speed, but still needs to have an aggressive side just like any other sport to compete. Clark does not have that as he worries about getting hit and cannot deliver a proper hit if his life depended on it. Along the boards if he is attempting to go for a bit he looks clumsy and not at all confident that he will bring the opponent down. 50/50 battles he uses more of his stick than he does his body. Grade: 45

Overall Summary: Kody Clark is an interesting prospect who has the offensive capabilities of an NHL forward, but lacks other areas in his game to really stand out. He has the offensive creativity for puck possession and shot selection to be an offensive threat but lacks the offensive instinct to be of an open player away from the puck and depends on his teammates too much to really help drive the offense when he is not scoring. Defensively, he is not responsible enough to be in the realm of decent defensive forward. He lacks aggression and commitment to really play a defensive role and he rarely gets minutes on the penalty kill. Physically he needs to do both bulk up and show more courage in the dirty areas. He is not proving to be an effective forward in his own end or battling pucks. His checking form is off, and he is not displaying enough to show he can hang in the NHL.

Overall Future Projection (OFP): 51.25

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McKeen’s 2018 NHL Draft Ranking – April 2018 – Top 125 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/mckeens-2018-nhl-draft-ranking-april-9th-2018-top-125/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/mckeens-2018-nhl-draft-ranking-april-9th-2018-top-125/#respond Mon, 09 Apr 2018 14:25:48 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=147386 Read More... from McKeen’s 2018 NHL Draft Ranking – April 2018 – Top 125

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With the CHL leagues now into the second round of their respective playoffs, the NCAA season completed (congrats to new champions Minnesota-Duluth!), European leagues beginning to wrap up and the USHL with only one more weekend remaining in their regular season, it is time for the penultimate McKeens Hockey Draft List. This list once again runs 125 players deep, with a few more names tacked on at the end to keep in mind.

Our final list will run deeper – and be more definitive – but know that the names you see below are the fruit of the combined labor of the full McKeens scouting team. Covering all of the leagues touched on in the first paragraph above, we have watched them all and players in most cases were also cross-checked by multiple team members.

While the size of our list has not changed from the previous iteration, much else is different. Yes, Rasmus Dahlin still heads the ranking (hint: barring a career-threatening tragedy in the next 10 weeks, he will lead our final list as well), but the next player who maintains the same position as last time is Joel Farabee, still sitting in 12th. Alexander Alexeyev, at 29th, is the only other player in the top 31 who is ranked the same today as he was in February.

Andrei Svechnikovof the Barrie Colts. Photo by Terry Wilson / OHL Images.
Andrei Svechnikovof the Barrie Colts. Photo by Terry Wilson / OHL Images.

Looking at the top ten, the changes begin in the two/three slots, as we saw fit to bump Russian import Andrei Svechnikov past Czech import Filip Zadina. The latter has been strong all season long, but the two keys for us were a) he plateaued to an extent in the dying days of the regular season while Svechnikov has taken his production to a new level down the stretch. On a point per game measure, Svechnikov’s 1.64 points per game outshine Zadina’s 1.44, and the latter’s extra ten games played cannot explain away the discrepancy. The first round of the playoffs have seen this trend continue. Zadina has been very good. Svechnikov has been stellar. b) Svechnikov is four months younger than Zadina. In the grand scheme of things, that is not much. In a draft class, that is a full third of the way from one year of eligibility to the next. There is just that much greater likelihood that Svechnikov has more development potential. This factor is not destiny, but cannot be overlooked.

ANN ARBOR, MI - MARCH 03: Michigan Wolverines defenseman Quinn Hughes (43) passes the puck during the Michigan Wolverines game versus the Wisconsin Badgers in the BIG10 Hockey Tournament on March 3, 2018, at Red Berenson Rink at Yost Ice Arena in Ann Arbor, Michigan. (Photo by Steven King/Icon Sportswire)
ANN ARBOR, MI - MARCH 03: Michigan Wolverines defenseman Quinn Hughes (43) passes the puck during the Michigan Wolverines game versus the Wisconsin Badgers in the BIG10 Hockey Tournament on March 3, 2018. (Photo by Steven King/Icon Sportswire)

Quinn Hughes and Adam Boqvist, both undersized (by traditional standards, if not by modern ones) and very mobile defenders have almost switched places. Hughes, whose game grew by leaps and bounds since playing a supporting role for the US Bronze winning WJC entry ended his season in the Frozen Four. He was the youngest player in the NCAA this year and tied for 16th among all defensemen in scoring. Only one of the blueliners with more points is within even one year of his age. Through the second half of the year, he was consistently the best player on the ice whenever he stepped over the boards. He leaps from 9th last time, to 4th now. Boqvist, who dropped from 5th to 8th, is still an electrifying skater whose speed brings an extra dimension to his game. He is still highly coveted, but there is at least a hint of a red flag due to his dearth of production at the senior level in Sweden. He scored nearly one point per game in the SuperElit league, but has only one assist in 18 regular and post-season SHL games. The skill set is obvious, but his struggles against men highlight the greater gap between what he is and what he should become.

The one change to the previous top ten sees Spokane defender Ty Smith fall from 10 to 16. His offensive production in the WHL has been fantastic all the way through the Chiefs’ first round playoff exit. There have been some questions about his play off the puck, which were highlighted by a rough showing earlier in the year at the CHL Top Prospects Game. He should have another chance to boost his stock in the coming weeks as part of Canada’s entry to the World Under 18 Championships.

Joe Veleno (#90), player of Drummondville Voltigeurs, season 2017-18 of the QMJHL. Drummondville, Que., Dec. 30, 2017. THE CANADIAN PRESS IMAGES/Ghyslain Bergeron
Joe Veleno (#90), player of Drummondville Voltigeurs, season 2017-18 of the QMJHL. Drummondville, Que., Dec. 30, 2017. THE CANADIAN PRESS IMAGES/Ghyslain Bergeron

Taking Smith’s place in the top ten is former Exceptional Status player Joe Veleno. Huge things were expected of Veleno this year, not only due to his unique entry point into the QMJHL, but a three goal showing for Saint John at last year’s Memorial Cup certainly whetted the appetite for a huge draft season. Unfortunately, his previous team, the Saint John Sea Dogs were gutted by graduation and trades, and Veleno started off slowly, amid reports that he was taking the team’s struggles too much on his own shoulders. He scored only six goals in his 31 games in the Maritimes. A mid-season trade to Drummondville has allowed him to take off in a more competitive atmosphere, finishing the year with 48 points in 33 games for the Voltigeurs. He is also having another strong post-season, helping his team into the second round. In short, Smith has seen questions added about his projection, while Veleno has answered more of his, helping him jump up from 11th to 9th.

Without laboring over each change in the list, let us meditate briefly on the four subtractions (and four additions) to the top 31. Dropping into our second round are Jett Woo, B-O Groulx, Jack McBain, and Martin Kaut. Like Ty Smith above, none of these players necessarily did anything to harm their own standing, but were simply surpassed by some players who managed to end on a strong note. For each of the four, it can legitimately be said that there are open questions about their offensive upsides. Woo, Groulx, and Kaut may lack top half of the roster upside, while McBain did not score as much as his talent would suggest he should have in the OJHL. Like Smith, he is expected to play for Canada at the WU18 and his performance with CHLers should speak volumes about his draft standing.

Rasmus Sandin of the Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds. Photo by Terry Wilson / OHL Images.
Rasmus Sandin of the Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds. Photo by Terry Wilson / OHL Images.

Replacing those four are a trio of small defensemen who have finished strong in Rasmus Sandin, Nils Lundkvist, and Calen Addison, and one ultra-talented German forward developing in Sweden in Dominik Bokk. These four players all carry a dynamic element to their games that the four players falling to the second round do not look to have.

The next six weeks, including the completion of the North American junior playoffs as well as the WU18 competition will see several more reputations made and others tarnished, as happens every year. We try to see the whole picture, and promise not to inordinately elevate the ranking of any player simply for getting hot at the right time. Our final list will reflect not just good or bad production at the right time, but the skill sets of the best draft-eligible talent in the hockey world, leavened by their ability and success rates of those skills in actualizing as performance.

We welcome your feedback on this list and look forward to seeing our draft list through to its completion in Dallas in late June.

To link to a player page, use the tags at the bottom of the page, or from our McKeen's Draft Ranking found here It is also downloadable to an excel file.

RANK PLAYER POS TEAM HT/WT DOB GP-G-A-PTS
1 Rasmus Dahlin D Frolunda (Swe) 6-2/185 13-Apr-00 41-7-13-20
2 Andrei Svechnikov RW Barrie (OHL) 6-2/185 26-Mar-00 44-40-32-72
3 Filip Zadina RW Halifax (QMJHL) 6-0/195 27-Nov-99 57-44-38-82
4 Quinn Hughes D Michigan (B1G) 5-10/175 14-Oct-99 37-5-24-29
5 Brady Tkachuk LW Boston University (HE) 6-3/195 16-Sep-99 40-8-23-31
6 Evan Bouchard D London (OHL) 6-2/195 20-Oct-99 67-25-62-87
7 Oliver Wahlstrom RW NTDP (USHL) 6-1/205 13-Jun-00 54-40-43-83
8 Adam Boqvist D Brynas (Swe Jr) 5-11/170 15-Aug-00 25-14-10-24
9 Joe Veleno C SNB-Dru (QMJHL) 6-1/195 13-Jan-00 64-22-57-79
10 Noah Dobson D Acadie-Bathurst (QMJHL) 6-3/180 7-Jan-00 67-17-52-69
11 Isac Lundestrom C Lulea (Swe) 6-0/185 6-Nov-99 42-6-9-15
12 Joel Farabee LW NTDP (USHL) 5-11/165 25-Feb-00 54-27-37-64
13 Barrett Hayton C Sault Ste Marie (OHL) 6-1/190 9-Jun-00 63-21-39-60
14 Jesperi Kotkaniemi C Assat Pori (Fin) 6-1/190 6-Jul-00 57-10-19-29
15 Bode Wilde D NTDP (USHL) 6-2/195 24-Jan-00 53-11-25-36
16 Ty Smith D Spokane (WHL) 5-10/180 24-Mar-00 69-14-59-73
17 K'Andre Miller D NTDP (USHL) 6-3/205 21-Jan-00 50-7-17-24
18 Akil Thomas C Niagara (OHL) 5-11/170 2-Jan-00 68-22-59-81
19 Jared McIsaac D Halifax (QMJHL) 6-1/195 27-Mar-00 65-9-38-47
20 Grigori Denisenko LW Loko Yaroslavl (MHL) 5-11/175 24-Jun-00 31-9-13-22
21 Serron Noel RW Oshawa (OHL) 6-5/200 8-Aug-00 62-28-25-53
22 Rasmus Kupari C Karpat Oulu (Fin) 6-1/185 15-Mar-00 39-6-8-14
23 Ryan McLeod C Mississauga (OHL) 6-2/200 21-Sep-99 68-26-44-70
24 Ryan Merkley D Guelph (OHL) 5-11/170 14-Aug-00 63-13-54-67
25 Mattias Samuelsson D NTDP (USHL) 6-3/215 14-Mar-00 50-9-19-28
26 Rasmus Sandin D Sault Ste Marie (OHL) 5-11/185 7-Mar-00 51-12-33-45
27 Nils Lundkvist D Lulea (Swe) 5-11/180 27-Jul-00 28-2-3-5
28 Alexander Alexeyev D Red Deer (WHL) 6-3/200 15-Nov-99 45-7-30-37
29 Calen Addison D Lethbridge (WHL) 5-10/180 11-Apr-00 68-11-54-65
30 Jacob Olofsson C Timra (Swe 2) 6-2/190 8-Feb-00 43-10-11-21
31 Dominik Bokk LW Vaxjo Lakers (Swe Jr) 6-1/180 3-Feb-00 35-14-27-41
32 Vitali Kravtsov RW Traktor Chelyabinsk (KHL) 6-2/170 23-Dec-99 35-4-3-7
33 Martin Kaut RW Dynamo Pardubice (Cze) 6-1/175 2-Oct-99 38-9-7-16
34 Jett Woo D Moose Jaw (WHL) 6-0/205 27-Jul-00 44-9-16-25
35 Benoit-Olivier Groulx C Halifax (QMJHL) 6-1/195 6-Feb-00 68-28-27-55
36 Jesse Ylonen RW Espoo United (Fin 2) 6-0/165 3-Oct-99 48-14-13-27
37 Nicolas Beaudin D Drummondville (QMJHL) 5-11/175 7-Oct-99 68-12-57-69
38 Adam Ginning D Linkopings (Swe) 6-3/195 13-Jan-00 28-1-1-2
39 Jack McBain C Tor. Jr Canadiens (OJHL) 6-3/195 6-Jan-00 48-21-37-58
40 Jonny Tychonick D Penticton (BCHL) 6-0/175 3-Mar-00 48-9-38-47
41 Ty Emberson D NTDP (USHL) 6-0/195 24-May-00 53-4-18-22
42 Ty Dellandrea C Flint (OHL) 6-0/190 21-Jul-00 67-27-32-59
43 Allan McShane C Oshawa (OHL) 5-11/190 14-Feb-00 67-20-45-65
44 Blake McLaughlin LW Chicago (USHL) 6-0/165 14-Feb-00 52-23-28-51
45 Gabriel Fortier C Baie-Comeau (QMJHL) 5-10/170 6-Feb-00 66-26-33-59
46 Kevin Bahl D Ottawa (OHL) 6-6/230 27-Jun-00 58-1-17-18
47 Sampo Ranta LW Sioux City (USHL) 6-1/195 31-May-00 53-23-14-37
48 Filip Hallander C Timra (Swe 2) 6-1/185 29-Jun-00 40-9-11-20
49 Jay O'Brien C Thayer Acad. (USHS-MA) 5-10/185 4-Nov-99 30-43-37-80
50 David Gustafsson C HV 71 (Swe) 6-2/195 11-Apr-00 45-6-6-12
51 Liam Foudy C London (OHL) 6-0/185 4-Feb-00 65-24-16-40
52 Filip Johansson D Leksands (Swe Jr) 6-1/175 23-Mar-00 29-4-5-9
53 Niklas Nordgren RW HIFK (Fin Jr) 5-9/170 4-May-00 18-8-18-26
54 Aidan Dudas C Owen Sound (OHL) 5-8/170 15-Jun-00 68-31-34-65
55 Jacob Bernard-Docker D Okotoks (AJHL) 6-0/180 30-Jun-00 49-20-21-41
56 Xavier Bernard D Drummondville (QMJHL) 6-2/210 6-Jan-00 66-11-24-35
57 Martin Fehervary D Oskarshamn (Swe 2) 6-1/190 6-Oct-99 42-1-6-7
58 Jonatan Berggren RW Skelleftea (Swe Jr) 5-10/185 6-Jul-00 38-18-39-57
59 Alexis Gravel G Halifax (QMJHL) 6-2/225 21-Mar-00 20-11(3.38).890
60 Cole Fonstad C Prince Albert (WHL) 5-10/160 24-Apr-00 72-21-52-73
61 Xavier Bouchard D Baie-Comeau (QMJHL) 6-3/190 28-Feb-00 65-3-18-21
62 Cam Hillis C Guelph (OHL) 5-10/170 24-Jun-00 60-20-39-59
63 Marcus Westfalt C Brynas (Swe) 6-3/205 12-Mar-00 31-1-3-4
64 Pavel Gogolev RW Peterborough (OHL) 6-0/175 19-Feb-00 66-30-17-47
65 Alexander Khovanov C Moncton (QMJHL) 5-11/195 12-Apr-00 29-9-19-28
66 Scott Perunovich D Minn-Duluth (NCHC) 5-10/170 18-Aug-98 42-11-25-36
67 Giovanni Vallati D Kitchener (OHL) 6-1/180 21-Feb-00 65-3-23-26
68 Olivier Rodrigue G Drummondville (QMJHL) 6-0/160 6-Jul-00 31-16(2.54).903
69 Oskar Back C Farjestads (Swe Jr) 6-2/195 12-Mar-00 38-10-22-32
70 Riley Sutter RW Everett (WHL) 6-3/205 25-Oct-99 68-25-28-53
71 Stanislav Demin D Wenatchee (BCHL) 6-1/190 4-Apr-00 57-9-36-45
72 Lenni Killinen RW Blues (Fin Jr) 6-2/180 15-Jun-00 38-13-28-41
73 Tyler Weiss LW NTDP (USHL) 5-10/160 3-Jan-00 50-10-17-27
74 Ruslan Iskhakov C Krasnaya Armiya (MHL) 5-8/155 22-Jul-00 33-6-24-30
75 Kody Clark RW Ottawa (OHL) 6-1/180 13-Oct-99 56-18-21-39
76 Patrick Giles RW NTDP (USHL) 6-4/205 3-Jan-00 54-10-9-19
77 Anderson MacDonald LW Moncton (QMJHL) 6-2/205 16-May-00 58-27-18-45
78 Jake Wise C NTDP (USHL) 5-10/190 28-Feb-00 30-9-27-36
79 Jakub Lauko C Pirati Chomutov (Cze) 6-0/175 28-Mar-00 42-3-6-9
80 Adam Samuelsson D NTDP (USHL) 6-6/240 21-Jun-00 54-4-20-24
81 Philipp Kurashev C Quebec (QMJHL) 6-0/190 12-Oct-99 59-19-41-60
82 Sean Durzi D Owen Sound (OHL) 6-0/195 21-Oct-98 40-15-34-49
83 Kirill Marchenko RW Mamonty Yugry (MHL) 6-3/190 21-Jul-00 31-8-8-16
84 Jakub Skarek G Dukla Jihlava (Cze) 6-3/200 10-Nov-99 21GP(2.41).913
85 Milos Roman C Vancouver (WHL) 6-0/190 6-Nov-99 39-10-22-32
86 Blade Jenkins LW Saginaw (OHL) 6-1/195 11-Aug-00 68-20-24-44
87 Danila Galenyuk D St. Petersburg (MHL) 6-1/200 10-Feb-00 20-1-5-6
88 Kyle Topping C Kelowna (WHL) 5-11/185 18-Nov-99 66-22-43-65
89 Tyler Madden C CIL-TC (USHL) 5-10/155 9-Nov-99 50-15-19-34
90 Jack Drury C Waterloo (USHL) 5-11/180 3-Feb-00 54-23-40-63
91 Alec Regula D London (OHL) 6-3/200 6-Aug-00 67-7-18-25
92 Ivan Morozov C Mamonty Yugry (MHL) 6-1/180 5-May-00 30-11-12-23
93 Jachym Kondelik C Muskegon (USHL) 6-6/225 21-Dec-99 43-16-16-32
94 Riley Damiani C Kitchener (OHL) 5-9/165 20-Mar-00 64-19-18-37
95 Samuel Fagemo RW Frolunda (Swe Jr) 5-11/195 14-Mar-00 37-19-11-30
96 Jack St. Ivany D Sioux Falls (USHL) 6-2/200 22-Jul-99 51-6-30-36
97 David Lilja C Karlskoga (Swe 2) 5-11/175 23-Jan-00 37-3-5-8
98 Curtis Douglas C Bar-Wsr (OHL) 6-8/235 6-Mar-00 66-22-24-46
99 Luka Burzan C MJ-Bdn (WHL) 6-0/185 7-Jan-00 72-15-25-40
100 Linus Karlsson C Karlskrona (Swe Jr) 6-1/180 16-Nov-99 42-27-25-52
101 Kristian Reichel C Red Deer (WHL) 6-1/170 11-Jun-98 63-34-23-57
102 Toni Utunen D LeKi (Fin 2) 5-11/175 27-Apr-00 28-2-10-12
103 Dmitri Zavgorodny LW Rimouski (QMJHL) 5-9/175 11-Aug-00 62-26-21-47
104 Samuel Bucek LW Chicago (USHL) 6-1/215 19-Dec-98 47-19-23-42
105 Nathan Dunkley C Kgn-Ldn (OHL) 5-11/195 3-May-00 60-21-36-57
106 Carter Robertson D Ottawa (OHL) 6-2/180 15-Jan-00 57-5-13-18
107 Albin Eriksson RW Skelleftea (Swe Jr) 6-4/205 20-Jul-00 38-22-18-40
108 Ryan O'Reilly RW Madison (USHL) 6-2/200 21-Mar-00 42-20-12-32
109 Nando Eggenberger LW Davos (Sui) 6-2/185 7-Oct-99 36-3-2-5
110 Tyler Tucker D Barrie (OHL) 6-1/205 1-Mar-00 59-3-20-23
111 Axel Andersson D Djurgardens (Swe Jr) 6-0/180 10-Feb-00 42-6-25-31
112 Alexey Polodyan LW St. Petersburg (MHL) 5-11/165 30-Jul-98 21-5-6-11
113 Jack Perbix RW Elk River (USHS-MN) 6-1/175 13-Sep-00 25-19-42-61
114 Nico Gross D Oshawa (OHL) 6-1/185 26-Jan-00 58-4-10-14
115 Declan Chisholm D Peterborough (OHL) 6-1/185 12-Jan-00 47-3-17-20
116 Ivan Prosvetov G Youngstown (USHL) 6-4/175 5-Mar-99 18-9(2.87).913
117 Kevin Mandolese G Cape Breton (QMJHL) 6-3/180 22-Aug-00 15-13(3.46).884
118 Vladislav Kotkov RW Chicoutimi (QMJHL) 6-4/205 8-Jan-00 61-21-28-49
119 Jonathan Gruden C NTDP (USHL) 5-11/175 4-May-00 53-25-26-51
120 Anthony Del Gaizo C Muskegon (USHL) 5-11/195 31-Jan-98 58-39-32-71
121 Justus Annunen G Karpat Oulu (Fin Jr) 6-4/215 11-Mar-00 26GP(2.31).907
122 Olof Lindbom G Djurgardens (Swe Jr) 6-2/185 23-Jul-00 20GP(3.10).897
123 Matthew Struthers C OS-NB (OHL) 6-2/210 26-Dec-99 62-23-22-45
124 Alex Steeves C Dubuque (USHL) 5-11/185 10-Dec-99 53-18-36-54
125 Ben Copeland C Waterloo (USHL) 5-10/180 27-Apr-99 58-17-42-59
OTHER DRAFT CANDIDATES
Jett Alexander G North York (OJHL) 6-4/190 8-Nov-99
Yaroslav Alexeyev LW Sherbrooke (QMJHL) 5-9/160 17-Jan-99
Justin Almeida C Moose Jaw (WHL) 5-9/160 6-Feb-99
Seth Barton D Trail (BCHL) 6-2/175 18-Aug-99
Justin Bergeron D Rouyn Noranda (QMJHL) 6-0/180 14-Sep-00
Erik Betzold RW Koln (Ger) 5-11/165 18-Jan-00
Brandon Biro RW Penn State (B1G) 5-11/165 11-Mar-98
Mikhail Bitsadze C Dynamo Moscow (Rus) 5-11/170 18-Nov-99
Shawn Boudrias RW Gatineau (QMJHL) 6-4/195 14-Sep-99
Jakob Brahaney D Kingston (OHL) 6-1/185 26-Mar-99
Justin Brazeau RW North Bay (OHL) 6-5/220 2-Feb-98
Dennis Busby D Flint (OHL) 5-10/190 6-Jan-00
Michael Callahan D Central Illinois (USHL) 6-2/195 23-Sep-99
Ryan Chyzowski LW Medicine Hat (WHL) 6-0/190 14-May-00
Powell Connor D Chilliwack (BCHL) 6-1/175 4-May-00
Connor Corcoran D Windsor (OHL) 6-1/185 7-Aug-00
Paul Cotter C Lincoln (USHL) 6-0/190 16-Nov-99
Angus Crookshank LW Langley (BCHL) 5-11/185 2-Oct-99
Max Crozier D Nanaimo (BCHL) 6-1/185 19-Apr-00
Ethan de Jong RW Prince George (BCHL) 5-10/170 12-Jul-99
Jack DeBoer C NTDP (USA) 6-2/190 17-Aug-00
Semyon Der-Arguchintsev C Peterborough (OHL) 5-10/160 15-Sep-00
Lukas Dostal G Kometa Brno (Cze) 6-1/165 22-Jun-00
Grigori Dronov D Magnitogorsk (Rus) 6-2/205 10-Jan-98
Justin Ducharme LW Acadie-Bathurst (QMJHL) 5-11/180 22-Feb-00
Daniel Dvorak G Hradec Kralove (Cze) 6-3/160 9-Jan-00
Jesper Eliasson G Troja/Ljungby (Swe) 6-3/200 21-Mar-00
Caleb Everett D Saginaw (OHL) 6-1/185 20-Jan-00
Christian Felton D Kimball Union (USHS-NH) 6-0/190 4-Feb-00
Trey Fix-Wolansky RW Edmonton (WHL) 5-8/185 26-May-99
Eric Florchuk C Saskatoon (WHL) 6-1/175 10-Jan-00
Carson Focht C Calgary (WHL) 6-0/180 4-Feb-00
Adam Gajarsky RW Kometa Brno (Cze) 5-10/175 4-Mar-00
Jeremi Gerber RW Bern (Sui) 6-1/185 1-Mar-00
Damien Giroux C Saginaw (OHL) 5-10/175 3-Mar-00
Jack Gorniak LW West Salem High (USHS-WI) 5-11/180 15-Sep-99
Matthew Grouchy RW Quebec (QMJHL) 6-1/190 19-Nov-99
Glenn Gustafsson C Orebro (Swe) 5-10/200 4-Sep-98
Curtis Hall C Youngstown (USHL) 6-2/195 26-Apr-00
Kevin Hancock LW Owen Sound (OHL) 5-11/185 2-Mar-98
Jordan Harris D Kimball Union (USHS-NH) 5-11/180 7-Jul-00
Reece Harsch D Seattle (WHL) 6-3/195 7-Jan-99
Brady Hinz C Peterborough (OHL) 5-9/150 3-May-00
Mitchell Hoelscher C Ottawa (OHL) 5-11/160 27-Jan-00
Mac Hollowell D Sault Ste Marie (OHL) 5-9/170 26-Sep-98
Krystof Hrabik C Bili Tygri Liberec (Cze) 6-4/210 24-Sep-99
David Hrenak G St. Cloud State (NCHC) 6-2/190 5-May-98
Riley Hughes RW St. Sebastian's (USHS-MA) 6-1/175 27-Jun-00
Jere Huhtamaa G Blues (Fin) 6-2/190 10-Apr-00
Logan Hutsko RW Boston College (HE) 5-10/175 11-Feb-99
Jacob Ingham G Mississauga (OHL) 6-3/185 10-Jun-00
Jere Innala LW HPK (Fin) 5-9/175 17-Mar-98
Michal Ivan D Acadie-Bathurst (QMJHL) 6-1/185 18-Nov-99
Georgi Ivanov C Lokomotiv Yaroslavl (Rus) 6-0/190 25-Sep-98
Jan Jenik RW Benatky nad Jizerou (Cze) 6-1/165 15-Sep-00
Jack Jensen C Eden Prairie (USHS-MN) 6-0/195 31-Aug-00
Joey Keane D Barrie (OHL) 6-0/185 2-Jul-99
Brett Kemp C Edmonton (WHL) 6-0/165 23-Mar-00
Michael Kesselring D New Hampton School (USHS-NH) 6-4/185 13-Jan-00
Juuso Ketola D Assat Pori (Fin) 5-11/210 18-Mar-00
Patrick Khodorenko C Michigan State (B1G) 6-0/205 13-Oct-98
Liam Kirk C Sheffield (EIHL) 6-2/160 3-Jan-00
Semyon Kizimov RW Lada Togliatti (Rus) 6-0/175 19-Jan-00
Jordan Kooy G London (OHL) 6-2/185 30-Apr-00
Ivan Kosorenkov RW Victoriaville (QMJHL) 5-10/185 22-Jan-98
Demetrios Koumontzis LW Edina (USHS-MN) 5-10/185 24-Mar-00
Nikolai Kovalenko RW Lokomotiv Yaroslavl (Rus) 5-10/175 17-Oct-99
Filip Kral D Spokane (WHL) 6-1/170 20-Oct-99
Renars Krastenbergs LW Oshawa (OHL) 5-11/185 16-Dec-98
Cole Krygier D Lincoln (USHL) 6-3/195 5-May-00
Daniel Kurovsky LW Vitkovice (Cze) 6-4/215 4-Mar-98
Michal Kvasnica RW Frydek-Mistek (Cze) 6-1/190 7-Apr-00
Owen Lalonde D Guelph (OHL) 6-0/180 1-Feb-00
Jackson Leppard LW Prince George (WHL) 6-1/200 18-Jan-00
David Levin C Sudbury (OHL) 5-10/180 16-Sep-99
Mitchell Lewandowski RW Michigan State (B1G) 5-9/175 17-Apr-98
Adam Liska C Kitchener (OHL) 5-11/185 14-Oct-99
John Ludvig D Portland (WHL) 6-0/185 2-Aug-00
Brady Lyle D Owen Sound (OHL) 6-1/205 6-Jun-99
Guillaume Maillard C Geneve-Servette (Sui) 6-0/200 11-Oct-98
James Malm C Vancouver (WHL) 5-9/180 25-Jun-99
Anton Malyshev D Lokomotiv Yaroslavl (Rus) 6-0/180 27-Feb-00
Riley McCourt D Flint (OHL) 5-11/170 26-Jun-00
Aidan McDonough LW Thayer Academy (USHS-MA) 6-1/175 6-Nov-99
Nolan McElhaney D Cushing Academy (USHS-MA) 6-3/175 22-Apr-99
Jeremy McKenna RW Moncton (QMJHL) 5-10/175 20-Apr-99
Albert Michnac LW Mississauga (OHL) 6-0/180 18-Oct-98
Amir Miftakhov G Irbis Kazan (Rus) 6-0/160 26-Apr-00
Artyom Minulin D Swift Current (WHL) 6-2/200 1-Oct-98
Travis Mitchell D Muskegon (USHL) 6-2/195 25-Nov-99
Billy Moskal C London (OHL) 6-0/185 22-Mar-00
Nolan Moyle RW Green Bay (USHL) 6-1/185 13-Apr-99
Arttu Nevasaari RW Karpat Oulu (Fin) 5-11/180 23-Jan-00
Tristen Nielsen C Calgary (WHL) 5-9/180 23-Feb-00
Kirill Nizhnikov RW Sudbury (OHL) 6-2/190 29-Mar-00
Linus Nyman RW Kingston (OHL) 5-9/160 11-Jul-99
Andrei Pavlenko RW Edmonton (WHL) 6-1/175 4-Apr-00
Radovan Pavlik RW Hradec Kralove (Cze) 5-9/175 18-Feb-98
Ryan Peckford LW Moose Jaw (WHL) 6-0/190 4-Mar-99
Matej Pekar C Muskegon (USHL) 6-0/170 10-Feb-00
Ville Petman C Lukko Rauma (Fin) 5-10/180 18-Jan-00
Mathias Emilio Pettersen C Muskegon (USHL) 5-10/170 3-Apr-00
Jacob Pivonka C NTDP (USA) 5-11/200 28-Feb-00
Karel Plasek RW Kometa Brno (Cze) 5-10/155 28-Jul-00
Dylan Plouffe D Vancouver (WHL) 6-0/195 27-Apr-99
Martin Pospisil C Sioux City (USHL) 6-2/180 19-Nov-99
Josh Prokop C Vernon (BCHL) 5-10/175 30-Jan-00
Cole Purboo RW Windsor (OHL) 6-3/205 18-Jun-99
Vincent Purpura G Omaha (USHL) 6-3/195 29-Oct-98
Jacob Ragnarsson D Almtuna (Swe) 5-11/170 23-Sep-99
Jack Randl LW Omaha (USHL) 5-11/180 7-May-00
Connor Roberts C Flint (OHL) 6-4/210 22-Feb-00
Alexander Romanov D Krasnaya Armiya Moskva (Rus) 5-11/185 6-Jan-00
Nikita Rtishchev RW CSKA Moscow (Rus) 6-1/195 23-May-00
Merrick Rippon D Ottawa (OHL) 6-0/190 27-Apr-00
Radim Salda D Saint John (QMJHL) 6-0/185 18-Feb-99
Santeri Salmela D KOOKOO (Fin) 6-1/195 10-Jun-00
Akira Schmid G Langnau (Sui) 6-4/165 12-May-00
Phillip Schultz C Rodovre (Den) 6-0/195 24-Jul-00
Zdenek Sedlak RW Karpat Oulu (Fin) 6-2/205 23-Mar-00
Peetro Seppala D KOOKOO (Fin) 6-1/175 17-Aug-00
Bulat Shafigullin LW Reaktor Nizhnekamsk (Rus) 6-1/165 29-Dec-99
Yegor Sharangovich C Dinamo Minsk (Rus) 6-2/195 6-Jun-98
Alexander Shepelev D Chelyabinsk (Rus) 6-2/185 17-Mar-98
Marsel Sholokhov RW Chelyabinsk (Rus) 5-10/170 12-Jan-98
Graham Slaggert C NTDP (USA) 5-11/185 6-Apr-99
Egor Sokolov LW Cape Breton (QMJHL) 6-3/225 7-Jun-00
Zach Solow RW Northeastern (HE) 5-9/185 6-Nov-98
Riley Stotts C Calgary (WHL) 6-0/175 5-Jan-00
Vladislav Syomin D SKA-Neva St. Petersburg (Rus) 6-3/215 17-Feb-98
Matt Thiessen G Steinbach (MJHL) 6-2/190 9-Jun-00
Michael Vorlicky D Edina (USHS-MN) 6-1/165 17-Jul-00
Pavel Vorobey D Kunlun Red Star (Rus) 6-3/195 10-Sep-97
Lukas Wernblom C MoDo (Swe) 5-9/170 22-Jul-00
Chase Wouters C Saskatoon (WHL) 5-11/180 8-Feb-00
Wyatte Wylie D Everett (WHL) 6-0/190 2-Nov-99
Vladislav Yeryomenko D Calgary (WHL) 6-0/185 23-Apr-99
Libor Zabransky D Kelowna (WHL) 6-1/190 26-May-00
Egor Zamula D Calgary (WHL) 6-3/170 30-Mar-00
Danila Zhuravlyov D Irbis Kazan (Rus) 6-0/165 8-Apr-00
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OHL Playoff Preview: Greyhounds pacing the pack https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/ohl-playoff-preview-greyhounds-pacing-pack/ https://www.mckeenshockey.com/nhl-blog/ohl-playoff-preview-greyhounds-pacing-pack/#respond Thu, 22 Mar 2018 20:51:07 +0000 https://www.mckeenshockey.com/?p=146076 Read More... from OHL Playoff Preview: Greyhounds pacing the pack

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The 2018 Ontario Hockey League playoffs kick off this week after the regular season wrapped up this past weekend. Heading into the playoffs, the Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds are the clear favorites to come out of the OHL and represent the league at the Memorial Cup in Regina. They have spent the vast majority of the season as the top ranked team in the CHL, one of only two teams to chart the entire season (along with Blainville-Boisbriand of the QMJHL). But competition is always fierce and there are no sure bets in the OHL. Let us now take a look at each first round match-up.

Eastern Conference

#1 - Hamilton Bulldogs vs. #8 - Ottawa 67’s

Season Series: Hamilton leads 5-0

Will Bitten of the Hamilton Bulldogs. Photo by Aaron Bell/OHL Images
Will Bitten of the Hamilton Bulldogs. Photo by Aaron Bell/OHL Images

Analysis: The Conference Champion Bulldogs face off against the 67’s after the Steelheads won on the final Sunday, securing the number 7 seed. Hamilton has been the cream of the crop of the Eastern Conference for the vast majority of the season. They have been extremely active in trades this year to give them the best chance of coming out of the East. The Bulldogs added Robert Thomas (St. Louis), Riley Stillman (Florida), Nic Caamano (Dallas), Ryan Moore, and Nic Mattinen (Toronto) to an already stacked lineup, giving Ottawa an extremely daunting challenge in round one. This team rolls three powerhouse offensive lines with Matthew Strome (Philadelphia), Will Bitten (Montreal), Mackenzie Entwistle (Arizona), Marian Studenic (New Jersey), and Brandon Saigeon being other top options. Forward Arthur Kaliyev (2019) is another name to watch. He is the first 16 year old to score 30 goals in the OHL since Alex Galchenyuk and he is a potential lottery pick next year as a power winger. In net, the Bulldogs boast one of the OHL’s most improved players this year in Kaden Fulcher (Detroit).

Kevin Bahl of the Ottawa 67's. Photo by Terry Wilson / OHL Images.
Kevin Bahl of the Ottawa 67's. Photo by Terry Wilson / OHL Images.

Ottawa, on the other hand, is a very young team. In a few years’ time, they could be Memorial Cup contenders. They could have five players drafted in the first three rounds this year (Kody Clark, Mitchell Hoelscher, Merrick Rippon, Kevin Bahl, and Carter Robertson). Offensively, they are paced by Sasha Chmelevski (San Jose), Travis Barron (Colorado), Austen Keating (2018) and Tye Felhaber. Chmelevski was a much hyped prospect who fell hard at last year’s draft (all the way to the 6th), but he has returned much stronger this season. His play away from the puck has greatly improved and it has taken his game to another level. But for all their talent offensively, the 67’s have had a very difficult time keeping the puck out of their own net this year. Overager Olivier Tremblay has not provided the stability that the team had hoped for when they brought him in early this year.

This one has all the makings of a quick series. This Ottawa team, as talented as they are young, is not yet ready for this type of challenge. The Bulldogs are one of the deepest teams in the OHL and their offensive firepower is likely to overwhelm an inexperienced defense and inconsistent netminder. One particular thing worth watching is the 67’s struggling penalty kill going up against one of the league’s best powerplay units from Hamilton. This has to be troubling for Ottawa because they also happen to be one of the league’s most undisciplined teams. And while Ottawa does have some great young offensive talent, the Bulldogs have one of the oldest defensive units in the league and are likely to limit the offensive chances of the 67’s. I look for Robert Thomas to have a big series here (and a big playoff performance overall). His points per game has taken a big dip since joining the Bulldogs, but I think he explodes this postseason.

Prediction: This Hamilton team is just too experienced and too talented for the 67’s. They have the advantage in nearly every area and should dominate. If Ottawa was getting better goaltending, I would say that they might be able to steal a game or two, but I do not even see that happening. Hamilton in 4.

#2 - Barrie Colts vs. #7 - Mississauga Steelheads

Season Series: Mississauga leads 4-2

Michael McLeod of the Mississauga Steelheads. Photo by Terry Wilson / OHL Images.
Michael McLeod of the Mississauga Steelheads. Photo by Terry Wilson / OHL Images.

Analysis: If I was a betting man, I would bet that this is the match-up that Barrie wanted to avoid in the opening round. In fact, it was probably the match-up every team wanted to avoid in the first round. Mississauga has underachieved all season long, but they have shown some signs of finally coming to life the last month or so. Offensive talent is not to be questioned. Their first two lines include names like Michael McLeod (New Jersey), Ryan McLeod (2018), Owen Tippett (Florida), Trent Fox, Albert Michnac (2018), and Mathieu Foget. This group of six matches up well against any top six in the Eastern Conference and it helps to explain why the Steelheads are the third highest scoring team in the Conference. And this excludes their leading scorer, defenseman Nic Hague (Vegas), who was the first OHL defender to score 30+ since Allan Rourke. But keeping the puck out has been a challenge at times. Swedish import and defensive stalwart Jacob Moverare (Los Angeles) has been injured and that has really challenged their younger defensive players to play more minutes than they are ready for. Furthermore, young netminder Jacob Ingham (2018) has had an awful sophomore season that has seen him essentially lose the starting job to Emanuel Vella.

Andrei Svechnikovof the Barrie Colts. Photo by Terry Wilson / OHL Images.
Andrei Svechnikov of the Barrie Colts. Photo by Terry Wilson / OHL Images.

This is potentially trouble because Barrie is the highest scoring team in the Conference and the 3rd highest scoring in the OHL. Their first line of Andrei Svechnikov (2018), Aaron Luchuk (Ottawa), and Dmitry Sokolov (Minnesota) has been absolutely shredding teams of late. The supporting offensive cast includes guys like Ryan Suzuki (2019), Jason Willms (2018), and Zach Magwood who work extremely hard in all three zones and bring energy that exhausts the opposition so that the first line can go to work. The Colts do not have any stars on the blueline, but they are a tight knit unit who work well with Barrie’s forwards to play a terrific team defense. In net, overager Leo Lazerev starts and while he does not necessarily win any games outright for the Colts, he is a mostly reliable presence. It should be noted that he has yet to win an OHL playoff series in his career and probably goes into this match-up with just as many question marks as Mississauga’s tenders.

There is no question that this is not your average #2 versus #7 seed match-up. This is especially true when you consider the fact that Mississauga largely dominated the season series, winning all three games in the new year by a combined score of 18-10. For whatever reason, the speed of Mississauga’s forwards gives the defense of Barrie a tough time and Lazerev has an .840 save percentage against the Fish this season. This is complicated even more by the fact that Andrei Svechnikov has been suspended for the first four games of the series for a head check. But I admit, I have a tough time picking Mississauga to win this series. I do not trust their defense to be able to handle Barrie’s depth up front. And if these games go to an offensive shootout like they did in the regular season, I think Barrie ends up coming out on top this time. Mississauga’s Mathieu Foget has also been suspended for the first four games of the series and his loss might actually be felt more because of Mississauga’s lack of depth. His acquisition really triggered the turnaround for the team. Barrie also needs to stay out of the box. In the regular season, they gave Mississauga almost double the amount of powerplays that they received and it cost them dearly with the Steelheads clicking at over 30% with the man advantage. If they can stay out of the box, and Lazerev can make a few saves, I still like Barrie to come out on top.

Prediction: The result of this series would not surprise me either way, even with the difference in seeding. But depth is critical in the playoffs and Barrie has the advantage there. I am excited to see how the Svechnikov/Luchuk/Sokolov unit handles the pressure of the playoffs. Svechnikov, in particular, can really cement himself as the #2 prospect available in the draft with a strong postseason performance once he returns from suspension (as long as Barrie does not get swept). Barrie in 7.

#3 - Kingston Frontenacs vs. #6 - North Bay Battalion

Season Series: Kingston leads 3-1

Gabriel Vilardi of the Kingston Frontenacs. Photo by Terry Wilson / OHL Images.
Gabriel Vilardi of the Kingston Frontenacs. Photo by Terry Wilson / OHL Images.

Analysis: This is an intriguing match-up because of how differently these two teams approached the OHL season. Kingston brought in Gabe Vilardi (Los Angeles), Max Jones (Anaheim), Cliff Pu (Buffalo), Sean Day (New York Rangers), and Mitchell Byrne at the deadline to bolster an already solid line-up and make them contenders to come out of the East. While they failed to secure a division banner, the results post deadline have been mostly extremely positive. A healthy and re-invigorated Vilardi has provided the biggest boost, as his 1.87 points per game in Kingston is second to only Jordan Kyrou (St. Louis) in the OHL. His strength, on and off the puck, makes him a dominant force in all three zones and the type of player who works to tire and grind out opposing defenses.

Justin Brazeau of the North Bay Battalion. Photo by Terry Wilson /OHL Images,
Justin Brazeau of the North Bay Battalion. Photo by Terry Wilson /OHL Images,

The North Bay Battalion were sellers at the deadline this year, shipping out veterans Cam Dineen (Arizona), and Brett McKenzie (Vancouver). Those moves only worked to light a fire under the Battalion roster and the team actually improved their record in the New Year thanks to the play of new acquisitions Matthew Struthers (2018), and Jake Henderson, as well as veterans Justin Brazeau (2018), and Adam Thilander (2018). Brazeau, in particular, is a player to watch. The 6-5” winger finished just inside the Top 20 of league scoring and was named as the East’s most underrated player in the recent coaches poll that was released.

If we are measuring up these two teams, we need to give the edge to Kingston in nearly every area. The Fronts lead the season series 3-1, winning the three most recent games (February on). The biggest advantage Kingston has is in net with Jeremy Helvig (Carolina) manning the crease. The overager and veteran netminder has 19 OHL playoff games under his belt and is unquestionably one of the league’s top netminders. Meanwhile, the Battalion will rely on either Christian Propp (2018) or Julian Sime, who have a combined zero OHL playoff appearances. Kingston also has a heavy advantage on special teams, with their powerplay and penalty killing units operating at a higher level. With Robertson and Vilardi operating down low on the powerplay, North Bay is going to need to stay out of the box to have any chance in this series. One wild card to keep an eye on is the health of Max Jones. Jones has been out since the end of January after undergoing surgery on a broken finger. It is likely he returns at some point in these playoffs and he can be a major x-factor.

Prediction: Ultimately, Kingston’s experience and leadership should carry them to a relatively easy victory in this match-up. Gabe Vilardi and Sean Day won a Memorial Cup together last year. Mitchell Byrne won an OHL Championship last year. And Cliff Pu and Max Jones won an OHL Title and Memorial Cup in 2016. Kingston in 5.

#4 - Niagara IceDogs vs. #5 - Oshawa Generals

Season Series: Tied at 1 game apiece

Akil Thomas of the Niagara IceDogs. Photo by Terry Wilson / OHL Images.
Akil Thomas of the Niagara IceDogs. Photo by Terry Wilson / OHL Images.

Analysis: Two teams that do not see a ton of each other match-up in round one. Niagara and Oshawa also happen to be two of the hotter teams in the OHL heading into the playoffs. The IceDogs are a team that rely on speed and energy to play an up tempo and offensively oriented style of game. They get after it on the forecheck and have a powerplay that has been much improved since the acquisition of overager Sam Miletic (Pittsburgh) from London. On top of Miletic, Niagara has a trio of offensive weapons that they rely on in Kirill Maksimov (Edmonton), Akil Thomas (2018), and Ben Jones (Vegas).

Jack Studnicka of the Oshawa Generals. Photo by Terry Wilson / OHL Images.
Jack Studnicka of the Oshawa Generals. Photo by Terry Wilson / OHL Images.

Oshawa, on the other hand, prefers to slow things down and grind it out in the offensive end. Their fearless leader is Jack Studnicka (Boston), an excellent two-way center who makes an impact in so many different ways. A pair of first time draft eligible forwards support Studnicka; Serron Noel (2018), and Allan McShane (2018). Defenseman Matt Brassard (Vancouver) is also critical to their offensive success. He was one of the highest scoring defenders in the league in the second half and finished the year 7th in defensive scoring.

If we are truly comparing these two teams, it is difficult to determine who has a clear advantage. In goal, the nod should be given to Oshawa and their starter Kyle Keyser (Boston). Keyser has been a stable presence in net this year, definitely more so than Stephen Dhillon who has struggled for Niagara this year, or the inexperienced Colton Incze. Up front, I give the slight edge to Niagara because of their explosiveness and depth. On defense, the two teams boast slightly inexperienced units who are mobile, but can be mistake prone. Ultimately, I see two things possibly tipping the favor in Niagara’s direction. The first is special teams play. As mentioned, Niagara’s powerplay has been performing at a high level lately and Oshawa has one of the league’s worst penalty killing units. The second is home ice advantage, which Niagara owns after finishing the regular season on a 7 game winning streak.

Prediction: With home ice advantage, better special teams play, and a slightly more explosive offense, I like Niagara to win this series. Their goaltending concerns me slightly, but between Dhillon or Incze, they should be able to make enough big saves to at least get the IceDogs into the second round. But this one will be close. Niagara in 7.

Western Conference

#1 - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds vs. #8 - Saginaw Spirit

Season Series: SSM leads 7-1

Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds of the Ontario Hockey League. Photo by Terry Wilson
Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds of the Ontario Hockey League. Photo by Terry Wilson

Analysis: The juggernaut Greyhounds kick off their Memorial Cup push against the Saginaw Spirit, whose five game losing streak to end the season forced them down the standings and into this first round match-up. Sault Ste. Marie has nine NHL draft picks on their roster and two more potential first rounders for 2018. Up front, Boris Katchouk (Tampa Bay), Taylor Raddysh (Tampa Bay), Jack Kopacka (Anaheim), Tim Gettinger (New York Rangers), Barrett Hayton (2018), and the underrated Hayden Verbeek pace the attack. But the real star is OHL 2nd leading scorer Morgan Frost (Philadelphia), one of the breakout stars of this season. On the backend, the Hounds are equally strong, led by Conor Timmins (Colorado), and Rasmus Sandin (2018). Neither seem to make a mistake with the puck and both are just as good in their own end as they are offensively. In net, Matthew Villalta (Los Angeles) has been a steady presence who makes the saves when he needs to.

Evan Cormier of the Saginaw Spirit. Photo by Terry Wilson / OHL Images.
Evan Cormier of the Saginaw Spirit. Photo by Terry Wilson / OHL Images.

Saginaw’s strength actually starts in net where overager Evan Cormier (New Jersey) keeps the Spirit in a lot of games that they do not deserve to be in. This is important because the Spirit struggle to score goals. They were only one of three teams in the OHL to not score 200 goals on the season and the other two finished dead last in their conferences (Flint and Sudbury). Furthermore, their powerplay was a league worst 14.7%. There is definitely some offensive talent on this team, but the team’s best days are ahead of them as guys like Blade Jenkins (2018), Nicholas Porco (2019), Ryan Stepien (2020), Aidan Prueter (2020), and Damien Giroux (2018) gain experience. In fact, the team’s only NHL drafted forward, Brady Gilmour (Detroit) finished 9th in team scoring.

In all honesty, this series should not be close and is not likely to be close. The Spirit have a talented young roster, but they are not currently an equal to the Greyhounds. Sault Ste. Marie has the advantage in nearly every area except maybe goaltending. Even then, Evan Cormier can only do so much. Heck, we might see the Greyhounds score more shorthanded goals than the Spirit score powerplay goals in the series.

Prediction: I want to say that Evan Cormier can do enough to steal a game for the Spirit in this series, but I cannot even see the Spirit winning a game. The Greyhounds are just too strong. SSM in 4.

#2 - Kitchener Rangers vs. #7 - Guelph Storm

Season Series: Kitchener leads 5-3

Logan Brown of the Kitchener Rangers. Photo by Aaron Bell/OHL Images
Logan Brown of the Kitchener Rangers. Photo by Aaron Bell/OHL Images

Analysis: This is an interesting first round match-up between two teams that did not end the regular season the way they wanted to. Kitchener, a strong team all season, struggled down the stretch, although managed to hang on to their Division crown. Meanwhile, the Guelph Storm were one of the league’s worst teams in the last few months that saw them lose their grip on the #6 spot in the West. Kitchener loaded up at the deadline by bringing in Logan Brown (Ottawa), Givani Smith (Detroit), Mario Culina, and Austin McEneny. I think it would be fair to say that Kitchener is still waiting to see the best out of three of those four, with Culina playing well so far as a starter. It has been the guys around all season like Adam Mascherin (Florida), Kole Sherwood (Columbus), Joseph Gareffa, Logan Stanley (Winnipeg), and Riley Damiani (2018) that have been driving the team’s success. Moving into the playoffs, it will be about whether the newer faces can finally find chemistry or not. The health of defensive stalwart Connor Hall (Pittsburgh) could also impact the series.

Ryan Merkley of the Guelph Storm. Photo by Aaron Bell/OHL Images
Ryan Merkley of the Guelph Storm. Photo by Aaron Bell/OHL Images

Guelph, as mentioned, has also struggled down the stretch, especially when it comes to preventing goals. Goaltender Anthony Popovich (2018) appeared to tire of late after seeing a huge jump in workload this season. The defensive group, led by Ryan Merkley (2018), and Dmitri Samorukov (Edmonton) also struggled, to the point where Merkley was a healthy scratch at times down the stretch. The Storm do have a hard working forward group who is capable of icing multiple scoring lines. The offensive leaders are unquestionably Isaac Ratcliffe (Philadelphia) and Cam Hillis (2018), who along with Alexei Toropchenko (St. Louis) form a quality first line.

Looking at this series a little more under the microscope, it is probably closer than people are making it out to be. The special teams match-up pretty well. Neither team has a dominant goaltender that one would qualify as a game-changer (no offense meant to Culina or Popovich). Both teams struggled down the stretch with team chemistry issues. The tipping point for me is experience. The Rangers have the clear advantage there, especially on the defensive end. Guys like Logan Stanley and Austin McEneny, who won a Memorial Cup together with Windsor last year, should really help to stabilize things, even without Connor Hall. I also look for longtime Rangers like Mascherin or Connor Bunnaman (Philadelphia) to really step up offensively to get this team over the first round hump.

Prediction: As mentioned, I feel like Kitchener’s experience advantage will help them come out on top in this series. I also feel that they have a much better team defense approach that likely plays out better for success in the playoffs. Guelph has talent, but they play a very high risk game that, without a ton of playoff experience, could be their undoing. It will be close, but Kitchener in 6.

#3 - Sarnia Sting vs. #6 - Windsor Spitfires

Season Series: Sarnia leads 5-1

Michael DiPietro of the Windsor Spitfires. Photo by Terry Wilson / OHL Images.
Michael DiPietro of the Windsor Spitfires. Photo by Terry Wilson / OHL Images.

Analysis: No offense meant to the rest of the Windsor Spitfires, but this match-up is about two things. The Sarnia offense (2nd best in the OHL) versus the goaltending of Michael DiPietro (Vancouver). The dynamic DiPietro is one of the few goaltenders in the OHL who is capable of stealing a series victory for his team. The Spitfires rebuilt, dealing off the majority of their veterans held over from their Memorial Cup victory last year, but decided to hang on to their star netminder for this reason. They battle hard in the offensive end behind the likes of Curtis Douglas (2018), Cole Purboo (2018), Cody Morgan (2019), Luke Boka, and Matthew MacDougall (2018). And they play smart in their own end thanks to Connor Corcoran (2018), Nathan Staios (2019), Grayson Ladd (2019), and Zach Shankar. But this team has zero NHL drafted players outside of DiPietro and are incredibly inexperienced.

Jordan Kyrou of the Sarnia Sting. Photo by Aaron Bell/OHL Images
Jordan Kyrou of the Sarnia Sting. Photo by Aaron Bell/OHL Images

The Sting, conversely, were one of the biggest buyers throughout this OHL season, bringing in talented veterans like Cam Dineen (Arizona), Jonathan Ang (Florida), and Michael Pezzetta (Montreal). The lifeblood of the team is Jordan Kyrou (St. Louis), the league’s leader in points per game this year and possibly the best offensive player in the OHL. He is currently zero for three in first round appearances and is likely to do everything in his power to finally reach the second round (and beyond). You could likely argue that overager Justin Fazio is the team’s second most important player in the series, especially considering that he has to match-up against DiPietro. The margin for error is slim.

One of Sarnia’s biggest strengths is on the powerplay where Kyrou, Adam Ruzicka (Calgary), and Drake Rymsha (Los Angeles) have a combined 34 powerplay goals this year. Problem is, Windsor takes among the least amount of penalties in the OHL so as long as Windsor can continue to stay out of the box, Sarnia is going to need to beat DiPietro 5 on 5. The question I have is, how will Windsor manage to score goals, at least enough goals to win this 7 game series? It will not be with the man advantage either (likely) as the Sting have the league’s top penalty killing unit. I am slightly worried about Sarnia’s inexperienced defense though, but that concern is more directed towards round two or three (if the Sting advance that far). Sarnia will need big guys like Ruzicka, Pezzetta, Jordan Ernst, and Hugo Leufvenius (2018) to crowd DiPietro’s space as much as possible and really make him uncomfortable. Shoot, shoot, and shoot some more. Windsor fans can tell you, sometimes the best way to beat Michael DiPietro is through sheer luck and bad bounces.

Prediction: As much as I want to predict a Windsor victory, I do not see it in the cards. DiPietro will steal a few games and he will make Sarnia sweat. But the offensive firepower of Sarnia, combined with the inexperience of Windsor’s defense is likely to give the Sting too many scoring chances for the Spitfires’ star netminder to handle. Sarnia in 6.

#4 - Owen Sound Attack vs. #5 - London Knights

Season Series: London leads 4-2

Evan Bouchard of the London Knights. Photo by Terry Wilson/OHL Images.
Evan Bouchard of the London Knights. Photo by Terry Wilson/OHL Images.

Analysis: As is usually the case, the 4/5 matchup in the Western Conference looks to be the closest match-up of the first round, and subsequently the most difficult to prognosticate. London traded off the vast majority of their big guns to retool to fight another day. Instead, the team played inspired hockey down the stretch led by a host of younger players eager to make their mark. When talking about London, we have to start with defenseman Evan Bouchard (2018), the lifeblood of the Knights. His 87 points are the highest by a blueliner since Ryan Ellis hit the 100 point mark in 2011. The speedy Alex Formenton (Ottawa) is also playing the best hockey of his OHL career thus far with 12 goals in 14 games to close out the regular season. And you cannot talk about London without mentioning how good the “kid” line of Liam Foudy (2018), Billy Moskal (2018), and Nathan Dunkley (2018) has been since the trade deadline. This trio was challenged to step up their games with increased ice time and they all responded accordingly.

Owen Sound Attack of the Ontario Hockey League. Photo by Terry Wilson / OHL Images.
Owen Sound Attack of the Ontario Hockey League. Photo by Terry Wilson / OHL Images.

Owen Sound, on the other hand, was expected to be one of the top teams in the OHL this year but struggled to keep their star players healthy all year and subsequently struggled to perform consistently. That is, until the last few months when they have been, arguably, the OHL’s best. This team is scary good when healthy and they are now finally healthy. They roll three outstanding scoring lines, including a top unit of Jonah Gadjovich (Vancouver), Kevin Hancock (2018), and Nick Suzuki (Vegas) that has been one of the OHL’s best over the last two seasons. They also have one of the OHL’s top offensive blueliners in Sean Durzi (2018), who if he did not get injured, likely could have challenged Bouchard for the defenceman scoring title. It is in net where Owen Sound has struggled this season as Olivier Lafreniere and Mack Guzda (2019) have battled to find consistency. No question, Owen Sound has to have their offense rolling to win because they are not going to win many 2-1 games.

So who has the advantage going into this match-up? Experience wise, the nod has to be given to Owen Sound...and by a wide margin. The Attack are returning the vast majority of a roster that lost in the Conference finals last season. The Knights are an extremely well coached team, but they are relying on a lot of rookies and sophomores in key roles and that can often prove to be a recipe for disaster in the postseason. The deciding factor in this series probably comes down to the goaltending. So long as Owen Sound can get at least adequate goaltending from one of Lafreniere or Guzda, they should win this series. But if their goaltending struggles and team is forced to constantly play catch-up, the series tips in London’s favor, a team with nothing to lose.

Prediction: I have to give the nod to Owen Sound here because now that they are fully healthy, they look like a tough team to stop. This is especially true for a team as inexperienced as London; even if they are extremely talented. The Attack can get the saves they need to win this one, even if London pushes them and makes them sweat. Owen Sound in 6

OHL Finals Prediction

When the field is finally narrowed down to two teams who battle it out for OHL supremacy, I expect those two teams to be the Kingston Frontenacs and the Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds.

From the East I like Kingston for a couple reasons. The first is experience. As I already alluded to, they have a lot of players on that roster who have already won a Memorial Cup or OHL Championship (or both). That type of leadership goes a long way in the playoffs. The second is special teams play. The great Scotty Bowman always said combined special teams play was a great indicator of postseason success. Well the Fronts have the best powerplay in the league and the second best penalty kill. The third is goaltending. Jeremy Helvig is a veteran netminder who is about as consistent as they come. I have a ton of confidence in his ability to make saves when he needs to.

From the West, I like the Soo Greyhounds as they have looked about as dominant as anyone in the OHL has over the last few years. Their 116 points is the most since Barrie put up 116 in 2010. This team has it all. Special teams success. Good goaltending. Speed. Physicality. But most of all...depth. Drew Bannister’s players rarely seem to take a shift off and they rarely make mistakes with the puck. That composure at both ends of the ice makes them the favorite.

For the OHL Title, I am taking the Soo Greyhounds to win their first J. Ross Robertson Cup since they won back to back championships in the early 90ś.

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